Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
The only real workable solution for the Iranians is attacking gas and oil infrastructure.
I predicted that this would be the weak link in the chain and that immense pressure on the gulf state monarchies was the most effective approach to U.S./Israeli strikes. Killing Americans and striking American bases is nice for publicity, but doesn’t do much to aid Iran’s war aims. The already precarious economies of the west, particularly Europe, can’t handle the loss of their primary energy supplier. With the straits closed and oil/gas production halted it’s now a waiting game.
If Iran is able to keep up minimum drone and missile strikes while the U.S. burns through munitions it can’t replace we could be looking at a “stalemate” in which the regime is left intact and the U.S. is forced to temporarily suspend operations until it is once again ready to recommit. The expenditure of everything over the last five days is many times greater than during the 12 day war and has regional implications, not just implications for the Israeli state.
I predicted that this would be the weak link in the chain and that immense pressure on the gulf state monarchies was the most effective approach to U.S./Israeli strikes. Killing Americans and striking American bases is nice for publicity, but doesn’t do much to aid Iran’s war aims. The already precarious economies of the west, particularly Europe, can’t handle the loss of their primary energy supplier. With the straits closed and oil/gas production halted it’s now a waiting game.
If Iran is able to keep up minimum drone and missile strikes while the U.S. burns through munitions it can’t replace we could be looking at a “stalemate” in which the regime is left intact and the U.S. is forced to temporarily suspend operations until it is once again ready to recommit. The expenditure of everything over the last five days is many times greater than during the 12 day war and has regional implications, not just implications for the Israeli state.
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Forwarded from Fotros Resistance
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
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— 🇮🇷/🇷🇺 NEW: A Russian prankster, wearing a Hitler mustache and calling himself 'Adolf', approached Iran's exiled Clown Prince Reza Pahlavi for an interview, stating he was a representative of German chancellor Friedrich Merz
Reza Pahlavi obliged, and despite obvious red flags he continued the entire interview having no clue he was being mocked throughout.
This is the person the Iranian diaspora wants as leader.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Reza Pahlavi obliged, and despite obvious red flags he continued the entire interview having no clue he was being mocked throughout.
This is the person the Iranian diaspora wants as leader.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Fire has been detected on the deck of a U.S. Navy Arleigh Burke-class destroyer in the Arabian Sea, possibly due to an impact by an Iranian anti-ship ballistic missile
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
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Thousands of Iranians come out every night, play patriotic songs (in this case the national anthem), express support for the military and the Islamic Republic, and engage in communal prayers till 5 in the morning.
I've never seen anything like this before. During ONGOING bombardments of their cities. The atmosphere mirrors the 8-year Holy Defense against Iraq in the 1980s.
I've never seen anything like this before. During ONGOING bombardments of their cities. The atmosphere mirrors the 8-year Holy Defense against Iraq in the 1980s.
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Forwarded from ResistanceTrench (Dew)
🇮🇷⚡️🇺🇸 Israeli media: The Iranians managed to injure a number of American soldiers. Details will be provided later.
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Bitchute
Iranian Missiles Striking Tel Aviv
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
Husayn ibn Ali is a grandson of the Prophet Muhammad revered by Shia Muslims as their third Imam.
In 680 CE, he refused to pledge allegiance to Yazid, the second caliph of the Umayyad Caliphate, considering him an avaricious tyrant who neglected and exploited the poor, and lacked the moral and religious qualifications to lead Muslims.
Husayn set off for Kufa, a rebellious garrison city within the caliphate, to lead its residents in an uprising, taking his family and ~70 companions with him.
Husayn refused, declaring “a man like me will never pay allegiance to a person like Yazid.” This triggered the Battle of Karbala. Husayn, his family, and companions were massacred, their animals killed or taken as war booty, his body trampled by Umayyad soldiers’ horses and his head sent to Yazid in Damascus.
After the Islamic Revolution of 1979, the US and Israel became contemporary manifestations of the tyrannical Yazid, not just for Iran, but its regional allies, including Hezbollah and the Houthis.
Husayn’s story helps to explain why Iran has been so fearless in confronting the US– seizing its sailors (2016), destroying a US drone in its airspace (2019), targeting US forces in Iraq after Trump killed a top commander (2020) and striking Israel and US bases across the region after Khamenei’s murder.
The battle between the Husayn and Yazid fronts is eternal, Khamenei said in a 2024 speech. "This war takes place in various shapes and forms, in one form in the era of swords and spheres, and in another in the age of atomic [technology] and artificial intelligence."
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
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"Marg bar Pahlavi" echoes through the region heavily targeted by US-Israeli strikes.
This is the Iranian people's response to their "representative" who mourns US soldiers instead of Iranian war victims.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
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Rep. Thomas Massie dismantles the administration's war narrative on the House floor.
The Ayatollah was not a president. He was a religious leader — which Israel and the US turned into a martyr, he said.
"For what? This administration can't even give us a straight answer as to why we launched this preemptive war."
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
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Esmail Baghaei responds to Netanyahu's admission that the decision to attack Iran was made before Trump's second term.
"All this negotiation, this diplomatic process has been a sham. It has been a sort of deception... They just wanted to find an excuse."
He says that Iran negotiated in good faith for 9 months, twice attempting dialogue.
"At the end of the day, they betrayed diplomacy."
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran War Updates
Photos indicate a fire broke out near the communications headquarters of an Arleigh Burke-class destroyer following an Iranian attack.
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The Limits of US and Israeli Air Power https://sonar21.com/the-limits-of-us-and-israeli-air-power/
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇺🇸 A Boeing E-6 Mercury, a U.S. Navy airborne command-and-control and communications-relay aircraft, departed from Oklahoma and is currently flying east over the Atlantic.
The aircraft plays a key role in the U.S. nuclear command chain, ensuring that orders can reach nuclear forces even if ground systems are degraded.
The flight could be related to the test launch of an unarmed Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile earlier today.
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The aircraft plays a key role in the U.S. nuclear command chain, ensuring that orders can reach nuclear forces even if ground systems are degraded.
The flight could be related to the test launch of an unarmed Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile earlier today.
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
The US committed a heinous crime 3,200 km from the shores of Iran. The frigate Dena, which was a guest of the Indian Navy and had about 130 crew members on board, was attacked in international waters without warning.
Remember my words: the US will regret the precedent it has set.
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