⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ On the AFU's plans in the #Nikolaev - #Berislav Direction⚡️
▪️ The AFU in recent days regrouped their troops on the #Nikolaev - #Berislav direction.
➖ A convoy of wheeled vehicles has come from #Ochakov to #Nikolaev. On the way it was joined by several trucks with ammunition and MLRS. In the city itself it was joined by dozens of armoured vehicles transferred from the northern districts of #Nikolaev Oblast.
➖ The grouping then split up and departed in two directions: one to #Bashtanka, the other to #Pribugskoye and #Galitsinovo, where strike forces are being formed.
▪️ What are the future plans of the AFU?
➖ The Ukrainian leadership must organise an offensive before the cold weather arrives. Yesterday's attack by the AFU in the #Berislav area was a reconnaissance battle to check the staten of the Russian defensive lines. The surplus of personnel so far allows the enemy not to worry about losses from such unsuccessful assaults.
➖ The concentration of forces at the #Aleksandrovska sector and at #Bashtanka, from where they can be mooved to the #Andreevkya sector, indicates that these two sectors are being prepared for an attack.
➖ And the #Berislav section is needed to divert attention from the main directions of the assault: from #Luparevo and #Pribugskoye, as well as Sukhoy Stavok and Davydov Brod with subsequent access to Novaya Kakhovka and #Kherson.
▪️ Another possible option is a completely different direction - #Zaporozhye. For more than a month Ukrainian marines have been practicing landing near #Energodar.
➖ The #Zaporozhye NPP is the most important target for the AFU before the onset of winter, and the scenario of capturing the plant has been worked out for a long time. And the grouping moved to #Bashtanka can be sent to #Zaporozhye relatively quickly.
➖ In the event of another offensive in #Kherson Oblast, it cannot be ruled out that an attack will be launched simultaneously from the #Orekhov - #Gulyaypole line with a landing at #Energodar.
➖ And an attack from the #Dudchany village could also be used to cover the landing of AFU formations on the left bank of the #Dnipro from Zolotaya Balka and #Novoalexandrovka. Besides, they have informants in that area.
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▪️ The AFU in recent days regrouped their troops on the #Nikolaev - #Berislav direction.
➖ A convoy of wheeled vehicles has come from #Ochakov to #Nikolaev. On the way it was joined by several trucks with ammunition and MLRS. In the city itself it was joined by dozens of armoured vehicles transferred from the northern districts of #Nikolaev Oblast.
➖ The grouping then split up and departed in two directions: one to #Bashtanka, the other to #Pribugskoye and #Galitsinovo, where strike forces are being formed.
▪️ What are the future plans of the AFU?
➖ The Ukrainian leadership must organise an offensive before the cold weather arrives. Yesterday's attack by the AFU in the #Berislav area was a reconnaissance battle to check the staten of the Russian defensive lines. The surplus of personnel so far allows the enemy not to worry about losses from such unsuccessful assaults.
➖ The concentration of forces at the #Aleksandrovska sector and at #Bashtanka, from where they can be mooved to the #Andreevkya sector, indicates that these two sectors are being prepared for an attack.
➖ And the #Berislav section is needed to divert attention from the main directions of the assault: from #Luparevo and #Pribugskoye, as well as Sukhoy Stavok and Davydov Brod with subsequent access to Novaya Kakhovka and #Kherson.
▪️ Another possible option is a completely different direction - #Zaporozhye. For more than a month Ukrainian marines have been practicing landing near #Energodar.
➖ The #Zaporozhye NPP is the most important target for the AFU before the onset of winter, and the scenario of capturing the plant has been worked out for a long time. And the grouping moved to #Bashtanka can be sent to #Zaporozhye relatively quickly.
➖ In the event of another offensive in #Kherson Oblast, it cannot be ruled out that an attack will be launched simultaneously from the #Orekhov - #Gulyaypole line with a landing at #Energodar.
➖ And an attack from the #Dudchany village could also be used to cover the landing of AFU formations on the left bank of the #Dnipro from Zolotaya Balka and #Novoalexandrovka. Besides, they have informants in that area.
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MAP:
AFU Grouping in Nikolaev - Krivoy Rog Direction
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Nikolaev - #Berislav Direction at 13:00 on 19 Oct 2022⚡️
▪️ In the #Berislav area, the AFU made another assault attempt on #Sukhanovo and #Polyanka around 8:00 by the assault groups of the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade and the 60th Separate Infantry Brigade with a total strength of two battalions.
▪️ By noon, the enemy had suffered tangible losses in personnel and equipment due to artillery fire and ATGMs. The Ukrainian command brought in a second echelon of units from the 28th Mechanized Brigade and a tank company from the 17th Separate Tank Brigade, but they too came under heavy fire.
▪️ South of Davydov Brod, the AFU attempt to encircle the Russian Armed Forces on the battlefield and penetrate the Russian defences in small groups.
▪️ In anticipation of a full-scale AFU offensive, the #Kherson regional administration evacuates civilians from #Berislav, #Belozersk, #Snigirovka and #Aleksandrovska districts to the left bank of the #Dnipro River.
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▪️ In the #Berislav area, the AFU made another assault attempt on #Sukhanovo and #Polyanka around 8:00 by the assault groups of the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade and the 60th Separate Infantry Brigade with a total strength of two battalions.
▪️ By noon, the enemy had suffered tangible losses in personnel and equipment due to artillery fire and ATGMs. The Ukrainian command brought in a second echelon of units from the 28th Mechanized Brigade and a tank company from the 17th Separate Tank Brigade, but they too came under heavy fire.
▪️ South of Davydov Brod, the AFU attempt to encircle the Russian Armed Forces on the battlefield and penetrate the Russian defences in small groups.
▪️ In anticipation of a full-scale AFU offensive, the #Kherson regional administration evacuates civilians from #Berislav, #Belozersk, #Snigirovka and #Aleksandrovska districts to the left bank of the #Dnipro River.
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MAP:
Nikolaev - Berislav Direction at 13:00 on 19 Oct 2022