Iran No Longer Bound by MoU, Adjusts Tactics https://sonar21.com/iran-no-longer-bound-by-mou-adjusts-tactics/
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ/๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท NEW: After an operational assessment, following senior IDF and political orders, Israelโs Minister of Transportation has revoked permission for U.S. military aircraft to land at Ben Gurion International Airport
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
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โโ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท/๐ฎ๐ถ/๐บ๐ธ BREAKING: Direct impacts at Erbil Airport, which also houses a U.S. base
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran & Ukraine News Updates
Iran has no reason to observe a ceasefire that delivers it no benefits, Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said.
He stressed that Tehran will use military strength, control over the strait of Hormuz and diplomacy to defend its national interests.
โA memorandum of understanding is only meaningful when its clauses are valid and being implemented,โ Ghalibaf said. If Iran gains nothing, it has no reason to comply.
โThe fact that we speak from a position of strength in the Strait of Hormuz today is the result of the power created by the Iranian people,โ Ghalibaf said.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran & Ukraine News Updates
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For months, the Trump administration line was: no evidence Epstein was an intel asset, no evidence in the files, nothing to see here.
Now JD Vance just blew up the whole story:
๐ฌ โHe clearly had connections to the highest levels of Israeli intelligence.โ
๐ฌ โYeah, Mossad or CIA or some other deep state whether in America or Israel or another country โฆ Or both."
So the Trump team spent months pretending there was nothing there, only for Vance to walk onto Rogan and casually admit Epstein had intelligence fingerprints all over him.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
BREAKING | US attack hits vicinity of children's cancer hospital in Iran's Ahvaz; evacuation ordered
โข Attack reported near Shahid Baghaei Hospital in Ahvaz, prompting the facility to begin an immediate temporary evacuation.
โข The hospital treats children suffering from cancer, and anxious parents have reportedly gathered in the surrounding streets in an effort to protect their children.
(Mehr News)
โข Attack reported near Shahid Baghaei Hospital in Ahvaz, prompting the facility to begin an immediate temporary evacuation.
โข The hospital treats children suffering from cancer, and anxious parents have reportedly gathered in the surrounding streets in an effort to protect their children.
(Mehr News)
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Forwarded from ๐ฆ๐บAussieCossack๐ท๐บ
โ๏ธUkrainian forces killed the chief engineer of the Russian-controlled Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant in a drone strike on his vehicle near Enerhodar.
Rosatom confirmed that Alexander Yakovlev and his driver were killed in the attack.
Rosatom head Alexei Likhachev described the strike as โa deliberate act of terrorism by the Kiev regimeโ and said Russiaโs political leadership has been informed.
Yakovlev had remained at the plant after the 2022 Russian occupation, continued working under Rosatom, and acquired Russian citizenship.
The incident follows a similar case in 2024, when Ukrainian military intelligence claimed responsibility for killing the ZNPPโs security chief in a car bomb attack in Energodar.
Rafael Grossi condemned the murder of the chief engineer of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, according to the IAEA.
He called the attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces unacceptable and a threat to nuclear safety.
@AussieCossack
Rosatom confirmed that Alexander Yakovlev and his driver were killed in the attack.
Rosatom head Alexei Likhachev described the strike as โa deliberate act of terrorism by the Kiev regimeโ and said Russiaโs political leadership has been informed.
Yakovlev had remained at the plant after the 2022 Russian occupation, continued working under Rosatom, and acquired Russian citizenship.
The incident follows a similar case in 2024, when Ukrainian military intelligence claimed responsibility for killing the ZNPPโs security chief in a car bomb attack in Energodar.
Rafael Grossi condemned the murder of the chief engineer of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, according to the IAEA.
He called the attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces unacceptable and a threat to nuclear safety.
@AussieCossack
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Forwarded from The Islander
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๐บ๐ธ๐๐คกโ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท Iran will be defeated soon - the orange ape having vivid dreams again.
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Forwarded from New Rules
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๐จ๐บ๐ฆ The Patriot Mirage: Why Ukraine Won't Be Building Missiles Anytime Soon
Trump's pledge to license Patriot missile production in Ukraine has stirred headlines, but the reality is far messier. Industry officials and defense analysts state that technical, industrial, and security hurdles are so steep that production is far more likely to start in Germany or another NATO member. Even with U.S. approval, the undertaking would strain far more stable nations.
Patriot missiles are engineering nightmares, packed with radar seekers, guidance electronics, rocket motors, and software reliant on tightly woven international supply chains. Ukraine lacks specialized facilities for most components. Sensitive technology would also require separate export clearances beyond a production license.
Even pilot production would take 12 to 24 months to set up. Meaningful volume would take considerably longer. Trump's announcement may ease European political pressure on Washington, but its near-term military impact remains negligible.
Security is another major obstacle. Any Patriot facility in Ukraine would instantly become a top-tier Russian target. Building advanced interceptor factories only to expose them to long-range strikes is a non-starter for both Ukraine and American contractors.
Patriot interceptors are already among NATO's most expensive and supply-constrained munitions. Global production is stretched thin by wars in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Meanwhile, Russia cranks out hundreds of ballistic missiles annually, plus cruise missiles and attack drones in vast numbers, enough to overwhelm Ukrainian defenses even if licensed production begins.
Moscow has ramped up Iskander-M production several-fold since 2020, but quantity is not Ukraine's only problem. Effectiveness is cratering. In October 2025, a Ukrainian military official warned that the intercept rate had plummeted from 42% to just 6%, due to Russian software upgrades making missiles faster and more maneuverable in their terminal phase.
Finally, the question of who will pay for the full production cycle remains unresolved. One missile costs around $4M, and launching production would run into the tens of millions. After that come expensive serial manufacturing, maintaining supply chains, procuring imported components, and years of waiting before any return on investment materializes.
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Trump's pledge to license Patriot missile production in Ukraine has stirred headlines, but the reality is far messier. Industry officials and defense analysts state that technical, industrial, and security hurdles are so steep that production is far more likely to start in Germany or another NATO member. Even with U.S. approval, the undertaking would strain far more stable nations.
Patriot missiles are engineering nightmares, packed with radar seekers, guidance electronics, rocket motors, and software reliant on tightly woven international supply chains. Ukraine lacks specialized facilities for most components. Sensitive technology would also require separate export clearances beyond a production license.
Even pilot production would take 12 to 24 months to set up. Meaningful volume would take considerably longer. Trump's announcement may ease European political pressure on Washington, but its near-term military impact remains negligible.
Security is another major obstacle. Any Patriot facility in Ukraine would instantly become a top-tier Russian target. Building advanced interceptor factories only to expose them to long-range strikes is a non-starter for both Ukraine and American contractors.
Patriot interceptors are already among NATO's most expensive and supply-constrained munitions. Global production is stretched thin by wars in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Meanwhile, Russia cranks out hundreds of ballistic missiles annually, plus cruise missiles and attack drones in vast numbers, enough to overwhelm Ukrainian defenses even if licensed production begins.
Moscow has ramped up Iskander-M production several-fold since 2020, but quantity is not Ukraine's only problem. Effectiveness is cratering. In October 2025, a Ukrainian military official warned that the intercept rate had plummeted from 42% to just 6%, due to Russian software upgrades making missiles faster and more maneuverable in their terminal phase.
Finally, the question of who will pay for the full production cycle remains unresolved. One missile costs around $4M, and launching production would run into the tens of millions. After that come expensive serial manufacturing, maintaining supply chains, procuring imported components, and years of waiting before any return on investment materializes.
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Forwarded from Grandmasters of Geopolitics
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โช๏ธBrad Parscale, who managed Donald Trumpโs 2020 presidential campaign, signed a contract with the Israeli government in September 2025 to run a digital influence operation amid Israel's aggression against Iran. According to Time magazine, one of its less explicit aims was to prevent young conservatives from turning against Israel.
โช๏ธParscaleโs firm, Clock Tower X, agreed to produce 100 pieces of content per month targeting Gen Z audiences across social media platforms and podcasts.
โช๏ธThe contract promised at least 50 million digital impressions per month and included efforts to influence AI tools such as ChatGPT and Googleโs Gemini. Israel agreed to pay Parscale $1.5 million a month.
โช๏ธIsraelโs Ministry of Foreign Affairs concluded that its conventional public diplomacy efforts were failing and sought someone who understood internet culture and the MAGA movement.
โช๏ธParscale presented himself as uniquely connected to Trumpโs political network. His operation works through a group of firms he owns, including Campaign Nucleus and Influenceable.
โช๏ธInfluencer coordination: Private group chats where conservative influencers get suggested posts and are paid based on engagement (up to $4,250 per post).
โช๏ธAI manipulation: Created special websites to shape responses from ChatGPT, Gemini and other AI tools.
โช๏ธTarget: Counter Tucker Carlson, Steve Bannon, and other anti-Israel voices in the MAGA movement.
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Forwarded from Grandmasters of Geopolitics
Iranโs Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has stated that the Strait of Hormuz โ which carries roughly 21 million barrels of oil per day (about 20-30% of global seaborne trade) โ will remain closed until the US ends its acts of aggression.
Iran has also warned it could expand restrictions to other regional chokepoints used by the US and its allies. This follows the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and strikes on Iran.
Key chokepoints potentially at risk:
1๏ธโฃ Bab el-Mandeb Strait:
Between Yemen, Djibouti, and Eritrea โ connects Red Sea to Gulf of Aden.
Handles ~10-12% of global trade and ~4.2 million barrels of oil per day (1H 2025 data). Saudi and other Gulf exports to Europe pass through it.
A blockade could easily push oil prices toward $150โ200+/barrel in extreme scenarios.
2๏ธโฃ Suez Canal and SUMED Pipeline:
Located in Egypt, the Suez Canal connects the Red Sea to the Mediterranean Sea.
This route handles approximately 4.9 million barrels of oil per day, equivalent to about 6 per cent of all oil traded by sea.
The canal is the shortest maritime route between Europe and Asia, facilitating roughly 12 per cent of global trade.
While Iran does not border it directly, its long-range missiles and drones could target the area.
Critically, any Bab el-Mandeb disruption automatically shuts down southern access to Suez.
3๏ธโฃ Strait of Hormuz:
The worldโs most critical oil chokepoint. Any sustained disruption here would trigger immediate global supply shocks.
Before the war began in February, approximately 20% of global oil and gas shipments passed through this chokepoint.
In the first half of 2025, oil flows averaged 20.9 million barrels per day, with 89 per cent of the crude oil destined for Asian markets.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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๐ท๐บ๐ธ ๐ฅ ๐บ๐ฆ More Geran-2/4 seeker kamikaze drone strikes on locomotives near Bozhedarovka, Dnepropetrovsk region.
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
Google Play removed MAX, VK, Odnoklassniki and many other applications today. This became another episode in a prolonged campaign to wash out Russian services from global digital stores.
Such a move would look like an impressive gesture, but in practice it would hit millions of ordinary users who continue using foreign services and devices, and would only increase internal irritation and tension โ that is, play right into the hands of those who launched this chain of blockades.
In particular, the decision to require dealers to preinstall RuStore on all phones sold in Russia proved to be an absolutely justified step and made it possible to ensure a genuinely working sovereign infrastructure at a time when access to familiar app stores is becoming increasingly unpredictable.
It is precisely along this path โ gradual creation of its own digital ecosystem, and especially its own mobile operating systems, capable of competing at least at the regional level โ that one should move forward. As the experience with banking services after the departure of Visa and Mastercard showed, the transition period is painful, but not catastrophic if there is a working alternative within the country.
#Russia #technology
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