Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷🇴🇲⚡- Port of Salalah, Oman, still burns, several hours after the Iranian attack.
Footage also shows the moment of the Iranian arrival striking a fuel depot at the port.
Footage also shows the moment of the Iranian arrival striking a fuel depot at the port.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
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Starmer refused to publicly condemn the US for the killing of Iranian children.
"I have a specific question. He, like me, saw the same footage of an American Tomahawk missile hitting a primary school, killing 110 children. Does he consider that a war crime?"
"We're all concerned about this footage, but let me be absolutely clear. There are 300,000 British citizens in the region, including Scots. The region is being hit by airstrikes, missiles, and drones, putting them at grave risk. We are taking action to protect them. I'm astonished that the Scottish National Party is saying, 'No action is needed to support Scottish citizens in the region.' That's outrageous."
@Slavyangrad
"I have a specific question. He, like me, saw the same footage of an American Tomahawk missile hitting a primary school, killing 110 children. Does he consider that a war crime?"
"We're all concerned about this footage, but let me be absolutely clear. There are 300,000 British citizens in the region, including Scots. The region is being hit by airstrikes, missiles, and drones, putting them at grave risk. We are taking action to protect them. I'm astonished that the Scottish National Party is saying, 'No action is needed to support Scottish citizens in the region.' That's outrageous."
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
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"We did a little excursion... Prices are coming down substantially, oil will be coming down," he told reporters.
Meanwhile, WTI crude prices:
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Forwarded from Grandmasters of Geopolitics
🚨🇨🇳 🇺🇸 The siege of dragon: How US uses war on 🇮🇷 Iran to cut China off
For decades, China has lived under a single strategic nightmare — the Malacca Dilemma — 80% of its energy imports pass through this narrow strait, a chokepoint the US Navy could, in a crisis, simply shut down.
To survive, China built a landward fortress. Hundreds of billions poured into the Belt and Road Initiative—railways, pipelines, and ports designed to create an overland escape route from Western maritime pressure. At the heart of that fortress lies Iran.
And now, as American and Israeli strikes rain down on the Islamic Republic, Beijing watches its entire Eurasian strategy come under siege.
🚨 China's landward strategy cornerstone
▪️Iran is not just another trading partner for China. The country sits at the crossroads of Central Asia, South Asia, and the Middle East—a natural bridge linking Russia, India, and Europe.
▪️Chinese companies have spent two decades embedding themselves into Iran's infrastructure. They built the railway from Tehran to Hamadan, modernised the ports of Chabahar and Bandar Abbas, and developed the Azadegan and Yadavaran oil fields.
▪️In July 2025, Beijing signed a contract to electrify the 1,000 km Sarakhs-Razi railway, connecting the Turkmen border to Turkey — a route Tehran calls “the safest and most economical link” between China and Europe.
▪️Through Iran, China planned to bypass the Malacca Strait and secure energy supplies beyond US naval reach. However, now the US seeks to strangle that route.
🔨 Energy on edge
▪️China is the world’s largest crude oil importer. Iran, its second-largest supplier after Saudi Arabia, accounts for roughly 13% of China’s seaborne oil imports, much of it at discounted prices sustaining China’s manufacturing economy.
▪️Almost all of Iran’s exported oil goes to China. Venezuela, another sanctioned state, sends over half its exports to Beijing. Together, Iran and Venezuela supply around 17% of China’s total crude.
▪️Over half of China’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, now at the centre of the crisis. After recent strikes, vessels began avoiding the strait and crude prices surged over 12%. Qatar, producing a fifth of global LNG, temporarily halted output at Ras Laffan after an Iranian drone strike.
▪️China holds strategic reserves—roughly 60–90 days of consumption, according to Western sources. Enough to weather an immediate shock, but insufficient for long-term stability.
👺 Washington's "Go game"
▪️The US is no longer playing Western-style chess, where the aim is to capture the king. Instead, it has adopted the logic of ancient Chinese Go (weiqi). In Go, the objective is not to destroy pieces but to surround territory and control key nodes.
▪️Washington does not seem to seek Iran’s collapse. It learned from Iraq and Libya that failed states in the heart of Eurasia become geopolitical black holes, wrecking the very transit routes Washington might wish to use. The goal is strategic disciplining.
▪️The US aims for a “cooperative Iran”—a state forced to decouple from China and become a predictable, manageable partner of the West. A regime that remains in power but stripped of its regional teeth and strategic dependence on Beijing.
👉 This explains why Donald Trump has expressed scepticism over Prince Reza Pahlavi’s ability to consolidate power: the US does not need a new government, only the current regime’s capitulation on favourable terms.
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For decades, China has lived under a single strategic nightmare — the Malacca Dilemma — 80% of its energy imports pass through this narrow strait, a chokepoint the US Navy could, in a crisis, simply shut down.
To survive, China built a landward fortress. Hundreds of billions poured into the Belt and Road Initiative—railways, pipelines, and ports designed to create an overland escape route from Western maritime pressure. At the heart of that fortress lies Iran.
And now, as American and Israeli strikes rain down on the Islamic Republic, Beijing watches its entire Eurasian strategy come under siege.
▪️Iran is not just another trading partner for China. The country sits at the crossroads of Central Asia, South Asia, and the Middle East—a natural bridge linking Russia, India, and Europe.
▪️Chinese companies have spent two decades embedding themselves into Iran's infrastructure. They built the railway from Tehran to Hamadan, modernised the ports of Chabahar and Bandar Abbas, and developed the Azadegan and Yadavaran oil fields.
▪️In July 2025, Beijing signed a contract to electrify the 1,000 km Sarakhs-Razi railway, connecting the Turkmen border to Turkey — a route Tehran calls “the safest and most economical link” between China and Europe.
▪️Through Iran, China planned to bypass the Malacca Strait and secure energy supplies beyond US naval reach. However, now the US seeks to strangle that route.
▪️China is the world’s largest crude oil importer. Iran, its second-largest supplier after Saudi Arabia, accounts for roughly 13% of China’s seaborne oil imports, much of it at discounted prices sustaining China’s manufacturing economy.
▪️Almost all of Iran’s exported oil goes to China. Venezuela, another sanctioned state, sends over half its exports to Beijing. Together, Iran and Venezuela supply around 17% of China’s total crude.
▪️Over half of China’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, now at the centre of the crisis. After recent strikes, vessels began avoiding the strait and crude prices surged over 12%. Qatar, producing a fifth of global LNG, temporarily halted output at Ras Laffan after an Iranian drone strike.
▪️China holds strategic reserves—roughly 60–90 days of consumption, according to Western sources. Enough to weather an immediate shock, but insufficient for long-term stability.
▪️The US is no longer playing Western-style chess, where the aim is to capture the king. Instead, it has adopted the logic of ancient Chinese Go (weiqi). In Go, the objective is not to destroy pieces but to surround territory and control key nodes.
▪️Washington does not seem to seek Iran’s collapse. It learned from Iraq and Libya that failed states in the heart of Eurasia become geopolitical black holes, wrecking the very transit routes Washington might wish to use. The goal is strategic disciplining.
▪️The US aims for a “cooperative Iran”—a state forced to decouple from China and become a predictable, manageable partner of the West. A regime that remains in power but stripped of its regional teeth and strategic dependence on Beijing.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
🇺🇸 Deep divisions shadow US military action in Iran
Americans are divided along party lines on US military action against Iran, according to polls conducted since the war began, with most polls showing opposition is higher than support.
Here's what you need to know:
🌏 Many Americans worry the action is making the US "less safe," even as they view Iran as a threat. For Trump, warning signs are flashing: a prolonged conflict could bring economic pain
🌏 Gas prices are already on voters' minds. A weekend poll found roughly 7 in 10 registered voters fear the conflict will drive up fuel costs. Most expect the fighting to last months or longer
🌏 A new poll shows 53% of registered voters oppose US military action in Iran. Just 4 in 10 support it. About 1 in 10 are undecided. Most voters say the administration hasn't clearly explained why the US struck
🌏 And many question whether Iran truly posed an "imminent threat" — as the White House claims. In Quinnipiac's poll, 55% said Iran did not pose an imminent threat before the attacks
🌏 As oil prices swing, most voters are worried. In the poll, roughly three-quarters said they're at least "somewhat concerned" about rising fuel costs. That includes about half of Republicans
🌏 After the deaths of seven US service members opposition to a ground invasion is overwhelming
🌏 Three-quarters of voters in the poll oppose sending troops into Iran. Even among Republicans, opposition leads 52% to 37%
🌏 The administration hasn't ruled it out. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth called it "foolishness" to telegraph limits publicly
👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime
Americans are divided along party lines on US military action against Iran, according to polls conducted since the war began, with most polls showing opposition is higher than support.
Here's what you need to know:
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
💸 Global financial shock round corner? Iran threatens to hit US & Israeli bankers hard
Iran has threatened strikes on US- and Israeli-linked economic centers and banks across the Middle East after an attack on an Iranian lender.
Why should this threat scare the globalist fat cats?
🔶 Administrative building linked to Bank Sepah, one of Iran’s largest public banks, was hit overnight in Tehran
🔶 Iran’s vow of a reciprocal strike puts the US, Israel, and global markets at risk
The Middle East financial ecosystem is broadly seen as:
Tier 1 (global reach)
📌 Dubai, UAE
Tier 2 (rapidly rising)
📌 Abu Dhabi, UAE
📌 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Tier 3 (niche financial centers)
📌 Doha, Qatar
📌 Manama, Bahrain
📌 Tel Aviv, Israel
US‑ and Israeli‑linked financial institutions are predominantly concentrated in the UAE—Dubai and Abu Dhabi.
US banks with global outreach in the UAE
➡️ JPMorgan Chase
➡️ Goldman Sachs
➡️ Citigroup
➡️ Bank of America
➡️ Morgan Stanley
Dubai: Top global financial hub
🔶 Dubai is one of the top 20 global financial centers
🔶 Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) is a 110-hectare financial hub that serves companies across the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia
👉 Dubai is now home to 237 centimillionaires & 20 billionaires. Total millionaire population = 81K+
👉 Top 120 families in the DIFC manage over $1.2 trillion combined
Fallout from potential Iranian strikes
🔶 Dubai under pressure: Already sustaining damage as a financial safe haven; the mega-rich are fleeing the unsafe zone, CNBC reports
🔶 Global hub at risk: Even before the DIFC becomes a target, Dubai could lose its role as a major financial center permanently
🔶 US banks in turmoil: Disruptions at global banks operating in the DIFC could trigger:
➡️ Market panic
➡️ Plummeting banking stocks
➡️ Massive capital outflows
➡️ Serious reputational damage to the US-centered financial system
🔶 Israel’s economy hit hard: Air war with Iran could cost $2.93 billion per week; attacks on Israeli banks would further weaken the economy, push the shekel down, and risk a domestic financial crisis
🔶 Gulf economy hit hard: Coupled with the closed Hormuz Strait, the fallout of attacks on the banking sector could shatter local currencies and send regional GDPs down
👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime
Iran has threatened strikes on US- and Israeli-linked economic centers and banks across the Middle East after an attack on an Iranian lender.
Why should this threat scare the globalist fat cats?
The Middle East financial ecosystem is broadly seen as:
Tier 1 (global reach)
Tier 2 (rapidly rising)
Tier 3 (niche financial centers)
US‑ and Israeli‑linked financial institutions are predominantly concentrated in the UAE—Dubai and Abu Dhabi.
US banks with global outreach in the UAE
Dubai: Top global financial hub
Fallout from potential Iranian strikes
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Forwarded from Grandmasters of Geopolitics
As Middle East tensions explode following Iranian retaliatory strikes on US bases in Gulf states, Pakistan finds itself trapped between two powerful Islamic states—Iran and Saudi Arabia.
Deputy PM Ishaq Dar has condemned attacks on both sides and called for dialogue under international law, signaling Islamabad’s tightrope act of maintaining diplomatic balance.
Yet Pakistan has publicly reaffirmed its 2025 Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement with Saudi Arabia. Officials hint at readiness—but any move toward war would be fraught with danger.
Pakistan fields one of the largest armed forces in the Muslim world: 650,000 active troops, advanced air capabilities, and an estimated 170 nuclear warheads.
In a Saudi–Iran escalation, Pakistan could offer air-defence support, trained pilots for Saudi aircraft, intelligence sharing, and protection for key Saudi military bases.
While ties run deep, any involvement in the conflict would carry serious military, political, economic, and regional risks.
Current signals suggest that any Pakistani involvement would likely be calibrated and limited rather than a full-scale military deployment.
Domestic realities present a serious constraint. Pakistan’s large Shia population—estimated at around 40 million—could become a flashpoint if the country openly aligns against Iran.
Shared Baloch populations along the Iran–Pakistan border present another vulnerability, as militant groups could exploit instability.
At the same time, Pakistan’s military is already stretched managing security challenges along the Afghan frontier.
Saudi Arabia’s decision to continue oil shipments through the Red Sea provides critical relief for Pakistan’s fragile economy.
Yet militarily, Pakistan cannot afford a two-front stretch while keeping India on its eastern border in check.
China remains a key strategic wildcard. As Pakistan’s closest partner under China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), and an major economic partner of Iran, Beijing is unlikely to support moves that destabilise regional investments such as CPEC.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - WAR IN IRAN | MARCH 11th, DAY 12 RECAP:
🇮🇷🇴🇲🇦🇪 - UKMTO reports two vessels have been attacked with projectiles minutes apart. One vessel, 11 nautical miles off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz, has been struck, and the crew was evacuated. The second vessel was hit 50 nautical miles northwest of Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
🇦🇪🇮🇷 - Two Iranian drones made impact near Dubai International Airport, with four injuries reported.
🇮🇷🇨🇳 - Iran has shipped 11–12 million barrels of crude to China through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the U.S. military operation in Iran, CNBC reports.
🇩🇪🛢 - Germany announced it will partially release its strategic oil reserves to offset the rise in oil prices.
🇯🇵🛢 - Japan has also announced it will take similar measures by releasing 15 days' worth of private-sector oil reserves and one month's worth of state oil reserves.
🛢 - The International Energy Agency has decided to release 400 million barrels from its strategic reserves.
🇪🇸🇮🇱 - Spain has reduced its relations with Israel, recalling its ambassador. Spain's embassy in Tel Aviv will instead be run by a Chargé d’Affaires.
🇨🇭🇺🇸🇮🇷 - Switzerland has closed its embassy in Tehran but is "maintaining an open communication line between Iran and the United States."
🇴🇲🇮🇷 - Oman has reported a direct drone hit on fuel tanks.
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇷🇺 - "Russia is giving Iran advice on using its one-way drones based on tactics Moscow learned from the war in Ukraine. The help includes evading air defenses and strategies for coordinating combined strikes," CNN reports, citing a Western intelligence source.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 - A preliminary U.S. military investigation found that a U.S. Tomahawk missile mistook an Iranian girls' school in Minab for an Iranian naval base.
🇺🇸🇮🇶🇮🇱 - U.S./Israeli airstrikes targeted the Iran-backed Popular Mobilization Forces in Mosul, Iraq.
🇺🇸🇦🇪🇮🇷 - Deloitte, PwC, and Citi are closing and evacuating their offices in Dubai following threats from Iran against U.S. firms in the Gulf.
🇮🇷 - Iran exports more oil through the Strait of Hormuz now than it did before the start of the U.S. military operation in the region, Kpler reports.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 - Iranian hackers claimed responsibility after a major cyberattack hit Stryker, a U.S. medical equipment company.
🇺🇸🇳🇴🇮🇶 - Three brothers of Iraqi origin have been arrested following the security incident at the U.S. Embassy in Oslo, Norway.
🇮🇷 - Iran has laid a dozen mines in the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reports.
🇺🇸🇷🇴 - Romania has authorized the use of its airbases for U.S. refueling planes.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 - The FBI warned police departments across California that Iran could retaliate for American attacks by launching drones at the West Coast, ABC News reports.
🇱🇧🇮🇷🇮🇱 - Hezbollah launched over 100 rockets at Israel in one barrage and carried out multiple barrages throughout the day, by far the most since the start of the war. Multiple joint Hezbollah–Iran attacks on Israel were reported.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 - The Iranian drone strike in Kuwait on March 1st caused more damage than initially thought. Dozens of U.S. servicemen suffered serious injuries, including shrapnel wounds and brain trauma, according to CBS News.
🇮🇷🇮🇶 - Two oil tankers, not one, were targeted off the coast of Basrah, southern Iraq, by Iranian suicide boats. One was a U.S. oil tanker; one person was killed and 39 were rescued.
🇮🇷🇦🇪 - An Iranian drone directly struck a high-rise building in Dubai, UAE, in a possible assassination strike.
🇺🇸🛢 - President Trump has ordered the direct release of 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
🇮🇷🇦🇪 - A direct impact was reported near Dubai International Airport.
🇱🇧🇮🇱 - Israel struck Ramlet al-Baida in Beirut. Lebanese media report 10 deaths, all civilians.
🇺🇸🇮🇶 - Iraqi outlet Sabereen reports three deaths among pro-Iranian Iraqi militia groups in Kirkuk, Iraq.
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - “The Pentagon tells Congress the first week of the Iran war cost the U.S. $11.3 billion,” an AP source says.
Here's our recap from yesterday: https://x.com/officialrnintel/status/2031572760074530859?s=20
🇮🇷🇴🇲🇦🇪 - UKMTO reports two vessels have been attacked with projectiles minutes apart. One vessel, 11 nautical miles off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz, has been struck, and the crew was evacuated. The second vessel was hit 50 nautical miles northwest of Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
🇦🇪🇮🇷 - Two Iranian drones made impact near Dubai International Airport, with four injuries reported.
🇮🇷🇨🇳 - Iran has shipped 11–12 million barrels of crude to China through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the U.S. military operation in Iran, CNBC reports.
🇩🇪🛢 - Germany announced it will partially release its strategic oil reserves to offset the rise in oil prices.
🇯🇵🛢 - Japan has also announced it will take similar measures by releasing 15 days' worth of private-sector oil reserves and one month's worth of state oil reserves.
🛢 - The International Energy Agency has decided to release 400 million barrels from its strategic reserves.
🇪🇸🇮🇱 - Spain has reduced its relations with Israel, recalling its ambassador. Spain's embassy in Tel Aviv will instead be run by a Chargé d’Affaires.
🇨🇭🇺🇸🇮🇷 - Switzerland has closed its embassy in Tehran but is "maintaining an open communication line between Iran and the United States."
🇴🇲🇮🇷 - Oman has reported a direct drone hit on fuel tanks.
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇷🇺 - "Russia is giving Iran advice on using its one-way drones based on tactics Moscow learned from the war in Ukraine. The help includes evading air defenses and strategies for coordinating combined strikes," CNN reports, citing a Western intelligence source.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 - A preliminary U.S. military investigation found that a U.S. Tomahawk missile mistook an Iranian girls' school in Minab for an Iranian naval base.
🇺🇸🇮🇶🇮🇱 - U.S./Israeli airstrikes targeted the Iran-backed Popular Mobilization Forces in Mosul, Iraq.
🇺🇸🇦🇪🇮🇷 - Deloitte, PwC, and Citi are closing and evacuating their offices in Dubai following threats from Iran against U.S. firms in the Gulf.
🇮🇷 - Iran exports more oil through the Strait of Hormuz now than it did before the start of the U.S. military operation in the region, Kpler reports.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 - Iranian hackers claimed responsibility after a major cyberattack hit Stryker, a U.S. medical equipment company.
🇺🇸🇳🇴🇮🇶 - Three brothers of Iraqi origin have been arrested following the security incident at the U.S. Embassy in Oslo, Norway.
🇮🇷 - Iran has laid a dozen mines in the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reports.
🇺🇸🇷🇴 - Romania has authorized the use of its airbases for U.S. refueling planes.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 - The FBI warned police departments across California that Iran could retaliate for American attacks by launching drones at the West Coast, ABC News reports.
🇱🇧🇮🇷🇮🇱 - Hezbollah launched over 100 rockets at Israel in one barrage and carried out multiple barrages throughout the day, by far the most since the start of the war. Multiple joint Hezbollah–Iran attacks on Israel were reported.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 - The Iranian drone strike in Kuwait on March 1st caused more damage than initially thought. Dozens of U.S. servicemen suffered serious injuries, including shrapnel wounds and brain trauma, according to CBS News.
🇮🇷🇮🇶 - Two oil tankers, not one, were targeted off the coast of Basrah, southern Iraq, by Iranian suicide boats. One was a U.S. oil tanker; one person was killed and 39 were rescued.
🇮🇷🇦🇪 - An Iranian drone directly struck a high-rise building in Dubai, UAE, in a possible assassination strike.
🇺🇸🛢 - President Trump has ordered the direct release of 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
🇮🇷🇦🇪 - A direct impact was reported near Dubai International Airport.
🇱🇧🇮🇱 - Israel struck Ramlet al-Baida in Beirut. Lebanese media report 10 deaths, all civilians.
🇺🇸🇮🇶 - Iraqi outlet Sabereen reports three deaths among pro-Iranian Iraqi militia groups in Kirkuk, Iraq.
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - “The Pentagon tells Congress the first week of the Iran war cost the U.S. $11.3 billion,” an AP source says.
Here's our recap from yesterday: https://x.com/officialrnintel/status/2031572760074530859?s=20
X (formerly Twitter)
Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts (@officialrnintel) on X
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - WAR IN IRAN | MARCH 10th, DAY 11 RECAP:
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- "Negotiations with the United States are no longer on the agenda." - Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi.
🇮🇷🇦🇪🇴🇲⚡️- A vessel was targeted north of Abu Dhabi, UAE.
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡️- U.S. / Israel continue strikes;…
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- "Negotiations with the United States are no longer on the agenda." - Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi.
🇮🇷🇦🇪🇴🇲⚡️- A vessel was targeted north of Abu Dhabi, UAE.
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡️- U.S. / Israel continue strikes;…
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Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Hezbollah launches rockets to northern and central Israel.
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Forwarded from Lebanese News and Updates
Lebanese News and Updates
❗️In an unprecedented crime in Lebanon, the Israeli army drone strike many Lebanese refuge camps who were sleeping on the streets of Ramleh al-Baydeh on the Lebanese coastal area in Beirut
At least 16 civilians were murdered
At least 16 civilians were murdered
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A shocking shocking criminal act. Unprecedented
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