⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the Situation in the #Avdeyevka Direction on 14 May 2024 at 20:11⚡️

🔻1. Around #Ocheretino, the RFAF continue to expand the control zone around the locality. Fighting continues in the direction of the settlements of #Sokol, #Novoaleksandrovka and #Kalinovo.

🔻2. South of #Ocheretino, the RFAF continue to pressure in the direction of #Novopokrovskoye settlement, which has now been supplemented by an active offensive to the west of #Semyonovka, where the enemy has lost a number of positions in landings, which he held since the beginning of the fighting on the #Berdychi - #Tonenkoye line.

🔻3. The enemy continues to pull up reserves to the "Ocheretinsky flower" in an effort to reduce the risks of further breakthroughs in the direction of western #Donbass, including withdrawing troops from the #Zaporozhye and #Kherson directions.
🟡The difficult situation for the AFU in the area of #ChasovYar and in the #Kharkov direction also makes it difficult for reserves to maneuver and prevents the AFU from concentrating forces necessary to stop problems in the area of #Ocheretino.
🟡In this regard, the strategy of the General Staff of the RFAF to pull apart the reserves of the AFU is bearing fruit.

🔻4. In the area of #Umanskoye, the RFAF continue to fight in the village, with limited progress towards the western outskirts of the settlement.
🟡Fighting also continues for landings north of #Umanskoye.

🔻5. In the area of #Netaylovo, the RFAF are fighting in the western part of the village and strengthening the control zone in the industrial zone.
🟡There are also attacks on landings to the east and southeast of the #Yasnobrodovka settlement.

📌 In general, the RFAF confidently maintain the initiative in this area. By transferring reserves, the enemy was able to partially slow down the development of the Russian offensive, but could not completely stop it, which is the key to the future problems of the AFU west of #Avdeyevka.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the Situation in the #Avdeyevka Direction on 16 May 2024 at 23:56⚡️

🔻1. #Netaylovo:
🟡The RFAF have advanced to the western outskirts of the village.
🟡Reports of complete control of #Netaylovo are still ahead of events. The enemy still maintains a presence on the western outskirts, but the village is actually been lost for the AFU.
🟡After its capture and cleansing, the RFAF will begin to probe the enemy's defences on the near approaches to #Karlovka.
🟡We can expect increased pressure on #Yasnobrodovka from the east and southeast.

🔻2. #Novopokrovskoye:
🟡The RFAF continue to press from the north and northeast towards the outskirts of the settlement.
🟡The enemy is stubbornly resisting and still retains control of the village.
🟡West of #Semyonovka, the RFAF are continuing to advance. During the day, the enemy lost a number of positions.

🔻3. #Ocheretino breakthrough:
🟡The RFAF continue to put pressure on the enemy in the direction of #Sokol and #Novoaleksandrovka, as well as on the enemy's fortified area covering #Kalinovo from the south.
🟡The control zone around #Ocheretino continues to expand.
🟡In the coming week, we can expect an intensification of attacks on #Kalinovo and #Novoalexandrovka.

📌In general, west of #Avdeyevka. the RFAF continue to develop the initiative, while the enemy, even at the expense of transferred reserves, cannot fully stabilise the front.
🟡Strengthening in some areas, the enemy is faced with the need to retreat in others. At the same time, even according to official estimates, the current line of defence around #Ocheretino is perceived as temporary, where the task is to contain and slowly withdraw, preventing a repeat of the "Ocheretino breakthrough" in the direction of #Krasnoarmeysk.
🟡In the context of intense fighting for #ChasovYar and the offensive of the RFAF in the #Kharkov direction (intense fighting for #Volchansk and #Liptsy), maintaining a high intensity of hostilities west of #Avdeyevka creates a serious dilemma for the AFU in terms of the distribution of remaining reserves.
🟡The General Staff of the RFAF takes into account the factor of overstrain of enemy reserves. Whether it will be possible to use this factor to find a new vulnerability in the enemy's front, we will see in the coming weeks.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the Situation in the #Avdeyevka Direction until 20 May 2024 at 00:32⚡️

🔻1. #Netaylovo:
🟡The village has not yet been completely taken, although most of it is already under RFAF control.
🟡The enemy resists in every possible way on the outskirts to gain time to prepare the #Karlovka and #Yasnobrodovka defence, the pressure on which will after the loss of #Netaylovo increase.
🟡#Yasnobrodovka itself is still under the enemy. Fights are ongoing east and southeast of the village's outskirts.
🟡#Netaylovo is likely to be fully liberated in the next 7-10 days.

🔻2. #Umanskoye:
🟡A similar situation has developed.
🟡Most of the village is under RFAF control.
🟡The enemy continues to defend himself in the western and northwestern parts.
🟡He resists, because he understands that with the loss of it, he will have to leave a significant part of the adjacent territories.

🔻3. #Novopokrovskoye:
🟡The main fights continued at its northern and northeastern outskirts.
🟡The village itself is still completely under AFU control, incl. the forces that managed to retreat from #Berdychi.
🟡West of #Semyonovka, pressure also continues, but the pace of progress has dropped somewhat after the successes of past week, which moved the front away from its outskirts.

🔻4. #Ocheretino:
🟡Fights continued in the direction of #Sokol and #Novoaleksandrovka. The enemy is still holding the defence and does not allow the RFAF to enter and gain a foothold in these settlements.
🟡At the same time, the enemy spends Western armoured vehicles quite intensively.
🟡The RFAF continue to put pressure on the fortified area covering #Kalinovo, which is still under RFAF control.
🟡North of #Arkhangelskoye and #Novokalinovo, the RFAF slightly expanded the control zone.

📌 In General, the RFAF continue to maintain the initiative to the west of #Avdeyevka, while the main advance over the past week has been not in the #Ochertino, but in the #Netaylovo area.
🟡The enemy expects an increase in Russian attacks to synchronise them with the offensive in the #Kharkov region, which forced the AFU to use up part of their reserves.
🟡Western experts note the continuing risk of further front breakthroughs west of #Avdeyevka.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the Situation in the #Avdeyevka Direction until 25 May 2024 at 00:27⚡️

🔻1. #Netaylovo:
🟡The village is almost under full RFAF control.
🟡The 59th AFU Brigade, defending the village, is suffering heavy losses in killed, wounded, and prisoners. The brigade command is trying to shift responsibility for failures to higher management, referring to poor equipment and a general shortage of personnel.
🟡#Karlovka has not yet been entered by Russian troops, the enemy continues measures to strengthen #Karlovka, for which fighting will soon begin.

🔻2. #Umanskoye:
🟡The RFAF have actually completed its liberation and against the background of the ongoing cleanup, they began to expand the control zone to the north and northwest of the village.
🟡South of #Umanskoye, the movement continues onto the outskirts of #Yasnobrodovka, which the enemy is still holding.
🟡The Netaylovo-Umanskoye road, passing to the east of Yasnobrodovka's outskirts of, is under full RFAF control.

🔻3. #Ocheretino:
🟡Fighting continues to the north and northeast of the outskirts of #Novopokrovskoye. So far, no significant progress.
🟡West of #Semyonovka, the pressure of the RFAF remains.
🟡West of #Ocheretino, there are battles towards #Sokol. The enemy is trying to counterattack with the forces of the 47th Mechanised Brigade, actively spending Western equipment and losing Abrams and Bradley quite regularly.
🟡To the northwest, there are battles on the outskirts of #Novoaleksandrovka. The main part of the village is still behind the enemy.
🟡North of #Ocheretino, the RFAF are fighting for the fortified area at #Kalinovo and the enemy positions covering #Rozovka.

📌 If we look at it as a whole, the enemy, having abandoned available reserves to stop the RFAF advance in the #Ocheretino area, weakened its positions south of the locality, which allowed the RFAF to quickly push through the AFU defence in #Netaylovo and #Umanskoye.
🟡This prevented the AFU from stabilising the situation. The crisis west of #Avdeyevka continues to develop, while a significant part of the remaining AFU reserves are now shackled by fighting in the north of the #Kharkov region.
🟡In the case of new front breakthroughs west of #Adveyevka, a situation may arise when it will again be necessary to withdraw troops from other directions due to their weakening, which plays into the hands of the Russian strategy of "tapping" the front to search for critical vulnerabilities.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Summary for the Morning of 28 May 2024: 08:02⚡️

🇺🇦 By PETRENKO ✙ REPORTS

🔴 In the #ChasovYar direction, without significant changes. The APU managed to repel a mechanised enemy attack east of #ChasovYar. Small assault groups of Russian troops continue to try to improve their tactical positions on the outskirts of #Kalinovka and in the Kanal Microdistrict.

🔴 In #Pokrovskoye direction, the enemy continues to press east of #Novoaleksandrovka, north and east of #Sokol, east of #Novopokrovskoye, west of #Semyonovka and north of #Umanskoye.
🟡 Under the latter, the enemy advanced to a depth of 750 m.
🟡 South and southeast of #Netaylovo, Russian troops advanced to the Domakha Beam in a section up to 2.4 km wide and up to 1 km deep. ⭐️Map👆

🔴 In the #Kurakhovo direction, fighting for #Krasnogorovka continues.

⚠️ My comments are marked with ⭐️

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