⚠️🇮🇷Iran's Foreign Minister:

The branch of Iran's oldest bank was bombed when many employees were inside. The Iranian armed forces will compensate for the damage caused by this crime.

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🤡 Trump says oil will be coming down — oil spikes in 3 hours

"We did a little excursion... Prices are coming down substantially, oil will be coming down," he told reporters.

Meanwhile, WTI crude prices:
🌏 16:46 EST: $87.25
🌏 19:48 EST: $92.95

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸The siege of dragon: How US uses war on 🇮🇷Iran to cut China off

For decades, China has lived under a single strategic nightmare — the Malacca Dilemma — 80% of its energy imports pass through this narrow strait, a chokepoint the US Navy could, in a crisis, simply shut down.

To survive, China built a landward fortress. Hundreds of billions poured into the Belt and Road Initiative—railways, pipelines, and ports designed to create an overland escape route from Western maritime pressure. At the heart of that fortress lies Iran.

And now, as American and Israeli strikes rain down on the Islamic Republic, Beijing watches its entire Eurasian strategy come under siege.

🚨 China's landward strategy cornerstone

▪️Iran is not just another trading partner for China. The country sits at the crossroads of Central Asia, South Asia, and the Middle East—a natural bridge linking Russia, India, and Europe.

▪️Chinese companies have spent two decades embedding themselves into Iran's infrastructure. They built the railway from Tehran to Hamadan, modernised the ports of Chabahar and Bandar Abbas, and developed the Azadegan and Yadavaran oil fields.

▪️In July 2025, Beijing signed a contract to electrify the 1,000 km Sarakhs-Razi railway, connecting the Turkmen border to Turkey — a route Tehran calls “the safest and most economical link” between China and Europe.

▪️Through Iran, China planned to bypass the Malacca Strait and secure energy supplies beyond US naval reach. However, now the US seeks to strangle that route.

🔨Energy on edge

▪️China is the world’s largest crude oil importer. Iran, its second-largest supplier after Saudi Arabia, accounts for roughly 13% of China’s seaborne oil imports, much of it at discounted prices sustaining China’s manufacturing economy.

▪️Almost all of Iran’s exported oil goes to China. Venezuela, another sanctioned state, sends over half its exports to Beijing. Together, Iran and Venezuela supply around 17% of China’s total crude.

▪️Over half of China’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, now at the centre of the crisis. After recent strikes, vessels began avoiding the strait and crude prices surged over 12%. Qatar, producing a fifth of global LNG, temporarily halted output at Ras Laffan after an Iranian drone strike.

▪️China holds strategic reserves—roughly 60–90 days of consumption, according to Western sources. Enough to weather an immediate shock, but insufficient for long-term stability.

👺Washington's "Go game"

▪️The US is no longer playing Western-style chess, where the aim is to capture the king. Instead, it has adopted the logic of ancient Chinese Go (weiqi). In Go, the objective is not to destroy pieces but to surround territory and control key nodes.

▪️Washington does not seem to seek Iran’s collapse. It learned from Iraq and Libya that failed states in the heart of Eurasia become geopolitical black holes, wrecking the very transit routes Washington might wish to use. The goal is strategic disciplining.

▪️The US aims for a “cooperative Iran”—a state forced to decouple from China and become a predictable, manageable partner of the West. A regime that remains in power but stripped of its regional teeth and strategic dependence on Beijing.

👉 This explains why Donald Trump has expressed scepticism over Prince Reza Pahlavi’s ability to consolidate power: the US does not need a new government, only the current regime’s capitulation on favourable terms.

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🇺🇸 Deep divisions shadow US military action in Iran

Americans are divided along party lines on US military action against Iran, according to polls conducted since the war began, with most polls showing opposition is higher than support.

Here's what you need to know:

🌏 Many Americans worry the action is making the US "less safe," even as they view Iran as a threat. For Trump, warning signs are flashing: a prolonged conflict could bring economic pain

🌏 Gas prices are already on voters' minds. A weekend poll found roughly 7 in 10 registered voters fear the conflict will drive up fuel costs. Most expect the fighting to last months or longer

🌏 A new poll shows 53% of registered voters oppose US military action in Iran. Just 4 in 10 support it. About 1 in 10 are undecided. Most voters say the administration hasn't clearly explained why the US struck

🌏 And many question whether Iran truly posed an "imminent threat" — as the White House claims. In Quinnipiac's poll, 55% said Iran did not pose an imminent threat before the attacks

🌏 As oil prices swing, most voters are worried. In the poll, roughly three-quarters said they're at least "somewhat concerned" about rising fuel costs. That includes about half of Republicans

🌏 After the deaths of seven US service members opposition to a ground invasion is overwhelming

🌏 Three-quarters of voters in the poll oppose sending troops into Iran. Even among Republicans, opposition leads 52% to 37%

🌏 The administration hasn't ruled it out. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth called it "foolishness" to telegraph limits publicly

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

💸 Global financial shock round corner? Iran threatens to hit US & Israeli bankers hard

Iran has threatened strikes on US- and Israeli-linked economic centers and banks across the Middle East after an attack on an Iranian lender.

Why should this threat scare the globalist fat cats?

🔶 Administrative building linked to Bank Sepah, one of Iran’s largest public banks, was hit overnight in Tehran

🔶 Iran’s vow of a reciprocal strike puts the US, Israel, and global markets at risk

The Middle East financial ecosystem is broadly seen as:

Tier 1 (global reach)

📌 Dubai, UAE

Tier 2 (rapidly rising)

📌 Abu Dhabi, UAE
📌 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Tier 3 (niche financial centers)

📌 Doha, Qatar
📌 Manama, Bahrain
📌 Tel Aviv, Israel

US‑ and Israeli‑linked financial institutions are predominantly concentrated in the UAE—Dubai and Abu Dhabi.

US banks with global outreach in the UAE

➡️ JPMorgan Chase
➡️ Goldman Sachs
➡️ Citigroup
➡️ Bank of America
➡️ Morgan Stanley

Dubai: Top global financial hub

🔶 Dubai is one of the top 20 global financial centers

🔶 Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) is a 110-hectare financial hub that serves companies across the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia

👉 Dubai is now home to 237 centimillionaires & 20 billionaires. Total millionaire population = 81K+

👉 Top 120 families in the DIFC manage over $1.2 trillion combined

Fallout from potential Iranian strikes

🔶 Dubai under pressure: Already sustaining damage as a financial safe haven; the mega-rich are fleeing the unsafe zone, CNBC reports

🔶 Global hub at risk: Even before the DIFC becomes a target, Dubai could lose its role as a major financial center permanently

🔶 US banks in turmoil: Disruptions at global banks operating in the DIFC could trigger:

➡️ Market panic
➡️ Plummeting banking stocks
➡️ Massive capital outflows
➡️ Serious reputational damage to the US-centered financial system

🔶 Israel’s economy hit hard: Air war with Iran could cost $2.93 billion per week; attacks on Israeli banks would further weaken the economy, push the shekel down, and risk a domestic financial crisis

🔶 Gulf economy hit hard: Coupled with the closed Hormuz Strait, the fallout of attacks on the banking sector could shatter local currencies and send regional GDPs down

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime