Morning all,

I think the lines are about right in the Champions League game and I may have a player bet after teams are announced but I don't see any value in the main markets.

I've had one bet in the Championship:

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Coventry v Ipswich
Coventry +1 AH

bet365 - 4/6 - 1 Point

This is a good spot to back Coventry. Ipswich are winless in four and have only won two of eight away against the top ten. I think they'd be okay with a point, so the game could get stuck at 1-1. This would put them one point ahead of Leeds in second place, with Huddersfield at home on the final day and Leeds hosting Southampton. Coventry would have only lost by two or more in four of their 44 games this season. Weirdly, two of those came away at relegated Rotherham and Birmingham, who are also in a relegation battle. Ipswich have won the expected goals battle by more than 0.50 in just one of six of their last away, which came at Plymouth. They've also allowed over 1.00 xG in four of six. It's difficult to cover these big handicaps when conceding, and Coventry have shown their attacking quality in recent weeks, scoring three in their comeback against Manchester United.

Best of luck if you follow 👍

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Good afternoon all,

Something a bit different today. Basically I'm trying to get PSG on side as I think they are value. However, I don't want to back a road favourite in the first leg of a knockout game when they will be fine drawing 1-1 and may not push in the latter stages if the scores are level.

I think this is a very solid angle that I've backed with one point. You can also get a 25% boost if you back it on bet365.

Best of luck if you follow 👍

Good evening all,

We are waiting on teams for two bets tonight.

Please keep notifications on if you are interested in following 🔔

First bet of the night.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Chelsea v Spurs
Over 3.5 Asian Goal Line

Bet365 - 1.78 - 1 Point

Chelsea have gone over 3.5 in 8 straiggt and 11 of their last 12 Premier League games. Spurs have gone over 3.5 in 5 of their last 7 away. They've also gone over 3.5 away at sides in the top 8 in five of six. Spurs with Royal and Porro playing wingback and Cucurella is a liability in defense too. Alfie Gilchrist will be up against Son in just his second Prem start.

No more bets in Europe. Teams aren't quite good enough 👍

Good afternoon all,

A bit disappointed with Spurs performance last night. Kulusevski has really dropped off since the start of the season and they just lacked creativity in midfield!

We move on to today with two bets anyway:

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Luton v Everton
Over 2.5 Goals

Bet365 - 4/6 - 1 Point

This is obviously a must-win spot for Luton against an Everton side with nothing to play for. Everton have scored two or more away from home in four of their five matches against the bottom seven. It's quite remarkable given their xG performance on the season overall. Luton have kept just two clean sheets at home in 17, so they will likely need to push for at least two goals to win the game. It should be a back-and-forth type match with goals being upgraded for Everton having nothing to play for.

🇪🇸 Getafe v Bilbao
Over 2.0 Asian Goal Line

Bet365 - 17/20 - 1 Point

Bilbao have drastic splits away against good and poor sides in La Liga. They are undefeated against bottom half sides in the table and have kept a clean sheet in seven of eight. However, against the top-half sides, they won once in eight, haven't kept a clean sheet, and conceded two or more in five. Getafe have nothing to play for and have scored in 11 of 16 at home. The first meeting ended 2-2, and Bilbao have a very slim chance of catching Atletico for fourth, and basically, no risk of falling out of the European places, so they may as well push for the win in all remaining games.

Best of luck if you follow 👍

Morning all,

Who would be interested in a final day Championship acca?

Drop a reaction if you are 👍

Here's my Championship final day acca.

I've targeted the games where there's things to play for. Some good spots for goals where you have big favourites like Ipswich and Leicester but the underdog needs to get something from the game.

Best bets will be up shortly 👍

Bet Builder selection for Arsenal v Bournemouth.

We have a good couple of angles here.

Havertz is playing through the middle as a CF. He's been mixing between playing up top, deeper and out wide recently but 4/9 for him to have a SOT is a great bet.

Then we have Rice playing further forward with Partey in the lineup, who will obviously sit deeper and allow him to get forward. He's also had a shot in his last 7 starts.

Saka tops this off. He's had 2+ shots in 1 of this last 20 starts with his only miss away at Man City. He's also had 3+ shots in each of his last 5 Prem starts.

✅️ Bet Builder lands in 14 minutes 🤣

Two best bets for the Premier League 3pm's:

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Brentford v Fulham
Fulham +0.5 Asian Handicap

bet365 - 1.84 - 1 Point

Brentford have been good in recent weeks but they've won just one home game against teams outside of the bottom six. Those two wins came against Luton and Sheffield United, which is the kind of spot they've performed well in all season. Fulham have lost just one of six away against sides in the bottom eight away from home.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Sheffield Utd v Forest
Over 3.0 Asian Goal Line

bet365 - 20/21 - 1 Point

Sheffield Utd games have been goalfests for quite some time now. They've seen four or more goals in eight of their last ten Premier League games. Forest have Wood, Elanga, Gibbs-White and Hudson-Odoi starting, so a very attacking from four. They've also conceded two or more in each of their last four, which includes games against Wolves and Everton.

I'll have a look through the player bet markets now too.

Bet Builder for Brentford v Fulham. 1 point.

Targeting Reguilon here who has a shot in nine of his ten starts for Brentford with the only miss coming away at Wolves. Brentford are playing a 5-3-2, so expect him to bomb on down the wings from full back. Muniz is a shot machine with 2+ in all 15 of his last PL starts. He's hit 3+ in his last eight straight games.

Analysis for the Bet Builders added.

Best of luck if you follow 👍

✅️ It's the Ben Brereton show!

One more for the 12/1 to land 🙏

Man City v Wolves Bet Builder

Semedo has a foul in 14/16 away games. He's playing right wing back and up against Foden, who has drawn the most fouls for Man City in home games at 1.84 per 90.

De Bruyne is going to play higher through the middle with Kovacic and Rodri playing. He's had a shot on target in each of his last four Prem games and has hit the target twice or more in three.

Haaland is fairly straight forward and gets us the 15% Winnings Boost on bet365. He's had 2+ in all 13 home PL starts.

Best of luck if you follow 👍

Good morning all,

✅ Two our of two best bet winners yesterday in the Premier League and a couple of Bet Builder winners secured us a good bit of profit!

I've had four best bets today:

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Liverpool v Spurs
Spurs +1 Asian Handicap

bet365 - 23/20 - 0.5 Points

Liverpool have won just one of their last five and their title hopes are pretty much over. Spurs may have lost three of their last four away from home but they haven't lost the xG battle by more than 0.5 in any game. They've scored one goal from 5.63 xG and conceded 10 from 6.84 xG. I don't think Liverpool are sound enough defensively at the moment to be laying this kind of price against a good attacking side like Spurs, who still have an outside chance at top four.

🇮🇹 Cagliari v Lecce
Over 2.25 Asian Goal Line

bet365 - 10/11 - 1 Point

11.30am start for this one. We backed Cag over 2 on Monday and were rewarded as they lost 3-0 but a lot of the same reasoning applies here. Cag are fighting for survival in Serie A and will see this as a winnable game. Their last four games have ended 3-0 at Genoa, 2-2 v Juve, 2-2 at Inter, and 2-1 v Atalanta. Their underlying metrics are good, too, with over 1xG created against Juve and Inter. Lecce have scored away from home in all eight against the bottom sides in Serie A.

🇩🇪 Union Berlin v Bochum
Over 2.5 Asian Goal Line

bet365 - 2.08 - 0.5 Points

A massive clash at the bottom of the Bundesliga. Bochum have conceded 36 goals in 14 games away from home. They've conceded two or more in three of four away from home against teams in the bottom six and three of five at home. Union Berlin have scored two or 3, 4, 2, and 1 in their four home games against the bottom six. The first meeting between these sides ended 3-0 but was a fairly even contest with 3.69 xG. A good to play for spot and over even money for 2.5 is value.

🇪🇸 Sevilla v Granada
Over 2.5 Goals

bet365 - 4/5 - 0.5 Points

Another to play for spot with Granada who are in hail mary territory having to win all remaining games if they want to stay up. Sevilla have secured safety and this is a spot they've been good for goals. In their home games against the bottom six they've gone over 2.5 in three of four. Against sides outside of the top six, they've gone over in seven of eleven. Sevilla won the first meeting 3-0 away from home. Granada will have to push for multiple goals to win here. They've not kept a single clean sheet away from home in 16 games but have scored 3, 1, 2 in their last three games, which includes an away game at Bilbao.

There will be some good spots hopefully in the Prem games for some Bet Builders, so i'll be back after team news is announced in each of those games.

Best of luck if you follow 👍