Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
People need to understand that Iran's only way of pressuring America in case of war, is by dragging the entire region into it and making the Americans unable to deal with the consequences. Every single option will no longer be held back, all axes will be activated.
If America attacks, assuming it's a large-scale attack at toppling the regime, Iran will unleash everything it hasโand the Middle East will explode, from Iran to Jordan, from Yemen to Kuwaitโthe ENTIRE region will be ablaze.
This has the possibility of becoming America's second Vietnam. They're entering into something of which they cannot possibly fathom the implications for decades to come.
If a large-scale war happens, even if the Iranian government doesn't fall, it will be a historic moment far more instrumental than the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, and thousands of Americans will die.
If America attacks, assuming it's a large-scale attack at toppling the regime, Iran will unleash everything it hasโand the Middle East will explode, from Iran to Jordan, from Yemen to Kuwaitโthe ENTIRE region will be ablaze.
This has the possibility of becoming America's second Vietnam. They're entering into something of which they cannot possibly fathom the implications for decades to come.
If a large-scale war happens, even if the Iranian government doesn't fall, it will be a historic moment far more instrumental than the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, and thousands of Americans will die.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐ท๐บ/๐ฎ๐ท NEW: The Russian Navy has stationed at the port of Bandar Abbas to participate in joint naval drills with the Iranian Navy tomorrow in the Gulf of Oman
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท NEW: Over the past 12 hours, massive movements of aerial assets towards the Middle East has continued
There have not been this many U.S. aircraft on their way or stationed in the Middle East since Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003.
@Middle_East_Spectator
There have not been this many U.S. aircraft on their way or stationed in the Middle East since Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from East Calling (Zinderneuf)
Media is too big
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Via Sofa General Staff:
43rd brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which is being killed by its own commanders on the line of contact in the Kupyansk direction.
In the video, there is panic among Ukrainian soldiers from the realization that there will be no help and they are facing imminent death โ either from the attacks of Russian FPV drones or from weather conditions.
Here, in these shots from the positions, we can see the realities that the Armed Forces of Ukraine face daily, namely: cold, lack of rotation and evacuation of the wounded, unsanitary conditions, which ultimately lead to death. This is where Kyiv sends to slaughter those who it mobilizes on the streets of its own cities.
The very truth that will never be shown on the air of the Ukrainian TV marathon.
@frontline_pvt
๐ @EastCalling
43rd brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which is being killed by its own commanders on the line of contact in the Kupyansk direction.
In the video, there is panic among Ukrainian soldiers from the realization that there will be no help and they are facing imminent death โ either from the attacks of Russian FPV drones or from weather conditions.
Here, in these shots from the positions, we can see the realities that the Armed Forces of Ukraine face daily, namely: cold, lack of rotation and evacuation of the wounded, unsanitary conditions, which ultimately lead to death. This is where Kyiv sends to slaughter those who it mobilizes on the streets of its own cities.
The very truth that will never be shown on the air of the Ukrainian TV marathon.
@frontline_pvt
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Forwarded from East Calling (Zinderneuf)
The European Union is putting pressure on Ukraine to speed up the repair of the "Druzhba" oil pipeline, through which Russian oil is supplied to Hungary and Slovakia. This was reported by "Radio Liberty."
The European Commission confirmed that it is in constant contact with the Ukrainian authorities and is striving for the earliest possible restoration of supplies following the damage to the pipeline in late January.
However, Brussels argues that there are no short-term risks to the energy security of Hungary and Slovakia, as the countries have strategic oil reserves.
Amid the suspension of pumping, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico accused Kyiv of delaying the process and called the situation "political blackmail." Earlier in Ukraine, it was stated that the damage occurred as a result of a drone strike.
๐ @EastCalling
The European Commission confirmed that it is in constant contact with the Ukrainian authorities and is striving for the earliest possible restoration of supplies following the damage to the pipeline in late January.
However, Brussels argues that there are no short-term risks to the energy security of Hungary and Slovakia, as the countries have strategic oil reserves.
Amid the suspension of pumping, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico accused Kyiv of delaying the process and called the situation "political blackmail." Earlier in Ukraine, it was stated that the damage occurred as a result of a drone strike.
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Forwarded from East Calling (เคถเคเฅเคคเคฟ เคเคชเคพเคธเคฟเคเคพ)
More details about Ukraine's dissatisfaction with negotiations with Medinsky: Zelensky says "we don't have time for all this nonsense"
Axios writes that, given the change in leadership, Zelensky fears that the Russian delegation will try to turn the negotiations into a meeting or return to the starting point in order to buy time for Russia on the battlefield.
He notes that, like Putin, Medinsky likes to philosophize about the "historical roots" of the war. "We don't have time for all this nonsense. Therefore, we must make a decision and end the war," said Zelensky.
โก๏ธThe negotiations on Ukraine in Geneva have concluded, having lasted just over an hour today
The negotiations were difficult, but businesslike, Medinsky stated, adding that a new round will take place soon.
Source: ะกะะะะะกะขะ
โ โ โ
๐ @EastCalling
Axios writes that, given the change in leadership, Zelensky fears that the Russian delegation will try to turn the negotiations into a meeting or return to the starting point in order to buy time for Russia on the battlefield.
He notes that, like Putin, Medinsky likes to philosophize about the "historical roots" of the war. "We don't have time for all this nonsense. Therefore, we must make a decision and end the war," said Zelensky.
โก๏ธThe negotiations on Ukraine in Geneva have concluded, having lasted just over an hour today
The negotiations were difficult, but businesslike, Medinsky stated, adding that a new round will take place soon.
Source: ะกะะะะะกะขะ
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Forwarded from East Calling (เคถเคเฅเคคเคฟ เคเคชเคพเคธเคฟเคเคพ)
The Bloomberg agency is conducting a masterclass on the basics of free Western journalism.
Source: ะะพะทะฐ ะบัะธัะฐะปะฐ
โ โ โ โ
๐ @EastCalling
Source: ะะพะทะฐ ะบัะธัะฐะปะฐ
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Forwarded from East Calling (Zinderneuf)
Trump is close to launching a large-scale war against Iran in the near future, reports Axios, citing sources.
"The boss is starting to lose patience. Some of his entourage are warning him against a war with Iran, but I think the likelihood of military action in the next few weeks is 90%," said one of the US president's advisors.
Republican Senator Lindsey Graham stated that strikes could begin in a few weeks. Other sources claim that the timeline could be shorter.
According to two Israeli officials, the Israeli government is already preparing for war in the coming days.
This time, the US may not go it alone in striking Iran, as it did last summer, but launch a large-scale, weeks-long military campaign together with Israel.
๐ @EastCalling
"The boss is starting to lose patience. Some of his entourage are warning him against a war with Iran, but I think the likelihood of military action in the next few weeks is 90%," said one of the US president's advisors.
Republican Senator Lindsey Graham stated that strikes could begin in a few weeks. Other sources claim that the timeline could be shorter.
According to two Israeli officials, the Israeli government is already preparing for war in the coming days.
This time, the US may not go it alone in striking Iran, as it did last summer, but launch a large-scale, weeks-long military campaign together with Israel.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ธRussia proposed to the US a "deal of the century", which could bring Putin and Trump Nobel Prizes, โ The Economist
- In Europe, fears are growing that Trump may force Ukraine to make destructive concessions by June โ his last deadline for achieving peace.
- Special representatives Dmitriev and Whitcoff have met at least 9 times since April last year; they discussed deals on Arctic oil and gas, rare earth mines, a nuclear data processing center, and a tunnel under the Bering Strait.
- Lifting sanctions will require lengthy coordination, including approval by the US Congress, and it's unlikely that Europe will support the initiative.
@Slavyangrad
- In Europe, fears are growing that Trump may force Ukraine to make destructive concessions by June โ his last deadline for achieving peace.
- Special representatives Dmitriev and Whitcoff have met at least 9 times since April last year; they discussed deals on Arctic oil and gas, rare earth mines, a nuclear data processing center, and a tunnel under the Bering Strait.
- Lifting sanctions will require lengthy coordination, including approval by the US Congress, and it's unlikely that Europe will support the initiative.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท BREAKING: The U.S. is much more pessimistic about the talks in Geneva than previously reported in the media, and has issued Iran an ultimatum to 'fully dismantle' its nuclear program or face 'other options' โ Fox News
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท/๐ฎ๐ฑ NEW: If the USS Gerald R. Ford continues at its current speed, it will arrive off the coast of Israel by Sunday morning
It could assist Israel in intercepting Iranian ballistic missiles from this position. Alternatively, it could continue to the Gulf of Oman for offensive operations against Iran, which would take about 10-12 days.
@Middle_East_Spectator
It could assist Israel in intercepting Iranian ballistic missiles from this position. Alternatively, it could continue to the Gulf of Oman for offensive operations against Iran, which would take about 10-12 days.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โ ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท/๐ฏ๐ด A short note on Muwaffaq Salti airbase in Jordan, and why Iran may not strike it (although I argue they should):
For striking Muwaffaq Salti airbase, which currently hosts the majority of U.S. aerial assets (F-35s, F-15s etc.), Iran would need to utilize its longer range ballistic missiles. The vast majority of Iran's ballistic missile stockpile are SRBMs that are capable of striking U.S. bases in countries like Qatar and the UAE, but that are incapable of reaching Jordan. Iran has spent significant resources to increase its stockpile of long-range missiles since the 12-Day War, but no stockpile is infinite.
Iran's long range missiles are more valuable, exist in more limited numbers, and they would likely be prioritized to target Israel. Using these missiles to strike U.S. forces in Jordan instead of Israel may be perceived as a waste by Iran, especially considering the large amount of air defenses that have been deployed near the airbase.
This is also the main reason America is using Jordan as its primary staging grounds. It's not because Saudi Arabia and Qatar refuse to let their airspace be used, that's just the spin. It's simply because the U.S. has decided that it prefers to be outside the range of the majority of Iran's missile arsenal.
@Middle_East_Spectator
For striking Muwaffaq Salti airbase, which currently hosts the majority of U.S. aerial assets (F-35s, F-15s etc.), Iran would need to utilize its longer range ballistic missiles. The vast majority of Iran's ballistic missile stockpile are SRBMs that are capable of striking U.S. bases in countries like Qatar and the UAE, but that are incapable of reaching Jordan. Iran has spent significant resources to increase its stockpile of long-range missiles since the 12-Day War, but no stockpile is infinite.
Iran's long range missiles are more valuable, exist in more limited numbers, and they would likely be prioritized to target Israel. Using these missiles to strike U.S. forces in Jordan instead of Israel may be perceived as a waste by Iran, especially considering the large amount of air defenses that have been deployed near the airbase.
This is also the main reason America is using Jordan as its primary staging grounds. It's not because Saudi Arabia and Qatar refuse to let their airspace be used, that's just the spin. It's simply because the U.S. has decided that it prefers to be outside the range of the majority of Iran's missile arsenal.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Mario Nawfal
๐จ OIL SPIKES 4%, WAR RISK RISING
WTI $65.19, +4.6%
Brent $70.35, +4.3%
VP JD Vance says Iran ignored U.S. red lines in nuclear talks.
President Trump says military force remains an option.
Iran running drills in the Strait of Hormuz, 1/3 of global oil flows through it.
Two U.S. carriers now in the region.
Markets hear one thing, escalation.
WTI $65.19, +4.6%
Brent $70.35, +4.3%
VP JD Vance says Iran ignored U.S. red lines in nuclear talks.
President Trump says military force remains an option.
Iran running drills in the Strait of Hormuz, 1/3 of global oil flows through it.
Two U.S. carriers now in the region.
Markets hear one thing, escalation.
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ทโก๏ธ- โThe US military is prepared to strike Iran as early as this weekend, though President Donald Trump has yet to make a final decision on whether heโll authorize such actions,โ sources familiar with the matter tell CNN.
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