Looking at backing Austria team cards. If you have PP/Betfair available.

Great game state for it and they are already on 2 cards, 10 fouls.

Currently 5/6. Will give it 5 mins or so into the second half before backing.

Will send out a message when I fire 👍

🚨 INPLAY BET

🇪🇺 Netherlands v Austria
Austria Over 3.5 Cards

0.5 Points @ 6/4 with PP/Betfair

Austria already racked up 12 fouls and now lead. Baumgartner just come on, who has a very good foul record. Expect them to be aggressive in defence for the last 30 minutes.

Both foul bets look good for landing and this should top off a very profitable game.

✅️ Austria +0.5 AH @ 1.87
✅️ Austria 13+ Fouls @ 5/4
✅️ Austria 15+ Fouls @ 3/1
❌️ Austria Team Cards In-Play @ 6/4

A great game for us 👍

✅️ Cerin Over 0.5 Shots @ 11/8
❌️ Kane Under 2.5 Shots @ 6/5

At least we profit off this absolute borerest.

Good morning all 🌞

A good day at the office yesterday and 4 games to get stuck into today!

✅ Frankowski Over 1.5 Fouls @ 2/1
✅ Austria +0.5 AH @ 1.87
✅ Austria 13+ Fouls @ 5/4
✅ Austria 15+ Fouls @ 3/1
✅ Cerin Over 0.5 Shots @ 11/8
❌ Kane Under 2.5 Shots @ 6/5
❌ Austria Team Cards In-Play @ 6/4

🇧🇪 Belgium v Ukraine 🇺🇦

3 best bets and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Over 2.5 Goals - 0.5 Points @ 1.86 with bet365

A draw suits neither side, especially with the talk of a pre-arranged draw between Slovakia and Romania, which has caused the price to crash to 11/10.

Belgium have created 1.70 and 1.76 xG in their two games so far. Ukraine were much better last time out in their 2-1 win against Slovakia and should have good support in Stuttgart.

Mykolenko is set to return in some capacity for Ukraine, which helps their attack. Witsel looks set to miss again and they gave up 0.94 xG to Romania last time out with him missing.

This one should be end-to-end throughout.

Bet 2 - Lukaku Over 1.5 Shots On Target - 1 Point @ 6/5 with bet365

I’ve bet this, and it’s won in the first two group games. He’s racked up eight shots, five on target.

I prefer this bet to backing him to score anytime, which is now the same price as opposed to shorter like it was in the first two games.

Has now landed in 7 of 9 starts in the Euros and qualifying. Good game state for an attacking game and he’ll be eager to score, given he’s already had three goals chalked off due to VAR.

Bet 3 - Mudryk 0.5 Shots On Target - 0.5 Points @ 1/1 with Paddy Power/Betfair

Another bet we’ve backed in both previous games that’s landed.

He’s had 3 shots in both games and should have hit the target more than once last game against Slovakia.

Ukraine's shot leader, who had a shot on target in 5/8 qualifying matches with misses coming in both games against England and away in Macedonia.

There will likely be more bets after team news. Ukraine and Belgium's defence could be rotated.

Update on the rest of today's best bets:

🇸🇰 vs 🇷🇴 - Leaving this game with the weird draw situation.

🇨🇿 vs 🇹🇷 - Waiting for teams with Schick and Guler.

🇵🇹 vs 🇬🇪 - Waiting for teams with Portugal.

Mudryk doesn't start for Ukraine, so that's a void bet.

They've changed shape to a 5-3-2, which they've not played in the last 18 months. I'm happy to just stick with the Lukaku and over 2.5 bets we already have.

🚨 INPLAY BET

🇪🇺 Belgium v Ukraine
Ukraine 12+ Team Fouls

0.5 Points - 11/10 with Paddy Power/Betfair

Ukraine are a lot more aggressive out of possession than they have been in the previous two games. Belgium controlling possession and likely to get the first goal, which will see them have to keep pressing hard chasing the game. They've comitted 12+ fouls in 7/10 qualifying games and 1/2 games in Germany.

🇵🇹 Portugal v Georgia 🇬🇪

Bet 1 - Dalot 1+ Fouls - 1 Point at 8/15 with PP/Betfair/bet365

Bet 2 - Dalot 2+ Fouls - 0.5 Points at 13/5 with PP/Betfair

Up against Kvaratskhelia at right back who has drawn 3 Fouls in both games.

Dalot is no stranger to a foul and likes to get stuck in. Committed 1+ foul in 5/6 during qualifying.

🇨🇿 Czechia v Turkey 🇹🇷

2 best bets and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Lukas Provod 2+ Fouls - 1 Point at 1/1 with bet365

Committed 3 and 2 in the Euros so far. Only started three times in qualifying and his foul counts were 3, 2, 3.

He'll be up against some solid foul drawers in Yuksek, Calhanoglu, and Guler.

Bet 2 - Ladislav Krejci Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 0.5 Points at 5/2 with bet365

Had 4 shots last time out against Georgia but failed to hit the target.

Hit the target in all 5 starts in qualifying.

Czechia ranked 2nd in xG created from set pieces during the qualifiers, and Turkey ranked 22nd in xGA.

Dalot has had 2 fouls but only showing as 1 on Opta at the moment.

Drop some comments on this and get their attention to resettle ➡️ https://x.com/soccerbase/status/1806064687584247884?t=Eo_jsJPN6q5ugAxnm6cDGA&s=19

✅️ Dalot 1+ Foul at 8/15
⏳️ Dalot 2+ Fouls at 3/1

We all saw him bring down Kvaratskhelia in the first half. Just waiting for it to be resettled by Opta.

✅️ Krejci SOT @ 5/2
❌️ Provod 2+ Fouls @ 1/1

Lovely 5/2 shot on target winner from a set piece like we outlined in the research!

Good morning all!

✅️ Dalot 2+ Fouls @ 3/1 has now been settled as a winner.

Good work from the Opta guys at amending that again 👏

⚽️ Euro 2024 Group Stages

A small number of games but a steady profit in the group stages for our prematch bets:

#️⃣ Bets : 79
🏦 Staked: 41 Points
💰 Profit: 4.75 Points
📈 ROI: 11.59%

Who's ready for the knockout stages?

Good morning all,

Today's Euros bets will be released after team news in both games.

Quite a few players suspended, which should give us some good spots to find edges after team news.

Get notifications on if you want to get today's bets 🔔

🇨🇭 Switzerland v Italy 🇮🇹

The first round of 16 game gets underway with Luciano Spaletti's Italy taking on Switzerland.

Best bets below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Over 2.0 Asian Goal Line - 1 Point @ 1.98 with bet365

2 goals = refund. 3+ goals = win.

Italy have changed shape to a 4-3-3.

They played this shape in their first six games under Spaletti and they finished 1-1, 2-1, 4-0, 1-3, 5-2, and 0-0.

Switzerland have scored and conceded in all three Euro 2024 games, which means they've scored in 15 of their 17 games in the last 18 months.

Both sides should have success going forward here and we have the protection of the game dying out with the refund for two goals.

Player bets on the way.

Bet 2 - Italy Over 12.5 Shots - 0.5 Points @ 11/10 with bet365

Italy's shot counts playing a 4-3-3 under Spaletti read - 9, 21, 18, 14, 20, 17.

They had 14 shots away against England and their only miss was Spaletti's first game in charge.

I expect Switzerland to sit in and play on the counter with Italy having most of the ball and attacking threat.

Switzerland gave up 18 shots to Germany.

Bet 3 - Di Lorenzo Over 0.5 Shots - 0.5 Points @ 5/6 with bet365

When playing the 4-3-3 Italy had good shot volumes from their RB and LB.

Di Lorenzo had a shot in three of his four starts when featuring in a 4-3-3. He's also had a shot in two of three starts at Euro 2024.

Darmian is playing instead of Dimarco, so I expect Di Lorenzo to get more of the ball in the attacking third as he poses much more of a threat than Darmian.