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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 17 October 2023⚑️

πŸ”ΉThis morning, the AFU
launched missile strikes on the #Berdyansk Airfield, using an American ATACMS ballistic missile and several GLSDB shells to attack it. Some of them were shot down by air defences, but several reached the target, hitting an ammunition depot and several Russian Aerospace Forces helicopters.

πŸ”ΉIn the #Kherson direction, Ukrainian formations, operating along the railway bridge, made a breakthrough and occupied the village of #Poyma on the left bank of the #Dnieper. After the arrival of reinforcements, the AFU moved on and managed to reach the northern outskirts of #Peschanovka. The fighting in the area continues.

πŸ”ΉIn the #Svatovo sector, Russian forces continue their positional offensive from #Ploshchanka towards #Makeyevka. The AFU is transferring fresh forces to this section and is trying to establish new crossings near #Borovaya to improve its logistical capabilities.

πŸ”ΉOvernight, the RF Armed Forces launched strikes on the rear facilities of the Ukrainian formations. The AFU's deployment points in #Odessa, #Slavyansk, and presumably the airfield in #Voznesensk, were hit.

🧾 Read More on our πŸ‘‰ πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Website

πŸ—Ί High Resolution: πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ MAP; πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί MAP

πŸ“œ RYBAR; 18 Oct 2023, 00:55

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πŸ“‹πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 18 October 2023; pub. 07:00πŸ“

β–ͺ️
The RF Armed Forces launched strikes at night on the AFU-occupied city of #Zaporozhye. Footage of a destroyed residential building has appeared on the network, which may traditionally be the result of the ineffective work of the Ukrainian air defence forces, whose missiles have more than once been the cause of destruction on the ground.

β–ͺ️ In the #Kherson direction, there are concrete signs that the AFU is preparing to force the #Dnieper. During the day, an enemy SRG operated near the settlement of #Peschanovka (8 km east of the #Antonovskiy Bridge), killing two elderly civilians. By nightfall there were reports of the capture of several houses on the outskirts of the settlement by small enemy forces. In addition, the AFU Marines occupied the village of #Poyma (6 kilometres east of #Antonovsky Bridge) by midnight. The AFU are preparing marine infantry units to rush across the #Dnieper River to reach the #Podstepnoye - Cossack Camps - #Krynki line. Earlier, the enemy was firing at bridges over canals on our side of the #Dnieper to disrupt logistics. At night urgent strikes by our aviation on the islands were planned.

β–ͺ️ On the #Zaporozhye front, an attack by the AFU on the #Verbovoye settlement was repelled, the retreating groups of enemy infantry were covered by our artillery. In the area of #Novoprokopovka, the "usual" rolls of the enemy: infantry and up to 5 units of equipment. The AFU infantry was destroyed on the approach. In the rear of the area, an AFU strike on the #Berdyansk Airfield by the much-discussed ATACMS and GLSDB supplied from the #US. Our helicopters were damaged or destroyed.

β–ͺ️ In the #Avdeyevka sector, our troops are consolidating their previously occupied positions and destroying the enemy with artillery and aviation.

β–ͺ️ At night, 28 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over the #Belgorod, #Kursk regions, and the Black Sea. In the evening, in the Black Sea, naval aviation of the Black Sea Fleet destroyed an unmanned enemy boat.

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸŽ― On the AFU ATACMS Launches at #Berdyansk⚑️

πŸ—“ After yesterday's strike
, the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces published footage of ATACMS missiles being launched from HIMARS MLRSs. They called the operation "Dragonfly").

🎬 The footage shows the launch of four standard rockets (easily identifiable by the characteristic white inversion trail), as well as two ATACMS (black smoke).

❗️Our GEOINT team, thanks to the help of subscribers who reported the area of the ATACMS overflight, determined the exact position from which the AFU launched missiles at the Russian Airfield.

πŸ“The HIMARS MLRS installation was located in the vicinity of #Yablonovka in the southeast of #Dnepropetrovsk region, 150 km from #Berdyansk.

Coordinates: 48.120305, 36.334466

πŸ“Œ After the strike, the AFU was guaranteed to take the MLRS to the rear to prevent detection. But it should be remembered that the Americans gave the AFU ATACMS Block 1 missiles, the range of which does not exceed 165 km. And we should look for them approximately within this radius, not far from convenient logistical junctions.

πŸ—Ί High Resolution: πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ MAP; πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί MAP

πŸ“œ RYBAR; 19 Oct 2023, 00:04

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸŽ― Life after ATACMS - Possible Strikes on Airfields in #Crimea⚑️

πŸ’₯ After the AFU strike
on #Berdyansk airfield, they plan to reduce the combat potential of the Aerospace Forces aviation in the Black Sea area are again in the foreground. Without this, any major AFU land operation is doomed to failure.

πŸ”Ή20 ATACMS Block 1 operational-tactical missiles were handed over by the US just to achieve the goal (and another 100 to 140 missiles are on the territory of #Poland in readiness for delivery). The warhead stuffed with M74 cluster missiles covers a large area (effective for strikes in open terrain).

πŸ”ΉAfter #Berdyansk, the main targets are bases and airfields in #Crimea. And all of them fall within the range of Storm Shadow/SCALP cruise missiles, taking into account the launch areas from #Nikolayev and #Odessa regions.

❗️ The kill radius of Block 1 missiles is limited to 165 km. If we take into account that HIMARS/M270 MLRS launchers strike at a safe distance from the contact line, then the only airfield that falls within the guaranteed kill zone is #Dzhankoy.

πŸ”ΉThe ATACMS positional launch area could be close to a transport interchange: this would enable a rapid exit for the strike and an immediate withdraw of the launcher. The approach time to #Dzhankoy will be about 2 min 41 sec (speed ~3 Mach).

πŸ”ΉThe other day in social network X began to publish fresh pictures of the base in #Belbek. Four MiG-31 fighters (carriers of Kinzhalov) flew there, so the West's interest is understandable.

πŸ“Œ And in the event of an attack, a combined strike (UAV+winged+ballistic missiles) to overload the air defence system is highly likely.

πŸ—Ί High Resolution: πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ MAP; πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί MAP

πŸ“œ RYBAR; 20 Oct 2023, 18:10

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈUkraine attacked with ATACMS a Russian Airfield. Why? Let's break it down⚑️

πŸ—“ Recently
, ATACMS attacked an airfield in #Berdyansk, #Zaporozhye region. Immediately, as if on command, an attack began in the media space of Russia, actively fuelled by CIPSO. They worked in an organised manner. Someone predicted almost the defeat of Russia.

β–ͺ️ Standard scheme: A high-profile terrorist attack of #Ukraine and a media attack. The US secretly transferred 20 ATACMS missiles to #Ukraine. If earlier they announced arms deliveries with pathos, now everything has been done quietly. For what?

β–ͺ️ The answer came from a #NATO country. The Turkish side assures that ATACMS is both a diversionary manoeuvre and an attempt to close the holes in #Ukraine's combat capability. #Ukraine has lost a huge number of aircraft carriers of Storm Shadow and SCALP [Su-24] cruise missiles, as well as the missiles themselves, which were destroyed by the Russian Army with pinpoint strikes on secret depots.

β–ͺ️ The Turks assure that the AFU may be left without tactical missiles at all. For this purpose, ATACMS were transferred in an accelerated secret mode. To give some kind of response to the Russian Army.

❗️This is the Turkish version. Looks true enough. But it needs to be verified.

β–ͺ️ The U.S. sacrificed the usual PR for the #Ukraine arms transfer. Which suggests hasty action, indirectly confirming the Turks' version.

πŸ”ΉDoes the ATACMS Attack have strategic Significance? Will it change the Situation on the Front?

β–ͺ️ The answer is unequivocally no. ATACMS will create problems, nothing more. But there will be no fundamental change. The attack on the airfield is a PR action, an attempt to thwart the Russian Army's attack. The counterattack has failed, the Russians are pressing on all fronts. #Ukraine is experiencing a military supply problem. The #US has covered up large scale funding and is torn on two fronts. That doesn't mean #Ukraine isn't dangerous and hang out the white flag. #Ukraine will be safe when our enemy is defeated and Nazism destroyed. Now the dying beast is snapping back as best it can, with the support of the West and Western intelligence, scouting out places to attack, terrorist attacks, sabotage, counting more on noise in the media space than on real victory.

πŸ“Œ After the use of ATACMS, the Supreme Commander in Chief announced the patrolling of the Black Sea by Russian planes with Daggers on board. Saying: "this is not a threat!" It is indeed not a threat, it is the cocked bolt of a sniper rifle with a scope on the foreheads of the #NATO aides of #Ukraine. "Dagger" will fly in 5-10 minutes to those points on the territory of Ukraine, through which the weapon is delivered. If the air defence shoots down missiles that have already been fired, then the Dagger is ahead of the curve.

πŸ“œ Archangel of Special Forces ZπŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί; 21 Oct 2023, 18:02 πŸ‘Ό

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 4 November 2023⚑️

πŸ”ΉIn the
#Kherson direction, fierce fighting continues in #Krynki. Russian troops have tried several times to dislodge the enemy from the settlement, but, unfortunately, have been unsuccessful so far. The AFU are using #Frolova Island as a staging point, through which they transfer reinforcements. Meanwhile, to the west, Ukrainian formations attempted to advance towards #Poyma, but withdrew to their initial positions under artillery fire.

πŸ”ΉIn the #Avdeyevka sector, Ukrainian formations managed to counterattack on the northern flank. The enemy recaptured part of the railway tracks near #Krasnogorovka and pushed back the RF Armed Forces. To the south, the situation is more favourable. Russian troops are advancing along the T-05-05 route from the direction of #Spartak and are working to destroy the fortified area of ​​the AFU in the recreation center in the Khimik microdistrict.

πŸ”ΉIn addition, the enemy again attacked #Crimea and #Berdyansk with Storm Shadow missiles. Four shells were shot down north of the Crimean bridge, three near #Berdyansk, two over #Yalta, and one more near Cape #Tarkhankut.

πŸ”ΉThe RF Armed Forces, in turn, again struck the #Mirgorod Airfield in the #Poltava region, as well as the airport in #Dnepropetrovsk, which is used for the needs of the AFU.

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πŸ—Ί High Resolution:
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ MAP; πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί MAP

πŸ“œ RYBAR; 5 Nov 2023, 01:24

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ”Ž What Results the AFU Achieved in Five Months of Offensive⚑️

βš”οΈActive combat
operations began on 4 June. At the moment, the AFU offensive has not stopped, but it is clear that it is losing momentum and is being maintained more to create visibility than to achieve real goals.

πŸ”ΉWhat was the Offensive Plan?

β–ͺ️Initially, the AFU command planned to launch two dissecting strikes and reach two major cities, #Melitopol (and further to #Berdyansk) and #Mariupol on the coast of the Azov Sea.

β–ͺ️It was assumed that in the course of the offensive the territory with a total area of about 23,000 km2 would be captured, and in a number of directions, including the Crimean and Donetsk ones, the threat of encirclement of Russian troops would be created.

β–ͺ️In reality, a competently constructed line of defence and redesigned fire tactics prevented the AFU from succeeding.

β–ͺ️At the moment, the total area of territory in which the AFU has managed to advance is about 140 km2 in the #Zaporozhye direction and 116 km2 in the #SouthDonetsk direction, which is almost 90 times less than it was supposed to occupy during the offensive.

πŸ”ΉWhat other Problems does the AFU have?

β–ͺ️In addition to problems with the failure to fulfil the offensive's main objectives, there are others. On 4 September, former Ukrainian Defence Minister Oleksiy Reznikov said that each day of combat operations costs Ukraine $100 million.

β–ͺ️Thus, 153 days (five months) of the offensive cost Kiev $15.3bn, but this money did not bring results. It is noteworthy that almost immediately the previously created myth about the superiority of the AFU, NATO tactics and technical superiority collapsed. Most of the expectations from the nature of the AFU actions simply did not realise.

β–ͺ️If the offensive had been successful, a number of #EU countries and the US would most likely have continued or increased the supply of military equipment. Now that almost all available conventional weapons options,- from small drones to man-portable air defence systems, have been tried, many have lost enthusiasm to continue deliveries.

β–ͺ️In addition, favourable timing has been lost. In the winter of 2022 and spring of 2023, much expectation was placed on warm season warfare. It was thought that summer and warm weather would favour the AFU offensive, but this did not happen.

πŸ”ΉWhat losses did the AFU suffer?

β–ͺ️On 30 October, Russian Defence Minister Sergey Shoygu said that the AFU had lost more than 90,000 people killed and wounded during the offensive. These are 36 brigades of 2.5 thousand men each. No other army in the world has suffered such losses since World War II. The fleet of foreign equipment supplied to the AFU has been largely confused. The experience of using American M2 Bradley BMPs, M113/YPR-765 and M1126 Stryker APCs, Leopard 2A4/A5 (Strv 122)/A6 and Challenger 2 tanks, PzH-2000, M109 and AS-90 UASs has shown that Western combat vehicles cannot fundamentally change the situation on the battlefield, while their destruction and damage have an immediate and negative impact on the situation at the front.

πŸ”ΉWhat's the Result?

β–ͺ️In addition, the failure of the AFU offensive has caused a split in the once united camp of #Ukraine's supporters. In the US, congressmen are asking questions about the prospects for aid to Kiev, while in #Europe some countries have already suspended or stopped military supplies to #Ukraine, among them #Slovakia and the main military donor in #Europe, #Poland.

β–ͺ️Also, five months of intense fighting have depleted the stockpiles of arms and ammunition not only in #Ukraine, but also in the #EU, from where they were forcibly transferred in the spring of 2023. The EU will be able to replenish reserves to the level of 2022 not earlier than 2025. In the short term, therefore, one cannot count on increased supplies, and without them, the prospects for any offensive actions in 2024 look very illusory.

πŸ“œ Military Chronicles; 4 Nov 2023, 11:09

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πŸ“‹πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 5 November 2023; pub. 07:00πŸ“

β–ͺ️
In the #Kherson direction, enemy activity on our side of the #Dnieper remains without significant changes on the line of contact. There are positional battles in #Krynki. In the area of #Peschanovka and #Poyma there are small infantry groups fighting. Our artillery is working, the enemy reports that our aviation has used up to 40 FABs over the past day. A new element is the regular use of night FPV drones by the AFU (probably equipped with a thermal imaging camera or NVR).

β–ͺ️ On the #Zaporizhzhya front near #Verbovoye, the RF Armed Forces attacked enemy positions with barrel and rocket artillery, as well as armoured vehicles. The enemy struck at the leading edge of our defence and with Storm Shadow missiles. In the deep rear of the #Zaporozhye region (the town of #Berdyansk). Frontline officers note a decrease in the intensity of AFU artillery fire and the number of enemy meat assaults.

β–ͺ️ In the #Avdeyevka sector to the north of the frontline the RF Armed Forces launched a massive strike from MLRS against the AFU in the #Novokalinovo settlement, in the direction of which the attacking actions are being carried out. Nevertheless, the enemy counterattacked near the settlement of #Krasnogorovka despite losses. From the southeast the advance of our troops continues.

β–ͺ️ Missile attacks on #Crimea continue. The media, citing the Russian Ministry of Defence, reported that on 4 November the AFU struck the Kerch Shipyard with 15 cruise missiles (Storm Shadow), most of which were shot down. As a result of an enemy cruise missile hit, a ship at the shipyard was damaged. Enemy channels claim damage to the latest small missile ship Askold of project 22800 'Karakurt'.

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πŸ“‹πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 27 November 2023; pub. 07:00πŸ“

❄️ The weather has made its own adjustments to the course of hostilities and logistics on both sides of the front. There is a snowstorm in #Ukraine, broken boiler house pipes and a power transmission line support in the #Odessa region, roads are covered with snow, and by nightfall snow had covered #Kiev. 400 settlements in #Ukraine without light.

🌊 In the #Crimea, half a million people were left without electricity in the evening, repair crews began to eliminate the consequences. On #Tarkhankut, and in general on the west coast, there were floods, a storm, coastal roads were flooded, hundreds of people were promptly evacuated, in #Yevpatoria, the Ministry of Emergency Situations rescued people from the roofs of houses in difficult weather conditions. A day off has been declared on the peninsula and in the #Kherson region, civilians are asked to stay at home. In the #Zaporozhye region, the center of #Berdyansk was flooded.

β–ͺ️ On #Zaporizhzhya front, the AFU tried to attack our positions near #Verbovoye, there was small arms fighting, our artillery worked, the enemy retreated with losses. Afterwards, as a result of our counterattack, several enemy strongholds were occupied. It is reported that up to 40 AFU militants were captured. The RF Armed Forces were also active near #Rabotino.

β–ͺ️ In the #Kherson direction, fighting for #Krynki continues. After the storm, the work of adjusting artillery fire from the air has become more difficult.

β–ͺ️ In the #Avdeyevka sector, the RF Armed Forces are destroying the enemy's manpower in the "Khimik" microdistrict by air strikes. The enemy is trying to strengthen the defence, it was reported about repulsion of AFU counterattacks. The Nazis' abandonment of the industrial zone in the southern direction has become a serious demoralising factor for the Ukrainian troops.

πŸ’₯ At night, over the #Smolensk region, an enemy UAV was shot down. In the afternoon, two enemy S-200 anti-aircraft missiles converted to hit ground targets were shot down over the Sea of Azov. Over the #Bryansk, #Smolensk and #Tula regions, 4 drones were shot down in the morning. In the #Belgorod region, shelling of a number of districts continues. In the #DPR, three civilians, including a teenager born in 2008, were wounded by Nazi shelling.

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πŸ“‹πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 22 December 2023; pub. 06:58πŸ“

🎯 A series of powerful explosions sounded at night in #Kiev, and "Geraniums" also worked on enemy facilities in #Poltava, #Chernigov, #Zhitomir, #Khmelnitsky, #Nikolayev, #Kherson, #Odessa and #Rovno regions. Notable was the explosion of "Geranium" that hit the #Kiev apartment of the leading enemy β€œtelethon”.

β–ͺ️ In #Krynki, #Kherson region, heavy fighting continues on our side of the #Dnieper. Our troops are reducing the enemy's zone of control in the village, the enemy is trying to move reinforcements across the #Dnieper under the blows of our drones. There is mutual artillery shelling.

β–ͺ️ On the #Zaporozhye front there were FAB-500 air strikes on the AFU accumulation in Malaya Tokmachka and #Novodanilovka. At #Verbovoye, our troops repelled in a shooting battle an attack by enemy assault groups attempting to advance after an artillery strike with cluster munitions.

β–ͺ️ In the #Maryinka sector, there is heavy fighting near #Novomikhaylovka. From the north, from Marinka itself, our forces have also advanced, taking a number of important positions. According to enemy analysts, the situation in #Novomikhaylovka is critical for the AFU: the RF Armed Forces are attacking the settlement from three sides.

β–ͺ️ In the #Avdeyevka front sector, the RF Armed Forces are conducting an active offensive on the northern edge near #Stepovoye, aviation and armoured vehicles are being used. It is reported about fire control of our troops (which does not mean the capture of the settlement). There is fierce fighting near the Coke Plant.

β–ͺ️ In the #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) sector of the front, the RF Armed Forces are on the offensive near the settlements of #Kleshcheyevka, #Ivanovskoye (#Krasnoye), #Bogdanovka. In the enemy rear, in #Konstantinovka, the places of AFU personnel and equipment accumulation were hit.

πŸ’₯ The AFU yesterday attempted to attack the Crimean bridge with an ATACMS missile, the target was shot down over the Sea of Azov. Enemy UAVs were destroyed in the skies over the #Kursk and #Bryansk regions. In the #Zaporozhye region, two UAVs were shot down over #Berdyansk, a third fell and detonated in a private sector, no casualties. In the #Bryansk region, the AFU shelled the village of #Chausy in the Pogarsky district, two civilians were injured. On the civilians of the #DPR, the enemy fired 142 rounds of ammunition, five civilians were wounded.

🎬 Hello, I am Taras and I was mobilised near Avdeyevka. Western instructors continue to train militants according to NATO standards.πŸ‘‡

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πŸ“‹πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Two Majors #Summary for the Morning of 5 July 2024; pub. 05:45πŸ“

🎯 The RFAF yesterday carried out strikes on enemy depots in #Odessa and #Ilyichevsk. πŸ“ΈπŸ‘‡An explosion was also heard near the Odessa Airport. Secondary detonations were reported locally.

πŸ’₯In #Crimea, amid the missile threat, a bridge was closed several times during the night, air targets were reported shot down near #Berdyansk, #Zaporozhye region. At night air defence worked in #Rostov region, 10 UAVs of the AFU were shot down. In the #Krasnodar territory as a result of UAV attack in Primorsko-Akhtarsk there are casualties. 6 people were hospitalised, the work of the power substation supplying a significant part of the town was disrupted.

πŸ”ΉIn the
#Kharkov direction, the AFU took separate actions in the area of #Liptsy and #Tikhoye. Radio intercepts of enemy communications indicate a lack of trained personnel in the AFU units on this direction.

πŸ”ΉFrom the eastern part of #ChasovYar (the Kanal Microdistrct), the remnants of AFU units were knocked out. The enemy is taking up defence west of the Seversky Donets-Donbass Canal.

πŸ”ΉIn the #Toretsk (#Dzerzhynsk) sector, the RFAF are expanding their zone of control near the villages of #Druzhba and #Kirovo.

πŸ”ΉWest of #Avdeyevka, the RFAF are resolutely developing their success after occupying a stronghold near #Sokol village in the direction of the #Voskhod village. High-intensity fighting is taking place throughout the entire frontline area

πŸ”ΉIn the #SouthDonetsk direction, in #Krasnogorovka, the RFAF are continuing the assault on the northern part of the town. South of #Maryinka our troops reached the outskirts of #Konstantinovka west of #Paraskoviyevka. Fighting for the important logistics hub of the enemy continues.

πŸ”ΉThe
#Zaporozhye front reports about the intensification of offensive actions of the RFAF in the #Rabotino and #Nesteryanka areas over the last few days. Enemy drones are a serious factor on this section of the front as well.

πŸ”ΉIn the #Kherson direction, the RFAF are fighting in the island zone. The AFU is setting up ambushes and sending out drones. The enemy confidently controls the area from the air due to the multiple superiority of drones.

πŸ’₯In #Belgorod region, the AFU shelled many peaceful settlements yesterday. A drone dropped an explosive device on two cars on the #Borisovka - #Baytsury section of the motorway. 4 civilians were injured: 2 men, a woman and a 12-year-old child.

πŸ’₯In the #Kursk region, the intensity of the enemy's strikes is not decreasing either. In #Tyotkino, Glushkovsky district, a Ukrainian copter dropped an explosive device on a residential house, a local resident was injured by shards of broken glass. The enemy is systematically knocking out electricity infrastructure and agricultural enterprises.

πŸ’₯In the #DPR, as a result of Nazi strikes on Gorlovka and Donetsk with NATO-made artillery, a civilian was killed and 3 wounded.

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