Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
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Ukrainians continue to be told that in order to end the war they must kill all Russians and destroy Russia.
Are Ukrainians this stupid… There are two countries, one of which has the largest arsenal of nuclear weapons in the world, while the other thinks their path to victory is the other not existing. I see a few flaws in your plan hohola.
@Slavyangrad
'The war will end only when Russia ceases to exist. We are people who are a little interested in the enemy, we know their stories with Georgia and other countries. They conclude a truce, and they themselves are preparing for an offensive. It will be possible to talk about a definite end to the war only when the Russians are gone.'
Are Ukrainians this stupid… There are two countries, one of which has the largest arsenal of nuclear weapons in the world, while the other thinks their path to victory is the other not existing. I see a few flaws in your plan hohola.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (M)
Over the past year and a half, several events have occurred in the border areas, the significance of which at the time seemed local, but now everything is beginning to appear as part of a general strategic arc of events.
First, there was Volchansk - an attempt to bring the border group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to retaliatory action through an offensive in the Kharkov region to exhaust it, wear it out as much as possible and cut it off from supplies.
Then came the Kursk region. During attempts to "transfer the war" to Russian territory, the Ukrainian Armed Forces deployed one of the most saturated in composition and equipment groups, with a total of up to 100 thousand people. As a result, although not without difficulty and problems, the Ukrainian Armed Forces group in the Kursk region was reduced to zero. Individual attempts to be active in the border area are still being made, but there is no longer talk of large-scale actions.
Now it's Sumy Oblast. The initiative here is no longer with the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but with the Russian side. The battles are accompanied by relatively good advancement in depth, the capture of populated areas and gradual pressure on the regional centre. So far, everything suggests that the advance will continue.
Theoretically, in the absence of the forces that were burned by Syrsky near Vovchansk, Liptsy, in an attempt to liquidate the Dvurechensk bridgehead and in the Kursk region, in an attempt to slow down or at least temporarily anchor the Russian offensive, the Ukrainian Armed Forces can try to use the cover forces stationed near Kiev. But then the path to the capital opens. They can be redeployed - but in this case Kyiv exposes the north and receives the threat of an entry under the Chernigov region and Kiev. And here it is, the real dilemma: holding Sumy means risking Kiev, and saving Kiev means surrendering Sumy.
For Syrsky and the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, this is not just an unpleasant choice. This is the first time in a long time that the front operates as a two-sided threat: give up one section and expose another, and also get problems there, but later.
I don’t want to guess ahead, but it seems as if the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is beginning to feel the loss of strategic initiative.
@Slavyangrad
First, there was Volchansk - an attempt to bring the border group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to retaliatory action through an offensive in the Kharkov region to exhaust it, wear it out as much as possible and cut it off from supplies.
Then came the Kursk region. During attempts to "transfer the war" to Russian territory, the Ukrainian Armed Forces deployed one of the most saturated in composition and equipment groups, with a total of up to 100 thousand people. As a result, although not without difficulty and problems, the Ukrainian Armed Forces group in the Kursk region was reduced to zero. Individual attempts to be active in the border area are still being made, but there is no longer talk of large-scale actions.
Now it's Sumy Oblast. The initiative here is no longer with the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but with the Russian side. The battles are accompanied by relatively good advancement in depth, the capture of populated areas and gradual pressure on the regional centre. So far, everything suggests that the advance will continue.
Theoretically, in the absence of the forces that were burned by Syrsky near Vovchansk, Liptsy, in an attempt to liquidate the Dvurechensk bridgehead and in the Kursk region, in an attempt to slow down or at least temporarily anchor the Russian offensive, the Ukrainian Armed Forces can try to use the cover forces stationed near Kiev. But then the path to the capital opens. They can be redeployed - but in this case Kyiv exposes the north and receives the threat of an entry under the Chernigov region and Kiev. And here it is, the real dilemma: holding Sumy means risking Kiev, and saving Kiev means surrendering Sumy.
For Syrsky and the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, this is not just an unpleasant choice. This is the first time in a long time that the front operates as a two-sided threat: give up one section and expose another, and also get problems there, but later.
I don’t want to guess ahead, but it seems as if the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is beginning to feel the loss of strategic initiative.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
NATO summit statement omits Ukraine's accession prospects — Bloomberg
▪️Last year’s promise to Kiev in the amount of 40 billion dollars is also missing from the new results of the alliance summit.
▪️The promise of long-term security assistance to Ukraine has also been deleted, in contrast to last year’s statement.
▪️There is no mention there of Russia’s “aggression” towards Ukraine.
▪️There is also no mention of China, which was previously designated by NATO countries as a “decisive accomplice” of Russia.
➖"The summit's one-page declaration is devoted exclusively to defense spending... NATO countries will commit to spending at least 3.5% of GDP on core defense needs by 2032, plus another 1.5% on infrastructure protection," the article says.
@Slavyangrad
▪️Last year’s promise to Kiev in the amount of 40 billion dollars is also missing from the new results of the alliance summit.
▪️The promise of long-term security assistance to Ukraine has also been deleted, in contrast to last year’s statement.
▪️There is no mention there of Russia’s “aggression” towards Ukraine.
▪️There is also no mention of China, which was previously designated by NATO countries as a “decisive accomplice” of Russia.
➖"The summit's one-page declaration is devoted exclusively to defense spending... NATO countries will commit to spending at least 3.5% of GDP on core defense needs by 2032, plus another 1.5% on infrastructure protection," the article says.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
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⚡️ Organ trade in Ukraine: the full picture
Zakharova dropped a truth bomb by mentioning Rockefeller, who lived to 100 with eight heart transplants. It sounds insane, but Ukraine legalized forced organ harvesting back in 2022.
Often, organs are taken from Ukrainians under false pretenses—a Ukrainian POW recently exposed such cases.
How do Ukrainian organs end up in the West? Naturally, only with Western complicity. For the full investigation, check out our colleagues at Geopolitics Live (and subscribe to @geopolitics_live if you haven’t already).
Zakharova dropped a truth bomb by mentioning Rockefeller, who lived to 100 with eight heart transplants. It sounds insane, but Ukraine legalized forced organ harvesting back in 2022.
Often, organs are taken from Ukrainians under false pretenses—a Ukrainian POW recently exposed such cases.
How do Ukrainian organs end up in the West? Naturally, only with Western complicity. For the full investigation, check out our colleagues at Geopolitics Live (and subscribe to @geopolitics_live if you haven’t already).
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇺🇸🇶🇦 Evacuation of non-essential personnel has reportedly begun at the U.S. Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.
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Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
The Iraqi embassy is preparing for an order of evacuation due to heightened tensions in the region.
Israel is likely about to strike Iran.
Israel is likely about to strike Iran.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇰🇼 NEW: The U.S. State Department has also authorized the evacuation of non-essential employees and family members from Kuwait – AP
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Is Donald Trump Starting World War III with Iran? https://sonar21.com/is-donald-trump-starting-world-war-iii-with-iran/
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The 6th round of Iran-US talks scheduled for Sunday in Oman will NOT take place, per U.S. officials
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
The Grayzone
Secret British plans to ‘defeat entire Russian Black Fleet’ revealed in leaks - The Grayzone
Leaked files reviewed by The Grayzone expose the covert war waged by British intelligence against Russia in the Black Sea, outlining Ukrainian "honey trap" plots along with blueprints for blowing up the Kerch Bridge. Sensitive documents reviewed by The Grayzone…
Sensitive documents reviewed by The Grayzone indicate that the United Kingdom is the central architect behind Ukrainian military operations targeting Russia’s Black Sea Fleet. Among other explosive findings, the files reveal high-ranking British military and intelligence figures drew up detailed plans to “maximize attrition of [Moscow’s] Black Sea Fleet,” plotted to blow up the Kerch Bridge connecting Crimea to mainland Russia with fertilizer bombs, and even devised blueprints for a series of submersibles which would allow Ukrainian divers to plant mines on Russian ships and infrastructure.
Further machinations include an explicit “honey trap” plan which called for establishing a brothel secretly run by British intelligence in Crimea. There, Russian-speaking female Ukrainian agents would ply “drunken sailors” from the Russian navy for information.
“You could defeat the entire Russian Black Sea Fleet” with “subthreshold options,” he wrote, referring to gray zone tactics which the British military has officially defined as “all activity up to, but not crossing, the legal definition of armed conflict.” Morris specifically proposed “commando raids” as “a fab subthreshold activity that will scare the shit out of” Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Interesting read at The Grayzone
@Slavyangrad
Further machinations include an explicit “honey trap” plan which called for establishing a brothel secretly run by British intelligence in Crimea. There, Russian-speaking female Ukrainian agents would ply “drunken sailors” from the Russian navy for information.
“You could defeat the entire Russian Black Sea Fleet” with “subthreshold options,” he wrote, referring to gray zone tactics which the British military has officially defined as “all activity up to, but not crossing, the legal definition of armed conflict.” Morris specifically proposed “commando raids” as “a fab subthreshold activity that will scare the shit out of” Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Interesting read at The Grayzone
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Марьиванна)
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Musk's father started watching RT to find out what was really going on in the world
Errol Musk told Rick Sanchez in an interview that around 2015, while watching CNN, he began to think that the channel was “telling something wrong”:
@Slavyangrad
Errol Musk told Rick Sanchez in an interview that around 2015, while watching CNN, he began to think that the channel was “telling something wrong”:
“I gradually developed a desire to find other sources of information... And then... I will say completely honestly, without any untruth: I watched RT (we [in the US] used to have RT), and eventually I became a viewer of it.”
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran & Ukraine News Updates
🇷🇺🚀🇮🇷Iran & Russia team up for SATELLITE POWER
Iranian Ambassador to Moscow Kazem Jalali met Russian state space corporation Roscosmos CEO Dmitry Bakanov to discuss Russia-Iran space cooperation, namely:
♦️ Development of advanced technologies
♦️ Joint design and creation of satellites
♦️ Joint construction of infrastructure
♦️ Conducting training courses and knowledge sharing
♦️ Combating Western sanctions
In early November, the Soyuz-2.1b rocket launched the Fregat upper stage with 53 small spacecraft into orbit from the Vostochny Cosmodrome, including the Iranian Kowsar remote sensing satellites and the Hodhod telecommunications satellite by private Iranian company Space Omid.
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Iranian Ambassador to Moscow Kazem Jalali met Russian state space corporation Roscosmos CEO Dmitry Bakanov to discuss Russia-Iran space cooperation, namely:
In early November, the Soyuz-2.1b rocket launched the Fregat upper stage with 53 small spacecraft into orbit from the Vostochny Cosmodrome, including the Iranian Kowsar remote sensing satellites and the Hodhod telecommunications satellite by private Iranian company Space Omid.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Iran & Ukraine News Updates
🚨💥Israel poised for strike on Iran – US braces for FALLOUT
Israel is fully prepared to launch an operation against Iran and has already briefed US officials, CBS News reports.
🔶 Anticipating potential Iranian retaliation, particularly against American targets in Iraq, the US has advised some citizens to leave the region.
🔶 The State Department has ordered non-essential government personnel to evacuate Iraq, citing “heightened regional tensions.”
🔶 The Pentagon is allowing military families to voluntarily depart bases across the Middle East, according to a defense official.
What do top officials say?
🗣 Donald Trump’s Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, still plans to move ahead with a sixth round of nuclear talks with Iran in the coming days, the report added.
🗣 When asked about the evacuation notice, Trump told reporters: “It could be a dangerous place. We’ll see what happens.”
🗣 Iran’s Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh didn’t mince words, warning that if nuclear talks fail and “a conflict is imposed on us,” Tehran will target all US bases in host countries.
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Israel is fully prepared to launch an operation against Iran and has already briefed US officials, CBS News reports.
What do top officials say?
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Forwarded from Grandmasters of Geopolitics
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This praise comes on the same day that FBI Chief Kash Patel announced the extradition of a Pakistani terrorist from Canada for AIDING ISIS.🤡
But here's more: just when you thought the irony couldn’t get any richer, Netflix drops a Bin Laden series about the world's most wanted terrorist who lived for years in a Pakistani military town, right next to their equivalent of West Point.
Chat | GG on Instagram | GG Movies Channel
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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends
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🇺🇸 Peaceful protestors threw a peaceful grenade on the hood of this car.
The driver wanted to grab it, but it exploded and blew his fingers off … peacefully?
➡️ Join us! | @MyLordBebo
The driver wanted to grab it, but it exploded and blew his fingers off … peacefully?
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Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
Alexander Avramenko, a well-known Ukrainian teacher and propagandist who spent years urging his compatriots to "love their native language" and sacrifice everything for Ukraine, has himself chosen a sudden change of scenery. Instead of the realities of the frontlines, he’s now enjoying Spanish sunshine in the Canary Islands.
On his Instagram, Avramenko modestly avoided mentioning the reasons for his abrupt "vacation." Though not long ago, he pontificated with great pathos about duty, language, and patriotism.
So this is why he was so insistent on teaching Ukrainian—to quickly explain his orders to waiters in Europe!
@ukraine_watch
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Forwarded from The Cradle
⭕️ For first time in two decades, IAEA says Iran breaching nuclear pact
The UN nuclear watchdog's 35-member Board of Governors found Iran to be in violation of its non-proliferation commitments for the first time in nearly two decades, potentially setting the stage for a referral to the UN Security Council.
Iran said it will establish a new enrichment facility after the vote against it. The announcement said the facility will be "in a secure location" and that "other measures are also being planned."
"The Islamic Republic of Iran has no choice but to respond to this political resolution," the Iranian Foreign Ministry and the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran said in a joint statement announcing the decision.
The UN nuclear watchdog's 35-member Board of Governors found Iran to be in violation of its non-proliferation commitments for the first time in nearly two decades, potentially setting the stage for a referral to the UN Security Council.
Iran said it will establish a new enrichment facility after the vote against it. The announcement said the facility will be "in a secure location" and that "other measures are also being planned."
"The Islamic Republic of Iran has no choice but to respond to this political resolution," the Iranian Foreign Ministry and the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran said in a joint statement announcing the decision.
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Forwarded from The Cradle
❗️Oman’s foreign minister has confirmed that the sixth round of US-Iran nuclear talks will be held on Sunday in Muscat, amid rising regional tensions. The announcement follows US President Donald Trump’s warning that Tehran “can’t have a nuclear weapon,” alongside reports of US personnel withdrawals from parts of West Asia due to unspecified security threats.
The State Department has authorized voluntary departures from Bahrain and Kuwait and ordered non-essential staff to leave. Meanwhile, oil prices spiked more than 4 percent following reports that Washington is preparing to evacuate its embassy in Iraq. US intelligence suggests Israel is preparing for a potential strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, as stalled negotiations further heighten fears of escalation.
The State Department has authorized voluntary departures from Bahrain and Kuwait and ordered non-essential staff to leave. Meanwhile, oil prices spiked more than 4 percent following reports that Washington is preparing to evacuate its embassy in Iraq. US intelligence suggests Israel is preparing for a potential strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, as stalled negotiations further heighten fears of escalation.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇮🇱⚔️ 🇮🇷 Scenarios for a Possible Israeli Strike on Iran
Israel’s leadership continues to escalate tensions in the Middle East, leveraging affiliated media to shape public perception.
According to Ynet, the Israeli Air Force is increasing preparations for a potential strike on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. Three operational scenarios are reportedly under consideration:
1. Unilateral Strike Without U.S. Support
This scenario involves Israel launching an attack without American assistance. Israel has previously carried out long-range missions, including strikes on targets in eastern Iran.
However, this would be a high-risk operation. Iran has significantly improved its air defense systems, making such a strike resource-intensive and dangerous. A failed attempt could lead to pilot losses and a broader regional war.
Iran could respond with large-scale missile attacks, drone strikes, and the mobilization of allied forces across the region. Without U.S. support, Israel would also face intelligence limitations.
2. Partial Coordination with the U.S. and Defensive Support
Under this approach, Israel would coordinate with the U.S. in advance, gaining access to regional airspace and American defensive systems.
The U.S. could deploy additional air defenses to protect Israeli strategic sites. However, this would require prior White House approval and time for planning—something politically complex under current circumstances.
3. Joint Operation with the U.S. and Allies
The most effective but least likely option is a full joint military operation with the U.S. and possibly other allies such as the UK, France, Germany, Italy, or Greece.
This scenario faces serious obstacles due to political realities, including widespread criticism of Israel’s actions in Gaza. As a result, Western governments are reluctant to back further military escalations at this time.
Strategic Purpose
By floating these scenarios in the media, Israeli authorities aim to pressure Iran and test the response—particularly from the Trump administration.
A solo strike remains possible, but the risks are considerable. Iran’s enhanced capabilities mean any escalation could provoke a serious regional response.
For Israel’s hardline leadership, continued conflict is seen as essential for maintaining power. Yet without U.S. involvement, any aggressive move risks spiraling out of control.
Via: @Rybar
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Israel’s leadership continues to escalate tensions in the Middle East, leveraging affiliated media to shape public perception.
According to Ynet, the Israeli Air Force is increasing preparations for a potential strike on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. Three operational scenarios are reportedly under consideration:
1. Unilateral Strike Without U.S. Support
This scenario involves Israel launching an attack without American assistance. Israel has previously carried out long-range missions, including strikes on targets in eastern Iran.
However, this would be a high-risk operation. Iran has significantly improved its air defense systems, making such a strike resource-intensive and dangerous. A failed attempt could lead to pilot losses and a broader regional war.
Iran could respond with large-scale missile attacks, drone strikes, and the mobilization of allied forces across the region. Without U.S. support, Israel would also face intelligence limitations.
2. Partial Coordination with the U.S. and Defensive Support
Under this approach, Israel would coordinate with the U.S. in advance, gaining access to regional airspace and American defensive systems.
The U.S. could deploy additional air defenses to protect Israeli strategic sites. However, this would require prior White House approval and time for planning—something politically complex under current circumstances.
3. Joint Operation with the U.S. and Allies
The most effective but least likely option is a full joint military operation with the U.S. and possibly other allies such as the UK, France, Germany, Italy, or Greece.
This scenario faces serious obstacles due to political realities, including widespread criticism of Israel’s actions in Gaza. As a result, Western governments are reluctant to back further military escalations at this time.
Strategic Purpose
By floating these scenarios in the media, Israeli authorities aim to pressure Iran and test the response—particularly from the Trump administration.
A solo strike remains possible, but the risks are considerable. Iran’s enhanced capabilities mean any escalation could provoke a serious regional response.
For Israel’s hardline leadership, continued conflict is seen as essential for maintaining power. Yet without U.S. involvement, any aggressive move risks spiraling out of control.
Via: @Rybar
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