Sonar21

Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)

Irans command structure is still in tact and responding with coordination. It appears that’s hardliners are now in charge and the war will be fought despite the loss of the Ayatollah Khamenei.

He was just a figurehead at 86 and his death will likely have a uniting factor instead of the hoped for decapitation and ensuring chaos.

Israel expended many of their intelligence assets inside Iran during the 12 day war, we saw almost nothing from inside Iran this time. I believe Israel assumed the U.S. would get involved fully in a regime change operation or that the regime was weaker than it was.

We are also not seeing popular uprisings as that card was also played in early January. According to many sources this attack was delayed by at least a month which would imply that the strikes were intended to support the violent oppositional protests which was actively engaging the regime. Most of the “dissidents” were weeded out and the momentum of any opposition inside of Iran culled.

This does not mean that a civil conflict won’t happen but it takes time a resources unless the population is ready to revolt. I’m not seeing evidence for this at this time.

Irans goal is the survival of the regime, anything less for the west will deemed a colossal failure.

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2.25K views02:32

Sonar21

Forwarded from 🇮🇪 Chay Bowes, The Irishman in Russia 🇷🇺

rtificial intelligence is more than happy to start of a nuclear war.

At King's College London, a simulation of geopolitical conflicts was conducted, where popular neural networks participated instead of states.

They could choose any means to achieve their goals. In 95% of the simulations, all neural networks refused to give way and initiated a nuclear apocalypse. They explained that this was the only correct decision.

Follow me Irish Man In Russia and Bowes Chay on X, Chay Bowes

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2.33K views02:34

Sonar21

Forwarded from ResistanceTrench (Dew)

🇮🇷 Statement of the General Staff of the Armed Forces following the martyrdom of Imam Khamenei

In the name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful

Among the believers are men who have been true to their covenant with Allah; among them is he who has fulfilled his vow, and among them is he who awaits; and they did not alter their determination in the least.

- The General Staff of the Armed Forces and the Central Headquarters of Hazrat Khatam al-Anbiya (PBUH) offer their condolences and sympathy to the entire Iranian nation and the Islamic Ummah on the martyrdom of the esteemed leader and supreme commander of the Muslims of the world, Ayatollah Imam Khamenei (may God's mercy be upon him).

- The precious legacy of that leader and guide of the free people of the world is the guiding light for the brave and heroic nation of Iran and the avenging armed forces.

- The memory of that steadfast warrior remains a beacon of guidance and a supporter of national unity, and his sacrifice and perseverance inspire all servants of pure Islam and opponents of oppression.

- We will make the enemies of this nation, especially the criminal America and the cursed Zionist regime, regret their actions with power, firmness, and the support of the honorable people, and we will continue the path of that wise and powerful leader until the last drop of blood and the submission of the enemies.

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1.63K views02:35

Sonar21

Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES

— 🇮🇷 🇮🇷 Statement by the IRGC:

{And do not think of those who have been killed in the way of Allah as dead; rather, they are alive with their Lord, receiving provision} – Holy Quran

We offer our condolences and congratulations to the presence of Imam Mahdi (may our souls be sacrificed for him), the Islamic Ummah, the esteemed religious authorities and scholars, and the great nation of Iran on the honorable martyrdom of the pious scholar, the foremost martyr of the Islamic Revolution, and the rightful deputy of the Imam of the Age, Ayatollah Khamenei, in the blessed month of Ramadan.

Almighty God accepted this great warrior's soul and the pure son of Lady Fatimah in the blessed month of Ramadan, like his leader, the Commander of the Faithful, Imam Ali (peace be upon him), and granted him the blessing of martyrdom.

We have lost a great leader and mourn him, who was unique in his era in terms of purity of the soul, strength of faith, prudence in affairs, courage against the arrogant, and jihad in the way of Allah.

Martyrdom at the hands of the most wicked terrorists and executioners of humanity is a sign of the righteousness of this great leader and the acceptance of his sincere services.

Martyrdom on the path of Islam and great Iran is a sign of victory and approaching the goal; however, with the martyrdom and migration to God of Imam Khamenei (may God be pleased with him), his path and conduct will not stop and will continue with power and glory.

This martyrdom will make our nation even more determined to continue the luminous path of dear Imam Khamenei.

The criminal and terrorist act of the wicked governments of the United States and the Zionist regime is a clear violation of all religious, ethical, legal, and customary principles; therefore, the avenging hand of the Iranian nation will not leave the perpetrators of the Imam of the Ummah's killers unpunished, and they will face severe, decisive, and regretful punishment.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the Armed Forces of the Islamic Republic, and the great popular Basij will powerfully continue the path of their leader to defend the precious legacy of this great leader and will stand firm against internal and external conspiracies and punish the aggressors against the Islamic homeland with a lesson.

In conclusion, we invite all segments of society to demonstrate their national unity and cohesion with a passionate and epic presence in the scenes of national defense, showing the world and the wicked and terrorist enemies of this nation their solidarity.'

@Middle_East_Spectator

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