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Taking on the status quo one fact at a time.
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Forwarded from ResistanceTrench (Dew)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The CBS correspondent says that the other KC-135 aircraft "came under hostile fire, but it landed in Israel."

She later deleted her tweet.
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Should Iran Build a Nukeโ€ฆ Game Theory Says Yes https://sonar21.com/should-iran-build-a-nuke-game-theory-says-yes/
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - WAR IN IRAN | MARCH 12th, DAY 13 RECAP:

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช - UKMTO reported that a Japanese container ship 35 nautical miles north of Jebel Ali, United Arab Emirates, was struck by a projectile, and a fire started on board. The crew was reported safe.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ - Iran struck Bahrain International Airport.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - The U.S. and Israel continued strikes in Tehran and western Iran.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ - Damage was reported at Kuwait International Airport after an Iranian attack, according to AFP.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - The U.S. Navy told the shipping industry that military escorts in the Strait of Hormuz were not possible for now, according to Reuters. The Pentagon and National Security Council reportedly โ€œsignificantly underestimated Iranโ€™s willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz,โ€ according to CNN.

๐Ÿ›ข - The IEA estimated that Gulf countries reduced their oil production by at least 10 million barrels per day.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - 3.2 million people were internally displaced in Iran, the United Nations Refugee Agency reported.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - โ€œWe will obtain compensation from the enemy. If they refuse, we will take their assets to the extent we deem appropriate, and if that is not possible, we will destroy an equivalent amount of their property,โ€ said Mojtaba Khamenei, Iranโ€™s new Supreme Leader, in his first public statement.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - โ€œThe Strait of Hormuz must remain closed,โ€ said Mojtaba Khamenei, Iranโ€™s new Supreme Leader, in his first public statement.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - โ€œDiscussions were ongoing regarding the opening of other fronts in areas where the enemy has little experience and is highly vulnerable,โ€ said Mojtaba Khamenei.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Overnight, an Italian military base in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, was attacked by drones.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - A washing machine malfunctioned on the USS Gerald R. Ford, causing a small fire and lightly injuring two U.S. servicemen in the main laundry room, according to CENTCOM.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ›ข - TotalEnergies suspended 15% of its oil and gas production worldwide, effective immediately.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - A mass shooting occurred at Temple Israel Synagogue in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.

๐Ÿ›ข - Brent crude closed above $100 per barrel for the first time since 2022.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - With Trumpโ€™s blessing, Netanyahu considered withdrawing from the historic Lebanonโ€“Israel maritime border agreement.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ - The French base in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, was struck by multiple suicide drones. One French soldier was killed and seven were wounded.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ - A U.S. KC-135 refueling aircraft crashed in western Iraq. Rescue operations were underway, and Iraqi groups claimed they struck the aircraft with an anti-aircraft missile.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - 19 U.S. servicemembers were evacuated today from Saudi Arabia to Germany after being wounded in Iranian attacks, according to CBS News.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The U.S. fired on an Iranian vessel that sailed too close to the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier. The vessel was hit with two Hellfire missiles from a U.S. helicopter, and the status of the Iranian ship and crew was unknown, according to CBS News. The IRGC claims it was struck by drones and missiles.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The U.S. burned through โ€œyearsโ€ of critical munitions since the start of the war with Iran. Officials were especially worried about stocks of Tomahawk missiles, THAAD interceptors, and Patriot missiles. The military was expected to brief Congress on munitions expended in the coming days, according to the Financial Times.

Here's our recap from yesterday: https://x.com/officialrnintel/status/2031934772386189444?s=20
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Forwarded from Mario Nawfal
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Jesse Watters: โ€œUS intelligence believe the Iranians squirreled away whatโ€™s left of their uranium into whatโ€™s known as Pickaxe Mountain, a nearly impenetrable bunker buried deep in granite where evil scientists have been working around the clock, cobbling back together a program that was obliterated during Operation Midnight Hammer. The bunker busters might not be able to do the trick. Reports say special forces might have to be inserted to physically shut it down on the ground...Both sides waiting to see who blinks first. So far, the President says in a way, weโ€™ve already won.โ€
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Forwarded from Levan Gudadze-Opinion
A U.S. Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial refueling tanker went down in western Iraq with a crew of six, according to CBS. The Pentagon confirms.

'Another KC-135 was hit but landed in Israel.'

Several sources report that the crew of the downed tanker was killed.
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทโšก๏ธMacron confirmed the drone attack on a French military base in Iraq and reported that one soldier was killed.
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ›ขThe closure of the Strait of Hormuz for 3 months will lead to an increase in the price of Brent oil to $164 per barrel, Bloomberg predicts.

Recall, today the price stabilized at around $100.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Iraqis are RUTHLESS: "Bahrain, it belonged to Iran, it goes to Iran. Kuwait goes to Iraq. The Emirates return to Oman, return to its origins. Saudi Arabia might take Qatar as well."

Iraqi TV analysts discuss the redrawing of the Gulf map if the war continues.

"Kuwait is not a state. Neither is Qatar a state." ๐Ÿคฃ

If Bahrain's 27km bridge to Saudi Arabia is hit, the Gulf Shield can't reach them. Iranian missile boats are 200km away. Bahrain has a Shia majority with grievances against the regime. "What remains of the state?"

On the UAE: "Ten million foreigners and 750,000 Emiratis." They pay expats $50 each to fill football stadiums "because they have no people." ๐Ÿคฃ

Love these people.

๐Ÿ”ด @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising
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Forwarded from The Cradle
โ—๏ธPalestinians wounded by Israeli attacks held a protest at the Martyrs of Al-Aqsa Hospital square in Deir al-Balah, central Gaza, demanding their right to seek outside medical care. Israel continues to besiege the Gaza Strip, routinely blocking Palestinians from traveling for essential medical care, even when they have proper documentation.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
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US Senators Hollen and Warren are demanding Hegseth's resignation.

"He must be fired immediately. And here's why."

"The preliminary investigation has been released, according to which the US military likely bombed a girls' school, killing 175 people, mostly young girls between the ages of 7 and 14.

"There was already the Signalgate scandal, where he put our troops at risk. There was the time he blew up boats in the Caribbean. There were cases where defenseless swimmers were targeted."

"Yes, exactlyโ€”without any accountability."

"He has no idea what he's doing in this war with Iran."

@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
The US has partially waived sanctions on Russian oil sales.

The US Treasury has issued a license allowing for the completion of deliveries of Russian oil and petroleum products loaded onto vessels as of March 12, 2026.

The document authorizes operations related to the sale, delivery, and unloading of such fuel until April 11, 2026.

The license specifies that the authorization also covers related services: vessel management, insurance, bunkering, registration, pilotage, and other operations necessary for the delivery and unloading of cargo.

@Slavyangrad
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US central Command is lying. The KC 135 was actually shot down by a surface air missile. It was not an accident.
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Forwarded from Analyst Intel (M)
๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ A large fire in an Israeli factory; as a result of the Iranian bombing, in the midst of occupied Palestine.
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The building that appears in the scenes is located in the industrial area east of the "Holon" settlement, which is south of Tel Aviv, within the coordinates
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (George Walker)
๐Ÿ›ข Crude oil futures separate from reality as Asia physical market buckles

Crude oil futures prices are reflecting a view that the market can successfully navigate the Iran war, while prices for physical cargoes and refined products are signalling an imminent crisis.

Only one of these โ€‹price signals is correct - and it's not what is happening in the paper oil market.

Global benchmark Brent crude futures ended at $91.98 a barrel on Wednesday, โ€Œup 4.8% from the prior close but still down from the brief spike on March 9 that saw them reach $119.50, the highest in nearly four years.

In the physical market, the premium for a physical cargo of Middle East benchmark Dubai crude over its paper equivalent rose to almost $38 a barrel on Wednesday, the highest since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

Paper oil traders seem to believe the rhetoric from U.S. President Donald โ€‹Trump and some in his administration that the campaign against Iran is going well and there is no real threat to oil and product shipments through the โ€‹Strait of Hormuz.

They also appear to believe that the International Energy Agency's release of a record 400 million barrels of crude from stockpiles โ will help solve some of the supply disruptions.

However, the current issues can't be solved by comments from political leaders that appear untethered from the reality on the ground, as well as โ€‹a stockpile release that will probably not put enough oil in Asia, where it is needed.

While the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively blocked, the situation can only get worse and โ€‹the pace at which it does so will start to accelerate.

The premium for a barrel of cash Dubai crude over paper swaps jumped $4.17 to $37.87 on Wednesday, a level not seen since the โ€‹Russian invasion of Ukraine, an event that also led to fears of oil shortages as Western buyers stopped buying Moscow's crude.

The difference between the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the current conflict in Iran is โ€Œthat in โ 2022, there was no real loss of supply of crude, merely a reshuffling of flows as Russian oil was re-routed to China and India.

๐Ÿ”— https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/crude-oil-futures-separate-reality-asia-physical-market-buckles-2026-03-12/
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Is Netanyahu dead?
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Forwarded from The Cradle
โ—๏ธIsrael's Channel 12 reports joint missile strikes carried out by Iran and Hezbollah.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
BREAKING | According to the Wall Street Journal: At least five US Air Force refueling aircraft were damaged on the ground at Prince Sultan air base in Saudi Arabia during an Iranian missile strike, according to two US officials.

The planes were damaged but not destroyed and are being repaired, with no casualties reported, bringing the total number of US refueling aircraft damaged or destroyed to at least seven.

US Central Command declined to comment.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
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โ—๏ธAl-Manar correspondent in south Lebanon:

"A guided missile struck an Israeli army vehicle in the eastern neighborhood of Khiam, setting it on fire. Several vehicles were seen withdrawing toward Wadi Khiam following the strike."
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