Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
๐จ๐ณChina has notified the International Telecommunication Union of plans to launch up to 203,000 satellites into orbit by the mid-2030s. This is many times more than any existing or planned constellation. For comparison, Starlink currently has about 9,600 satellites, while Amazon Kuiper plans to have about 3,200.
The key point here is not so much the physical launch of such a large number of devices, but the regulatory and frequency battle for orbit, which could escalate into a real confrontation.
Firstly, the ITU system operates on the principle of "who applied first, gets priority". Even if the satellites exist only on paper, the declared positions and radio frequencies are reserved. This means that other operators, including SpaceX and Amazon, are obliged to take these "reserved" parameters into account when designing their systems.
Secondly, this creates so-called regulatory interference. When designing and expanding Western systems, the US will be forced to reduce the power of transmitters to avoid overlapping with the declared Chinese ranges, change orbital planes, and complicate network management algorithms.
Even if some of the Chinese satellites are never launched, the mere fact of their registration already restricts competitors.
Thirdly, it's about strategic control over low Earth orbit. Mega-constellations are not just about the internet, but also military communications, reconnaissance, navigation, drone control, and the resilience of military infrastructure in the event of war.
In fact, China is operating on the principle of "occupying space in advance" in order to later dictate the terms. This is cheaper and more efficient than catching up with an already deployed infrastructure.
It's also worth examining the scale. Launching 200,000 satellites is a colossal industrial task. Even Starlink, with all the production capacity of SpaceX, launches a maximum of 1,500โ2,000 satellites per year. To actually deploy 200,000, China will have to maintain a launch rate at a level that humanity has never achieved before.
@Slavyangrad
The key point here is not so much the physical launch of such a large number of devices, but the regulatory and frequency battle for orbit, which could escalate into a real confrontation.
Firstly, the ITU system operates on the principle of "who applied first, gets priority". Even if the satellites exist only on paper, the declared positions and radio frequencies are reserved. This means that other operators, including SpaceX and Amazon, are obliged to take these "reserved" parameters into account when designing their systems.
Secondly, this creates so-called regulatory interference. When designing and expanding Western systems, the US will be forced to reduce the power of transmitters to avoid overlapping with the declared Chinese ranges, change orbital planes, and complicate network management algorithms.
Even if some of the Chinese satellites are never launched, the mere fact of their registration already restricts competitors.
Thirdly, it's about strategic control over low Earth orbit. Mega-constellations are not just about the internet, but also military communications, reconnaissance, navigation, drone control, and the resilience of military infrastructure in the event of war.
In fact, China is operating on the principle of "occupying space in advance" in order to later dictate the terms. This is cheaper and more efficient than catching up with an already deployed infrastructure.
It's also worth examining the scale. Launching 200,000 satellites is a colossal industrial task. Even Starlink, with all the production capacity of SpaceX, launches a maximum of 1,500โ2,000 satellites per year. To actually deploy 200,000, China will have to maintain a launch rate at a level that humanity has never achieved before.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท Iran's Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi: 'Between now and the next session, we can begin to draft the initial documents needed to pave way for an agreement. Naturally, once things start being draftedโthe process will slow down significantly'
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
๐บ๐ธ๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บ Zelensky again rebels against Trump: It's "unfair" when the US president calls for concessions from Ukraine, not Russia.
โช๏ธWhitkoff and Kushner told Zelensky that Russia really wants to end the war, and advised him to coordinate his actions with his negotiators based on this, writes Axios.
โช๏ธZelensky himself is much more skeptical. He also warned Whitkoff and Kushner not to force him to promote a vision of peace among Ukrainians that they would perceive as a "failed story".
โช๏ธZelensky stated that it's "unfair" when Trump publicly calls for concessions from Ukraine, not Russia.
โช๏ธHe noted that it might be easier for Trump to put pressure on Ukraine than on much larger Russia, but the path to lasting peace is not to "give victory" to Putin.
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โช๏ธWhitkoff and Kushner told Zelensky that Russia really wants to end the war, and advised him to coordinate his actions with his negotiators based on this, writes Axios.
โช๏ธZelensky himself is much more skeptical. He also warned Whitkoff and Kushner not to force him to promote a vision of peace among Ukrainians that they would perceive as a "failed story".
โช๏ธZelensky stated that it's "unfair" when Trump publicly calls for concessions from Ukraine, not Russia.
โช๏ธHe noted that it might be easier for Trump to put pressure on Ukraine than on much larger Russia, but the path to lasting peace is not to "give victory" to Putin.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐จ๐ญ The attacks on a Swiss public broadcaster commentator have already begun.
Yesterday, during a live broadcast, he quoted social media posts from Israeli athlete Adam Edelman and questioned why he was allowed to participate, citing the IOC rulebook. At no point did Stefan Rennain insult the Israeli team โ the full commentary is publicly available for the whole world to watch.
The amount of gaslighting from โStop Antisemitismโ is completely off the charts.
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Yesterday, during a live broadcast, he quoted social media posts from Israeli athlete Adam Edelman and questioned why he was allowed to participate, citing the IOC rulebook. At no point did Stefan Rennain insult the Israeli team โ the full commentary is publicly available for the whole world to watch.
The amount of gaslighting from โStop Antisemitismโ is completely off the charts.
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Forwarded from Two Majors - English Channel
The estimate of the number of jobs in the US for 2025 has been revised downward by 1.029 million people. This is the largest annual revision in 20 years.
โจ Whoopsie.
โก๏ธ Two Majors
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Forwarded from The Islander
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Even the most powerful army in the world might sometimes receive such a slap that it won't be able to get up โ Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei
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Donate - Support Our Work
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Donate - Support Our Work
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
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โโ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท Vice President J.D. Vance: 'While in some ways the negotiations went well, it was very clear that there are some red lines the President has set that Iran is still not willing to acknowledge and work through. The President reserves the right [for military action] if diplomacy reaches a dead end'
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
#News #SMO #Ukraine #Russia
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Peeling Back the US Information Operation in Iran. https://sonar21.com/peeling-back-the-us-information-operation-in-iran/
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Forwarded from Archangel ANTI-NATO Coalition
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
โ ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ทThe US intends to put an end to the nuclear ambitions of Iran by one means or another -- US Energy Secretary Chris Wright
The likelihood of the start of a large-scale US military operation against Iran in the coming weeks is estimated at 90% โ Axios
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The likelihood of the start of a large-scale US military operation against Iran in the coming weeks is estimated at 90% โ Axios
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
People need to understand that Iran's only way of pressuring America in case of war, is by dragging the entire region into it and making the Americans unable to deal with the consequences. Every single option will no longer be held back, all axes will be activated.
If America attacks, assuming it's a large-scale attack at toppling the regime, Iran will unleash everything it hasโand the Middle East will explode, from Iran to Jordan, from Yemen to Kuwaitโthe ENTIRE region will be ablaze.
This has the possibility of becoming America's second Vietnam. They're entering into something of which they cannot possibly fathom the implications for decades to come.
If a large-scale war happens, even if the Iranian government doesn't fall, it will be a historic moment far more instrumental than the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, and thousands of Americans will die.
If America attacks, assuming it's a large-scale attack at toppling the regime, Iran will unleash everything it hasโand the Middle East will explode, from Iran to Jordan, from Yemen to Kuwaitโthe ENTIRE region will be ablaze.
This has the possibility of becoming America's second Vietnam. They're entering into something of which they cannot possibly fathom the implications for decades to come.
If a large-scale war happens, even if the Iranian government doesn't fall, it will be a historic moment far more instrumental than the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, and thousands of Americans will die.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐ท๐บ/๐ฎ๐ท NEW: The Russian Navy has stationed at the port of Bandar Abbas to participate in joint naval drills with the Iranian Navy tomorrow in the Gulf of Oman
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท NEW: Over the past 12 hours, massive movements of aerial assets towards the Middle East has continued
There have not been this many U.S. aircraft on their way or stationed in the Middle East since Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003.
@Middle_East_Spectator
There have not been this many U.S. aircraft on their way or stationed in the Middle East since Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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