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🇺🇸 Deep divisions shadow US military action in Iran

Americans are divided along party lines on US military action against Iran, according to polls conducted since the war began, with most polls showing opposition is higher than support.

Here's what you need to know:

🌏 Many Americans worry the action is making the US "less safe," even as they view Iran as a threat. For Trump, warning signs are flashing: a prolonged conflict could bring economic pain

🌏 Gas prices are already on voters' minds. A weekend poll found roughly 7 in 10 registered voters fear the conflict will drive up fuel costs. Most expect the fighting to last months or longer

🌏 A new poll shows 53% of registered voters oppose US military action in Iran. Just 4 in 10 support it. About 1 in 10 are undecided. Most voters say the administration hasn't clearly explained why the US struck

🌏 And many question whether Iran truly posed an "imminent threat" — as the White House claims. In Quinnipiac's poll, 55% said Iran did not pose an imminent threat before the attacks

🌏 As oil prices swing, most voters are worried. In the poll, roughly three-quarters said they're at least "somewhat concerned" about rising fuel costs. That includes about half of Republicans

🌏 After the deaths of seven US service members opposition to a ground invasion is overwhelming

🌏 Three-quarters of voters in the poll oppose sending troops into Iran. Even among Republicans, opposition leads 52% to 37%

🌏 The administration hasn't ruled it out. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth called it "foolishness" to telegraph limits publicly

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime
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💸 Global financial shock round corner? Iran threatens to hit US & Israeli bankers hard

Iran has threatened strikes on US- and Israeli-linked economic centers and banks across the Middle East after an attack on an Iranian lender.

Why should this threat scare the globalist fat cats?


🔶 Administrative building linked to Bank Sepah, one of Iran’s largest public banks, was hit overnight in Tehran

🔶 Iran’s vow of a reciprocal strike puts the US, Israel, and global markets at risk

The Middle East financial ecosystem is broadly seen as:

Tier 1 (global reach)

📌 Dubai, UAE

Tier 2 (rapidly rising)

📌 Abu Dhabi, UAE
📌 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Tier 3 (niche financial centers)

📌 Doha, Qatar
📌 Manama, Bahrain
📌 Tel Aviv, Israel

US‑ and Israeli‑linked financial institutions are predominantly concentrated in the UAE—Dubai and Abu Dhabi.

US banks with global outreach in the UAE


➡️ JPMorgan Chase
➡️ Goldman Sachs
➡️ Citigroup
➡️ Bank of America
➡️ Morgan Stanley

Dubai: Top global financial hub

🔶 Dubai is one of the top 20 global financial centers

🔶 Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) is a 110-hectare financial hub that serves companies across the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia

👉 Dubai is now home to 237 centimillionaires & 20 billionaires. Total millionaire population = 81K+

👉 Top 120 families in the DIFC manage over $1.2 trillion combined

Fallout from potential Iranian strikes

🔶 Dubai under pressure: Already sustaining damage as a financial safe haven; the mega-rich are fleeing the unsafe zone, CNBC reports

🔶 Global hub at risk: Even before the DIFC becomes a target, Dubai could lose its role as a major financial center permanently

🔶 US banks in turmoil: Disruptions at global banks operating in the DIFC could trigger:

➡️ Market panic
➡️ Plummeting banking stocks
➡️ Massive capital outflows
➡️ Serious reputational damage to the US-centered financial system

🔶 Israel’s economy hit hard: Air war with Iran could cost $2.93 billion per week; attacks on Israeli banks would further weaken the economy, push the shekel down, and risk a domestic financial crisis

🔶 Gulf economy hit hard: Coupled with the closed Hormuz Strait, the fallout of attacks on the banking sector could shatter local currencies and send regional GDPs down

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime
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🇵🇰🤝🇸🇦 Pakistan–Saudi defenсe deal: What if Islamabad joins the Middle East conflict?

As Middle East tensions explode following Iranian retaliatory strikes on US bases in Gulf states, Pakistan finds itself trapped between two powerful Islamic states—Iran and Saudi Arabia.

Deputy PM Ishaq Dar has condemned attacks on both sides and called for dialogue under international law, signaling Islamabad’s tightrope act of maintaining diplomatic balance.

Yet Pakistan has publicly reaffirmed its 2025 Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement with Saudi Arabia. Officials hint at readiness—but any move toward war would be fraught with danger.

Strategic alliance & military value

Pakistan fields one of the largest armed forces in the Muslim world: 650,000 active troops, advanced air capabilities, and an estimated 170 nuclear warheads.

In a Saudi–Iran escalation, Pakistan could offer air-defence support, trained pilots for Saudi aircraft, intelligence sharing, and protection for key Saudi military bases.

🤔 Decades of security cooperation strengthen this possibility. Pakistani forces have long trained Saudi troops, and the Saudi-led Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition (2015) is headed by former Pakistani Army Chief General Raheel Sharif.

While ties run deep, any involvement in the conflict would carry serious military, political, economic, and regional risks.

Current signals suggest that any Pakistani involvement would likely be calibrated and limited rather than a full-scale military deployment.

⚠️ Domestic powder keg & border flashpoints

Domestic realities present a serious constraint. Pakistan’s large Shia population—estimated at around 40 million—could become a flashpoint if the country openly aligns against Iran.

🔥 Past incidents show how quickly sectarian tensions can escalate into protests and violence.

Shared Baloch populations along the Iran–Pakistan border present another vulnerability, as militant groups could exploit instability.

At the same time, Pakistan’s military is already stretched managing security challenges along the Afghan frontier.

💰 Economic lifeline vs. strategic overstretch

Saudi Arabia’s decision to continue oil shipments through the Red Sea provides critical relief for Pakistan’s fragile economy.

🛢 A blocked Strait of Hormuz would trigger a severe fuel crisis, with Pakistan importing roughly 80% of its energy from the Gulf.

Yet militarily, Pakistan cannot afford a two-front stretch while keeping India on its eastern border in check.

🇨🇳 Chinese factor & likely scenario

China remains a key strategic wildcard. As Pakistan’s closest partner under China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), and an major economic partner of Iran, Beijing is unlikely to support moves that destabilise regional investments such as CPEC.

👁‍🗨 As a result, Pakistan will likely limit its role to intelligence sharing, naval escorts like Operation Muhafiz-ul-Bahr, and technical defence support.

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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🛢📈Reuters: Brent crude futures rise 9% to $100.38 per barrel.

🔴 @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising
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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - WAR IN IRAN | MARCH 11th, DAY 12 RECAP:

🇮🇷🇴🇲🇦🇪 - UKMTO reports two vessels have been attacked with projectiles minutes apart. One vessel, 11 nautical miles off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz, has been struck, and the crew was evacuated. The second vessel was hit 50 nautical miles northwest of Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

🇦🇪🇮🇷 - Two Iranian drones made impact near Dubai International Airport, with four injuries reported.

🇮🇷🇨🇳 - Iran has shipped 11–12 million barrels of crude to China through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the U.S. military operation in Iran, CNBC reports.

🇩🇪🛢 - Germany announced it will partially release its strategic oil reserves to offset the rise in oil prices.

🇯🇵🛢 - Japan has also announced it will take similar measures by releasing 15 days' worth of private-sector oil reserves and one month's worth of state oil reserves.

🛢 - The International Energy Agency has decided to release 400 million barrels from its strategic reserves.

🇪🇸🇮🇱 - Spain has reduced its relations with Israel, recalling its ambassador. Spain's embassy in Tel Aviv will instead be run by a Chargé d’Affaires.

🇨🇭🇺🇸🇮🇷 - Switzerland has closed its embassy in Tehran but is "maintaining an open communication line between Iran and the United States."

🇴🇲🇮🇷 - Oman has reported a direct drone hit on fuel tanks.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇷🇺 - "Russia is giving Iran advice on using its one-way drones based on tactics Moscow learned from the war in Ukraine. The help includes evading air defenses and strategies for coordinating combined strikes," CNN reports, citing a Western intelligence source.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - A preliminary U.S. military investigation found that a U.S. Tomahawk missile mistook an Iranian girls' school in Minab for an Iranian naval base.

🇺🇸🇮🇶🇮🇱 - U.S./Israeli airstrikes targeted the Iran-backed Popular Mobilization Forces in Mosul, Iraq.

🇺🇸🇦🇪🇮🇷 - Deloitte, PwC, and Citi are closing and evacuating their offices in Dubai following threats from Iran against U.S. firms in the Gulf.

🇮🇷 - Iran exports more oil through the Strait of Hormuz now than it did before the start of the U.S. military operation in the region, Kpler reports.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - Iranian hackers claimed responsibility after a major cyberattack hit Stryker, a U.S. medical equipment company.

🇺🇸🇳🇴🇮🇶 - Three brothers of Iraqi origin have been arrested following the security incident at the U.S. Embassy in Oslo, Norway.

🇮🇷 - Iran has laid a dozen mines in the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reports.

🇺🇸🇷🇴 - Romania has authorized the use of its airbases for U.S. refueling planes.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - The FBI warned police departments across California that Iran could retaliate for American attacks by launching drones at the West Coast, ABC News reports.

🇱🇧🇮🇷🇮🇱 - Hezbollah launched over 100 rockets at Israel in one barrage and carried out multiple barrages throughout the day, by far the most since the start of the war. Multiple joint Hezbollah–Iran attacks on Israel were reported.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - The Iranian drone strike in Kuwait on March 1st caused more damage than initially thought. Dozens of U.S. servicemen suffered serious injuries, including shrapnel wounds and brain trauma, according to CBS News.

🇮🇷🇮🇶 - Two oil tankers, not one, were targeted off the coast of Basrah, southern Iraq, by Iranian suicide boats. One was a U.S. oil tanker; one person was killed and 39 were rescued.

🇮🇷🇦🇪 - An Iranian drone directly struck a high-rise building in Dubai, UAE, in a possible assassination strike.

🇺🇸🛢 - President Trump has ordered the direct release of 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

🇮🇷🇦🇪 - A direct impact was reported near Dubai International Airport.

🇱🇧🇮🇱 - Israel struck Ramlet al-Baida in Beirut. Lebanese media report 10 deaths, all civilians.

🇺🇸🇮🇶 - Iraqi outlet Sabereen reports three deaths among pro-Iranian Iraqi militia groups in Kirkuk, Iraq.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - “The Pentagon tells Congress the first week of the Iran war cost the U.S. $11.3 billion,” an AP source says.

Here's our recap from yesterday: https://x.com/officialrnintel/status/2031572760074530859?s=20
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Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
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🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Hezbollah launches rockets to northern and central Israel.
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Cartoon by Nemo
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Forwarded from Levan Gudadze-Opinion
The New York Post: "Iron Dome" failed the test

The Israeli air defense system "Iron Dome" failed to withstand a massive attack by the Hezbollah movement.

“Hezbollah launched 100 missiles at Israel, overwhelming the much-touted Iron Dome system to the point that only half of them were shot down,” a source in the IDF said.

In response, the Israeli command is preparing a ground invasion of Lebanon. A military representative confirmed that strikes on Hezbollah's launch pads and infrastructure are already being carried out, but the situation remains extremely tense.

“The IDF will not tolerate any harm to Israeli civilians and will respond decisively to any threat to the State of Israel,” an official representative of the Israel Defense Forces said.

An Israeli official called Hezbollah's attack a "suicide mission", as they understood that a retaliatory strike would follow.

Analysts note that the Houthis in Yemen have not yet entered the war, but are "keeping their fingers on the trigger". This causes concern among Israelis that the group is gathering forces for an even more powerful strike.

“Containing the Houthis has been a surprise to those who view them as mere Iranian proxies. Both of these characterizations are simplistic — the Houthis are a highly adaptable group with both regional and unresolved internal agendas,” the Atlantic Council's analytical note says.

The Israeli air defense system, which has been advertised for years as one of the best in the world, has failed seriously. Hezbollah has demonstrated that it is capable of delivering painful strikes, and the US and Israel, mired in the Iranian campaign, risk opening new fronts for which they are clearly unprepared.
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
🇮🇷🇦🇪🇧🇭The IRGC attacked an oil field in Fujairah and an industrial zone in Sharjah, which are part of the UAE.

The Iranians also attacked fuel tanks in the Muharraq province, according to the Bahraini Interior Ministry.

Additionally, it is reported that a container ship was attacked 60 km from Dubai.
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🚨🇮🇷US fear of stronger rival: How Iran was meant to become Eurasia’s trade hub

For centuries, Iran has sat at the crossroads of civilisation. The Silk Road threaded through its cities. Caravans carried goods from China to the Mediterranean across its plateaus. Geography alone made Iran a linchpin of global commerce.

By the 2020s, it was poised to become a multi-modal transport hub, linking land, air, and sea routes between Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.

Here’s how that vision was meant to unfold: 👇

1️⃣ International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC)

The crown jewel was the INSTC: a 7,200-km network connecting India’s Mumbai to Russia’s St. Petersburg, with Iran at its centre.

🔺40% faster cargo transit than the Suez Canal.
🔺30 million tons of goods projected annually by 2030.
🔺$1.5 billion in annual transit revenue for Iran.

In November 2025, Iran, Azerbaijan, and Russia signed a deal to complete the Rasht-Astara railway, cutting transit time to Russia by 40%.

The corridor links the Persian Gulf, the Caspian Sea, and Eurasian markets. Indian goods would reach Central Asia faster, while Iranian exports gained swifter access to Russia and Europe.

2️⃣ China–Europe Railway

In 2024, Iran, China, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and Turkey designated Iran the “Golden Gate” for rail transit between China and Europe.

🔺60 million tons of goods annually via Iran’s southern rail route.
🔺20,000 container trains moving through the corridor in 2024.

Unified tariffs, faster transit, and lower customs costs.

Three of six main Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) land routes pass through Eurasia. The southern branch crosses Iran, linking China and Central Asia to Turkey and Europe. The new rail link, opened in 2025, cuts transport time by 30 days compared with sea.

3️⃣ India’s maritime gateway to Central Asia

On May 2024, India signed a 10-year deal to develop the Shahid Beheshti terminal at Chabahar port in southeastern Iran.

🔺$120 million initial investment from Indian Ports Global.
🔺$250 million credit facility.
🔺Just over 100 miles from Pakistan’s Gwadar Port.

Chabahar is the only Iranian port with direct open-ocean access, avoiding Strait of Hormuz chokepoints. It feeds directly into the INSTC, creating a seamless route to Central Asia.

4️⃣ Opening Afghanistan

The Khaf-Herat railway links Iran with Afghanistan, granting landlocked Afghanistan access to global markets. It connects to:

🔺Turkmenistan and Central Asia via Sarakhs.
🔺The Caucasus via Azerbaijan.
🔺Turkey and Europe via the southern BRI branch.

In July 2025, Beijing signed a contract to electrify the 1,000-km Sarakhs-Razi railway, connecting Turkmenistan to Turkey through Iran. It promised “the safest and most economical link” between China and Europe.

5️⃣ The Strait of Hormuz

Iran’s position on the Persian Gulf grants control over one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. By 2025, 30% of global seaborne crude oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz daily.

Plans included:

🔺A 185-km underwater tunnel linking Iran and Qatar.
🔺Logistics hubs along the Makran coast.

By 2026, railways were already cutting 30 days off sea routes, Chabahar was ready to channel Indian goods into Central Asia, and the INSTC was poised to divert Eurasian trade away from the Suez Canal.

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❗️Tel Aviv, Israel right now...

@AussieCossack
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❗️Apocalyptic scenes as Iran's ally Hesbollah launches one hundred missiles at Israel!

@AussieCossack
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Donald Trump’s War on Iran is Turning into a Debacle https://sonar21.com/donald-trumps-war-on-iran-is-turning-into-a-debacle/
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