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🇦🇱 Albania v Spain 🇪🇸

La Roja have already qualified as group winners and are expected to rotate. Can Albania pull the upset?

2 best bets and research below⤵️

https://www.soccerbase.com/news/football/albania-vs-spain-predictions-betting-tips-for-euro-2024/2989476/

Italy v Croatia on the way shortly!
🇭🇷 Croatia v Italy 🇮🇹

A huge Group B clash with big implications. Croatia need a win to qualify for the Round of 16, and Italy can lock second spot up with a draw.

2 best bets and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Croatia 14+ Shots - 0.5 Points @ 13/10 with Paddy Power/Betfair

Bet 2 - Croatia 19+ Shots - 0.25 Points @ 6/1 with Paddy Power/Betfair


I think Italy will look to play on the counter attack in this one and force Croatia to try and break them down.

Italy gave up 19 and 20 shots to Spain and the Netherlands in the Nations League and 20 to Spain in the last group game.

Croatia had 16 shots against Spain and 22 against Albania. They've cleared 14+ shots in 9 of their last 12 competitive games. They also had 16 in a pre-tournament friendly against Portugal when holding a lead from the 3rd minute.

It's worth a small bet on Croatia to reach 19+ shots at 7/1 because Italy have scored in 9 of 12 under Spaletti and have some dangerous pace in transition, which could cause this one to go mad.
More player bets likely added after team news, so keep notifications on if you want them 🔔
Soccerbase Football Betting
🇭🇷 Croatia v Italy 🇮🇹 A huge Group B clash with big implications. Croatia need a win to qualify for the Round of 16, and Italy can lock second spot up with a draw. 2 best bets and research below ⤵️ Bet 1 - Croatia 14+ Shots - 0.5 Points @ 13/10 with Paddy…
Bet 3 - Kovacic 2+ Shots - 0.50 Points @ 6/4 with Paddy Power/Betfair

The presence of Brozovic at the base of midfield is allowing Kovacic to get further forward.

He's had 3 shots in both games at the Euros and isn't afraid of a pop shot outside the box.

6/4 for 2+ shots is value with Croatia needing to win.
It was a very poor night for us, the first one of the tournament. The Dani Olmo bet was unlucky. He had four shots at goal but couldn't get one on target. I thought Croatia were really poor, especially when trailing. It was a pretty low-quality game all around!

Back in the morning with a busy day ahead with 4 games on!
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🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England v Slovenia 🇸🇮

2 best bets and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Harry Kane Under 2.5 Shots - 0.5 Points @ 6/5 with bet365

A daunting position to take against an inferior opponent, but the price is too appealing.

Kane has had 3+ shots in just 2 of 9 starts in qualifying and Euros games so far. Those came against Malta away (3) and Ukraine at home (4). He's visibly dropping deeper to get involved in the play.

A point secures England top of the group, and I can't see Southgate changing his negative approach in the final game, even if he is expected to change personnel.

Kane doesn't look right to me. He was replaced by Watkins on 70 minutes against Denmark, who was bright. Bayern boss Thomas Tuchel came out last month and said Kane was receiving daily treatment for a back injury.

This is England's third match in 10 days, so I wouldn't be surprised to see his minutes managed for the knockout stages.
Bet 2 - Adam Cerin Over 0.5 Shots - 0.5 Points @ 11/8 with bet365

Cerin isn't a high-volume shooter, but he's consistent. He's had a shot in both Euro 2024 games so far and in six of ten in qualifying.

England have allowed 55% of their shots in the centre of the pitch and Slovenia have taken 64% of their shots centrally.

England gave up five shots to Hojbjerg and two to Hjulmand, who scored from long range. Cerin also scored against Portugal back in March.

If England go 1-0 up, which is likely given they are -1.5 favourites in the Asian Handicap market. I then expect England to sit back and invite Slovenia to shoot.
🇳🇱 Netherlands v Austria Tips 🇦🇹

4 best bets and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Austria +0.5 Asian Handicap - 0.5 Points @ 1.87 with bet365

Austria have been impressive so far at the Euros.

They’ve lost just twice in their last 16 games over the past 18 months - 1-0 to France in the Euros opener and 3-2 against Belgium where they dominated the xG battle 2.01-1.20. They’ve beaten Germany, Turkey, Serbia, and drawn with Switzerland.

The Netherlands gave up 1.32 xG against Poland and may struggle to play through Austria. Only Spain caused more high turnovers than them during qualifying and going over the press into Depay doesn't feel like a game plan that would work.

The Netherlands have a poor record when stepping up in class against better nations, with losses to Germany, France (twice), Italy, and Croatia. I'm not putting this Austrian side in the same bracket as France and Germany, but they have been more impressive than Italy and Croatia.
Bet 2 - Austria 13+ Fouls - 1 Point @ 5/4 with Paddy Power/Betfair

Bet 3 - Austria 15+ Fouls - 0.5 Points @ 3/1 with Paddy Power/Betfair


Austria's high-pressing style has seen them rack up fouls in Germany, with 15 against Poland and 18 against France.

Their last six foul counts read 15, 18, 17, 19, 15, 14 - four of these games were friendlies.

The Netherlands have the pace to hit Austria in transition, and I expect they'll play a front four of Gakpo, Frimpong, Depay, and Simons.

Plan B would be to play over the press to Weghorst, who has drawn a foul in both sub appearances so far in just 9 and 11 minutes played.
Bet 4 - Frimpong Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 0.5 Points @ 6/5 with Paddy Power/Betfair

The quickest player in Holland's front four.

Austria's style of play leaves space in behind their full backs if the press can be beaten. Thuram had 5 shots, 2 on target and Mbappe had 4 shots, 1 on target, Dembele 1 shot, 0 on target. Poland just don't have the pace in their squad to trouble Austria.

I think bookmakers are undervaluing Frimpong because of his lack of international game time. Reijnders should play deeper again to help in the build-up, which means Frimpong should get a second straight start.

He had 2 shots, 1 on target in 73 minutes against France. Simons (5/6) and Gakpo (2/5) are both much shorter.
🇫🇷 France v Poland Tips 🇵🇱

1 best bet and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Frankowski Over 1.5 Fouls - 0.5 Points @ 2/1 with bet365

Frankowski had 2 fouls against the Netherlands in Poland's opener and 1 foul against Austria.

The right backs facing France have had 4 Posch (Austria) and 2 Dumfries (Netherlands). Bereszynski had 2 fouls and a booking against France in the 2022 World Cup playing right back.

Thuram and Hernandez's pace in attack and transition will cause problems and 2/1 is value.

More player bets will likely be added after team news. Need to see if Mbappe lines up for France before looking at the shot markets.
Frimpong doesn't start, so that bet will be void.

Don't fancy anything else on teams in these two games 👍
Looking at backing Austria team cards. If you have PP/Betfair available.

Great game state for it and they are already on 2 cards, 10 fouls.

Currently 5/6. Will give it 5 mins or so into the second half before backing.

Will send out a message when I fire 👍
🚨 INPLAY BET

🇪🇺 Netherlands v Austria
Austria Over 3.5 Cards

0.5 Points @ 6/4 with PP/Betfair

Austria already racked up 12 fouls and now lead. Baumgartner just come on, who has a very good foul record. Expect them to be aggressive in defence for the last 30 minutes.

Both foul bets look good for landing and this should top off a very profitable game.
Good morning all 🌞

A good day at the office yesterday and 4 games to get stuck into today!

Frankowski Over 1.5 Fouls @ 2/1
Austria +0.5 AH @ 1.87
Austria 13+ Fouls @ 5/4
Austria 15+ Fouls @ 3/1
Cerin Over 0.5 Shots @ 11/8
Kane Under 2.5 Shots @ 6/5
Austria Team Cards In-Play @ 6/4
🇧🇪 Belgium v Ukraine 🇺🇦

3 best bets and research below ⤵️


Bet 1 - Over 2.5 Goals - 0.5 Points @ 1.86 with bet365

A draw suits neither side, especially with the talk of a pre-arranged draw between Slovakia and Romania, which has caused the price to crash to 11/10.

Belgium have created 1.70 and 1.76 xG in their two games so far. Ukraine were much better last time out in their 2-1 win against Slovakia and should have good support in Stuttgart.

Mykolenko is set to return in some capacity for Ukraine, which helps their attack. Witsel looks set to miss again and they gave up 0.94 xG to Romania last time out with him missing.

This one should be end-to-end throughout.