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Taking on the status quo one fact at a time.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
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VIDEO | Devastating scenes from the vicinity of Jabal Amel Hospital in south Lebanon's Tyre following a brutal Israeli attack.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
โ—๏ธFrance bans Israeli officials and weapons manufacturers from premier European arms fair

The French government has barred Israeli government officials and national delegations from attending the upcoming Eurosatory defense exhibition in Paris. Under the strict directives issued by French authorities, Israel is prohibited from establishing its traditional national pavilion at the premier European arms fair.

Furthermore, Paris has banned Israeli weapons manufacturers from showcasing any offensive combat hardware, restricting the remaining corporate attendees exclusively to the display of defensive anti-air systems during the event later this month.

The Israeli Defense Ministry lashed out at the restriction on Monday, labeling the move a "shameful decision" that unfairly penalizes its state-backed 'defense' sector.
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Forwarded from TRN
Russia is accumulating gold and foreign exchange reserves at levels far above any standard requirement for a financial safety cushion. The scale of these reserves inevitably creates the impression that the country is deliberately preparing for serious external shocks โ€” shocks whose likelihood and nature are not officially discussed. ๐Ÿช™

As of early 2026, international reserves had reached $755 billion, equivalent to 28% of GDP. For comparison, in the United States this figure is below 1%; in the European Union, 1.8%; and in the United Kingdom, 3.4%. Among major Asian and Latin American economies, Russia is also ahead: Japanโ€™s reserves stand at 25% of GDP, Chinaโ€™s at 17%, Indiaโ€™s at 19%, Brazilโ€™s at 16%, and Mexicoโ€™s at 13%.

Of these funds, around $300 billion remain frozen in Western accounts. Yet even the freely available $455 billion far exceeds necessary levels. Three months of Russian imports require roughly $100 billion in coverage. Calculations based on the M2 money supply of 130 trillion rubles and M2X of 143 trillion rubles suggest a sufficient reserve range of $80โ€“370 billion.

A May 2026 research report by the Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences highlights the problem of excess reserves. Experts estimate that $80โ€“370 billion could be used for economic development. This amount is equivalent to 16โ€“73% of total fixed-capital investment in 2025, which reached 42.64 trillion rubles. ๐Ÿ“Š

A significant share of the reserves has been shifted into monetary gold, whose volume has exceeded $400 billion for the first time, with its share in the overall structure approaching 48%. This shift followed the loss of access to Western assets and reflects an effort to minimize the risk of further freezes. However, unlike liquid currency instruments, gold generates no income and remains a relatively immobile asset.

This ultra-conservative position is explained by the structural features of the Russian economy. Its high dependence on energy exports makes the balance of payments sensitive to external price shocks. Sanctions restrictions have cut off access to global capital markets โ€” unlike the United States, which benefits from the reserve-currency privilege, or China, which directs part of its reserves toward international expansion through investment and infrastructure projects.

As a result, enormous funds remain dead weight, playing no role in financing domestic investment. In 2025, fixed-capital investment already fell by 2.3% in real terms, signaling a shortage of resources for long-term growth. ๐Ÿ—๏ธ

Ultimately, the policy of strict reserve hoarding โ€” intended to ensure survival under conditions of potential escalation in external pressure โ€” cements an economic model in which risk insurance is prioritized at the cost of lost development opportunities.


Original Post

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Forwarded from TRN
Russia is accumulating gold and foreign exchange reserves at levels far above any standard requirement for a financial safety cushion. The scale of these reserves inevitably creates the impression that the country is deliberately preparing for serious external shocks โ€” shocks whose likelihood and nature are not officially discussed. ๐Ÿช™

As of early 2026, international reserves had reached $755 billion, equivalent to 28% of GDP. For comparison, in the United States this figure is below 1%; in the European Union, 1.8%; and in the United Kingdom, 3.4%. Among major Asian and Latin American economies, Russia is also ahead: Japanโ€™s reserves stand at 25% of GDP, Chinaโ€™s at 17%, Indiaโ€™s at 19%, Brazilโ€™s at 16%, and Mexicoโ€™s at 13%.

Of these funds, around $300 billion remain frozen in Western accounts. Yet even the freely available $455 billion far exceeds necessary levels. Three months of Russian imports require roughly $100 billion in coverage. Calculations based on the M2 money supply of 130 trillion rubles and M2X of 143 trillion rubles suggest a sufficient reserve range of $80โ€“370 billion.

A May 2026 research report by the Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences highlights the problem of excess reserves. Experts estimate that $80โ€“370 billion could be used for economic development. This amount is equivalent to 16โ€“73% of total fixed-capital investment in 2025, which reached 42.64 trillion rubles. ๐Ÿ“Š

A significant share of the reserves has been shifted into monetary gold, whose volume has exceeded $400 billion for the first time, with its share in the overall structure approaching 48%. This shift followed the loss of access to Western assets and reflects an effort to minimize the risk of further freezes. However, unlike liquid currency instruments, gold generates no income and remains a relatively immobile asset.

This ultra-conservative position is explained by the structural features of the Russian economy. Its high dependence on energy exports makes the balance of payments sensitive to external price shocks. Sanctions restrictions have cut off access to global capital markets โ€” unlike the United States, which benefits from the reserve-currency privilege, or China, which directs part of its reserves toward international expansion through investment and infrastructure projects.

As a result, enormous funds remain dead weight, playing no role in financing domestic investment. In 2025, fixed-capital investment already fell by 2.3% in real terms, signaling a shortage of resources for long-term growth. ๐Ÿ—๏ธ

Ultimately, the policy of strict reserve hoarding โ€” intended to ensure survival under conditions of potential escalation in external pressure โ€” cements an economic model in which risk insurance is prioritized at the cost of lost development opportunities.


Original Post

Follow TRN ๐Ÿ‘ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšก- โ€œI had a very productive call with Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu, of Israel, and there will be no Troops going to Beirut, and any Troops that are on their way, have already been turned back. Likewise, through highly placed Representatives, I had a very good call with Hezbollah, and they agreed that all shooting will stop โ€” That Israel will not attack them, and they will not attack Israel.โ€ - President Trump on Truth Social.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšก- Israeli Channel 11 says Israel postponed the Beirut attacks after US intervention, with Washington trying to prevent the collapse of the Israeli-Lebanese talks scheduled for tomorrow.

The US is also preparing to sanction Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri as part of efforts to pressure Hezbollah.
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๐ŸŒŸBenjamin Netanyahu : Ce soir, j'ai parlรฉ avec le prรฉsident Trump et je lui ai dit que si le Hezbollah n'arrรชte pas d'attaquer nos villes et nos citoyens, Israรซl attaquera des cibles terroristes ร  Beyrouth. Notre position reste ferme. Dans le mรชme temps, Tsahal continuera dโ€™opรฉrer comme prรฉvu dans le sud du Liban.
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Commandant d'unitรฉ secouรฉ, grade de lieutenant-colonel (colonel)

๐ŸŒŸ๐ŸŒŸLe deuxiรจme plus haut gradรฉ de l'armรฉe israรฉlienne a รฉtรฉ blessรฉ lors de combats avec le Hezbollah dans le sud du Liban.
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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆANOTHER STAB IN THE BACK OF UKRAINIANS FROM POLISH "FRIENDS"

๐ŸšซIn Poland, the flag of Ukraine was removed from the Lublin City Hall building due to Zelensky's decision to name one of the AFU military units after the "heroes of the UPA," reports Wiadomosci.

๐Ÿ“ขLocal authorities stated that this gesture "insults Polish memory" because "glorifying formations responsible for crimes against civilians wounds the memory of Polish victims and makes it difficult to build sincere dialogue between nations."

๐Ÿ”˜Lublin authorities also said that other Polish cities had acted similarly. However, they assured that further support for Ukraine would continue.

The flag had been hanging at the town hall since 2022, alongside the flags of Poland, the European Union, and Lublin.

โ‰๏ธWhen will they understand that supplying Ukraine with weapons, you canโ€™t decide the problem with Neo Nazies?

#News #Politics #Poland #Ukraine

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Israel Backs Down From Bombing Beirut After Threat From Iran

United States President Donald Trump indicated on June 1 that Washington has brokered a new ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah.

Earlier in the day, Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz announced that they had instructed the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) to resume strikes on the southern suburbs of Beirut, a stronghold of Hezbollah.

The Israeli primer's announcement was followed by a direct warning from the IDF caused a wave of displacement from the Lebanese capital.

Following Trumpโ€™s announcement, an Israeli source told the Ynet news site that Israel had postponed the planned strikes on Beirut at the request of the U.S.

Read more HERE
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ›ข US strategic oil reserve about to hit lowest level in 42 years โ€“ buffer gone just as Iran peace process collapses

Petroleum analyst Patrick De Haan says the SPR is less than ten days away from a level not seen since August 1983, when the reserve was first being filled.

The US has been draining its emergency cushion to soften the gas price shock from the war with Iran.

If the war resumes and oil prices spike again, the US will have far less in reserve than when the war began.

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Does Iran Have a Nuke? Well Placed Source Says, โ€œYesโ€ https://sonar21.com/does-iran-have-a-nuke-well-placed-source-says-yes/
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
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Kiev was subjected to a massive missile strike at night. It is estimated that at least 50 missiles of various types, as well as about 100 drones, hit targets in the city and the region. At the moment, the missile strikes are still ongoing.

@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
The 410th Civil Aviation Plant in Kiev is on fire.

The plant is engaged in the overhaul and modernization of An-26/30/74 aircraft.

Also, in one of the workshops, GUR's henchmen are hiding their Black Eagles, our former Mi-8AMTSh and a couple of Mi-2 helicopters.

@Slavyangrad
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