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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Situation in the #Zaporozhye Direction on 26 Sep 2023 - Analysis by @Multi_XAM⚑️

πŸ”ΉThe AFU
are gradually developing offensive actions in the area of #Verbovoye in the #Orekhov section of the #Zaporozhye front. The enemy managed to advance slightly, expanding the offensive front in the area northwest of #Verbovoye. Over the past three weeks of September, the AFU advanced by 2 kilometres in this area, simultaneously occupying fortified positions south of #Rabotino. Although all these positions are being shelled by our artillery, the enemy is gradually occupying new lines.

πŸ”ΉAccording to new data, the enemy, having rearmed the badly damaged offensive brigades (of the 9th Army Corps), transferred additional equipment to the area between #Rabotino and #Verbovoye, planning to break through the "Surovikin Line" with the forces of the 82nd Airborne Assault, 46th Airmobile, 71st Jaeger, and 118th Mechanized Brigades.

πŸ”ΉAgainst the background of the practical failure of the counteroffensive (if we compare its results with the retreat from #Kharkov and #Kherson regions exactly one year ago), the enemy is trying to present every taken metre of land as a success on a strategic scale. But one thing cannot be taken away from him, the offensiveness of his actions is obvious. After the transfer of reserves to the area in question, we should expect more active attempts by the AFU to break through the line of our defence in the direction of #Tokmak, at the same time widening the offensive line to possibly cover the left flank of the attacking forces and to possibly perform an encirclement (in case they manage to create gaps in the system of our mine barriers).

πŸ”ΉIf at the final stage of the fighting for #Rabotino the enemy, having previously suffered significant losses in equipment, threw manoeuvring infantry forces into the battle, then the expected attacks on #Novoprokopovka are likely to see more dynamic attacking actions by mechanised units, which the AFU command expects to increase their firepower.

πŸ”ΉIt is worth acknowledging the fact that, albeit at the cost of incommensurable losses (more than 200 units of equipment alone), the enemy still managed to push through our defence in this area. But despite this, we cannot speak of this as the main breakthrough of the entire counteroffensive and the breaking of the "Surovikin Line".

πŸ”ΉThe RF Armed Forces are still capable of conducting an organised defence. Even the retreat from #Rabotino did not lead to a significant change in the configuration of the front as a whole. Some Western analysts have expressed fears that the AFU has created a dangerous situation in the #Rabotino - #Verbovoye area, due to the potential possibility of forming a cauldron. It is another matter entirely that we will need to seriously increase our striking power for this to happen.

πŸ“Œ If the Russian Armed Forces continue to use their capabilities wisely and concentrate on repelling localised Ukrainian attacks, this will allow us to significantly overwhelm them, including the operational reserve that has been brought into the fight.

πŸ“œ MultiXAM; 26 Sep 2023, 20:01

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Frontline #Summary for the Morning of 28 September 2023; pub. 08:01⚑️

πŸ”ΉIn the
#Zaporozhye Direction, the AFU made another unsuccessful attempt⚠️ to advance near #Novoprokopovka and #Verbovoye. Despite serious artillery support.
πŸ’₯ The RF Armed Forces struck Ukrainian positions in #Plavni, #Stepnogorsk, Malye Shcherbaki, #Orekhov, Malaya Tokmachka and #Gulyaypole.
πŸ’₯ The AFU shelled Russian ones in #Zherebyanka, #Tokmak, #Kopani, #Ilchenko, #Novopokrovka and #Novofyodorovka. (Fig. 1)

πŸ”ΉIn the #Ugledar Section, the RF Armed Forces counterattacked a number of positions north of #Priyutnoye.
β–ͺ️ The AFU, supported by artillery, tried to move in the direction of Zavetnoye Zhelaniye. Without success.⚠️
πŸ’₯ Ukrainian units in #Staromayorskoye, #Blagodatnoye and #Urozhaynoye came under fire.
πŸ’₯ Russian units in #Priyutnoye, #Staromlynovka, #Kermenchik, #Novodonetskoye and #Novomayorskoye. (Fig. 2)

πŸ”ΉOn the #Donetsk Front, the RF Armed Forces again carried out assault operations in #Maryinka and in the area of #Severnoye (a settlement west of Avdeyevka). No advance.⚠️
πŸ’₯ Under strikes, the AFU in #Novomikhaylovka, #Avdeyevka and #Severnoye (a locality north-west of Gorlovka).
✈️ On the second of the above-mentioned settlements, the Russian Aerospace Forces worked very powerfully.
πŸ’₯ Ukrainian forces were shelling #Donetsk and #Gorlovka. (Fig. 3)

πŸ”ΉIn the #Bakhmut Direction, the AFU, supported by artillery, is trying to break through behind the railway line near #Andreyevka. Partly in this section, the Russian positions are in the "grey zone".⚠️
πŸ’₯ The Russian forces have launched heavy strikes against the AFU in #Konstantinovka (not to be confused with the settlement of the same name southwest of Donetsk), #Kleshcheyevka, #Spornoye and #Seversk.
πŸ’₯ The Ukrainian army shelled the RF Armed Forces in #Ozaryanovka, #Kurdyumovka, and #Bakhmut. (Fig. 4)

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Frontline #Summary for the Morning of 29 September 2023; pub. 08:02⚑️

πŸ”ΉIn the
#Zaporozhye Direction, the RF Armed Forces attacked the AFU positions on the western outskirts of #Rabotino village.
β–ͺ️ In turn, the Ukrainian forces, supported by artillery, continued their offensives on #Novoprokopovka and #Verbovoye. It seems that the threat from the flanks is being ignored by their command.
πŸ’₯ The AFU positions in #Orekhov, #Novodanilovka and Malaya Tokmachka were under attack.
πŸ’₯ Ukrainian artillery was firing at Russian artillery in #Tokmak, #Kopany, #Ilchenko and #Novopokrovka. (Fig. 1)

πŸ”ΉIn the #Ugledar Section, the RF Armed Forces continued successful counterattacks north of #Priyutnoye. There are tactical successes.⚠️
β–ͺ️ After artillery preparation, the AFU tried to advance in the direction of #Zavetnoye Zhelaniye. It didn't work.⚠️
πŸ’₯ Their units in #Urozhaynoye and #Staromayorskoye are under fire.
πŸ’₯ Russian units in #Priyutnoye, #Staromlynovka, #Novodonetskoye and #Novomayorskoye. (Fig. 2)

πŸ”ΉOn the Donetsk Front, another assault by the RF Armed Forces in #Maryinka. Attacks on #Pervomayskoye have resumed.
πŸ’₯ The Russian Aerospace Forces launched a powerful strike on #Avdeyevka. (Fig. 3)

πŸ”ΉIn the #Bakhmut Direction, the AFU tried to break through, bypassing #Kurdyumovka, through the railway line straight to #Zelenopolye. No promotion.⚠️
β–ͺ️ Russian troops contracted at #Andreyevka, #Kleshcheyevka and in the direction of #Grigorovka. The line of contact has not changed.⚠️
β–ͺ️ Everywhere there are heights behind the AFU.⚠️ (Fig. 4)

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the SMO #Highlights in the Territory of the Former Ukraine by 19:15 Moscow Time for 30 September 2023⚑️

πŸ”Ή1.
#Zaporizhzhya Direction:
β–ͺ️ The enemy has reduced the intensity of attacks in the direction. Some brigades have been withdrawn to the rear for replenishment and re-staffing. In a number of areas the enemy went on the defensive.
β–ͺ️ We can observe the rotation and preparation of the transferred brigades for the resumption of intensive attacks in the #Orekhov section in the first two weeks of October.
πŸ“Œ The main objectives are to take #Novoprokopovka and #Verbovoye and try to advance to #Tokmak.
Possible auxiliary and diversionary strikes across the #Dnieper in the area of #Zaporozhye region and Novaya Kakhovka by the forces of 3 Marine Brigades transferred to the #Zaporozhye region and withdrawn from the #Zaporozhye and #Vremyevka directions.

πŸ”Ή2. #Vremyevka Ledge:
β–ͺ️ The intensity of the enemy's attacks has fallen dramatically. The enemy is rotating and re-equipping the battered units and formations.
β–ͺ️ There are preparations to resume possible attacks near #Priyutnoye and #Novomayorskoye.
In the area of #Urozhaynoye the enemy went on the defensive.
πŸ“Œ Resumption of offensive actions is expected from the second week of October. The main task of the enemy is to try to break through to #Staromlynovka.

πŸ”Ή3. #Artyomovsk:
β–ͺ️ The RF Armed Forces have gained a foothold in Orekhovo-Vasilyevka, the western part of the village is in the grey zone, there is virtually no enemy in the village.
β–ͺ️ The enemy is building up forces near Chasov Yar and Ray Aleksandrovka in order to launch counterattacks to retake Orekhovo-Vasilyevka.
β–ͺ️ There is an accumulation of forces on the #Seversk ledge in order to intensify actions in the direction of #Kremennaya, as well as a possible resumption of attacks in the #Soledar direction.
β–ͺ️ Fighting continues south of the city on the #Kleshcheyevka - #Andreyevka - #Kurdyumovka line. The enemy has failed to secure full control over #Andreyevka and #Kleshcheyevka.
β–ͺ️ #Andreyevka is destroyed and for the most part is in the grey zone. In #Klescheyevka the enemy controls the southern and part of the central part of the village, the rest is in the grey zone.
β–ͺ️ Attempts to break through the railway line, to which our troops have withdrawn, were bought off by timely counterattacks of the RF Armed Forces.
β–ͺ️ #Kurdyumovka remains under full control of the RF Armed Forces.
πŸ“Œ Intensive fighting is expected to continue south of #Artyomovsk. Both sides have deployed additional forces there. On our side, among others, the Redut PMC, which is manned by former Wagner fighters, is operating there.

πŸ”Ή4. #Svatovo - #Kupyansk:
β–ͺ️ Positional battles continue west of #Kremennaya without tangible advances. The enemy regularly attacks at the expense of transferred reserves, but without much advancement.
β–ͺ️ In fact, these attacks are rather hindering our activation in the direction of #Torskoye, #Terny and the bank of the #Seversky Donets beyond #Belogorovka.
β–ͺ️ West of #Svatovo, the RF Armed Forces continue to press the AFU in the direction of #Oskol and, in the meantime, are launching regular strikes on crossings and bridges, complicating the AFU's logistics.
β–ͺ️ In the area of #Kupyansk, fighting continues at #Sinkovka, #Dvurechnaya and #Petropavlovka. There is some advancement at #Kislovka Station.

πŸ“œ Boris Rozhin specially for Voenkor Kotenok Z Channel

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Immediate Plans of the AFU⚑️

πŸ’¬ From reliable sources
it became known that in the period from 5 to 15 October the AFU is planning another stage of land offensive. This is the last option to gain a foothold before the onset of autumn thaw.

πŸ”Ή From the area of #Pokrovsk (former #Krasnoarmeysk) and #Dobropolye from the territory of training camps, personnel and equipment are transferred partially transferred to #Zaporozhye, and the main part, to the #SouthDonetsk direction.

πŸ”Ή In the first ten days of October, the main breakthrough is planned from Velikaya Novoselovka, Zolotaya Niva and #Staromayorskoye through Krasnaya Polyana towards #Volnovakha. Equipment is also being transferred from #Dnepropetrovsk to the #Zaporozhye direction. Abrams tanks were seen as part of the columns, and American M113 and Bradley armored personnel carriers were transported in trucks with the inscription β€œNova Poshta” (one truck can accommodate up to 2 units of equipment).

πŸ”Ή Kiev is tense, the goals of the counteroffensive have not been achieved, no matter how much the General Staff tries to justify itself to Bankova with the successes at #Rabotino.

❗️Therefore, the AFU command received the task to occupy #Tokmak, #Bakhmut and #Kremennaya not later than November, without considering the losses of personnel, who are already pretty shattered.

πŸ”Ή In order to divert attention with the beginning of the offensive, the enemy can carry out drone strikes on military facilities (primarily airfields and ammunition depots) and civilian targets in #Crimea and #Donetsk, and intensify the sending of SRGs into our territory to carry out high profile sabotage. Several such groups have already been prepared on the territory of #Kharkov region.

πŸ”Ή In the general turmoil, the AFU does not exclude the possibility of forcing the #Dnieper River in the #Kherson region, in connection with which the accumulation of light engine boats continues in the areas where the enemy forces are concentrated on the right bank.

πŸ“Œ So the next two weeks could be hot.

πŸ“œ MultiXAM; 2 Oct 2023, 15:37

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the SMO #Highlights in the Territory of the Former Ukraine by 21:34 Moscow Time for 4 October 2023⚑️

πŸ”Ή1.
#Pyatikhatki:
β–ͺ️ No changes, the enemy's activity remains low.

πŸ”Ή2.#Kopani - #Rabotino - #Verbovoye:
β–ͺ️ The enemy continued attacks, and had some advancement in the landings.
β–ͺ️ More intensive enemy offensive activity is expected in the coming days. The main efforts will be concentrated on the section #Kopani - #Rabotino and in the direction of #Novoprokopovka.
πŸ“Œ The operational objective is a breakthrough to #Tokmak.

πŸ”Ή3.#Vremyevka Ledge:
β–ͺ️ No significant changes, the enemy is regrouping.
β–ͺ️ The RF Armed Forces are trying to push back some positions near #Urozhaynoye and #Novomayorskoye.

πŸ”Ή4. #Artyomovsk Direction:
β–ͺ️ Our troops are holding positions in the area of Orekhovo-Vasilyevka, from where the AFU has recently been squeezed out.
β–ͺ️ To the south of the city fighting continues for the ruins of #Andreyevka and #Kleshcheyevka.
πŸ“Œ The enemy's attempts to break through the railway failed.

πŸ”Ή5.#Svatovo - #Kupyansk Direction:
β–ͺ️ The RF Armed Forces have small tactical movements west of #Svatovo.
β–ͺ️ Positional battles continue in the area of #Kupyansk to the northeast of the city.

πŸ“Œ In general, the intensification of active hostilities is expected in the next 4-7 days in a number of directions. Both sides are actively preparing for this.

πŸ“œ Boris Rozhin specially for Voenkor Kotenok Z Channel

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Frontline #Summary for the Morning of 10 October 2023; pub. 08:01⚑️

πŸ”ΉIn the
#Zaporozhye Direction, the RF Armed Forces launched a counterattack near #Novoprokopovka. The AFU, in turn, is trying to expand its left flank in the area of the main strike. With the support of artillery, they managed to advance west of #Novofyodorovka.⚠️ This does not pose a threat to the Russian garrison in #Verbovoye, as there is a strong defence line of the RF Armed Forces to the south.
β–ͺ️ The AFU also tried to move on the village itself after shelling. Without success.⚠️
πŸ’₯ Ukrainian positions in #Lobkovoye, #Pyatikhatki, #Steponoye (not to be confused with the settlements of the same name on the Ugledar and Donetsk directions: also called #Petrovskoye), #Orekhov, #Novodanilovka, Malaya Tokmachka and #Gulyaypole are under fire.
πŸ’₯ The Russian, in #Zherebyanka, #Nesteryanka, #Kopani, #Tokmak, Sladkaya Balka, #Ilchenkov, #Pshenychnoye, #Ocheretovatoye, #Novopokrovka and #Romanovskoye. (Fig. 1)

πŸ”ΉOn the #Donetsk Front, the RF Armed Forces attacked near #Novomikhaylovka. Powerful assault actions in #Maryinka. Another attempt to break through the Ukrainian defences on the southern approaches to #Avdeyevka. (Fig. 2)

πŸ”ΉIn the #Bakhmut Direction, fierce counter battles for the railway line near #Andreyevka and #Kleshcheyevka. This area is partly in the "grey zone" near the first of the above mentioned settlements.⚠️
β–ͺ️ The RF Armed Forces counterattacked from the direction of Dubovo-Vasilyevka towards #Bogdanovka. (Fig 3)

πŸ”ΉIn the #Lugansk Direction, Russian forces have launched large scale offensives.⚠️ They are attacking the AFU in #Makeyevka, #Ivanovka and #Sinkovka. Powerful armoured groups are involved. (Fig. 4)

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦β˜ οΈ The Road of Death towards #Verbovoye⚑️

πŸ”ΉThe decisive Event
of the 2023 summer campaign was the beginning of a large scale offensive by the Ukrainian armed forces in the #Zaporozhye direction. The plan of the AFU command included delivering the main attack in the direction of #Tokmak and further to #Melitopol in order to cut the grouping of our troops into two parts and deprive #Crimea of ​​a land transport corridor.

πŸ”ΉDuring the offensive operations, Ukrainian troops made some progress, but fell into the β€œfire bag” of the RF Armed Forces in the #Rabotino area. Attempts to expand the area of ​​the planned breakthrough towards #Verbovoye failed. As a result of numerous unsuccessful attacks, the enemy suffered significant losses in armored and vehicle equipment.

πŸ”ΉThe LOSTARMOUR Project presents a general overview of the battlefield and the circumstances of the death of AFU equipment in the area of #Verbovoye area. The footage shows only a small part of the Ukrainian losses; the number of destroyed armored vehicles of the AFU in the 'fire bag' in the forefield of the Russian main defensive line is in the hundreds.

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πŸ“œ LOSTARMOUR; 23 Oct 2023, 14:07

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ The Storming of #Avdeyevka and More⚑️

πŸ”ΉI a. Northern Front:

β–ͺ️ The β€œVostokers” who took him were great (they took him twice through heroism and losses). This is the dominant height. If you manage to hold on and gain a foothold on it, this will give control to #Koksokhim, and #Koksokhim about a third of #Avdeyevka. From the ash dump #Koksokhim is visible in its entirety even without special surveillance equipment.

β–ͺ️The Khokhols have no opportunity to gain a foothold there. Then it's a question of technique. The ash dump covers the railway, through which they used to bring mostly everything. Now the Khokhols have not such opportunities, and there are no other good roads there either, by and large. Theoretically, the situation of the Khokhols is so bad. It is clear that they will be transported across the fields, they will have to make tracks, but they will not have the volume as before.

β–ͺ️ We were squeezed out of #Berdychi (⚠️not reported in the other reports), and we are suffering heavy losses.⚠️

πŸ”ΉI b. Southern Front:

β–ͺ️ The offensive has slowed down. From the side of #Vodyanoye we are trying to break through in several directions at once. For now we're heading towards #Pervomayskoye . It’s very difficult to go north, the enemy covers towards #Severnoye and doesn’t let you stick your head out. There are losses.

πŸ”ΉI c. It is difficult to say now how much the Svidomites will fight for #Avdeyevka, as for #Bakhmut. But the fact that their situation in #Avdeyevka has now become much worse is a medical fact. We'll see later.

β–ͺ️ The main thing is that our guys don’t get into trouble, but start to squeeze and dig in competently, maybe even stop for a while, accumulate, and then rush again.

πŸ”Ή II. Zaporozhye Direction:

β–ͺ️ The situation is heating up, for the second day in the #Tokmak area they are shelling artillery like crazy. Perhaps this is how they divert attention in order to prevent us from transferring reinforcements to liquidate the AFU bridgeheads on the left bank of the #Dnieper.

πŸ”ΉIII. Kherson direction. The enemy has two bridgeheads on our bank of the #Dnieper and has gained a foothold. The second week we knock them out. Active, aviation and art. There are still a few Svidomites, groups of 50-70 militants. So far, with losses, they have managed to evacuate, pull out the wounded, and transfer reserves. In principle, the situation is not simple.

πŸ“œ Voenkor Kotenok; 24 Oct 2023, 23:12

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Frontline #Summary for the Morning of 1 November 2023; pub. 08:01⚑️

πŸ”ΉIn the
#Kherson-#Crimea Direction, Ukrainian troops supported by artillery again attacked near #Poyma and #Peschanoye. There is counter fighting in #Krynki. Russian artillery is working on AFU positions in the village.
πŸ’₯ Ukrainian units in #Kherson, #Antonovka, #Sadovoye, #Tyaginka and #Berislav are also under fire.
πŸ’₯ Russian ones, in Golaya Pristan, #Alyoshki and #Podstepnoye. A missile strike on #Sevastopol. (Fig. 1)

πŸ”ΉIn the #Zaporozhye Direction, the AFU managed to advance⚠️ slightly from the #Shcherbaki side towards #Mirnoye and west of #Rabotino village. Thus, they are seeking to expand the offensive front and the already occupied bridgehead in the direction of #Tokmak.
β–ͺ️ Ground attacks by Ukrainian units near #Novoprokopovka and #Verbovoye have not been successful.⚠️ (Fig. 2)

πŸ”ΉOn the #Donetsk Front, the RF Armed Forces, supported by long range weapons, conducted offensive operations in #Maryinka, near the town of #Krasnogorovka, #Pervomayskoye, and #Severnoye (a settlement west of Avdeyevka). There was fighting near the #Slagheap close to the Avdeyevka Coke Plant. After shelling, the RF Armed Forces attacked the AFU positions near #Steponoye (not to be confused with the settlements of the same name in the Zaporozhye and Ugledar directions, also called #Petrovskoye). (Fig. 3)

πŸ”ΉIn the #Bakhmut Direction, Ukrainian troops, supported by artillery, attacked near #Zelenopolye and from the direction of #Andreyevka and #Kleshcheyevka. Similar actions of the RF Armed Forces from #Berkhovka to #Bogdanovka. (Fig. 4)

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