Sonar21
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Taking on the status quo one fact at a time.
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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri, which hosts the U.S. Air Force B-2 stealth bomber fleet, is operating under a temporary FAA flight halt

The NOTAM was issued several days ago. The runway is shut from February 14 through February 17, and radar approach services were suspended from February 13 through February 17.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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The Big Lie About Iran’s Support for Terrorism https://sonar21.com/the-big-lie-about-irans-support-for-terrorism/
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❗️ Russia is carrying out another massive attack on Ukraine - explosions reported in Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov, Odessa, Lvov!

@AussieCossack
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
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🇷🇺💥🇺🇦 Energy facilities in Odessa and the Odessa region have been hit

▪️A combined strike was carried out using cruise missiles and strike UAVs "Geran".
▪️Local communities report a worsening of the electricity supply situation in the city.

@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
🇨🇳China has notified the International Telecommunication Union of plans to launch up to 203,000 satellites into orbit by the mid-2030s. This is many times more than any existing or planned constellation. For comparison, Starlink currently has about 9,600 satellites, while Amazon Kuiper plans to have about 3,200.

The key point here is not so much the physical launch of such a large number of devices, but the regulatory and frequency battle for orbit, which could escalate into a real confrontation.

Firstly, the ITU system operates on the principle of "who applied first, gets priority". Even if the satellites exist only on paper, the declared positions and radio frequencies are reserved. This means that other operators, including SpaceX and Amazon, are obliged to take these "reserved" parameters into account when designing their systems.

Secondly, this creates so-called regulatory interference. When designing and expanding Western systems, the US will be forced to reduce the power of transmitters to avoid overlapping with the declared Chinese ranges, change orbital planes, and complicate network management algorithms.

Even if some of the Chinese satellites are never launched, the mere fact of their registration already restricts competitors.

Thirdly, it's about strategic control over low Earth orbit. Mega-constellations are not just about the internet, but also military communications, reconnaissance, navigation, drone control, and the resilience of military infrastructure in the event of war.

In fact, China is operating on the principle of "occupying space in advance" in order to later dictate the terms. This is cheaper and more efficient than catching up with an already deployed infrastructure.

It's also worth examining the scale. Launching 200,000 satellites is a colossal industrial task. Even Starlink, with all the production capacity of SpaceX, launches a maximum of 1,500–2,000 satellites per year. To actually deploy 200,000, China will have to maintain a launch rate at a level that humanity has never achieved before.

@Slavyangrad
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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran's Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi: 'Between now and the next session, we can begin to draft the initial documents needed to pave way for an agreement. Naturally, once things start being drafted—the process will slow down significantly'

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Zelensky again rebels against Trump: It's "unfair" when the US president calls for concessions from Ukraine, not Russia.

▪️Whitkoff and Kushner told Zelensky that Russia really wants to end the war, and advised him to coordinate his actions with his negotiators based on this, writes Axios.
▪️Zelensky himself is much more skeptical. He also warned Whitkoff and Kushner not to force him to promote a vision of peace among Ukrainians that they would perceive as a "failed story".
▪️Zelensky stated that it's "unfair" when Trump publicly calls for concessions from Ukraine, not Russia.
▪️He noted that it might be easier for Trump to put pressure on Ukraine than on much larger Russia, but the path to lasting peace is not to "give victory" to Putin.

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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Axios: Over the past 24 hours, the US has deployed over 50 F-35, F-22, and F-16 fighter jets to the Middle East.

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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇮🇱🇨🇭 The attacks on a Swiss public broadcaster commentator have already begun.

Yesterday, during a live broadcast, he quoted social media posts from Israeli athlete Adam Edelman and questioned why he was allowed to participate, citing the IOC rulebook. At no point did Stefan Rennain insult the Israeli team — the full commentary is publicly available for the whole world to watch.

The amount of gaslighting from “Stop Antisemitism” is completely off the charts.

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The estimate of the number of jobs in the US for 2025 has been revised downward by 1.029 million people. This is the largest annual revision in 20 years.

Whoopsie.

⚡️Two Majors
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Forwarded from The Islander
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Even the most powerful army in the world might sometimes receive such a slap that it won't be able to get up — Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei

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❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Vice President J.D. Vance: 'While in some ways the negotiations went well, it was very clear that there are some red lines the President has set that Iran is still not willing to acknowledge and work through. The President reserves the right [for military action] if diplomacy reaches a dead end'

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
⚡️🇷🇺Russian troops have broken through to the southwestern outskirts of Konstantinovka and are developing an offensive towards the city center

🔘The fighters are advancing along Dorozhnaya and Heroes of Labor streets. Due to high-quality aviation/ artillery preparation, they are moving at a relatively high pace.

🇺🇦The Ukrainian Armed Forces have already retreated from the skyscrapers on the European side, the fighting is approaching Cosmonauts Boulevard, around which the largest high-rise area of the city is located.

👁️If Russian troops establish reliable control over the buildings along Kosmonavtov Boulevard, they will become the largest stronghold inside the city.

☃️This will make it possible for the Konstantinovsky direction to develop an offensive in the direction of the Kryvoy Rog River, off the shores of which the territory of the Ukrzink plant is located, used by the Ukrainian Armed Forces as one huge stronghold.

#News #SMO #Ukraine #Russia

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Peeling Back the US Information Operation in Iran. https://sonar21.com/peeling-back-the-us-information-operation-in-iran/
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🇺🇸🪖📝 — Observers reports that Multiple additional United States KC-135 Stratotankers and USAF KC-46 Pegasus are currently departing from other bases across the United States heading northeast, many likely preparing to cross the Atlantic towards Europe and the Middle East.
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⚠️⚠️🇺🇸💋🏴‍☠️⚔️💥💥🇮🇷🇵🇸👶2 additional USAF "E-3B Sentry" AWACS aircrafts have departed CONUS and are currently approaching Germany's "Ramstein" Airbase, bringing the total deployed to 6 just today to potential conflict with Iran.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
⚠️🇺🇸🇮🇷The US intends to put an end to the nuclear ambitions of Iran by one means or another -- US Energy Secretary Chris Wright

The likelihood of the start of a large-scale US military operation against Iran in the coming weeks is estimated at 90% — Axios

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People need to understand that Iran's only way of pressuring America in case of war, is by dragging the entire region into it and making the Americans unable to deal with the consequences. Every single option will no longer be held back, all axes will be activated.

If America attacks, assuming it's a large-scale attack at toppling the regime, Iran will unleash everything it has—and the Middle East will explode, from Iran to Jordan, from Yemen to Kuwait—the ENTIRE region will be ablaze.

This has the possibility of becoming America's second Vietnam. They're entering into something of which they cannot possibly fathom the implications for decades to come.

If a large-scale war happens, even if the Iranian government doesn't fall, it will be a historic moment far more instrumental than the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, and thousands of Americans will die.
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❗️🇷🇺/🇮🇷 NEW: The Russian Navy has stationed at the port of Bandar Abbas to participate in joint naval drills with the Iranian Navy tomorrow in the Gulf of Oman

@Middle_East_Spectator
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