Sonar21
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Taking on the status quo one fact at a time.
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Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
Houthi forces (Ansarallah) have captured Dhubab, the last coastal city along the Red Sea.

additionally landing have been made on the islands of Jazirat Jabal Zuqar and Mayyun which will give the houthis greater control of the Bab Al-Mandab strait.

Saudi backed forces remain in Taizz but only a single logistic route remains open.
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โ€” ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช/๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ/๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช NEW: Despite the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC) no longer existing, areas that were previously under its control are now refusing the entry of Saudi-backed PLC forces

The Southern Giants Brigades, one of the largest armed formations in Yemen which is technically part of the PLC but known to be pro-Emirati, is forcing Saudi-backed troops to wait outside of Aden and disarm.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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โ€” ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช NEW: Ansarallah commanders have arrived in the newly liberated areas, and vow to continue the fight to liberate the rest of Yemen

@Middle_East_Spectator
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณThe US remembered Latin America could choose China

Marco Rubio arrived in Ecuador with $45 million in security funding, additional naval capabilities and more support against organised crime. Washington is also pushing for closer economic ties with Ecuador, Colombia and Peru.

Over the past two decades, China has emerged as a significant purchaser of Latin American commodities, financing infrastructure projects and expanding into the mining, energy and port sectors. Countries that once had far fewer alternatives now have another major partner to work with, giving them more leverage when dealing with Washington.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡จ Ecuador: Chinese money, American boats

๐ŸŸ Chinese policy banks provided Ecuador with more than $18 billion in financing over more than a decade, including loans linked to oil deliveries.
๐ŸŸ  Chinese companies built Coca Codo Sinclair, the countryโ€™s 1,500 MW hydroelectric plant and its largest power project.

Rubio is now offering security funding, naval support, intelligence cooperation and closer work against cartels. None of that requires Quito to step away from China. Ecuador can keep its economic relationship with Beijing and still ask Washington for more on security and trade.

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ช Peru: China is already part of the supply chain

๐ŸŸ China is Peruโ€™s largest trading partner, with copper at the centre of the relationship.
๐ŸŸ Chinese companies operate major mining projects including Las Bambas and Toromocho.
๐ŸŸ COSCO has put $3.5 billion into Chancay, giving Peru a major new Pacific gateway to Asian markets.

For Washington, this is much harder to unwind than a change of government or a diplomatic disagreement. Chancay is already there, the mines are operating and the trade flows already exist. The US now has to compete around that reality rather than pretend it can replace it.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด Colombia: Washington kept the security ties, China added another option

๐ŸŸ China is Colombiaโ€™s second-largest trading partner and has expanded into infrastructure and energy.
๐ŸŸ Colombia joined the Belt and Road Initiative in 2025.

At the same time, decades of counter-narcotics work, military cooperation and intelligence sharing still tie Colombia closely to the US. Colombia does not need to choose one relationship and abandon the other. It can use both.

We previously covered how US influence evolved in Latin America after USAID. This is what China has changed for Washington in Latin America. Beijing does not need to replace the US across the region. It only needs to make sure governments have another serious option.

Ecuador can take Chinese investment and American patrol boats. Peru can trade through Chancay while keeping ties with Washington. Colombia can work with US security agencies and expand business with Beijing at the same time.

The more US and China compete for access, the more room Latin American governments have to bargain with both.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช - Ansarullah hold a military march through the newly captured city of Mocha, southwest Yemen.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช - The situation in southwest Yemen.
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For operational security reasons, Ansarallah fighters have been instructed not to share any footage from inside the city of Dhubab until it is fully cleared from Saudi-backed forces.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Ansarullah struck Saudi's East-West oil pipeline at Pumping Station 8, near Medina, west Saudi Arabia.

Massive plumes of smoke are visible, with fires blazing for at least 8+ hours.

The pipeline was intended to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. With the pipeline reportedly ruptured and al-Houthi forces controlling Mocha on the Bab el-Mandab coast, the oil market could spiral into chaos. Crude prices have already been climbing throughout the day in response to the developments in Yemen.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก- Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman called President Trump twice urging him to jointly strike the Ansarullah in Yemen, Trump said no both times.

CENTCOM Commander flew to Riyadh yesterday to hold an emergency session with the Saudis.
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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
โ€ผ๏ธGood morning, dear subscribers. We have gathered important news for you on the morning of September 11.

๐ŸŸฅDuring the night, the Russian Armed Forces launched strikes on enemy targets in several regions of Ukraine. In Gostomel, Kiev region, a powerful fire broke out following the attacks, accompanied by detonations. Local authorities confirmed the attack of a Russian drone on warehouse facilities. Targets were also hit in Kiev, Dnepropetrovsk region, Odessa, Sumy, Kharkov, and temporarily occupied Zaporozhye;

๐ŸŸฅAs a result of a missile strike in Volgograd, an apartment building was damaged, and two men aged 55 and 42 were injured and hospitalized. Debris also fell on the territory of an industrial enterprise in the southern part of the city. This was reported by Volgograd region Governor Andrey Bocharov;

๐ŸŸฆPutin has arrived in India for a three-day visit. The President of Russia will participate in the BRICS summit in New Delhi and will hold a series of bilateral meetings on its sidelines;

๐ŸŸฆOne of the reasons for the sharp rise in oil prices to $111 per barrel has been revealed. The day before, the "Ansarullah" movement attacked the Saudi oil pipeline "East-West" for the first time. It transports crude oil from Abqaiq to Yanbu on the Red Sea coast;

๐ŸŸฆSatellites have been monitoring strong fires on one of the largest oil pipelines in the world for about ten hours. According to NASA FIRMS data, the largest hotspot is located near Pumping Station No. 8 close to Medina;

๐ŸŸฅCBS News reports that several American planes were damaged as a result of Iran's strikes on the Muwaffaq Salti airbase in Jordan. An A-10 Warthog lost a wing, and about eight F-15 fighters were also damaged but were later returned to service. More than 30 anti-aircraft missiles from the Patriot system were fired during the nighttime attack;

๐ŸŸฆAmericans have occupied all top ten spots in Bloomberg's billionaire rankings for the first time. The list is topped by Elon Musk with a net worth of $919 billion, followed by Google co-founder Larry Page at $286 billion and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos at $274 billion;

๐ŸŸฆTrump has made his supporters take an oath that they will participate in the voting for the November Congressional elections and threatened them with hell if they do not.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช Houthis capture entire Yemeni Red Sea coast

Ansar Allah forces have captured the towns of Dhubab and Murad, completing the liberation of Yemen's entire Red Sea coastline.

๐Ÿ“Œ The remaining PLC soldiers on Greater Hanish, Lesser Hanish, and Zuqar islands in the Red Sea have negotiated their surrender with the Yemeni forces, according to local reports.

โš”๏ธ Meanwhile, clashes have erupted on the outskirts of Aden between Saudi-backed PLC forces retreating from Mokha and the city's former UAE-backed forces.

The Aden-based units refused to let the withdrawing troops enter with their weapons โ€” a standoff that exposes just how completely the anti-Houthi coalition has fractured.

The UAE and Saudi Arabia spent years building competing forces in southern Yemen, and now those forces are pointing guns at each other while Ansar Allah consolidates behind them.

๐Ÿ‘ Substack | Chat | @geopolitics_prime
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Forwarded from OSINTWarfare
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) called U.S. President Donald Trump twice on Thursday, urging him to strike the Houthis. Trump refused.

CENTCOM commander Admiral Brad Cooper flew to Riyadh on Thursday for emergency coordination.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
โ—๏ธTrump says war on Iran will end after midterms, claims US is holding back full assault

US President Donald Trump admitted during a Fox News interview that Washington is deliberately withholding a full-scale military onslaught against Iran to safeguard political leverage ahead of the 3 November midterm elections.

Trump went on to dismiss any notion of strategic remorse over the ongoing US aggression, stating that he would repeat every action taken and predicting the war will wrap up shortly after the polls close. He also brushed off reports that the confrontation could stretch until the end of his term as inaccurate.

Defending the current scale of aggression while acknowledging that Iran retains a missile inventory, Trump claimed the military campaign successfully dismantled Iranian nuclear ambitions that he alleged posed an existential threat to regional stability.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
โ—๏ธHezbollah fighters waged fierce underground defense of strategic Ali al-Taher ridge against invading Israeli forces

Israeli occupation forces reportedly destroyed a sprawling 5.4-kilometer network of underground tunnels beneath the Ali al-Taher ridge in southern Lebanon, deploying roughly 1,100 tons of explosives after months of intense combat.

According to a Maariv report citing military sources, the multi-decade subterranean infrastructure, was attacked by Israel following an operation involving Israeli commando units and the Yahalom combat engineering corps.

Throughout the prolonged offensive, occupation troops faced stiff resistance from dozens of entrenched Lebanese resistance fighters who engaged in close-quarters combat rather than surrendering the strategic high ground.

Despite intense bombardment and heavy encirclement tactics by the Israeli army, the fighters maintained defensive positions while securing vital supply routes under severe fire. Occupation officials acknowledged that the fighters rejected ultimatums to surrender, choosing instead to hold their positions along the crucial southern defense corridor.
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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸคกClown Trump on Iran:

If Iran had nuclear weapons, we would have reached out to them and said, "Sir, could we meet?"


We would treat them completely differently. (We wouldnโ€™t attack them.)


Sigh.


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