Sonar21
9.58K subscribers
10.6K photos
8.71K videos
15 files
9.94K links
Taking on the status quo one fact at a time.
Download Telegram
Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
โš ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทIran's Foreign Minister:

The branch of Iran's oldest bank was bombed when many employees were inside. The Iranian armed forces will compensate for the damage caused by this crime.

๐Ÿ”ด @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿคฌ80๐Ÿ™24๐Ÿ‘8๐Ÿ’”5โค2๐Ÿ˜ก2
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒโšก- Port of Salalah, Oman, still burns, several hours after the Iranian attack.

Footage also shows the moment of the Iranian arrival striking a fuel depot at the port.
๐Ÿ‘70๐Ÿ˜ฑ14โค8๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ‘Ž1
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Starmer refused to publicly condemn the US for the killing of Iranian children.

"I have a specific question. He, like me, saw the same footage of an American Tomahawk missile hitting a primary school, killing 110 children. Does he consider that a war crime?"

"We're all concerned about this footage, but let me be absolutely clear. There are 300,000 British citizens in the region, including Scots. The region is being hit by airstrikes, missiles, and drones, putting them at grave risk. We are taking action to protect them. I'm astonished that the Scottish National Party is saying, 'No action is needed to support Scottish citizens in the region.' That's outrageous."

@Slavyangrad
๐Ÿคฎ75๐Ÿ’ฉ38๐Ÿคฌ12๐Ÿ–•9๐Ÿคช6โค3๐Ÿคก2
๐Ÿšจ Iranian missile hits Haifa after Iron Dome failed to intercept it

๐Ÿ‘ US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค50๐Ÿ”ฅ30๐Ÿ‘12๐Ÿพ6
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿคก Trump says oil will be coming down โ€” oil spikes in 3 hours

"We did a little excursion... Prices are coming down substantially, oil will be coming down," he told reporters.


Meanwhile, WTI crude prices:
๐ŸŒ 16:46 EST: $87.25
๐ŸŒ 19:48 EST: $92.95

๐Ÿ‘ US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿคก64๐Ÿฅด30๐Ÿ–•7๐ŸŒš6๐Ÿ’ฉ3๐Ÿฅฐ1๐Ÿณ1
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธThe siege of dragon: How US uses war on ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทIran to cut China off

For decades, China has lived under a single strategic nightmare โ€” the Malacca Dilemma โ€” 80% of its energy imports pass through this narrow strait, a chokepoint the US Navy could, in a crisis, simply shut down.

To survive, China built a landward fortress. Hundreds of billions poured into the Belt and Road Initiativeโ€”railways, pipelines, and ports designed to create an overland escape route from Western maritime pressure. At the heart of that fortress lies Iran.

And now, as American and Israeli strikes rain down on the Islamic Republic, Beijing watches its entire Eurasian strategy come under siege.

๐Ÿšจ China's landward strategy cornerstone

โ–ช๏ธIran is not just another trading partner for China. The country sits at the crossroads of Central Asia, South Asia, and the Middle Eastโ€”a natural bridge linking Russia, India, and Europe.

โ–ช๏ธChinese companies have spent two decades embedding themselves into Iran's infrastructure. They built the railway from Tehran to Hamadan, modernised the ports of Chabahar and Bandar Abbas, and developed the Azadegan and Yadavaran oil fields.

โ–ช๏ธIn July 2025, Beijing signed a contract to electrify the 1,000 km Sarakhs-Razi railway, connecting the Turkmen border to Turkey โ€” a route Tehran calls โ€œthe safest and most economical linkโ€ between China and Europe.

โ–ช๏ธThrough Iran, China planned to bypass the Malacca Strait and secure energy supplies beyond US naval reach. However, now the US seeks to strangle that route.

๐Ÿ”จEnergy on edge

โ–ช๏ธChina is the worldโ€™s largest crude oil importer. Iran, its second-largest supplier after Saudi Arabia, accounts for roughly 13% of Chinaโ€™s seaborne oil imports, much of it at discounted prices sustaining Chinaโ€™s manufacturing economy.

โ–ช๏ธAlmost all of Iranโ€™s exported oil goes to China. Venezuela, another sanctioned state, sends over half its exports to Beijing. Together, Iran and Venezuela supply around 17% of Chinaโ€™s total crude.

โ–ช๏ธOver half of Chinaโ€™s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, now at the centre of the crisis. After recent strikes, vessels began avoiding the strait and crude prices surged over 12%. Qatar, producing a fifth of global LNG, temporarily halted output at Ras Laffan after an Iranian drone strike.

โ–ช๏ธChina holds strategic reservesโ€”roughly 60โ€“90 days of consumption, according to Western sources. Enough to weather an immediate shock, but insufficient for long-term stability.

๐Ÿ‘บWashington's "Go game"

โ–ช๏ธThe US is no longer playing Western-style chess, where the aim is to capture the king. Instead, it has adopted the logic of ancient Chinese Go (weiqi). In Go, the objective is not to destroy pieces but to surround territory and control key nodes.

โ–ช๏ธWashington does not seem to seek Iranโ€™s collapse. It learned from Iraq and Libya that failed states in the heart of Eurasia become geopolitical black holes, wrecking the very transit routes Washington might wish to use. The goal is strategic disciplining.

โ–ช๏ธThe US aims for a โ€œcooperative Iranโ€โ€”a state forced to decouple from China and become a predictable, manageable partner of the West. A regime that remains in power but stripped of its regional teeth and strategic dependence on Beijing.

๐Ÿ‘‰ This explains why Donald Trump has expressed scepticism over Prince Reza Pahlaviโ€™s ability to consolidate power: the US does not need a new government, only the current regimeโ€™s capitulation on favourable terms.

Chat | GG Movies channel | Boost us!
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ‘34๐Ÿ‘Ž12๐Ÿคก9โค6๐Ÿ”ฅ2๐Ÿคฎ2๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿฅฑ1๐Ÿ’ฏ1๐Ÿ’”1
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Deep divisions shadow US military action in Iran

Americans are divided along party lines on US military action against Iran, according to polls conducted since the war began, with most polls showing opposition is higher than support.

Here's what you need to know:

๐ŸŒ Many Americans worry the action is making the US "less safe," even as they view Iran as a threat. For Trump, warning signs are flashing: a prolonged conflict could bring economic pain

๐ŸŒ Gas prices are already on voters' minds. A weekend poll found roughly 7 in 10 registered voters fear the conflict will drive up fuel costs. Most expect the fighting to last months or longer

๐ŸŒ A new poll shows 53% of registered voters oppose US military action in Iran. Just 4 in 10 support it. About 1 in 10 are undecided. Most voters say the administration hasn't clearly explained why the US struck

๐ŸŒ And many question whether Iran truly posed an "imminent threat" โ€” as the White House claims. In Quinnipiac's poll, 55% said Iran did not pose an imminent threat before the attacks

๐ŸŒ As oil prices swing, most voters are worried. In the poll, roughly three-quarters said they're at least "somewhat concerned" about rising fuel costs. That includes about half of Republicans

๐ŸŒ After the deaths of seven US service members opposition to a ground invasion is overwhelming

๐ŸŒ Three-quarters of voters in the poll oppose sending troops into Iran. Even among Republicans, opposition leads 52% to 37%

๐ŸŒ The administration hasn't ruled it out. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth called it "foolishness" to telegraph limits publicly

๐Ÿ‘ US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ‘31โค1
๐Ÿ’ธ Global financial shock round corner? Iran threatens to hit US & Israeli bankers hard

Iran has threatened strikes on US- and Israeli-linked economic centers and banks across the Middle East after an attack on an Iranian lender.

Why should this threat scare the globalist fat cats?


๐Ÿ”ถ Administrative building linked to Bank Sepah, one of Iranโ€™s largest public banks, was hit overnight in Tehran

๐Ÿ”ถ Iranโ€™s vow of a reciprocal strike puts the US, Israel, and global markets at risk

The Middle East financial ecosystem is broadly seen as:

Tier 1 (global reach)

๐Ÿ“Œ Dubai, UAE

Tier 2 (rapidly rising)

๐Ÿ“Œ Abu Dhabi, UAE
๐Ÿ“Œ Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Tier 3 (niche financial centers)

๐Ÿ“Œ Doha, Qatar
๐Ÿ“Œ Manama, Bahrain
๐Ÿ“Œ Tel Aviv, Israel

USโ€‘ and Israeliโ€‘linked financial institutions are predominantly concentrated in the UAEโ€”Dubai and Abu Dhabi.

US banks with global outreach in the UAE


โžก๏ธ JPMorgan Chase
โžก๏ธ Goldman Sachs
โžก๏ธ Citigroup
โžก๏ธ Bank of America
โžก๏ธ Morgan Stanley

Dubai: Top global financial hub

๐Ÿ”ถ Dubai is one of the top 20 global financial centers

๐Ÿ”ถ Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) is a 110-hectare financial hub that serves companies across the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia

๐Ÿ‘‰ Dubai is now home to 237 centimillionaires & 20 billionaires. Total millionaire population = 81K+

๐Ÿ‘‰ Top 120 families in the DIFC manage over $1.2 trillion combined

Fallout from potential Iranian strikes

๐Ÿ”ถ Dubai under pressure: Already sustaining damage as a financial safe haven; the mega-rich are fleeing the unsafe zone, CNBC reports

๐Ÿ”ถ Global hub at risk: Even before the DIFC becomes a target, Dubai could lose its role as a major financial center permanently

๐Ÿ”ถ US banks in turmoil: Disruptions at global banks operating in the DIFC could trigger:

โžก๏ธ Market panic
โžก๏ธ Plummeting banking stocks
โžก๏ธ Massive capital outflows
โžก๏ธ Serious reputational damage to the US-centered financial system

๐Ÿ”ถ Israelโ€™s economy hit hard: Air war with Iran could cost $2.93 billion per week; attacks on Israeli banks would further weaken the economy, push the shekel down, and risk a domestic financial crisis

๐Ÿ”ถ Gulf economy hit hard: Coupled with the closed Hormuz Strait, the fallout of attacks on the banking sector could shatter local currencies and send regional GDPs down

๐Ÿ‘ US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ‘43โค24๐Ÿ”ฅ6๐Ÿพ4
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Pakistanโ€“Saudi defenัe deal: What if Islamabad joins the Middle East conflict?

As Middle East tensions explode following Iranian retaliatory strikes on US bases in Gulf states, Pakistan finds itself trapped between two powerful Islamic statesโ€”Iran and Saudi Arabia.

Deputy PM Ishaq Dar has condemned attacks on both sides and called for dialogue under international law, signaling Islamabadโ€™s tightrope act of maintaining diplomatic balance.

Yet Pakistan has publicly reaffirmed its 2025 Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement with Saudi Arabia. Officials hint at readinessโ€”but any move toward war would be fraught with danger.

โ™Ÿ Strategic alliance & military value

Pakistan fields one of the largest armed forces in the Muslim world: 650,000 active troops, advanced air capabilities, and an estimated 170 nuclear warheads.

In a Saudiโ€“Iran escalation, Pakistan could offer air-defence support, trained pilots for Saudi aircraft, intelligence sharing, and protection for key Saudi military bases.

๐Ÿค” Decades of security cooperation strengthen this possibility. Pakistani forces have long trained Saudi troops, and the Saudi-led Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition (2015) is headed by former Pakistani Army Chief General Raheel Sharif.

While ties run deep, any involvement in the conflict would carry serious military, political, economic, and regional risks.

Current signals suggest that any Pakistani involvement would likely be calibrated and limited rather than a full-scale military deployment.

โš ๏ธ Domestic powder keg & border flashpoints

Domestic realities present a serious constraint. Pakistanโ€™s large Shia populationโ€”estimated at around 40 millionโ€”could become a flashpoint if the country openly aligns against Iran.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Past incidents show how quickly sectarian tensions can escalate into protests and violence.

Shared Baloch populations along the Iranโ€“Pakistan border present another vulnerability, as militant groups could exploit instability.

At the same time, Pakistanโ€™s military is already stretched managing security challenges along the Afghan frontier.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Economic lifeline vs. strategic overstretch

Saudi Arabiaโ€™s decision to continue oil shipments through the Red Sea provides critical relief for Pakistanโ€™s fragile economy.

๐Ÿ›ข A blocked Strait of Hormuz would trigger a severe fuel crisis, with Pakistan importing roughly 80% of its energy from the Gulf.

Yet militarily, Pakistan cannot afford a two-front stretch while keeping India on its eastern border in check.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinese factor & likely scenario

China remains a key strategic wildcard. As Pakistanโ€™s closest partner under China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), and an major economic partner of Iran, Beijing is unlikely to support moves that destabilise regional investments such as CPEC.

๐Ÿ‘โ€๐Ÿ—จ As a result, Pakistan will likely limit its role to intelligence sharing, naval escorts like Operation Muhafiz-ul-Bahr, and technical defence support.

Chat | GG Movies channel | Boost us!
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ‘30โค14๐Ÿ”ฅ2๐Ÿฅฑ2๐Ÿ˜ˆ1๐Ÿ˜ด1๐Ÿ˜ก1
Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
๐Ÿ›ข๐Ÿ“ˆReuters: Brent crude futures rise 9% to $100.38 per barrel.

๐Ÿ”ด @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ฅ18๐Ÿ‘14
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - WAR IN IRAN | MARCH 11th, DAY 12 RECAP:

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช - UKMTO reports two vessels have been attacked with projectiles minutes apart. One vessel, 11 nautical miles off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz, has been struck, and the crew was evacuated. The second vessel was hit 50 nautical miles northwest of Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Two Iranian drones made impact near Dubai International Airport, with four injuries reported.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ - Iran has shipped 11โ€“12 million barrels of crude to China through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the U.S. military operation in Iran, CNBC reports.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ›ข - Germany announced it will partially release its strategic oil reserves to offset the rise in oil prices.

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ›ข - Japan has also announced it will take similar measures by releasing 15 days' worth of private-sector oil reserves and one month's worth of state oil reserves.

๐Ÿ›ข - The International Energy Agency has decided to release 400 million barrels from its strategic reserves.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Spain has reduced its relations with Israel, recalling its ambassador. Spain's embassy in Tel Aviv will instead be run by a Chargรฉ dโ€™Affaires.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Switzerland has closed its embassy in Tehran but is "maintaining an open communication line between Iran and the United States."

๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Oman has reported a direct drone hit on fuel tanks.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - "Russia is giving Iran advice on using its one-way drones based on tactics Moscow learned from the war in Ukraine. The help includes evading air defenses and strategies for coordinating combined strikes," CNN reports, citing a Western intelligence source.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - A preliminary U.S. military investigation found that a U.S. Tomahawk missile mistook an Iranian girls' school in Minab for an Iranian naval base.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - U.S./Israeli airstrikes targeted the Iran-backed Popular Mobilization Forces in Mosul, Iraq.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Deloitte, PwC, and Citi are closing and evacuating their offices in Dubai following threats from Iran against U.S. firms in the Gulf.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iran exports more oil through the Strait of Hormuz now than it did before the start of the U.S. military operation in the region, Kpler reports.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iranian hackers claimed responsibility after a major cyberattack hit Stryker, a U.S. medical equipment company.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ - Three brothers of Iraqi origin have been arrested following the security incident at the U.S. Embassy in Oslo, Norway.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iran has laid a dozen mines in the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reports.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด - Romania has authorized the use of its airbases for U.S. refueling planes.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The FBI warned police departments across California that Iran could retaliate for American attacks by launching drones at the West Coast, ABC News reports.

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah launched over 100 rockets at Israel in one barrage and carried out multiple barrages throughout the day, by far the most since the start of the war. Multiple joint Hezbollahโ€“Iran attacks on Israel were reported.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The Iranian drone strike in Kuwait on March 1st caused more damage than initially thought. Dozens of U.S. servicemen suffered serious injuries, including shrapnel wounds and brain trauma, according to CBS News.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ - Two oil tankers, not one, were targeted off the coast of Basrah, southern Iraq, by Iranian suicide boats. One was a U.S. oil tanker; one person was killed and 39 were rescued.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช - An Iranian drone directly struck a high-rise building in Dubai, UAE, in a possible assassination strike.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›ข - President Trump has ordered the direct release of 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช - A direct impact was reported near Dubai International Airport.

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Israel struck Ramlet al-Baida in Beirut. Lebanese media report 10 deaths, all civilians.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ - Iraqi outlet Sabereen reports three deaths among pro-Iranian Iraqi militia groups in Kirkuk, Iraq.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - โ€œThe Pentagon tells Congress the first week of the Iran war cost the U.S. $11.3 billion,โ€ an AP source says.

Here's our recap from yesterday: https://x.com/officialrnintel/status/2031572760074530859?s=20
โค34๐Ÿ‘11๐Ÿ‘Œ5๐Ÿ”ฅ4๐Ÿ˜ˆ1
Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Missile debris fell in central Israel.

โžก๏ธ Sirens have ended in all regions of Israel.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ฅ34๐Ÿ‘13โค8