⚡️🇷🇺🌍🇺🇦 Western Arms and Military Equipment Supplies to Ukraine⚡️

As part of the new military aid package, the following types of equipment and weapons will be transferred to Ukraine, as well as planned for delivery:

🇧🇪 Belgium
➖ 10 underwater drones
➖ 2 mobile laboratories

🇩🇪 Germany
➖ ammunition for MARS II MLRS
➖ 3 Oshkosh M1070 heavy-duty semi-trailers
➖ 17 vehicles for border guards
➖ 1 forklift truck
➖ spare parts for the M2 heavy machine gun
➖ 24 MG3 armoured recovery vehicles
➖ 10 drone protection sensors
➖ 20 special devices for electronic drone protection devices
➖ 116 field heaters

🇱🇺 Luxembourg
➖ 6 Primoco One UAVs

🇳🇴 Norway
➖ 1 SAU M109
➖ 20,000 spare parts for the M109
➖ 55 thousand pieces of winter clothing
➖ 55 thousand bandages and individual first-aid kits
➖ 30 thousand walkie-talkies

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦 AFU Crossing over Ingulets near Kherson⚡️

Ukrainian formations have established a crossing over the Ingulets in the area of ​​​​the Daryevsky bridge, which was previously destroyed during the withdrawal of Russian troops from the right-bank part of the #Kherson region.

Despite the fact that full-fledged attempts by the AFU to launch an offensive on the left bank near #Kherson are highly unlikely, such crossings greatly facilitate the transfer of enemy units to other directions, including #Zaporozhye.

▪️ Object coordinates: 46.742078, 32.810467

Earlier, our team had compiled a list of key enemy infrastructure facilities, the removal of which would complicate logistics and supply of enemy troops. Despite the changed configuration of the front line, it is still relevant:

▪️ List of all bridges across the #Dnipro
▪️ List of railway bridges in western Ukraine
▪️ Traction substations: part 1 and part 2
▪️ Critical substations on the border with Poland
▪️ Depots: list 1 and list 2
▪️ Recovery trains

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⚡️🇪🇸🇺🇦🧨 The Wave of Bomb Parcels in Spain - Situation as of 1 Dec 2022⚡️

A series of reports of parcels containing explosive devices arriving at various institutions in the country via domestic mail have been circulating across Spain over the past two days. They are detonated when the recipient attempts to open them.

▪️ On 30 November, an explosion ripped through the Ukrainian embassy in #Madrid. According to media reports, the bomb was in an envelope addressed to Ambassador Serhiy Pohoreltsev. One employee of the representative office was injured, his life is not in danger.

▪️ On the same day, a similar consignment with an improvised explosive device was received by the weapons company Instalaza in #Zaragoza. The company produces C-90 hand-held anti-tank grenade launchers, which #Spain supplies 👉 to the AFU.

▪️ Another parcel bomb was discovered on December 1 at the Torrejón de Ardos Air Force base. Western-made weapons were being supplied to Ukraine from this military facility.

▪️ A little later, it became known that parcels with explosive devices had arrived at the Spanish Defence Ministry and at the address of Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez. However, El Mundo's sources claim that the episode allegedly took place as early as November 24.

Spanish law-enforcement agencies have so far claimed that the cases of bombs sent to the Ukrainian embassy, the air force base and the defence ministry are linked.

🩸 Judging by the geography of the incidents, all the institutions featured in the reported parcels with explosive devices are to some extent involved in the supply of weapons and military equipment to #Ukraine.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🏴 @Rybar on "Virtual" Battalions on the Side of the AFU⚡️

Vladlen Tatarsky wonders where all the volunteer nationalist battalions formed by natives of the North #Caucasus and #Crimea are fighting. Indeed, is there any confirmation of their actual participation in combat operations in Ukraine at all?

🔻 Which formations are we talking about?

▪️ "Sheikh Mansur" Battalion:

Chechens from this battalion have been fighting in Ukraine for many years and took part in the genocide of the #Donbass population in 2014-2016.

It is they, together with the "Dzhokhar Dudayev Battalion", that constitute the "North Caucasian backbone" actively supported in the Western press to foment separatism in the Russian regions in the Caucasus.

Their activities were noted in the #Kherson direction in November after the withdrawal of Russian troops to the left bank of the #Dnipro river.

At the same time, they did not actually take part in the battles, but played the role of the most common units of the thero-defence already after the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces, taking up positions in the second echelon.

▪️ "Muslim Corps - Caucasus":

The volunteer corps as part of the "International Legion of Defence of Ukraine" was formed in May this year.

According to an official statement, it was created "at the request of Muslims living in Ukraine for the freedom of the Caucasian peoples from the oppression of the Russian authorities".

The main contingent consists of natives of the Caucasus, as well as some representatives of Turkic peoples - including Crimean Tatars and Azerbaijanis who took part in the fighting in #Donbass in 2014-2016.

The corps has a Telegram channel that periodically publishes photos from the alleged training of recruits, but their credibility is highly questionable, given that there is still no real evidence of their involvement in the conflict.

▪️ "Crimea" Battalion:

The unit was established in 2014 and mainly consists of Crimean Tatars who fled the peninsula. However, since its formation, there has been no information on the battalion's actual involvement in combat.

In February this year, Nariman Bilyalov (pseudonym Isa Akayev), the founder of the volunteer battalion, announced the reactivation of the battalion, which also included natives of the North Caucasus region.

Since its re-establishment the media have been reporting on the successes of the nationalist formation with some frequency. At the same time, the members of the "Crimea" Battalion" themselves complain about the low level of support from the Ukrainian authorities.

Apart from various interviews and publications on Telegram, there is also no real confirmation of the participation of the Crimean Tatar unit in battles. Back in April, we explained in detail that radical Islamists are nothing more than a tool of Ukrainian propaganda. Moreover, they are actively used to promote separatist ideas in the Russian Federation.

🩸 Despite the militant statements of the representatives of these battalions, most of them fight virtually. Their main purpose is informational influence on representatives of the Turkic and Caucasian peoples of #Russia.

And the prefix "battalion" does not reflect the real reality. In some cases the number of volunteer formations does not exceed a hundred men.

The "Sheikh Mansur" Battalion seems to be taking part in battles, but in the second echelon. Their main task is to broadcast a pretty picture of the "struggle against Russian power" to the population of the Caucasus.

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Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analysesот же батальон «Шейх Мансур» вроде бы участвует в боях, но во втором эшелоне. Их основная задача — трансляция красивой картинки «борьбы с российской властью» на население Кавказа.

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💥 @Rybar: Consequences of the RF Armed Forces' strikes on a Factory in #KrivoyRog⚡️

Last night Russian troops launched a missile strike on infrastructure in #Dnipropetrovsk region. One of the incoming strikes hit the ArcelorMittal steel plant in Krivoy Rog.

Photographs circulated by Ukrainian channels show severe damage to the plant's repair shop. The company has a large fleet of diesel locomotives, as well as the necessary infrastructure to repair and maintain locomotives.

Our German colleagues @Ubersicht_Ukraine_Kanal wrote that the plant's operations were halted about a week ago after massive attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure.

▪️ ArcelorMittal Krivoy Rog (formerly Krivorozhstal) is a subsidiary of one of Arcelor's largest steelmaking companies. In September, we wrote that due to rising steel prices on the European market, other affiliates had to cut production by 80% and increase purchases of steel billets from Krivoy Rog. According to @fifthrepublic, the plant also produces components for French nuclear power plants.

🩸 Stopping the plant and destroying the repair shops not only undermines the logistics of the AFU, but also deprives the Ukrainian budget of a significant portion of revenues from the sale of steel products.

Coordinates: 47.872418, 33.376118

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⚡️🏴‍☠️🇩🇪🏛 SITREP on the Alleged Coup Attempt in Germany⚡️

♦️1. A coup with about 50 people? What would be the point of taking control of a parliament building where almost everyone is never present? A coup without the involvement of larger parts of the security organs would have no chance. The regime parties have hundreds of thousands of members. In addition, media control must be taken into account.

♦️2. The keyword "Reichsbürger" (Citizens of the Reich) makes us sit up and take notice. What is known about the people involved does not look like the so-called "Reichsbürger" scene. "Reichsbürger" is more a propaganda code word to discredit undesirable opinions.

♦️3. In the last coup attempt, the regime and the system media wanted to sell 7 Saxons with an air rifle as dangerous putschists, and oh wonder it worked. A coup d'état was averted and the rabble simply swallowed the obvious lies. The youngster "putschists" called themselves "Revolution Chemnitz" and came into the sights of the security agencies by communicating via Facebook.

🩸Ergo: Extreme caution is required when German propaganda media offer the information. What is really behind the events remains unclear for the time being. The earliest solid information can be expected from the lawyers of the accused.

⚖️ At first view, it seems to be a manoeuvre to divert attention from current problems and to intensify the intimidation of regime critics.

⚠️ @Rybar text👇 translated by @UkrainianPolicyMatters

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🛤 @Rybar's Analysis: What is the State of #Ukraine's Railway System after 9 Months of the #SMO⚡️

Throughout the Special Military Operation, Rybar's team has repeatedly stressed the importance of disabling Ukraine's railway system (railway bridges in the west, lists of traction substations, substations at the border with #Poland, lists of depots and recovery trains), and bridges across the #Dnipro River.

Firing at all the above facilities is critical to cutting the connection between the left and right bank. Since the #Dnipro River has been turned into a natural dividing barrier by the decision of Sergei Surovikin, Commander-in-Chief of the Self-Defence Forces, and Russian troops are building defences on the left bank, it is highly logical to cut off all communication between the banks and cut off the supply of the enemy grouping in #Donbass and along the border with #Russia.

♦️What is the State of the Ukrainian Railway Network now?

▪️ Railway infrastructure facilities, despite intense fighting, are not subjected to not just massive but even sporadic strikes. This allows the enemy to ensure the uninterrupted transfer of armed forces and their supplies along the entire line of contact.

And isolated single strikes on troop loading/unloading points have no effect on this situation.

▪️ The volume of passenger traffic has hardly decreased. In fact, passenger traffic from the frontline towns continues: trains from #Kramatorsk are still running and passenger rail traffic to #Kherson and #Izyum has been re-established.

▪️ The volume of freight traffic has declined due to general problems with the Ukrainian economy and the shutdown of many industrial enterprises. Mostly fuel, coal and grain are transported.

The reduction in traffic has led to the emergence of a general reserve of locomotives (primarily electric locomotives), with which it is possible to reinforce the required transport direction if necessary.

♦️ What about Strikes on Energy Facilities?

Although there are no strikes on traction substations, this is more than compensated for by general strikes on the energy system. Entire lines are de-energized.

And shocks to the energy system also have a negative impact on road blocking systems, communications, maintenance, outfitting and repair facilities.

But railway workers have been able to adapt. At major stations with electrified railways, a reserve of diesel locomotives has been created. This helps minimize delays in case of breaks in the contact network. On direct current sections, diesel locomotive-electric locomotive units are used, which makes it possible to significantly reduce transport time.

♦️ What about the Condition of the Bridges?

Railway bridges over major rivers continue to function. Except for the rendering inoperable of the Antonovsky, Daryevsky and Kakhovskaya HPP bridges during retreat from #Kherson and undermining of bridges during retreat from #Kupyansk, #Izyum and #Lyman, none of the priority bridges have been struck since July.

So far the AFU has not rebuilt any bridges in #Cherkassy, near #Nikolaev at #Trikhaty village, in #Zatoka and #Voskresensk. So it is possible to put them out of action.

🩸The Picture does not look Very Good, does it?

The railways remain operational and continue to successfully manage transportation for both national economy and military purposes. There has been no systemic impact on the railway infrastructure for almost half a year now.

The only negative impacts experienced during transport are solely related to power strikes, but these are so far surmountable. With a shortage of high-precision missiles and no bomber aviation capability, the number of targets is extremely limited.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🇬🇧 @Rybar on the Role of British Marines in Covert Operations in #Ukraine⚡️

In the pages of Britain's The Times for the first time it has been publicly acknowledged that the Royal Marines have been involved in combat operations in Ukraine. Lieutenant General Robert Magowan stated that the Marines had supported some "covert operations" in "extremely delicate circumstances" because it involved "a high level of military and political risk".

Prior to this, the UK had only acknowledged the involvement of Special Air Service (SAS) specialists in operations in #Ukraine.

For example, 350 marines from the 45th Commando Battalion (3rd Commando Brigade) were deployed in #Ukraine to protect diplomats at the beginning of the year. They were transferred from #Norway, where the 45th Battalion was taking part in exercises, to #Poland, and from there they were sent to #Ukraine.

After Russian troops withdrew from #Kiev in April, the marines moved from #Lvov to the Ukrainian capital.

Lieutenant General Magowan admits that in addition to guarding deputations, the marines were engaged in other tasks, taking part in covert operations (but not in combat operations, as the general assures the public).

▪️ In April, the Times acknowledged that Special Air Service personnel had returned to #Kiev to train Ukrainian ATGM crews.

▪️ In May we wrote about British military advisers in the entourage of Oleksandr Starukh, governor of occupied #Zaporozhye.

▪️ In addition, we mentioned the training of Ukrainian SRGs in the #Kharkov region led by British Special Forces to carry out sabotage on Russian territory.

▪️ In June, the fact that British Special Forces were involved in combat operations on the side of #Ukraine was confirmed by a mercenary from the International Legion.

🩸 Hardly anyone doubted that the number of British specialists in #Ukraine would be limited to one hundred soldiers.

We have now received further confirmation of direct military intervention by the British Armed Forces in the military conflict between #Russia and #Ukraine.

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⚡️🌏🇺🇦⚔️ New Arms and Military Equipment Deliveries to #Ukraine ⚡️

The following types of equipment and armaments will be transferred to #Ukraine as part of the new military aid package and are also scheduled for delivery:

🇩🇪 #Germany
➖ 18 RCH-155 wheeled self-propelled guns
➖ missiles for IRIS-T air defence systems
➖ 2 armoured recovery vehicles Bergepanzer 2
➖ 18 8×8 trucks with special loading system (Wechselladesystem)
➖ 30 thousand rounds for 40 mm grenade launchers
➖ 5 thousand 155 mm artillery ammunition
➖ 4 ambulances
➖ 80 pickup trucks
➖ 2 hangar tents
➖ 7 trucks
➖ 90 pieces of anti-defence equipment
➖ 20 Dingo armoured vehicles
➖ 2 M1070 Oshkosh armoured prime movers

🇲🇦 #Morocco
➖ spare parts for the T-72

🇵🇱 #Poland
➖ Newa C-125 SAM system

🇸🇰 #Slovakia
➖ possible delivery of MiG-29 fighters

🇺🇸 #USA
➖ possible delivery of Patriot SAMs
➖ additional ammunition for HIMARS
➖ 80,000 155 mm artillery shells
➖ equipment to counter unmanned aerial systems
➖ anti-aircraft defence equipment
➖ High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWVs) ambulances and medical equipment
➖ 150 generators
➖ Field equipment

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📜🇷🇺🇺🇦〽️ Comment on Ukraine's low Civilian Casualties⚡️

Since February 24, when the special military operation to demilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine started, the Ukrainian conflict has showed a 2% ratio of civilian casualties.

In other words, for every 100 deaths, 98 are military, only 2 civilians.

This is simply the lowest ratio of civilian deaths in the history of great conflicts since the WWI.

If you want to compare with some NATO's wars data, in Korea the ratio was 74%, in Vietnam 46%, in Yugoslavia 56%.

What does that mean?

Simple: Russian forces are really concerned about the risks of the military moves and do their best in order not to kill civilians.

Not even the recent attacks on infrastructure generated a significant number of civilian deaths.

In my opinion, winning such an intense conflict without causing a notorious number of civilian casualties should be reason enough for Vladimir Putin and General Surovikin receive the Nobel Prize together.

The most atrocious dictatorship of our era is being defeated virtually without civilian deaths as collateral damage.

This also reveals that the West does not care about civilians in its wars around the world, since we see more civilian deaths in much less intense conflicts.

And, of course, a relevant fact is that most of these civilian deaths in Ukraine are provoked by Kiev's forces themselves, which deliberately shell demilitarized areas in Donbass, mainly in central Donetsk.

Also, these data does not include the pre-Russian intervention scenario. Since 2014, tens of thousands of civilians were brutally killed by Ukrainian military in Donbass. If these numbers are considered, certainly the figures would be much more shocking.

To sum it up, we can say that the low ratio of deaths is an exclusively Russian achievement.

On the part of Kiev, which is nothing more than a NATO proxy, the deliberate assassination of civilians is still a "tactic".

But for the Russians things work in a different manner.

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💥On Ukraine's Self Firing in #Kherson⚡️

The centre of #Kherson has been under fire since this morning (24 Dec 2022). Ten civilians were killed and more than 55 wounded.

The Ukrainians, naturally, immediately blamed the Russians for everything.

Don't feed us bread, let us kill a Khokhol?!

But they themselves published photos from the sites of the attack, where, according to them, at least 6 missiles from MLRS flew in.

And I show you on the basis of their photos that the attack was carried out by Ukraine itself. Here are the locations of the arrivals, here are the places where the main mass of fragments flew and the map.

It took me 30 minutes at the most! Which hints at the level of organisation of the setup.

Like in Mariupol, when Azov started a massive shelling of the outskirts when ours were still not even close.

Fantastic scum and we know where they live.

The reasons for the AFU's strike on #Kherson can only be guessed at.

According to a number of experts, the explosion of a HIMARS rocket in #Kherson could have been caused by interference with the guidance system by Russian or Ukrainian electric signals systems, leading to a change in the trajectory of the rocket as it flew towards its target on the left bank.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⛓ On Russian Military Captives - Analysis by @Rybar and @Milchronicles⚡️

🇬🇧 Translation by our Partners:
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🔎 Part 👉 1 - 4 or👇

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💥 On the Downing of an Su-25 Attack Aircraft near #Kramatorsk; pub. 22:51⚡️

🔹 Today, reports emerged in the Ukrainian segment of the Telegram about a Su-25 attack aircraft being hit in the sky over #Kramatorsk and crashing somewhere in the vicinity. The press service of the Ukrainian Air South command said that it was a Russian aircraft. However, there is a 99% chance it was not.

▪️ The approximate area where the Su-25 fell is in the vicinity of #Shebelkovka near the #Kramatorsk reservoir. Russian aviation has been practically unable to go deep into Ukrainian territory since last summer because of the enemy's unsuppressed air defence systems.

Yes, in some cases, Su-34 front-line bombers can go several kilometers to drop bombs, but neither they, nor even Su-25s, fly near #Kramatorsk.

According to some information, the Wagner PMC aviation in this regard is somewhat less constrained in operations in comparison with the Aerospace Forces and can operate behind the frontline. But they also does not strike in the vicinity of the #Slavyansk agglomeration due to the large distance.

▪️ In addition, residents of #Kramatorsk were filming this afternoon a Su-25 flying over the city in the direction of #Seversk. The aircraft was shot down around 3pm and crashed west of the #Kramatorsk agglomeration.

The attack aircraft itself took off either from an airport in #Dnepropetrovsk or from the airfield in #Mirgorod in the #Poltava region, from where tactical aviation aircraft are active for flights in the #Kharkov region and over the AFU-occupied part of the DPR.

🔹 How was it hit?

➖ According to colleagues from Turned to War channel @voenacher, the Ukrainian Su-25 was shot down by a R-37 guided air missile from a Su-35S fighter jet, most likely while approaching #Kramatorsk. We do not know the exact route and rely only on the words of eyewitnesses.

➖ Another possibility is friendly fire. Ukrainian air defence units, as well as mobile MANPAD units, could have easily mistaken the Su-25 flying on a combat mission (or vice versa) for a Russian one and hit it.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦📐 On the Tactics of the AFU at #Dnieper - @Rybar's Analysis⚡️

Since late January, Ukrainian formations in the #Kherson region have been much more active in using reconnaissance groups on small speedboats and boats. The enemy is thus monitoring the activities of Russian troops and assessing the risks of landing a tactical landing on the left bank of the #Dnieper.

🔹 What are we talking about?

➖ 24 January near the settlements of #Dnepryany - #Korsunka
➖ 31 January near Kruglik lake near Bolshoy Potemkin Island
➖ 2 February near Krugloye Island in Yegorlyk Bay south of #Kinburn Peninsula
➖ 3 February near Dolgiy Island in Yegorlyksky Bay

In all cases, the AFU did not achieve any significant results, with artillery and assault groups of Russian units defeating Ukrainian SRGs. More than a dozen boats and dinghies were sunk. However, despite the lack of prospects and heavy losses, the Ukrainian formations are not going to stop the sorties to the other side.

🔹 Why?

▪️ It is important for the Ukrainian command to keep the Russian troop group stationed on the left bank in tension. The sorties and sabotage in different parts of the front from the Kinburn Spit to Novaya Kakhovka allow stretching the RF Armed Forces' defences and preventing the redeployment of released forces to other directions.

The length of the front when calculating from #Kakhovka to Kinburn Spit is more than 160 km, and even more from #Energodar area. Covering the rear from possible saboteur infiltration is vital for maintaining security in the liberated territories.

▪️ In addition, the constant use of SRGs makes it possible to assess the state of the Russian army's defence along the #Dnieper. By "probing" various areas, Ukrainian formations intend to identify the least defended for planning a possible crossing of the river.

🔹 Is this possible?

At the moment, a full-scale operation to cross the #Dnieper to the left bank is virtually impossible. The AFU would need enormous resources to carry out such a plan, which the #Kherson region currently lacks.

Most of the regular army units have been withdrawn and transferred to other areas, including #Donetsk, #Soledar and #Zaporozhye. In the region of #Kherson, Territorial Defence forces, mercenaries and detachments of Special Forces and GUR remain.

▪️ However, theoretically, such attempts are possible in the future to restrain our troops in order to force them to move reinforcements to this section and denuding other lines, but not in one or two sections, but in several at once.

In order to distract attention and create the appearance of a main strike, the AFU is likely to ford the #Dnieper near Novaya Kakhovka, #Lvovo, near #Kherson, near Golaya Pristan, and also attempt to land troops in the south and north of the #Kinburn peninsula.

Such an option, if anchored on the left bank, would make it possible to disperse the efforts of the Russian grouping, cut through the defensive lines and secure a bridgehead before the main forces arrive. The forces of the 49th Separate Engineer Brigade are now practically at full strength on the right bank.

📌 The Tactical Task under such a scenario will be to consolidate on the #Kinburn peninsula, which is of great importance for the AFU both in terms of information and propaganda, and strategically to secure #Ochakov and strike at the flank of the RF Armed Forces grouping.

Dozens of new boats and boats have already been deployed to #Kherson and #Ochakov. Strategically, the success of such an operation will make it possible to divert the attention of the RF Armed Forces and strike in a more significant direction - #Zaporozhye.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔎 @Rybar Analysis on the Creation of New Formations in the AFU⚡️

It is no secret that the Ukrainian authorities are intensively mobilising citizens across the country and recruiting everyone who can somehow handle weapons into the armed forces.

If before this process only partially affected Ukrainians in the centre or east of the country and residents of the west, now the situation is different. In #Ternopil region alone they want to enlist about 60,000 people.

Continue reading 👉 Part 1 - 2

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Battle for #Ugledar - #Chronicle & Rybar Analysis; Part 1/3⚡️

Photo and video 👉 footage of a broken Russian military convoy has spread around the net.

Many assigned the losses wrongly to the 155th Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet, which is active in areas southeast of #Ugledar, but this is not the case.

According to the feedback bot, the equipment may have belonged to the 35th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Combined Arms Army (sort of transferred to the operational subordination of the 29th CA).

Regardless of whose equipment it was, the incident is an extremely tragic and unpleasant episode, comparable to the losses of convoys in #Belogorovka, #Brovary, north of #Popasna, in the #Kherson region.

To understand what really happened and who was responsible for sending the column unprotected into the open field, we do a review of the fighting in the #Ugledar Area.

Read here the 👉 Chronicle

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Battle for #Ugledar - Rybar Analysis; Part 2/3⚡️

🔹#Chronicle of the Battle for #Ugledar

▪️ On 23-24 January, fighters from the 155th Pacific Fleet Brigade and the 7th OBTF #Kaskad swooped through the AFU defence and occupied the dacha areas west of #Nikolskoye. The general plan was for several formations to advance simultaneously with a broad front: the plan was to "take #Ugledar in a pincer". But the Marines and #Kaskad, unfortunately, were the only ones who succeeded in breaking through the fighting lines.

Taking advantage of the effect of unexpectedness, the RF Armed Forces took the enemy by surprise: during intense fighting, they advanced towards the populated area, driving out units of the AFU's 68th Separate Jager Infantry Brigade and 72nd Mechanized Brigade towards #Ugledar and the South Donbass mine.

▪️ On 25 January, joint efforts by Marines and Kaskadians reached dacha areas southeast of #Ugledar, entrenching themselves in private homes. Disorganisation in the ranks of the AFU allowed for entrenchment. The first reports emerged of Russian units entering the town itself.

Throughout the day, assault units of the AFU's 72nd Mechanized Brigade tried unsuccessfully to counterattack from #Ugledar and the mine area. Nevertheless, the initial objective of the Russian troops to cut off the supply to #Ugledar was not achieved. The AFU managed to hold the line.

▪️ On 25-26 January, the Russian fighters advanced to the outskirts of the dachas. Separate assault units carried out raids on the outskirts of #Ugledar itself near the pumping station. Concurrently, an advance began from the direction of #Pavlovka towards the southwestern outskirts of #Ugledar.

However, the Ukrainian command had already begun to reinforce the defensive grouping in the town, artillery firing positions had been moved to a safe distance, and mortar crews were ceaselessly mining the approaches. In the meantime, the motorized rifle units of the RF Armed Forces were still unable to reach their planned positions.

▪️ By 27 January, the AFU was able to build a dense defence in #Ugledar. At least three companies were operating at 1km. The supply along the #Ugledar - #Konstantinovka - #Maryinka route was not cut off either physically or by fire. Ukrainian reinforcements were deployed at the main hubs.

▪️ The Marines, supported by artillery and aviation, continued fighting at the dachas near #Ugledar despite the complicated situation. The transfer of additional units of the AFU from the #Soledar direction began.

With each passing day, Ukrainian formations were pulling in more and more reserves to hold this important strategic location. Remote mining of streets and approaches continued - almost all the fields were covered in mines even before the offensive, and during the week of fighting the AFU installed over a hundred more barriers.

Marines of the 35th Naval Brigade and paratroopers of the Ukrainian Air Assault Forces' 80th Separate Air Assault Brigade arrived in #Ugledar to replace the 72nd Brigade, which had suffered heavy losses, and a battalion and tactical group was moved to #Bogatyr to create an operational reserve. Later, the 21st Battalion of the 56th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade, equipped with UAVs and night vision devices, was noted, and a few days ago a BTGr of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade was spotted near #Ugledar. ATGM crews were placed in multi-storey buildings and long-range artillery was firing at the Russian positions.

The initiative of the RF Armed Forces was intercepted!

Read here 👉 Part 3/3

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Battle for #Ugledar - Rybar Analysis; Part 3/3⚡️

▪️ By the end of January the offensive initiative of the RF Armed Forces had all but collapsed. Due to severe weather conditions, aviation could not operate and drones could not be used.

By February 5 the fighting had practically passed into a positional phase. The RF Armed Forces' artillery and aviation were actively firing on the AFU concentration areas, which had lost more than two hundred men killed during the offensive.

The bodies of the dead were impossible to remove due to the lack of transport vehicles and the active fire of the Russian army. The corpses were either simply left behind or taken to the South Donbass mine, where they were abandoned. Kraken nationalists arrived to prevent fleeing the positions.

▪️ In fact, an offensive by the Marines and OBTF alone became simply impossible. Another strike from #Nikolskoye in the direction of the #Maryinka - #Ugledar route and the South Donbass mine was needed to constrain AFU resources and cut off supplies.

▪️ It was at this stage that the entry of motorized infantry troops into the battle to strike the flank of the enemy with an armored fist was imminent and could no longer be delayed. However, an adequate military plan was never properly implemented.

🔹What happened?

Before any offensive, adequate preparation - reconnaissance, artillery and engineering - is necessary to achieve the objectives. UAV crews and forward scouts identify enemy positions, while artillerymen, together with aviation, fire on strongholds and fortifications.

At the same time, Signals Intelligence teams must ensure complete suppression of communications and drones, and engineer and sapper troops must clear the surrounding terrain - otherwise the offensive is doomed to failure.

The delayed engagement of motorized infantry units and the ensuing defeat of the convoy was only possible because of the general unpreparedness of the infantry forces engaged in the area.

The mine clearance of the approaches and the inadequate use of all available electronic warfare equipment led to the predictable result of a fairly narrow opening in the minefield, through which the column of armored vehicles rushed.

The entire route was tracked by UAVs and shot through by artillery and anti-tank crews.

🔹Who is to blame?

We can lay the blame on the command of the group as much as we like but in this particular case the cause of the tragic events was the general unpreparedness of the commanders of battalion and tactical levels, the lack of teamwork of the units involved and the failure to fulfil the combat mission.

The motorized rifle units should have engaged in combat almost simultaneously with the marines, but this did not happen. The unit commanders, probably fearing punishment, reported that their subordinates were fully prepared for the assault, which was far from reality.

Because of absence of elementary cover of radio-electronic and air defence systems and also objective difficulty of full clearance of all approaches to #Ugledar and the dachas (well and insufficient efforts, we shall be honest), there was simply no other variant of movement. The entire convoy was in plain view from the AFU positions at the #Ugledar heights.

However, all the equipment was not destroyed, as the Ukrainian media claimed. Some of it was only damaged and some was left intact. Under favourable conditions it can be pulled out and repaired. Judging by the open hatches, most of the personnel were successfully evacuated, but there were fallen and, alas, they will not be returned.

📌 Fear of the chain of command, the unwillingness to use the experiences of the first SMO year and the usual bureaucracy are the main reasons for the incident. A systemic change is needed in the approach to combat operations - both at the operational-tactical and simply tactical levels. Otherwise Belogorovka and #Ugledar will be repeated from time to time.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🪖 @Rybar's Analysis on Total Mobilisation and the Combat Payment Situation in #Ukraine⚡️

📈 Amid an increase in casualties and cases of surrenders, Ukrainian authorities have stepped up forced mobilisation across #Ukraine.

Replenishment of losses is being carried out by conscripting all citizens into the ranks of the AFU, regardless of whether they have a deferment or severe health problems.

🔹 What is the situation on the home front?

The main tasks of mobilization are assigned to the staff of territorial recruitment centres.

Each of them must fulfil the recruitment plan set by the Ukrainian authorities.

If more are recruited, bonuses are awarded; in the reverse situation, the officer may be called up to the front himself.

▪️ The abolition in #Ukraine of additional payments for security forces on the home front has led to a tightening of mobilisation.

To carry out the plan, armed patrols are on duty on the streets, searching for male personnel and promptly sending them to the front.

▪️ State-owned enterprises have been instructed to provide a list of the 20% least valuable employees who can be mobilised as a priority.

▪️ At the same time, the Ukrainian authorities have initiated total checks on members of the security services and their family members for possible cooperation with Russia.

Even if distant relatives are found in #Russia, the most severe penalties can be imposed on an employee.

🔹 What is the situation with combat pay?

The Ukrainian leadership has stripped 100,000 hryvnia bonuses from fighters and their support staff who are not involved in combat operations on the front.

▪️ Liaison officers, drivers and engineers, even on the line of contact, cannot claim extra pay.

In the event of such an employee's death, their family will not be able to receive the allowance.

▪️ Any payments are only for those on a mission to defeat the enemy, and all others, including AFU soldiers away from the front, can only claim the standard peacetime salary.

🔹What are the implications of this?

Deprivation of additional payments has further exacerbated sentiments among members of Ukrainian formations and their support staff.

▪️ In the armed forces, the AFU command records an exodus of fighters with the legal right to leave military service.

At the same time, the Ukrainian leadership will be able to compensate for the loss of even a quarter of the personnel of the armed forces at the expense of mobilization resources.

▪️ However, the discharged fighters will be replaced not only by untrained unmotivated mobilized soldiers, but also by those with various health problems.

📌 The Ukrainian leadership will use such fighters as expendable material, leaving the most professional units behind or sending them for training under the supervision of NATO instructors.

The main task of the newly mobilised units is to hold the line until elite units are trained and sufficient Western equipment arrives.

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