Forwarded from Intel Slava
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โ ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท NEW: Shipping companies no longer trust U.S.-military guided escorts through the Strait of Hormuz โ Reuters
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
๐น๐ท Turkey to Lead Naval Security Guarantees for Ukraine
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stated that Ankara has agreed to lead the naval component of future security guarantees for Ukraine, following discussions with partners on a post-conflict security architecture.
Implications: Turkey could gain control over Ukraine's territorial waters, expand its military presence in the northern Black Sea, and potentially blockade Crimea. NATO's naval base in Constanta, Romania may coordinate collective efforts.
Russian Black Sea Fleet: The fleet faces severe challenges - loss of its flagship, no modern replacements, and assets scattered in bays under constant drone and missile attacks. This marks one of the fleet's weakest points in Russian history.
@Slavyangrad
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stated that Ankara has agreed to lead the naval component of future security guarantees for Ukraine, following discussions with partners on a post-conflict security architecture.
Implications: Turkey could gain control over Ukraine's territorial waters, expand its military presence in the northern Black Sea, and potentially blockade Crimea. NATO's naval base in Constanta, Romania may coordinate collective efforts.
Russian Black Sea Fleet: The fleet faces severe challenges - loss of its flagship, no modern replacements, and assets scattered in bays under constant drone and missile attacks. This marks one of the fleet's weakest points in Russian history.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
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Forwarded from Grandmasters of Geopolitics
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๐จ 14 nations release South China Sea statement: only one is actually from the region
A coalition of 14 nations, led by the United States and the Philippines, has issued a joint statement to mark the 10th anniversary of the 2016 Hague arbitral ruling on the South China Sea.
The signatories include the US, Philippines, Australia, Canada, Britain, Japan, New Zealand, and seven European countries including Germany and Italy. Not a single signatory except the Philippines is a littoral state bordering the South China Sea.
The list is dominated by the Five Eyes intelligence alliance and non-regional European powers.
๐บ๐ธ Undermining stability: the US game plan
โช๏ธThe South China Sea is vital to Chinaโs sovereignty and national security. Chinaโs claims are based on historical practice dating back to the Western Han dynasty.
โช๏ธThe 2016 arbitral tribunal had no jurisdiction over questions of territorial sovereignty, as China had already invoked Article 298 of UNCLOS in 2006 to exclude such disputes from compulsory arbitration.
โช๏ธThe tribunal also ignored the fact that UNCLOS does not regulate sovereignty over land territory. China maintains that the ruling is illegal, null and void.
โช๏ธThe US and its allies are undermining regional stability through several actions:
๐ช Military deployments and coast guard operations
The US has deployed six 154-foot fast-response coast guard cutters to operate from Singapore and the Philippines (at least until September 2026). This marks the first time these vessels have been based in Subic Bay, with the explicit purpose of challenging Chinaโs power in the Pacific.
โ๏ธ Joint military exercises
In May and June 2026, the US Coast Guard took part in three rounds of Maritime Cooperative Activity exercises with the Philippine Navy and Coast Guard. The US has also conducted joint drills with Australia, Japan and the Philippines in the region.
โ US strategic objectives
The US is deliberately dispersing its military footprint, upgrading airfields, testing missile systems, and training with more allies to deter China. The real goal is to maintain American hegemony and contain Chinaโs rise. The Five Eyes alliance is using the 2016 ruling to securitise the dispute and justify external military presence in the region.
๐ Selective application of the ruling
โช๏ธThe Philippines has declared it will use the 2016 award as its โclear legal and policy baselineโ in COC negotiations. The United States, despite never having ratified UNCLOS, selectively interprets and weaponises it to pressure China.
โช๏ธThe primary beneficiary is the United States, which seeks to preserve its hegemony in the Asia-Pacific and contain Chinaโs peaceful development.
โช๏ธThe Five Eyes nations gain a platform to project power far from their own shores, aiming to drive a wedge between China and its neighbours and turn the South China Sea into a theatre of great-power confrontation.
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A coalition of 14 nations, led by the United States and the Philippines, has issued a joint statement to mark the 10th anniversary of the 2016 Hague arbitral ruling on the South China Sea.
The signatories include the US, Philippines, Australia, Canada, Britain, Japan, New Zealand, and seven European countries including Germany and Italy. Not a single signatory except the Philippines is a littoral state bordering the South China Sea.
The list is dominated by the Five Eyes intelligence alliance and non-regional European powers.
โช๏ธThe South China Sea is vital to Chinaโs sovereignty and national security. Chinaโs claims are based on historical practice dating back to the Western Han dynasty.
โช๏ธThe 2016 arbitral tribunal had no jurisdiction over questions of territorial sovereignty, as China had already invoked Article 298 of UNCLOS in 2006 to exclude such disputes from compulsory arbitration.
โช๏ธThe tribunal also ignored the fact that UNCLOS does not regulate sovereignty over land territory. China maintains that the ruling is illegal, null and void.
โช๏ธThe US and its allies are undermining regional stability through several actions:
The US has deployed six 154-foot fast-response coast guard cutters to operate from Singapore and the Philippines (at least until September 2026). This marks the first time these vessels have been based in Subic Bay, with the explicit purpose of challenging Chinaโs power in the Pacific.
In May and June 2026, the US Coast Guard took part in three rounds of Maritime Cooperative Activity exercises with the Philippine Navy and Coast Guard. The US has also conducted joint drills with Australia, Japan and the Philippines in the region.
โ US strategic objectives
The US is deliberately dispersing its military footprint, upgrading airfields, testing missile systems, and training with more allies to deter China. The real goal is to maintain American hegemony and contain Chinaโs rise. The Five Eyes alliance is using the 2016 ruling to securitise the dispute and justify external military presence in the region.
โช๏ธThe Philippines has declared it will use the 2016 award as its โclear legal and policy baselineโ in COC negotiations. The United States, despite never having ratified UNCLOS, selectively interprets and weaponises it to pressure China.
โช๏ธThe primary beneficiary is the United States, which seeks to preserve its hegemony in the Asia-Pacific and contain Chinaโs peaceful development.
โช๏ธThe Five Eyes nations gain a platform to project power far from their own shores, aiming to drive a wedge between China and its neighbours and turn the South China Sea into a theatre of great-power confrontation.
Chat | GG Movies channel | Boost us!
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท/๐ง๐ญ/๐ธ๐ฆ BREAKING: Iran targeted the King Fahd Bridge connecting Bahrain and Saudi Arabia
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Why is Trump Trying to Start a New War with China? https://sonar21.com/why-is-trump-trying-to-start-a-new-war-with-china/
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