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🔎🇨🇳🇷🇺🇺🇦 Through the Lens: Chinese think-tank on the Ukraine crisis
Throughout the year, the crisis in Ukraine has exhibited several features. A war of attrition with significant losses — the Ukraine crisis has thus far lasted more than 600 days, and both sides have invested considerable human, material, and financial resources.
A protracted tug-of-war — in 2023, the two sides have made limited changes in the front. Neither Russia nor Ukraine can launch a decisive offensive to turn the tide of the war.
The road to a political settlement Is long and difficult. The reasons are:
1️⃣ The Russian and Ukrainian positions are diametrically opposed. Russia cannot accept defeat, refuses to abandon the existing front, and will continue pushing forward. Ukraine refuses to acknowledge the status quo and seeks to recover its territory. The battlefield will remain relatively balanced in the short term, making it difficult to see fundamental changes.
2️⃣ The United States and Europe will continue to aid Ukraine, but fatigue is becoming apparent. At the beginning of the Ukraine crisis, 72% of Americans actively supported aid to Ukraine, but that number had fallen to approximately 63% by October 2023. In April 2022, 33% of EU respondents strongly supported supplying arms to Ukraine, a figure that had dropped to 24% in August 2023.
Broad and far-reaching global impact
The prolonged Ukraine crisis has contributed to a reconfiguration of relations among the major countries and the global order.
▪️One such change is the definitive termination of the post-Cold War order. Russia and the United States are at loggerheads, and through the Ukrainian crisis, they hope to push for a renewal of the international order.
The second is the rising risk of conflict between the major countries. The Ukraine crisis has lowered the bottom line of national competition. All parties are now willing to resort to extreme means to achieve their goals.
▪️The third is the strengthening of the Western camp. The US has also greatly exaggerated the “Russian threat” and further activated small multilateral security mechanisms with Japan and South Korea, the UK, and Australia.
The strategic buffer between NATO and Russia has disappeared, creating a clear geopolitical divide and plunging Europe into a new Cold War.
🔻 The Ukraine crisis has sparked a series of regional hotspots:
In September 2023, Azerbaijan began an anti-terrorist operation in the Nagorno-Karabakh region, achieving total victory.
The US and the West have pushed Japan and South Korea to strengthen cooperation and plotted to strengthen the Northeast Asian alliance system; this is likely to result in the great power game around the Korean Peninsula becoming increasingly fierce.
The adjustment of relations between the major countries brought about by the Ukraine crisis is also an incentive for resuming the Israeli—Palestinian conflict.
❗️The protracted Ukraine crisis is one of the most critical events in the evolution of the contemporary international order. The international community must make concerted efforts to advance the peace process.
Full report
China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations is a prominent think-tank working directly under Chinese government.
#China #Russia #Ukraine
@asianomics
Throughout the year, the crisis in Ukraine has exhibited several features. A war of attrition with significant losses — the Ukraine crisis has thus far lasted more than 600 days, and both sides have invested considerable human, material, and financial resources.
A protracted tug-of-war — in 2023, the two sides have made limited changes in the front. Neither Russia nor Ukraine can launch a decisive offensive to turn the tide of the war.
The road to a political settlement Is long and difficult. The reasons are:
1️⃣ The Russian and Ukrainian positions are diametrically opposed. Russia cannot accept defeat, refuses to abandon the existing front, and will continue pushing forward. Ukraine refuses to acknowledge the status quo and seeks to recover its territory. The battlefield will remain relatively balanced in the short term, making it difficult to see fundamental changes.
2️⃣ The United States and Europe will continue to aid Ukraine, but fatigue is becoming apparent. At the beginning of the Ukraine crisis, 72% of Americans actively supported aid to Ukraine, but that number had fallen to approximately 63% by October 2023. In April 2022, 33% of EU respondents strongly supported supplying arms to Ukraine, a figure that had dropped to 24% in August 2023.
Broad and far-reaching global impact
The prolonged Ukraine crisis has contributed to a reconfiguration of relations among the major countries and the global order.
▪️One such change is the definitive termination of the post-Cold War order. Russia and the United States are at loggerheads, and through the Ukrainian crisis, they hope to push for a renewal of the international order.
The second is the rising risk of conflict between the major countries. The Ukraine crisis has lowered the bottom line of national competition. All parties are now willing to resort to extreme means to achieve their goals.
▪️The third is the strengthening of the Western camp. The US has also greatly exaggerated the “Russian threat” and further activated small multilateral security mechanisms with Japan and South Korea, the UK, and Australia.
The strategic buffer between NATO and Russia has disappeared, creating a clear geopolitical divide and plunging Europe into a new Cold War.
🔻 The Ukraine crisis has sparked a series of regional hotspots:
In September 2023, Azerbaijan began an anti-terrorist operation in the Nagorno-Karabakh region, achieving total victory.
The US and the West have pushed Japan and South Korea to strengthen cooperation and plotted to strengthen the Northeast Asian alliance system; this is likely to result in the great power game around the Korean Peninsula becoming increasingly fierce.
The adjustment of relations between the major countries brought about by the Ukraine crisis is also an incentive for resuming the Israeli—Palestinian conflict.
❗️The protracted Ukraine crisis is one of the most critical events in the evolution of the contemporary international order. The international community must make concerted efforts to advance the peace process.
Full report
China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations is a prominent think-tank working directly under Chinese government.
#China #Russia #Ukraine
@asianomics
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 16 Apr 2024, Main; pub. 19:02⚡️
▪️ Russian military personnel repelled 10 counterattacks, improved the position along the frontline and took more advantageous positions, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;
▪️ Kiev lost more than 1.100 militants, Western artillery pieces and other equipment, an ammo depot and a Grad MLRS vehicle were destroyed, MoD added;
▪️ During the day, 155 Ukrainian UAVs, 6 Storm Shadows, 2 HARM missiles, 4 MALD decoys, as well as 2 HIMARS and Uragan shells were shot down, the report specified;
▪️ The FSB of #Russia reported the detention of a Russian who, on instructions from the Ukrainian special service, remotely blew up the car of ex-SBU officer Prozorov;
▪️ #Ukraine tried to attack #Russia using a small-sized balloon. It was destroyed by air defence over the #Kursk region, MoD said;
▪️ Chinese President Xi Jinping said that #China stands for convening an equal international peace conference to resolve the Ukrainian crisis;
▪️ Zelensky on Tuesday signed a bill to tighten mobilisation in #Ukraine;
▪️ The coordinator of the #Nikolayev underground, Lebedev, told RIA Novosti about a strike on Kiev-controlled #Zaporozhye, a hit on a AFU depot in the city of #Uman, #Cherkassy region, as well as a military airfield in the #Khmelnitsky region.
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🇨🇳🇹🇼 Beijing wields warplanes, trade and travel to pressure Taiwan’s next president
As Lai Ching-te prepares to take office as Taiwan’s next president, Beijing appears to be using a dual strategy of military plane fly-bys and relaxed travel and food import restrictions to ramp up pressure on the island’s next leader, according to observers.
Last weekend, 12 People’s Liberation Army aircraft crossed the unofficial median line of the Taiwan Strait, with an unspecified number flying as close as 68.5km from the northern Taiwanese city of Keelung. It marked the closest-ever fly-by the island’s military has disclosed to the public.
At the same time, Beijing’s vice-minister of culture and tourism Rao Quan announced that residents of Fujian province would be the first to resume visits to Matsu, a Taiwanese defense outpost near the mainland coast.
Additionally, a senior mainland customs official said that imports of Taiwanese pomelos and two types of seafood would resume. These imports had been banned in August 2022 in retaliation for a visit to Taiwan by then US House speaker Nancy Pelosi.
#China #Taiwan
@asianomics
As Lai Ching-te prepares to take office as Taiwan’s next president, Beijing appears to be using a dual strategy of military plane fly-bys and relaxed travel and food import restrictions to ramp up pressure on the island’s next leader, according to observers.
Last weekend, 12 People’s Liberation Army aircraft crossed the unofficial median line of the Taiwan Strait, with an unspecified number flying as close as 68.5km from the northern Taiwanese city of Keelung. It marked the closest-ever fly-by the island’s military has disclosed to the public.
At the same time, Beijing’s vice-minister of culture and tourism Rao Quan announced that residents of Fujian province would be the first to resume visits to Matsu, a Taiwanese defense outpost near the mainland coast.
Additionally, a senior mainland customs official said that imports of Taiwanese pomelos and two types of seafood would resume. These imports had been banned in August 2022 in retaliation for a visit to Taiwan by then US House speaker Nancy Pelosi.
#China #Taiwan
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🇨🇳🇹🇼 China opens new air routes near Taiwanese islands
China's aviation regulator said it had opened new air routes to the Chinese cities of Xiamen and Fuzhou with flight paths situated very close to the Taiwan-controlled islands of Kinmen and Matsu.
Taiwan's…
China's aviation regulator said it had opened new air routes to the Chinese cities of Xiamen and Fuzhou with flight paths situated very close to the Taiwan-controlled islands of Kinmen and Matsu.
Taiwan's…
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 16 May 2024, Main⚡️
▪️ Russian troops, as a result of active operations in the #Kharkov region, advanced into the depths of the enemy’s defence, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) reported;
▪️ Russian troops are already on the approaches to #Liptsy in the #Kharkov region, artillery and aviation are constantly working, the head of the Russian administration of the region, Ganchev said;
▪️ According to MoD, Ukrainian troops lost up to 1,380 militantsi n all directions over the day, a Ukrainian depot for storing unmanned boats was destroyed, three MiG-29s were shot down;
▪️ #Russia and #China call to prevent the crisis in #Ukraine from moving into an uncontrollable phase, follows from the text of a joint statement after negotiations between Putin and Xi Jinping;
▪️ Moscow is grateful to the Chinese side for the initiatives put forward by Beijing to resolve the Ukrainian crisis, Putin said following the results of Russian-Chinese negotiations;
▪️ A terrorist attack was prevented in #Crimea: two Ukrainian agents intended to cause an explosion on the railway, the FSB reported;
▪️ Naval aviation of the Russian Navy destroyed 12 Ukrainian unmanned boats heading towards #Crimea in the western part of the Black Sea.
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 23 May 2024, Main⚡️
▪️ Russian military liberated the village of #Andreyevka in the #DPR, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) reported;
▪️ In the #US Congress they showed a “map of attacks” on Russia with ATACMS missiles available to the AFU;
▪️ It is Great Britain, not #China, that is adding fuel to the fire of the Ukrainian conflict. It was London that prevented Moscow and Kiev from reaching an agreement two years ago, the Chinese MFA said;
▪️ #Poland is considering the possibility of using its air defence systems near the border against Russian missiles, the country’s MFA said;
▪️ For a #Ukraine settlement, negotiations between #Russia and the #US are needed to determine the security system in #Europe for 20-30 years, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said;
▪️ #Germany was unable to persuade #Ukraine’s Western allies to transfer additional air defence systems to Kiev, Politico wrote;
▪️ A drone was shot down in the Yelabuga district of #Tatarstan, there was no destruction on the ground, the head of the district said.
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🇨🇳🇹🇼 China stages mock missile strikes on Taiwan
China conducted mock missile strikes and dispatched bombers carrying live missiles on Friday in its two-day Taiwan drills in exercises Beijing has said were launched to punish Taiwan's new president, Lai Ching-te.
The bombers set up several attack formations in waters east of Taiwan, carrying out mock attacks in co-ordination with naval vessels as China tested its ability to "seize power" and control key areas of Taiwan.
A senior Taiwan security official said that several Chinese bombers conducted mock attacks on foreign vessels near the eastern end of the Bashi Channel, which separates Taiwan from the Philippines, practicing how to seize "total control" of areas west of the first island chain.
The Chinese theatre command showed an animated video of missiles being launched at Taiwan from the ground, air and sea, which then slam into the cities of Taipei, Kaohsiung and Hualien in balls of flame.
#China #Taiwan
@asianomics
China conducted mock missile strikes and dispatched bombers carrying live missiles on Friday in its two-day Taiwan drills in exercises Beijing has said were launched to punish Taiwan's new president, Lai Ching-te.
The bombers set up several attack formations in waters east of Taiwan, carrying out mock attacks in co-ordination with naval vessels as China tested its ability to "seize power" and control key areas of Taiwan.
A senior Taiwan security official said that several Chinese bombers conducted mock attacks on foreign vessels near the eastern end of the Bashi Channel, which separates Taiwan from the Philippines, practicing how to seize "total control" of areas west of the first island chain.
The Chinese theatre command showed an animated video of missiles being launched at Taiwan from the ground, air and sea, which then slam into the cities of Taipei, Kaohsiung and Hualien in balls of flame.
#China #Taiwan
@asianomics
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🇨🇳🇵🇭 China warns Philippines against ‘dangerous behaviour’ near disputed Sabina Shoal
China has said it will take “resolute countermeasures” against “dangerous behaviour” in disputed South China Sea islands as the Chinese coastguard again warned off Manila’s vessels a day before Beijing’s new rule for arresting maritime trespassers came into force.
According to reports, the Philippine coastguard dispatched boats on Friday to land on the islets of Sabina Shoal, known as Xianbin Jiao in Chinese and Escoda Shoal in the Philippines, to which Chinese forces responded with “restrictive measures”.
The incident came on the eve of a new regulation authorising the Chinese coastguard to detain foreign nationals for up to 60 days if they trespass in the South China Sea, which China considers its territorial waters.
#China #ThePhilippines
@asianomics
China has said it will take “resolute countermeasures” against “dangerous behaviour” in disputed South China Sea islands as the Chinese coastguard again warned off Manila’s vessels a day before Beijing’s new rule for arresting maritime trespassers came into force.
According to reports, the Philippine coastguard dispatched boats on Friday to land on the islets of Sabina Shoal, known as Xianbin Jiao in Chinese and Escoda Shoal in the Philippines, to which Chinese forces responded with “restrictive measures”.
The incident came on the eve of a new regulation authorising the Chinese coastguard to detain foreign nationals for up to 60 days if they trespass in the South China Sea, which China considers its territorial waters.
#China #ThePhilippines
@asianomics
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 20 June 2024, Main⚡️
▪️ If Kiev links negotiations with Moscow with the withdrawal of Russian troops, then this will never happen, Putin said;
▪️ Russia does not ask anyone for help in carrying out a special operation, the Russian President noted;
▪️ Zelensky’s legitimacy completely depends on Western support, they are preparing to “write him off”, and the most suitable candidate for the post of head of #Ukraine is the ex-commander-in-chief of the AFU Zaluzhny, the SVR said;
▪️ The West has not contacted Moscow on the peace proposals for #Ukraine voiced by Putin, presidential aide Ushakov said;
▪️ Military analyst Korotchenko did not rule out that after the Russia-DPRK Treaty on a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, the North Korean military may appear in the SMO;
▪️ Kiev lost up to 2,165 militants over the day, the Ministry of Defence reported in the summary;
▪️ The #US decided to prioritise the supply of NASAMS and Patriot systems to #Ukraine to the detriment of the interests of other allies, the White House said;
▪️ South Korea will reconsider the possibility of providing lethal weapons to #Ukraine after the conclusion of an agreement between #Russia and the #DPRK, the Yonhap agency reported;
▪️ The Ukrainian ambassador to #Singapore told the South China Morning Post that #Ukraine will consider the possibility of participating in the summit proposed by #China to resolve the situation in #Ukraine with the participation of Moscow and Kiev.
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🇺🇸🇨🇳🇵🇭 US East Asia envoy says South China Sea situation deeply concerning
US Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia and Pacific Affairs Daniel Kritenbrink on Saturday said the situation in the South China Sea is deeply concerning, and said China's recent actions in the disputed waterway were "deeply destabilising".
Kritenbrink made the comments during a visit to Hanoi, amid rising tension between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea, where Vietnam is also a claimant.
"We think that China's actions, particularly its recent actions, around the Second Thomas Shoal, vis-à-vis the Philippines have been irresponsible, aggressive, dangerous, deeply destabilising," Kritenbrink said at a briefing.
#USA #China #ThePhilippines
@asianomics
US Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia and Pacific Affairs Daniel Kritenbrink on Saturday said the situation in the South China Sea is deeply concerning, and said China's recent actions in the disputed waterway were "deeply destabilising".
Kritenbrink made the comments during a visit to Hanoi, amid rising tension between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea, where Vietnam is also a claimant.
"We think that China's actions, particularly its recent actions, around the Second Thomas Shoal, vis-à-vis the Philippines have been irresponsible, aggressive, dangerous, deeply destabilising," Kritenbrink said at a briefing.
#USA #China #ThePhilippines
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🇨🇳🇵🇭 New footage of the recent South China Sea incident. Chinese Coast Guard are armed with knives, trying to slash Philippines boats near Second Thomas Shoal.
#China #ThePhilippines
@asianomics
#China #ThePhilippines
@asianomics
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 1 July 2024, Main⚡️
▪️ Russian troops liberated Stepovaya Novoselovka in the #Kharkov region and #Novopokrovskoye in the #DPR, the Ministry of Defence MoDreported;
▪️ Kiev’s losses over the day amounted to more than 2 thousand militants, MoD clarified;
▪️ Aviation, artillery and drones hit Ukrainian aircraft in the parking lot and the airfield infrastructure, repair and restoration complex, storage and preparation sites for unmanned boats, MoD said;
▪️ Russian specialists are studying the guidance and flight correction system of the American ATACMS operational-tactical missile; thanks to the obtained elements, it is possible to analyse the operation of systems along the entire flight path of the missile, experts told RIA Novosti;
▪️ #NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg accused #China of allegedly supporting the production of drones in #Russia through technology and electronics and 'inciting' the largest conflict in #Europe since World War II;
▪️ #Ukraine may default as early as August if the authorities fail to agree with creditors on debt restructuring, writes the British edition of the Economist.
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 8 July 2024, Main⚡️
▪️ The Russian FSB stopped an attempt by Ukrainian special services to recruit a Russian pilot and hijack a Tu-22M3 nuclear weapons carrier aircraft;
▪️ The Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) announced a group strike with long range precision weapons against Ukrainian military industry facilities and air bases of the AFU;
▪️ Kiev’s statements about a deliberate strike on civilian targets are not true; the destruction was caused by the fall of a Ukrainian air defense missile, MoD clarified;
▪️ The Russian military destroyed 3 HIMARS MLRS launchers and up to 10 foreign specialists who serviced them, MoD said in its report;
▪️ During the special operation, more than 400 cases of #Ukraine using non-lethal toxic chemicals were recorded, said the head of the RKhBZ troops, Kirillov;
▪️ The #US, #Germany, #Ukraine and the OPCW technical secretariat are preparing a special investigation to accuse #Russia of allegedly using chemical weapons in #Ukraine, Kirillov noted;
▪️ Hungarian Prime Minister Orban, who previously visited #Kiev and #Moscow as part of his "peace mission", visited #Beijing and met there with Chinese President Xi Jinping;
▪️ The Chairman of the People's Republic of #China said that it is important to prevent the escalation of the conflict in #Ukraine, and the international community should create conditions and facilitate the resumption of direct dialogue between Moscow and Kiev;
▪️ Zelensky and the head of the Polish government, Tusk, signed a security agreement for 10 years;
▪️ Zelensky’s office said that #Poland, as part of this agreement, will consider the possibility of transferring at least one squadron of Mig-29 fighters to #Ukraine, and also provides for the development of a mechanism for intercepting missiles in Ukrainian airspace.
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📋🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Summary Overview for the Morn of 14 Jul 2024; 07:56 (GMT+3)📍
🇺🇸The intense reaction to foreign political events ended with an assassination attempt on Trump. #US law enforcement officials stated that no foreign country was involved. Trump is now confidently outflanking Biden, and conspiracy theorists are ramping up the pace of publications. In our opinion, to hit a bullet from a distance of 130 m exactly in the top of the ear, kill and wound civilians, and then go to the other side of the world yourself is top flight. Choosing between conspiracy and mess, we are always on the side of mess, to which the #US is confidently rolling.
🇺🇸 The results of the #NATO summit showed the #West's intentions to continue the conflict, despite endless words about negotiations. #Russia was called an enemy, #China an accomplice, and tens of dollar billions were allocated. Except that promises to deliver "several hundred antiaircraft guided missiles" to Kiev next year and the deployment of factories point to some lack of production capacity in the Alliance countries. #Germany has gone further and calculated that it expects a direct confrontation with #Russia in 2029, for which it is preparing the return of compulsory military service and increasing the efficiency of the military-industrial complex. The #West needs time for final preparations.
📉Our peace proposals, 4 new regions move to #Russia without a fight and #Ukraine gets non-aligned status, have an extremely negative effect on the frontline soldiers who storming enemy positions, and once again SMO goal changes, stated earlier as complete demilitarisation and denazification.
🇧🇾Lukashenko joined the peace case, declaring the elimination of tensions on the Ukrainian border and ordering the withdrawal from the border.
⚔️ On the front, the RFAF retain the initiative. In the #Kharkov direction, our troops have pulled the enemy's reserves from other directions. In the #Svatovo - #Kupyansk section, the bulge near #Berestovoye and #Makeyevka (#LPR) is expanding. In the #Seversk sector, our troops pressing south of #Spornoye. At #ChasovYar, ours lining up all along the Canal, moving westwards. For the #Toretsk area, we predict a gradual AFU defence breakthrough. West of #Avdeyevka, the RFAF have advanced on a wide front. On the #Zaporozhye front, the RFAF advanced several hundred m in some areas. In the #Kherson direction, the 18th Army is destroying the enemy on its #Dnieper bank, 🎬👇 while our supply on the islands is difficult. The boats promised a year ago remain promises. The AFU have more tactical drones throughout, which levels out our heavy weapons.
💥In the #Belgorod region, the number of civilian enemy shelling has not been reduced, and social tension is growing amid the deaths of civilians, many of whom refuse to leave because of the poor provision for evacuation.
💥In the #Kursk direction, the AFU remotely knocked out many petrol stations in frontline areas, which also caused problems. In addition, #Russia continues to lose refineries to enemy drone strikes.
🇺🇦In #Ukraine, forced mobilisation does not stop, which predictably for Kyiv causes the burning of TCC cars - they act as a lightning rod from the true culprits of the war - Zelensky and the authorities. However, more and more TCC cars are burning.
🇵🇱In #Poland, the formation of a "legion" of Ukrainian citizens has begun, who will allegedly return to #Warsaw after being sent to the front.
🇩🇪In #Germany, major political leaders promise to expel Ukrainians if they win the elections.
📌Thus, when neither side is able to get advantage, #Russia is being pushed into a ceasefire that the #West can increase military production and mobilise. They want to cheat: #Russia already decisively outnumbers #Ukraine in heavy weaponry, and is generally crippling Kiev's military machine. For the #US election period, experts predict a suicidal rush, the TCC's is tasked to "catch" several full-blooded brigades for meat assaults.
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Join 2 MAJORS🔺It will be interesting. We are here thinking
🇺🇸The intense reaction to foreign political events ended with an assassination attempt on Trump. #US law enforcement officials stated that no foreign country was involved. Trump is now confidently outflanking Biden, and conspiracy theorists are ramping up the pace of publications. In our opinion, to hit a bullet from a distance of 130 m exactly in the top of the ear, kill and wound civilians, and then go to the other side of the world yourself is top flight. Choosing between conspiracy and mess, we are always on the side of mess, to which the #US is confidently rolling.
📉Our peace proposals, 4 new regions move to #Russia without a fight and #Ukraine gets non-aligned status, have an extremely negative effect on the frontline soldiers who storming enemy positions, and once again SMO goal changes, stated earlier as complete demilitarisation and denazification.
🇧🇾Lukashenko joined the peace case, declaring the elimination of tensions on the Ukrainian border and ordering the withdrawal from the border.
⚔️ On the front, the RFAF retain the initiative. In the #Kharkov direction, our troops have pulled the enemy's reserves from other directions. In the #Svatovo - #Kupyansk section, the bulge near #Berestovoye and #Makeyevka (#LPR) is expanding. In the #Seversk sector, our troops pressing south of #Spornoye. At #ChasovYar, ours lining up all along the Canal, moving westwards. For the #Toretsk area, we predict a gradual AFU defence breakthrough. West of #Avdeyevka, the RFAF have advanced on a wide front. On the #Zaporozhye front, the RFAF advanced several hundred m in some areas. In the #Kherson direction, the 18th Army is destroying the enemy on its #Dnieper bank, 🎬
💥In the #Belgorod region, the number of civilian enemy shelling has not been reduced, and social tension is growing amid the deaths of civilians, many of whom refuse to leave because of the poor provision for evacuation.
💥In the #Kursk direction, the AFU remotely knocked out many petrol stations in frontline areas, which also caused problems. In addition, #Russia continues to lose refineries to enemy drone strikes.
🇺🇦In #Ukraine, forced mobilisation does not stop, which predictably for Kyiv causes the burning of TCC cars - they act as a lightning rod from the true culprits of the war - Zelensky and the authorities. However, more and more TCC cars are burning.
🇵🇱In #Poland, the formation of a "legion" of Ukrainian citizens has begun, who will allegedly return to #Warsaw after being sent to the front.
🇩🇪In #Germany, major political leaders promise to expel Ukrainians if they win the elections.
📌Thus, when neither side is able to get advantage, #Russia is being pushed into a ceasefire that the #West can increase military production and mobilise. They want to cheat: #Russia already decisively outnumbers #Ukraine in heavy weaponry, and is generally crippling Kiev's military machine. For the #US election period, experts predict a suicidal rush, the TCC's is tasked to "catch" several full-blooded brigades for meat assaults.
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Two Majors - English Channel
Kherson direction. Enemy shore
The work of the 18th Army. Ours picks out the enemy from all the cracks. They destroy boats, communications, cars.
Защитникам в Крыму
⚡️ Two Majors | Boost us
The work of the 18th Army. Ours picks out the enemy from all the cracks. They destroy boats, communications, cars.
Защитникам в Крыму
⚡️ Two Majors | Boost us
Forwarded from ASIANOMICS
🔎🇨🇳🇺🇸 Through the Lens: China relations with NATO
NATO has recently held its three-day summit. Besides heavily criticizing Russia member countries jointly issued the Washington Summit Declaration, which lambasted China for being “a decisive enabler of Russia’s war against Ukraine”, and declared that China would pay the price for this.
▪️From the perspective of Western media, although NATO and China do not share a close relationship, there is not much disagreement between the two. But in fact, China has held a grudge against NATO for more than 20 years.
In 1999, NATO’s US-guided bombs hit China’s embassy in Belgrade, killing three Chinese journalists. The incident ignited a strong wave of patriotism in China. When China-US relations are harmonious, this historical episode is not mentioned; in recent years, with tensions in China-US relations, this longstanding grievance has resurfaced.
🔻The strong language by NATO in the new declaration has largely caught observers by surprise, leading them to believe that this is a major shift in NATO’s attitude towards China.
As Germany and other European countries view China as an important market, NATO has always held back in its criticism of China. This is the first time it is joining Washington in censuring China, which is not only a sign of US diplomatic victory.
China’s strong response to the new document showed that it was “not at all daunted”, reflecting how China did not hold much hope in improving relations with the US and Europe.
▪️However, while leaders of Asian countries South Korea, Japan and New Zealand have attended the NATO summit for three consecutive years, Australia only sent its deputy prime minister — Asia-Pacific countries clearly still have their reservations about NATO’s eastward expansion.
The US is currently making another attempt to draw the support of a unified Europe, while the concept of a “China-Russia-Belarus axis” has surfaced in Europe. But it is hard to say how long the US-Europe unity would last.
Regardless, from a macro view, China and NATO are already in an openly contentious relationship, and China is drifting further and further away from Europe. This state of affairs is expected to persist.
Full article
Han Yong Hong is an Associate Editor in the Chinese daily Lianhe Zaobao
#China #NATO
@asianomics
NATO has recently held its three-day summit. Besides heavily criticizing Russia member countries jointly issued the Washington Summit Declaration, which lambasted China for being “a decisive enabler of Russia’s war against Ukraine”, and declared that China would pay the price for this.
▪️From the perspective of Western media, although NATO and China do not share a close relationship, there is not much disagreement between the two. But in fact, China has held a grudge against NATO for more than 20 years.
In 1999, NATO’s US-guided bombs hit China’s embassy in Belgrade, killing three Chinese journalists. The incident ignited a strong wave of patriotism in China. When China-US relations are harmonious, this historical episode is not mentioned; in recent years, with tensions in China-US relations, this longstanding grievance has resurfaced.
🔻The strong language by NATO in the new declaration has largely caught observers by surprise, leading them to believe that this is a major shift in NATO’s attitude towards China.
As Germany and other European countries view China as an important market, NATO has always held back in its criticism of China. This is the first time it is joining Washington in censuring China, which is not only a sign of US diplomatic victory.
China’s strong response to the new document showed that it was “not at all daunted”, reflecting how China did not hold much hope in improving relations with the US and Europe.
▪️However, while leaders of Asian countries South Korea, Japan and New Zealand have attended the NATO summit for three consecutive years, Australia only sent its deputy prime minister — Asia-Pacific countries clearly still have their reservations about NATO’s eastward expansion.
The US is currently making another attempt to draw the support of a unified Europe, while the concept of a “China-Russia-Belarus axis” has surfaced in Europe. But it is hard to say how long the US-Europe unity would last.
Regardless, from a macro view, China and NATO are already in an openly contentious relationship, and China is drifting further and further away from Europe. This state of affairs is expected to persist.
Full article
Han Yong Hong is an Associate Editor in the Chinese daily Lianhe Zaobao
#China #NATO
@asianomics
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联合早报
韩咏红:中国硬杠北约
从大的态势看,中国和北约已正式对立,中国与欧洲也越走越远,这态势预计将持续。
Forwarded from Two Majors - English Channel
📋🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Summary Overview for the Morning of 28 July 2024; 07:08 (GMT+3)📍
🗓 Last week was spent in idle talk about the prospects of starting negotiations between #Russia and #Ukraine. The Ukrainian Foreign Minister travelled to #China, which had been previously reviled by #Kiev, after which he started issuing unexpected theses and negotiations. However, Moscow's reaction to this was more than tepid, if not mocking: the state of affairs at the front makes it possible to do so.
🔹Meanwhile, in the #West, military hysteria and direct preparations for war with #Russia continue. Public opinion in Western countries is being prepared for emergency service, mobilisation and cuts in social spending. This is facilitated by the foreign media, which scare the population with the 'Red Russian Threat'.
🔹In #Russia the adjustment of the military machine continues. Former Deputy Minister of Defence Bulgakov, who was removed from his post during the first year of the SMO, was arrested. The Russian FSB has been given the go-ahead to realise operational materials; insiders with thick hints about Bulgakov's identity have been coming in since the spring of this year.
🔹It is critical to once again point out the changed technological way of warfare: drones of the AFU and incomplete (to put it mildly) technical readiness of our troops to confront hundreds of enemy FPV-drones significantly slow down the advance of the Russian Army. Every day the frontline regions of #Russia are subjected to terrorist strikes by the enemy.
🔹A wide resonance was caused by the State Duma's adoption of a crude bill to ban gadgets in the SMO zone, punishable by 10 days of arrest. Although the norm develops already existing legal acts (phones have been formally banned for a very long time), the specification of a total ban on the SMO zone may show an absolute lack of understanding of what is going on at the front of the group of people who initiated the bill (both in the State Duma and in the relevant department). The lie of the initiators of the bill that 'only non-combat gadgets were meant' does not correspond to the text of the norm. In fact, the ban will not be observed, and inefficient anti-crisis information activities with working out the theses that have been dropped have caused discontent among the general public.
🔹On the front, the Russian Army is advancing most actively in the #Pokrovsk direction (west of #Avdeyevka). There are heavy battles, but it is here that the formation of small pits for the AFU has been observed on a regular basis since the spring of this year. This week, Ukrainian channels were indignant about this in the village of #Progress. In the #Toretsk (#Dzerzhynsk) area, the defence of which Kiev has been preparing since 2014, there is also an advance and similar coverage of the enemy forces in the fortifications. Advancement of several hundred metres a day here is a real success for the Russian Army, as the enemy's defence is so serious. In #Krasnogorovka on the #SouthDonetsk direction, the RFAF are pushing the enemy garrison on the northern outskirts and taking under fire control the roads from the buildings. North of the eastern part of #ChasovYar (liberated Microdistrict Kanal), the RFAF are developing success west of #Kalinovka. They report crossing the underground part of the Seversky Donets-Donbass Canal and further expansion of the bridgehead. Kiev expects the RFAF to become more active on the #Zaporozhye front.
t.me/two_majors /@sitreports/#smo/#ass/
Join 2 MAJORS🔺It will be interesting. We are here thinking
🗓 Last week was spent in idle talk about the prospects of starting negotiations between #Russia and #Ukraine. The Ukrainian Foreign Minister travelled to #China, which had been previously reviled by #Kiev, after which he started issuing unexpected theses and negotiations. However, Moscow's reaction to this was more than tepid, if not mocking: the state of affairs at the front makes it possible to do so.
🔹Meanwhile, in the #West, military hysteria and direct preparations for war with #Russia continue. Public opinion in Western countries is being prepared for emergency service, mobilisation and cuts in social spending. This is facilitated by the foreign media, which scare the population with the 'Red Russian Threat'.
🔹In #Russia the adjustment of the military machine continues. Former Deputy Minister of Defence Bulgakov, who was removed from his post during the first year of the SMO, was arrested. The Russian FSB has been given the go-ahead to realise operational materials; insiders with thick hints about Bulgakov's identity have been coming in since the spring of this year.
🔹It is critical to once again point out the changed technological way of warfare: drones of the AFU and incomplete (to put it mildly) technical readiness of our troops to confront hundreds of enemy FPV-drones significantly slow down the advance of the Russian Army. Every day the frontline regions of #Russia are subjected to terrorist strikes by the enemy.
🔹A wide resonance was caused by the State Duma's adoption of a crude bill to ban gadgets in the SMO zone, punishable by 10 days of arrest. Although the norm develops already existing legal acts (phones have been formally banned for a very long time), the specification of a total ban on the SMO zone may show an absolute lack of understanding of what is going on at the front of the group of people who initiated the bill (both in the State Duma and in the relevant department). The lie of the initiators of the bill that 'only non-combat gadgets were meant' does not correspond to the text of the norm. In fact, the ban will not be observed, and inefficient anti-crisis information activities with working out the theses that have been dropped have caused discontent among the general public.
🔹On the front, the Russian Army is advancing most actively in the #Pokrovsk direction (west of #Avdeyevka). There are heavy battles, but it is here that the formation of small pits for the AFU has been observed on a regular basis since the spring of this year. This week, Ukrainian channels were indignant about this in the village of #Progress. In the #Toretsk (#Dzerzhynsk) area, the defence of which Kiev has been preparing since 2014, there is also an advance and similar coverage of the enemy forces in the fortifications. Advancement of several hundred metres a day here is a real success for the Russian Army, as the enemy's defence is so serious. In #Krasnogorovka on the #SouthDonetsk direction, the RFAF are pushing the enemy garrison on the northern outskirts and taking under fire control the roads from the buildings. North of the eastern part of #ChasovYar (liberated Microdistrict Kanal), the RFAF are developing success west of #Kalinovka. They report crossing the underground part of the Seversky Donets-Donbass Canal and further expansion of the bridgehead. Kiev expects the RFAF to become more active on the #Zaporozhye front.
t.me/two_majors /@sitreports/#smo/#ass/
Join 2 MAJORS🔺It will be interesting. We are here thinking
Forwarded from Intel Republic
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