Sonar21
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Taking on the status quo one fact at a time.
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Judgment Day for the Middle of the Barrel: Karl Millerโ€™s Warning That Diesel Has Stopped Meeting Demand https://sonar21.com/judgment-day-for-the-middle-of-the-barrel-karl-millers-warning-that-diesel-has-stopped-meeting-demand/
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Tusk Confirms Russian Strikes on Logistics Near Polish Border

Polish PM Donald Tusk confirmed that Ukrainian logistics objects near the border are being targeted. On Sept 17, a massive strike hit a gas station servicing Ukrainian forces, causing a powerful explosion close to the frontier.

Drone Incidents and Escalation Risks

Bloomberg reports increased hybrid attacks deep in Europe, including drones at energy sites and airports. A recent drone attack on a railway station near the Ukrainian-Polish border occurred while US and EU officials were present, marking a shift from previous taboos.

European officials fear civilian casualties are inevitable as Russia increases risk-taking against defense enterprises and logistics supporting Ukraine.

@Slavyangrad
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โ—๏ธTrump:

GREAT NEWS! Thanks to the bold leadership of my friend, Karol Nawrocki, President of Poland, major progress is being made toward establishing a U.S. Army base in Poland. If this happens, the location will be announced very soon. This will be a historic step for our Great U.S./Polish Alliance.

@AussieCossack
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โ€” ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ/๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ NEW: Today, the United States officially withdrew from the UN Human Rights Council

Cited reasons include alleged bias against Israel, hypocrisy, and โ€˜support for terror regimesโ€™ like Iran.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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โ€”โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ/๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช BREAKING: Clashes have broken out in Marib city between Saudi-backed Islah forces and the Ubaydah tribe [Al-Muโ€™aily Tribe]

The clashes erupted after Al-Islah (Saudi-backed Islamist and tribal forces) shelled the home of tribal leader Sheikh Naji Muhsin Mu'ayli, which was full of women and children.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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โ€”โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ/๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช NEW: Impacts at Yanbu, Saudi Arabia, from the latest Yemeni missile barrage

@Middle_East_Spectator
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โ€”โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท/โ˜ข๏ธ NEW: Satellite imagery shows that Iran is rapidly expanding construction at the Taleqan-2 nuclear site in Tehran, northern Iran

Taleqan-2 is a high-explosive testing chamber that was used in the early 2000s for Iranโ€™s nuclear weapons program โ€˜AMADโ€™.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Looks like US CENTCOM is gearing up to launch new attacks on the Houthis.
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ โ€” The Trump administration is considering the possibility of entering into business deals with Russia even before the end of the war in Ukraine, according to The New York Times, citing sources.

According to the newspaper, Washington wants to show Moscow the seriousness of its intentions to restart relations and create additional incentives for the Russian elite to end the war. The specific deals being considered are currently unknown.

This approach differs from Trump's previous position, who stated that deals with Russia were only possible after the end of the war, the NYT notes.

The newspaper claims that during a recent meeting in the Kremlin, Putin told Witcoff and Kushner that Russia would seize all of Donbas within a few months and would be able to inflict heavy blows on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. Kushner responded by reminding Putin that he had said the same thing a year ago: "What are the chances that we'll come back here in a year and you'll say the same thing again? Maybe we shouldn't waste a year?"

The publication also reminds readers that Congress has passed a bill on "hellish" sanctions against Russia.

"But if the Trump administration is taking a carrot-and-stick approach to Putin, it appears that the emphasis is on the carrot," the article states.

@Intelslava
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ”น The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that the Russian Armed Forces struck a cargo ship that had delivered military supplies to the "Yuzhny" port.

Also targeted:

โžก๏ธ In the port of "Odessa" โ€“ a tanker that delivered fuel for the Ukrainian army;
โžก๏ธA cargo ship transporting goods intended to supply the Ukrainian Armed Forces to the port of "Odessa."

๐Ÿ”ด@DDGeopolitics
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Forwarded from The Cradle
Russia summons UK envoy over surging weapons shipments to Ukraine

Moscow warned that British military facilities used for strikes on Russian territory will be considered 'legitimate targets'
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The Squeeze Reaches the Runway: The Distillate War Is Now Cutting Flights https://sonar21.com/the-squeeze-reaches-the-runway-the-distillate-war-is-now-cutting-flights/
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ” Denmark concedes Greenland's security to US

The United States has secured permanent control over Greenland's security under an agreement with Denmark and Greenland โ€” a deal Secretary of State Marco Rubio is calling a historic victory.

"This historic agreement permanently guarantees US security interests in the Arctic at zero cost to the US taxpayer," he declared.


What the US gets, per Trump's statement:

๐Ÿ”ด Control over Greenland's security "without any financial cost"

๐Ÿ”ด The Pentagon will immediately begin deploying a large military contingent to the island

๐Ÿ”ด No US adversary may ever open a base, maintain a military presence, or make sensitive investments in Greenland without express written US approval

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's office has confirmed the deal is expected to be signed next week during the UN General Assembly.

Greenland sits astride the Arctic routes between North America and Europe โ€” the same Arctic that NATO is rapidly militarizing.

๐Ÿ‘ Substack | Chat | @geopolitics_prime
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Over the past week, Russia has increased the number of beds reserved for military casualties in hospitals in the northwest regionsโ€“including Leningradโ€“by 20,000.
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