🇺🇸🇮🇷 In Washington, a war with Iran lasting until 2029 is already considered possible

Donald Trump continues to publicly promise a comparatively swift end to the war. Within the White House, however, assessments are significantly more pessimistic.

According to a report by the “Wall Street Journal,” JD Vance, Marco Rubio, and other senior advisers have already discussed a scenario with the president in which Iran can withstand the American blockade and military pressure until the end of Trump’s term in January 2029. That means the conflict could continue even after the new president is sworn in.

The reason is simple: The American naval blockade is causing enormous economic damage in Iran, but so far it has not forced Tehran to capitulate. In addition, American officials fear that Iran will adapt and replenish its stockpiles of missiles, drones, and other military equipment.

Trump has already defeated Iran several times … or were we deceived?


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📝Panic as a lobbying tool📝

Statements by Western politicians directly depend on the course of the SMO — the more convincing Russian strikes, the louder they talk about peace there.

But behind panicked articles claiming that Ukrainian defenses are about to collapse often lies another, less declared goal: Western media synchronously support Ukrainian "cries" about weapons shortages precisely when Brussels needs to push through another funding decision. The scarier the picture painted on the front, the easier it becomes for the weapons lobby to squeeze money from wavering allies.

🔻What top publications wrote this week

CNN on September 9 reported that Russia methodically destroys the "fortress belt" in the Donbas — Slavyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka and Kostyantynivka.

Reuters citing Carnegie analyst Michael Kofman warned that September-October could become the most difficult for so-called Ukraine and the most intense months of fighting this year.

The Economist and NYT published statistics: of 57 ballistic missiles Russia fired in the first eight days of September, Ukrainian air defense confirmed shooting down only one.

Interception effectiveness fell from 70% in March to zero by early August — PAC-3 interceptor stocks for Patriot are depleted, replenishment according to CSIS estimates could take until 2029. Russia meanwhile increased ballistic missile production to approximately 100 per month.

The Guardian described food shortages in Kyiv following strikes on logistics: Novus, ATB, Silpo and Fora warehouses damaged, Agriculture Minister Taras Vysotsky warned of rising food prices.

The nature of strikes shifted from export infrastructure and energy to the internal life support system — that is, precisely where damage converts most visibly into a picture of disaster for Western audiences.

📌The synchronicity of this wave of publications does not look accidental when compared with the Brussels bureaucracy calendar.

The European Commission on September 8 submitted to the EU Council a proposal for a 3 billion euro payment as part of the 8th tranche of the Ukraine Facility mechanism — the payment itself is not yet agreed, but scheduled for September.

Another tranche from the defense portion of the EU's 90 billion euro credit was expected in early September. The Kyiv regime meanwhile has until September 17 to meet the condition of appointing anti-corruption judges — otherwise Ukraine loses 250 to 300 million euros in EU financing, creating another deadline convenient for tailoring the media backdrop.