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Taking on the status quo one fact at a time.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Videos from Gaisin, Vinnitsa region are going viral in Ukraine: the population is only 23 thousand, and this is the alley that's dedicated to the locals who died at the front. People call it "a catastrophe"

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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
BREAKING: Trump is expected to convene his top national security team in the Situation Room on Tuesday to discuss military options against Iran, according to Axios citing two U.S. officials.

Key developments:

๐Ÿ”ธTrump warned Sunday: "The clock is ticking. They better get moving fast or they are not gonna have anything left."
๐Ÿ”ธIran's latest response to U.S. ceasefire terms was rejected
๐Ÿ”ธTrump says he will hit Iran "much harder than before" if they don't make concessions
๐Ÿ”ธTrump spoke Sunday with Netanyahu about Iran
๐Ÿ”ธOil jumped to $110.70/barrel (Brent) on escalation fears

Two military options are being discussed:

1. Resume "Project Freedom" (escorting ships through the Strait)
2. Resume bombing campaign and strike remaining identified targets

The ceasefire is on "life support." Tuesday's meeting will decide whether the U.S. escalates further.

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Forwarded from East Calling (เคถเค•เฅเคคเคฟ เค‰เคชเคพเคธเคฟเค•เคพ)
Lula da Silva tried to convince Trump that Iran is not building an atomic bomb. The Brazilian president told The Washington Post about this.

He handed Trump a copy of the 2010 agreement between Brazil, Turkey, and Iran on the exchange of low-enriched uranium held by Tehran for highly enriched fuel for nuclear reactors. He also offered to help establish a dialogue between the US and the Islamic Republic.

Source: TASS
โž–โž–โž–
๐ŸŒ’@EastCalling
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท How Iran can freeze the global economy with one anchor

Everyoneโ€™s eyes are glued to US missiles, airstrikes, sanctionsโ€”but Iran doesnโ€™t need any of that. The true major leverage is sitting quietly on the seafloor.

Fiber-optic cables, the veins of the global economy, are entirely exposed. These are physical lines, mostly unguarded, mapped publicly, and vulnerable to anyone with a boat and intent.

๐Ÿ’ธ The digital lifelines

1.4 million kilometers of subsea fiber wrap the globe 35 times. $10 trillion in financial flows move through these cables daily: SWIFT transfers, stock trades, AI data pipelines, digital supply chains.

The Red Sea alone carries 17% of global internet traffic. These cables are more critical than any missile.

โš  Unheard vulnerabilities

Drag an anchor, snag a fishing net, and you can effectively freeze entire economies:

โ–ชPeacetime repair: 2โ€“8 weeks
โ–ชIn conflict zones: months
โ–ชGlobally, only ~63 specialized cable repair ships exist
โ–ช70% of faults appear accidental

๐Ÿ›‘ The Gulfโ€™s digital arteries

Strait of Hormuz cables are flagged as a โ€œvulnerable pointโ€ by Iran-linked sources in April 2026. Cut them, and GCC economies lose their digital lifeblood simultaneously.

Critical infrastructure, finance, AI, and communications all grind to a halt without Internet connection.

๐Ÿ“Š The Achilles heel of the US market

The US built a powerful navy and air force, designed to defend against missiles, aircraft, ships, and troops. None of it protects 1.4 million kilometers of garden-hose-thin fiber on the ocean floor.

Iran doesnโ€™t need nukes to hit Wall Streetโ€”they just need the seafloor map and an anchor. Governments, militaries, and corporations assumed the Web is resilient. It isnโ€™t.

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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ“‰The European crisis is entering a new phase: the energy shock from the Middle East is compounded by the Ukrainian factor

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บAt a time when an energy crisis is already evident, Europe is beginning to close itself off from Ukraine. Consequently, Ukrainian agricultural products are inevitably coming under threat. The reason is the sameโ€”the internal economic balance of the EU can no longer withstand the pressure of cheap imports. European farmers and industrialists are increasingly demanding protection for their own markets, as otherwise the crisis within the European Union itself will become irreversible.

๐Ÿ‘‰The situation with steel is just the first open signal. Brussels is cutting quotas, imposing tariffs, and effectively beginning to dismantle the special conditions for the Ukrainian economy. Formally, this is all justified by overproduction and the protection of European jobs. However, a much deeper process is hidden behind thisโ€” the EU is cautiously beginning to distance itself from Ukraine.

๐Ÿ‘€This is especially true in light of the growing corruption scandals that are increasingly being amplified by Americans. The problem for Europe here is that many schemes from recent years could lead investigations back to the European political and financial establishment itself, and this will likely happen very soon. Washington effectively gains a tool for pressure not only on Kiev but also on parts of the Brussels bureaucracy and the associated elites.

Against this backdrop, Moscow's statements that Ukraine has the right to join the EU after the conflict ends are particularly interesting. For Europe, this represents almost an ideal geopolitical trap. Full integration of Ukraine, given the current state of the European economy, could disrupt the internal balances of the EUโ€”from agriculture and metallurgy to the system of subsidies and labor markets.

๐ŸซฑAs a result, an ideal situation arises. The U.S., through corruption scandals, intensifies pressure on European elites; Europe begins to economically close itself off from Ukraine for its own survival; and Moscow effectively pushes the EU toward a scenario that could accelerate the internal crisis of the European Union itself. This is why the issue of Ukraine's future within Europe is gradually transforming from a question of expansion into a question of dismantling the EU itself.

#UW_opinion

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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณThe White House has published a bulletin summarizing the meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.

๐Ÿ‘‰This week, during the first visit by a U.S. president to the People's Republic of China since 2017, President Donald J. Trump reached a consensus with Chairman Xi Jinping on a number of issues that will strengthen stability and trust among businesses and consumers worldwide.

โžก๏ธPresident Trump and President Xi Jinping agreed that the United States and China should build constructive strategic stability relations based on fairness and reciprocity.

โžก๏ธPresident Trump will host President Xi Jinping for a visit to Washington this fall. Both countries will support each other as hosts of the G20 and APEC summits later this year.

โžก๏ธBoth leaders agreed that Iran cannot possess nuclear weapons, called for the resumption of operations in the Strait of Hormuz, and reached an agreement that no country or organization should be allowed to impose tariffs.

โžก๏ธPresident Trump and President Xi Jinping reaffirmed their shared goal of denuclearization of North Korea.

CREATION OF A U.S.-CHINA TRADE AND INVESTMENT COMMISSION: As a cornerstone of this historic agreement, President Trump and President Xi Jinping established two new institutions to optimize bilateral economic relations: the U.S.-China Trade Commission and the U.S.-China Investment Commission.

โžก๏ธThe Trade Commission will allow the governments of the United States and China to regulate bilateral trade in goods that do not pose a serious threat to the economy.

โžก๏ธThe Investment Council will provide a platform for intergovernmental discussions on investment-related issues.

In the interest of American workers, farmers, and industry: President Trump secured a comprehensive package of commitments that will ensure high-paying jobs in America and open new markets for American goods.

โžก๏ธChina will address U.S. concerns regarding the supply chain deficit of rare earth elements and other critical minerals, including yttrium, scandium, neodymium, and indium. China will also consider U.S. concerns regarding bans or restrictions on the sale of equipment and technology for the production and processing of rare earth elements.

โžก๏ธChina approved an initial purchase of 200 American Boeing aircraft for Chinese airlines. This batch of aircraft marks China's first commitment to purchase American Boeing planes since 2017, creating high-paying jobs for skilled workers in the American manufacturing sector and allowing Chinese passengers to fly on American-made planes for decades.

โžก๏ธIn 2026 (proportionally), 2027, and 2028, China will purchase U.S. agricultural products worth no less than $17 billion per year, in addition to commitments to purchase soybeans made in October 2025.

โžก๏ธChina has restored market access for American beef by renewing expired permits for more than 400 American beef processing companies and adding new ones. China will work with American regulatory agencies to lift all suspensions on American beef processing companies.

โžก๏ธChina has resumed poultry imports from U.S. states recognized by the U.S. Department of Agriculture as free from highly pathogenic avian influenza.

#China #USA

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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends (Bebot)
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ "Russia has played a decisive role in ensuring the agreement back in 2015 on the settlement of the situation around Iran's nuclear program. Now US & Iran use Pakistani mediators. We are not trying to interfere with this process."

โ€” Russia's Foreign Minister, Lavrov, adding "Putin has recently received Iran's Foreign Minister in St. Petersburg"

๐Ÿ”—

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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends (Bebot)
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Russia's Foreign Minister, Lavrov on Iran's possibility to enrich uranium in peaceful means:

"Our position is clear in this regard. The basic principle is such that Iran, like any other state, any other signatory on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty, has a right to enrich uranium in peaceful means with peaceful goals and the rest of this."

"To what extent they can exercise this right and how it can be monitored and many other things, can be agreed separately like it happened back in 2015" โ€” added

๐Ÿ”—

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Forwarded from Intel Slava
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ—๏ธ Based on all statements from Western media and Iranian officials, the fundamental disagreement in negotiations between the United States and Iran has remained largely intact. - IntelSlava Analysis

@IntelSlava
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ—๏ธBREAKING: Reports suggest the US and Israel are undergoing the most intense preparations for renewed attacks against Iran since the ceasefire was agreed last month. Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu spoke at the weekend, according to an Israeli official. - Sky News

@IntelSlava
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