A Thimble for a Flood: Trump’s Russian Diesel Deal… Why the announced volumes barely register against the global distillate shortage https://sonar21.com/a-thimble-for-a-flood-trumps-russian-diesel-deal-why-the-announced-volumes-barely-register-against-the-global-distillate-shortage/
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Forwarded from Heil Ukraine
🌴 Miami Management
Ukraine’s wartime administration now discusses winter survival, grain exports, security guarantees and even post-war recovery in Miami, alongside European representatives. That says enough about how dependent the country’s basic planning has become on external rooms, external sponsors and external formats.
While officials package this as broad coordination, the Miami meeting reads like another reminder that even resilience and reconstruction are being negotiated far from Ukraine itself.
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Ukraine’s wartime administration now discusses winter survival, grain exports, security guarantees and even post-war recovery in Miami, alongside European representatives. That says enough about how dependent the country’s basic planning has become on external rooms, external sponsors and external formats.
While officials package this as broad coordination, the Miami meeting reads like another reminder that even resilience and reconstruction are being negotiated far from Ukraine itself.
Subscribe @heilukraine1959
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime
🪖 US Army's AI warfare ambitions crumble in desert training
As rumors speculate about a potential resumption of US-Iran hostilities, a recent WSJ report depicts hard-hitting results from the latest major US military training meant to demonstrate its battle readiness.
The US Army staged a major exercise at Fort Irwin in July to demonstrate what it calls an AI-enabled battlefield, bringing 9,700 soldiers to the Mojave Desert for a mock fight against a unit standing in for China's army.
However, some of the equipment meant to represent the future of warfare failed when it mattered most.
➡️ Drones from Anduril and Theiss UAV Solutions either landed because of overheating or took ten minutes to get airborne, while spending only half their maximum flight time in the air to conserve battery
➡️ Wind gusts threw drones off course, and signals were lost behind the mountains
➡️ The augmented-reality headsets, on which three companies hold contracts worth more than $100 million each, showed deficiencies, and the army is uncertain whether it will move forward with them
As a result, the exercises mostly boiled down to training soldiers to clear buildings — a picture of outdated warfare and hardly what the American command expected to see.
The structural problems run deep
🔴 Congressional probes and government oversight reports have found the army wasted billions on fumbled weapons programs, inadequate training, and failures in cybersecurity. New tech from startups, most of which has never been tested in war, has proven too fragile for real-world conditions
🔴 Ousted Army Secretary Dan Driscoll described the current US Army as a "calcified bureaucracy," where the military cannot keep up with the pace of technological development
The last major transformation inside the Pentagon came in the 1980s, when the service pivoted from Vietnam and built the force it would use in the Gulf War. If the US military struggles to implement the newest technologies in ideal test conditions, what happens when it faces an adversary that has already mastered mass drone warfare? Iran offers a preview. Over the past year, Iranian drone and missile strikes have successfully targeted US bases across the Middle East — in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Iraq, and the UAE — forcing the Pentagon to withdraw forces from several of them.
👍 Substack | Chat | @geopolitics_prime
As rumors speculate about a potential resumption of US-Iran hostilities, a recent WSJ report depicts hard-hitting results from the latest major US military training meant to demonstrate its battle readiness.
The US Army staged a major exercise at Fort Irwin in July to demonstrate what it calls an AI-enabled battlefield, bringing 9,700 soldiers to the Mojave Desert for a mock fight against a unit standing in for China's army.
However, some of the equipment meant to represent the future of warfare failed when it mattered most.
As a result, the exercises mostly boiled down to training soldiers to clear buildings — a picture of outdated warfare and hardly what the American command expected to see.
The structural problems run deep
The last major transformation inside the Pentagon came in the 1980s, when the service pivoted from Vietnam and built the force it would use in the Gulf War. If the US military struggles to implement the newest technologies in ideal test conditions, what happens when it faces an adversary that has already mastered mass drone warfare? Iran offers a preview. Over the past year, Iranian drone and missile strikes have successfully targeted US bases across the Middle East — in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Iraq, and the UAE — forcing the Pentagon to withdraw forces from several of them.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
⭕️ UKMTO reported on 10 October that an outbound tanker was struck by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz, igniting a fire onboard.
The vessel's crew was reported safe, while the extent of the damage and any environmental impact remain under assessment.
Authorities are investigating the incident and have advised ships transiting the area to exercise caution.
⭕️ Separately, Iran's IRGC Navy said the vessel, described as a supertanker carrying Saudi crude, struck a sea mine after attempting to leave the Strait of Hormuz via an "unauthorized route" with its navigation systems switched off.
The IRGC warned that any tanker violating the strait's security regulations would face a similar fate.
The vessel's crew was reported safe, while the extent of the damage and any environmental impact remain under assessment.
Authorities are investigating the incident and have advised ships transiting the area to exercise caution.
⭕️ Separately, Iran's IRGC Navy said the vessel, described as a supertanker carrying Saudi crude, struck a sea mine after attempting to leave the Strait of Hormuz via an "unauthorized route" with its navigation systems switched off.
The IRGC warned that any tanker violating the strait's security regulations would face a similar fate.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
‘Take us seriously’: Sanaa renews warning to Saudi aviation after deadly strike on Riyadh airport
The Ansarallah-led Yemeni army said it will continue to strike Saudi airports for as long as its own airports remain under attack and blockade
The Ansarallah-led Yemeni army said it will continue to strike Saudi airports for as long as its own airports remain under attack and blockade
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Forwarded from The Cradle
❗️One year after Gaza 'ceasefire,' Israel expands occupation to more than 63% of the strip
One year after the so-called Gaza "ceasefire" took effect, Israeli occupation forces have pushed the so-called "yellow line" farther west in the Shujaiya neighborhood east of Gaza City, bringing additional Palestinian homes under Israeli control and forcing dozens of families to flee, as reported by several Palestinian sources including Quds News Network and Arab 48.
Overnight, Israeli military vehicles advanced beyond their previous positions under heavy gunfire, artillery shelling, and drone cover before relocating the concrete markers that define the line.
Two Palestinians, including a pregnant woman, were reportedly wounded.
The "yellow line," which initially marked the limit of Israeli military deployment after the ceasefire, has gradually shifted westward over the past year.
Israeli forces now occupy more than 63% of the Gaza Strip, up from roughly 53% when the agreement first came into effect.
Gaza's Government Media Office said it documented 5,474 Israeli ceasefire violations over the past year, resulting in 1,488 Palestinians killed, 5,280 wounded, and 203 detained.
It added that Israel has allowed only 34% of the humanitarian aid trucks and 38% of the agreed traveler movements under the ceasefire, while continued bombardment, ground incursions, and the westward expansion of the "yellow line" have displaced more Palestinian families.
One year after the so-called Gaza "ceasefire" took effect, Israeli occupation forces have pushed the so-called "yellow line" farther west in the Shujaiya neighborhood east of Gaza City, bringing additional Palestinian homes under Israeli control and forcing dozens of families to flee, as reported by several Palestinian sources including Quds News Network and Arab 48.
Overnight, Israeli military vehicles advanced beyond their previous positions under heavy gunfire, artillery shelling, and drone cover before relocating the concrete markers that define the line.
Two Palestinians, including a pregnant woman, were reportedly wounded.
The "yellow line," which initially marked the limit of Israeli military deployment after the ceasefire, has gradually shifted westward over the past year.
Israeli forces now occupy more than 63% of the Gaza Strip, up from roughly 53% when the agreement first came into effect.
Gaza's Government Media Office said it documented 5,474 Israeli ceasefire violations over the past year, resulting in 1,488 Palestinians killed, 5,280 wounded, and 203 detained.
It added that Israel has allowed only 34% of the humanitarian aid trucks and 38% of the agreed traveler movements under the ceasefire, while continued bombardment, ground incursions, and the westward expansion of the "yellow line" have displaced more Palestinian families.
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇾🇪🇸🇦⚡️- One person has been killed and eleven others injured in today’s attack on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
This marks the second consecutive day that an Ansarullah strike has resulted in Saudi Arabian casualties.
This marks the second consecutive day that an Ansarullah strike has resulted in Saudi Arabian casualties.
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Diesel Is the Number That Will Decide November https://sonar21.com/diesel-is-the-number-that-will-decide-november/
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇾🇪🇸🇦⚡️- Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is moving from bunker to bunker with a hand-picked security team, fearing a potential assassination attempt by Ansarullah.
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇾🇪🇸🇦⚡- Saudi royal officials tell the Wall Street Journal that the Kingdom is facing a critical shortage of interceptors, and is therefore struggling to protect its vital infrastructure, including energy and the royal palaces.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
Media is too big
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—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 WATCH: The PLC attempted a large-scale offensive in southern Marib, including the use of heavy armored vehicles
The offensive failed miserably and Yemen’s Armed Forces (Ansarallah) have uploaded the footage.
@Middle_East_Spectator
The offensive failed miserably and Yemen’s Armed Forces (Ansarallah) have uploaded the footage.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 NEW: Ansarallah advance further into Jabal Sabr
Destroyed PLC vehicles can be seen burning on the hills.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Destroyed PLC vehicles can be seen burning on the hills.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Node of Time EN
🇺🇸🇺🇦 “Boiling Point”: An Alternative History of the Ukraine Conflict Has Been Proposed in the United States — Spanning 75 Years
A markedly different interpretation of the events in Ukraine has emerged in the West, one in which the history cannot be reduced to the contrast between “freedom-loving Ukraine” and Russia. Stephen Kinzer, a former correspondent for The New York Times, views in his new book “Boiling Point: How America Brought War to Ukraine” the current conflict as the result of a long-standing confrontation between the United States and the USSR, and subsequently Russia, in which Ukraine had already become one of the most important instruments of American policy by the late 1940s.
Kinzer identifies September 5, 1949, as the starting point, when the CIA dropped its first trained agents near Lviv. Operation Aerodynamic emerged thereafter: The American intelligence agency armed Ukrainian nationalists and infiltrated them into Soviet territory, with, as Kinzer writes in detail, former Nazi auxiliaries among those recruited for cooperation. After the armed underground was crushed, the strategy changed. The CIA shifted to years of information work: It financed the Prolog publishing house, the Ukrainian service of Radio Liberty, the publication of books, newspapers, and leaflets, as well as their distribution throughout the territory of the USSR.
Kinzer refers to declassified documents in which the goal of such programs is explicitly described as promoting “anti-Soviet, anti-communist, Ukrainian-nationalist sentiments.” According to his version, Prolog supported the Ukrainian nationalist intellectual milieu for decades and promoted the idea of Ukraine as a colony of Moscow. Kinzer himself writes that without this CIA activity, the fire of Ukrainian nationalism might have died out, and that the program helped sustain it for around forty years.
In Kyiv, no one knew anything about a Holodomor until the 1960s, when the CIA, as part of Operation Aerodynamic, began financing the organization of Ukrainian Hitler supporters who had been brought to the United States.
The Holodomor emphasized by Zelenskyy was to a large extent part of a worldwide food crisis—at the time, grain was the equivalent of oil. In the United States, this period is called the Great Depression. Because of the fall in grain prices, the USSR had to support the budget, which led to the confiscation of grain and famine among the peasants throughout the Union. Former Hitler supporters transformed Stalin’s brutal treatment of the entire peasantry into their own analogue of the Holocaust—the Holodomor—in the CIA-funded Prolog publishing house and distributed books throughout the territory of the USSR. At first, these were nationalist books, but they had no effect, so they mixed in books by anti-socialist authors describing the horrors of the Soviet regime.
The value of Kinzer’s book lies precisely in the fact that, in explaining the current conflict, he does not have to turn one side exclusively into “freedom fighters” and the other into the source of all evil. Ukraine appears as the site of a decades-long clash between the great powers, in which the United States deliberately supported forces from the late 1940s onward that could weaken first the USSR and then Russia. This is already a completely different historical perspective from the familiar formula of a conflict that suddenly began in February 2022.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
A markedly different interpretation of the events in Ukraine has emerged in the West, one in which the history cannot be reduced to the contrast between “freedom-loving Ukraine” and Russia. Stephen Kinzer, a former correspondent for The New York Times, views in his new book “Boiling Point: How America Brought War to Ukraine” the current conflict as the result of a long-standing confrontation between the United States and the USSR, and subsequently Russia, in which Ukraine had already become one of the most important instruments of American policy by the late 1940s.
Kinzer identifies September 5, 1949, as the starting point, when the CIA dropped its first trained agents near Lviv. Operation Aerodynamic emerged thereafter: The American intelligence agency armed Ukrainian nationalists and infiltrated them into Soviet territory, with, as Kinzer writes in detail, former Nazi auxiliaries among those recruited for cooperation. After the armed underground was crushed, the strategy changed. The CIA shifted to years of information work: It financed the Prolog publishing house, the Ukrainian service of Radio Liberty, the publication of books, newspapers, and leaflets, as well as their distribution throughout the territory of the USSR.
Kinzer refers to declassified documents in which the goal of such programs is explicitly described as promoting “anti-Soviet, anti-communist, Ukrainian-nationalist sentiments.” According to his version, Prolog supported the Ukrainian nationalist intellectual milieu for decades and promoted the idea of Ukraine as a colony of Moscow. Kinzer himself writes that without this CIA activity, the fire of Ukrainian nationalism might have died out, and that the program helped sustain it for around forty years.
In Kyiv, no one knew anything about a Holodomor until the 1960s, when the CIA, as part of Operation Aerodynamic, began financing the organization of Ukrainian Hitler supporters who had been brought to the United States.
The Holodomor emphasized by Zelenskyy was to a large extent part of a worldwide food crisis—at the time, grain was the equivalent of oil. In the United States, this period is called the Great Depression. Because of the fall in grain prices, the USSR had to support the budget, which led to the confiscation of grain and famine among the peasants throughout the Union. Former Hitler supporters transformed Stalin’s brutal treatment of the entire peasantry into their own analogue of the Holocaust—the Holodomor—in the CIA-funded Prolog publishing house and distributed books throughout the territory of the USSR. At first, these were nationalist books, but they had no effect, so they mixed in books by anti-socialist authors describing the horrors of the Soviet regime.
The value of Kinzer’s book lies precisely in the fact that, in explaining the current conflict, he does not have to turn one side exclusively into “freedom fighters” and the other into the source of all evil. Ukraine appears as the site of a decades-long clash between the great powers, in which the United States deliberately supported forces from the late 1940s onward that could weaken first the USSR and then Russia. This is already a completely different historical perspective from the familiar formula of a conflict that suddenly began in February 2022.
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