⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 @RybarAnalysis: Attacks by Russian Forces on Ukraine's Energy System on 22 Oct 2022 to 12:00⚡️

🔎 Rybar's team continues its daily analysis of the consequences of systemic fire attacks on Ukraine's energy system. This morning, the Russian Armed Forces once again launched massive strikes.

🔻 List of likely targets to be hit:

▪️ #Volyn and #Rivne Regions:

The outages in #Rivne and #Lutsk can be explained by a strike on the 330kV open switchgear (OSG) of the #Rivne NPP. But we doubt it: it is more likely that the strikes hit the #Lutsk - Severnaya 330 kV substation and the #Rivne 330 kV substation.

▪️ #Kirovograd Region:

As power outages were detected in Golovanevsky and Kropivnitsky districts, the Russian Forces may have hit the Pobuzhskaya 330/110 kV substation (two 330/110 kV autotransformers and one 150/35 kV transformer).

▪️ #Odessa Region:

Judging by the pattern of power outages, Russian Forces have hit the #Usatovo substation. It is unlikely that the strike hit the substation's general control station (GCS) as the open switchgear (OSG) is operational. The substation has three 330/110kV autotransformers and one of which was most likely hit.

Despite the outages in the #Podolsk region, we could not confirm that the 330 kV Podolskaya substation was affected. Because then the picture of the power distribution would have been different.

Behind the power outage in #Yuzhnoye is most likely a strike on the #Ajalyk 330/110 kV substation. Where exactly it was hit cannot be said without further information. The hit is indirectly confirmed and explained by increased overflows from Romania.

The outage in #Mayaki indicates a probable impact on the Novoodesskaya 330/110 kV substation. The situation is similar as at the #Usatovo substation: if there was a strike, it was not at the open switchgear, but at one of the two autotransformers. The 330 kV switchgear is operational.

▪️ #Khmelnitsky Region:

Repeated impact on the Khmelnitskaya 330/110 kV substation.

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⚡️🇺🇦💡🛤 Energy Crisis - Ukraine switches to Diesel Locomotives⚡️

🔎 @Rybar: Judging by the video released from the fields, one of today's strikes hit the Kvartsit 330/155/15 kV substation in the #Kirovograd region.

The nature of the strikes suggests that the intention is to isolate the #Rivne NPP at a voltage level of 330 kV.

The exact coordinates of the disabled autotransformer: 48.106304, 32.650836

And this amount of energy is not enough to ensure the functioning of the entire railway network in the west of the country. This is indirectly confirmed by the forced transition of Ukrainian railways to diesel locomotives.

Diesel locomotives are smaller, their capacity is lower (for example, you can forget about transporting equipment through the Carpathians for a while), and the main thing is that for diesel locomotives you need a lot of fuel.

Which Ukrainians buy in Europe at an inflated price from Western partners. And those, in turn, buy it in Russia through the “laying” companies. This is the economics of war.

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⚡️🇧🇾🇷🇺🇺🇦 Situation on the Belarusian Direction until 16:00 on 30 Oct 2022⚡️

#Rivne Sector:

▪️ Two companies of the 71st AFU Jager Brigade's 2nd Special Reconnaissance Forces continue to be used to reconnoiter the situation in the border areas with #Belarus.

#Zhytomyr Region:

▪️ The personnel of the 1st Battalion of the newly formed 77th AFU Airmobile Brigade have arrived at the #Perlyavka training range after completing training in the UK.

#Kiev Sector:

▪️ The AFU command fears renewed strikes by the Russian Forces against energy infrastructure facilities. To counter the Russian Geran-2 UAVs, a Gepard SAM firing position has been established in #Nalivaykovka.

#Chernigov Sector:

▪️ Combat training of mobilised men continues at #Desna 169 training centre under the guidance of instructors and mercenaries from the International Legion.

▪️ Four Ukrainian Special Forces reconnaissance teams are operating in the vicinity of the settlements of #Gubichi and #Zaderievka to monitor the movement of Russian Forces in #Belarus.

▪️ The training of mobilised soldiers in the #Bleshnya and #Mkhi training areas for the use of mortars and man-portable air defence systems is underway.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 Massive Missile Strikes by the Russian Armed Forces in #Ukraine: What is known as of 18:00⚡️

🩸 In the afternoon, the Russian Armed Forces once again launched a series of strikes on targets across #Ukraine. The launches were carried out by long-range aircraft of the Russian Air Force and naval ships. As on previous occasions, the attacks caused electricity and water supply problems in Ukrainian cities.

Despite recent deliveries of Western-made air defence systems, the AFU was once again unable to repel a Russian massive air raid. So far, the following cities are reliably known to have been hit:

▪️ #Kiev: more than five cruise missile sorties. One five-storey building was damaged, which may be a consequence of Ukrainian air defence. Power outages have started in the city.

▪️ #Zhytomyr: two incursions into critical infrastructure, tentatively the Zhytomyrska 330 substation, which has previously been hit by missiles by the Russian Armed Forces. Electricity and water have been lost in the city.

▪️ #Kharkov: power cuts after incoming attacks, underground shut down. Local authorities reported hitting critical infrastructure in Chuguevsky district: probably the Zmievskaya TPP.

▪️ #Lvov: a series of explosions, power and mobile phone outages. According to preliminary reports, one of the targets was a 330kV substation.

▪️ #Sumy: explosions in the area and power outages.

▪️ #Odessa: at least one rocket flew in. Power outage in part of the area.

▪️ #Kirovograd: two sorties, power infrastructure damaged.

▪️ #Volyn: hit energy infrastructure in the region, tentatively a 330kV substation in Kovel.

▪️ #Rivne: explosion, city partially de-energised.

▪️ #KrivoyRog: at least two explosions after arrivals.

▪️ #Khmelnitsky: at least two explosions after incoming flights.

▪️ #Kremenchuk: incoming, infrastructure facility hit.

Although power cuts have begun in the country, it is not gone everywhere: this indirectly indicates that autotransformers, rather than general control points (GCPs), are once again targeted. This reduces the effectiveness of the impact on Ukraine's energy infrastructure.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 15 Nov 2022⚡️

🩸 In the evening, the Russian Armed Forces again carried out massive strikes on critical infrastructure in #Ukraine. Targets were hit in #Zhytomyr, #Kiev, #Kharkov, #Zmiev, #Lvov, #Rivne and #Artsyz, as well as in #Sumy, #Khmelnitsky, Ivano-Frankovsk and #Vinnitsa regions.

Ukrainian air defence could not repel the attacks. There have been power outages across the country.

▪️ During the raid, two munitions landed near the Polish village of Przewodowy, killing two farmers. According to preliminary reports, a stray AFU S-300 anti-aircraft missile collapsed on Polish territory.

#Belgorod Region:

▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled residential buildings in the village of #Leninsky, as well as in the villages of #Bezymeno, #Kozinka and #Spodaryusheno. Civilians were not injured.

▪️ In the evening, enemy militants attacked residential areas in the town of #Shebekino. At least three people were killed and three others wounded.

▪️ Russian air defence forces intercepted almost all targets over #Valuyki and in the #Graivoron urban district, but one person was killed by a missile. Another woman was injured.

#Starobelsk Direction (MAP):

▪️ In the #Kupyansk sector, artillery units of the 14th AFU Brigade shelled the #Olshana - #Pervomayskoye - #Orlyanka - #Yagodnoye line. Enemy targeting was carried out by drones and SRGs near #Ivanovka.

▪️ In the #Svatovo sector, assault commandos of the 2nd Battalion of the AFU's 92nd Mechanized Brigade entrenched on the western outskirts of #Stelmakhovka and continued their offensive towards #Kuzemovka. The advancing enemy forces were detected by UAVs and withdrew to their initial positions under artillery fire from the Russian forces.

▪️ In the #Lyman sector, a company of the AFU's 25th Airmobile Brigade, supported by armoured vehicles, attempted to break through towards #Chervonopopovka. Russian forces repulsed the attack and later hit the brigade's positions, killing two and wounding 15 Ukrainian paratroopers.

▪️ In the #Lysychansk sector, fighting continues near #Belogorovka. An enemy SRG conducted combat reconnaissance on Russian positions near #Zolotarevka. The Russian forces detected the enemy's concentration and launched a preemptive strike, forcing the Ukrainian militants to retreat to their initial positions with losses.

#Lugansk People's Republic:

▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled residential buildings in #Denezhnikovo and #Volcheyarovka with barrel and missile artillery. Civilians were not harmed.

#Donetsk Direction (MAP):

▪️ The AFU command is moving reinforcements and equipping additional fortifications to hold the stronghold of #Avdeyevka.

▪️ Clashes continue in #Vodyanoye and #Nevelskoye. An enemy sabotage group has unsuccessfully tried to break through the advancing Russian ranks in #Pervomayskoye.

▪️ Russian forces under constant fire from Ukrainian artillery and MLRS continue to clear the northern outskirts of #Opytnoye.

▪️ Ukrainian militants have struck residential areas and civilian infrastructure in #Donetsk, #Gorlovka, #Yasynuvata, #Yakovlevka and other settlements in the agglomeration.

#Zaporozhye Direction (MAP):

▪️ The enemy is conducting reconnaissance along the line of contact as well as in the rear of Russian forces with the help of drones and pro-Ukrainian civilian informers.

▪️ In preparation for the offensive, the Ukrainian command is transferring reinforcements from the direction of #Kherson to the #Orekhov sector.

▪️ In #Melitopol, Ukrainian terrorists carried out an assassination attempt on a former city councillor by detonating a bomb outside his entrance. The injured official has been taken to hospital in serious condition.

#Kherson Direction on Southern Front (MAP):

▪️ AFU units continue to entrench themselves on the right bank of the #Dnipro River. At the same time, filtration activities are taking place in and around #Kherson, involving mercenaries from the UK and Georgia.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦☢️ Breaking - Emergency Shutdown of Ukrainian Nuclear Power Plants⚡️

After today's massive Russian strike, media reports of problems at nuclear facilities in #Ukraine immediately started pouring in.

First the South Ukraine nuclear power plant in #Nikolaev Oblast went into emergency mode, followed later by the #Rivne and #Khmelnitsky nuclear power plants in the western part of the country.

The most probable cause of the accident was the failure of supply substations. This led to a sharp drop in the consumers of electricity generated by the NPPs, due to which the shifts on duty were forced to shut down the reactors and put them to work for the plants' own needs.

🩸 Today, for the first time since the SMO began, all Ukrainian nuclear power plants have been "shut down" from the country's power grid.

It is not out of the question that power engineers will be able to put the emergency circuits back together and restart some of the nuclear plants.

But what is happening is a good demonstration of the beginning of the disintegration of Ukraine's unified energy system into separate, independent "islands".

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 Massive Strike on #Ukraine's Infrastructure on 16 Dec 2022 - what is known by 12:00⚡️

The RF Armed Forces have launched another massive missile strike on targets across #Ukraine.

▪️ In Kiev, CHPP-5, CHPP-6 and Darnitskaya CHPP were hit again. The underground was stopped, electricity was partially lost and water supply stopped.

▪️ #Zaporozhye region was hit by at least 12 strikes, local authorities said. In occupied #Zaporozhye, electricity and water were partially lost.

The engine room of the #Dnipro HPP was hit.

▪️ In #Kharkov, ground transport and the metro have come to a complete halt. There are disruptions in mobile communications. Partially there is no light and water. 7 strikes have hit the regional centre and 3 in the region.

#Zalyutino 330kV substation and #Kharkov 330kV PS were most likely hit. The previous day, the RF struck at CHPP-5. However, CHPP-3, which supplies power to all industrial facilities, remained unharmed.

Judging by the reports of the strike in the #Chuguev district, the fire attack might have been on CHPP-2 Eskhar.

▪️ Light went out in #Poltava and the Poltava region. The #Kremenchuk 330kV PS is likely been hit again. The #Mirgorod 330kV PS is also suspected of being hit.

▪️ In #Dnipropetrovsk region, there were explosions in #Kamenskoye and the regional centre. #Prydniprovska TPP is likely been hit again - traffic on Yuzhny Bridge opposite the TPP is blocked. The Prometey 330kV PS in #Kamenskoye is suspected been hit.

Explosions also occurred in #Pavlograd (likely the 330kV Pavlograd PS). Boiler houses and water supply are suspended in the city.

In #KrivoyRog, locals reported an explosion. Water and light were lost in the city. We already wrote that the Krivoy Rog TPP was shut down 1 1/2 month ago. Therefore, it is likely that either the Kirovskaya 330kV or Yuzhnaya 330kV PS was hit. In terms of logic, the Kirovskaya 330kV PS is most likely been hit - it supplies the water supply system.

▪️ There was a blackout in the #Cherkasy region. This could have been caused by both, the Polanyi 330kV PS being hit and the entire 330kV line along the Dnipro River being de-energised.

▪️ In #Kirovograd region, the Ukrainka 330kV PS was most likely hit. Pumping stations are shut down and power is lost. Several railroad sections are de-energized.

But the fact that the entire oblast is switched off could indicate that the 330kV switchgear of the Southern Ukraine NPP is down.

▪️ There are strikes in #Nikolaev and the region. Locals report power outages.

▪️ There are explosions in the #Ternopil region. There is only one 330kV Ternopil PS in the entire region.

▪️ In #Vinnitsa, shocks were also recorded. The Vinnitsa 330kV PS may have been hit.

▪️ An infrastructure facility in the #Odessa region has been hit. Power is partially lost in the regional centre.

▪️ In #Zhytomyr region, the Lesnaya 330kV PS in Korosten is affected. The PS bypassed the #Chernobyl NPP switchyard and supplied power to #Kiev from the #Rivne and Khmelnytskyi NPPs.

▪️ In the #Volyn, #Lvov, #Rivne, #Sumy and #Kherson regions, emergency blackouts occurred.

This is a direct consequence of the strikes in other regions. The same #Sumy is dependent on #Kremenchuk and #Kiev. And due to strikes on the Lesnaya 330kV PS, the Rivne NPP reactors could have shut down.

🩸Although the missile strike cannot be called the most massive in recent months, the number of missiles fired and the geography of targets is still impressive.

This confirms the systematic nature of the firing.

A new story has emerged in the Ukrainian infofield. People in chat rooms convince each other that the power was cut off before the strikes in order to mislead the enemy. Some even write that PPs are stopped on purpose for the duration of the raid.

There is no practical sense to be gained from such measures. But the Ukrainians believe such fables and convinces one another that the strikes by the RF are ineffective.

And this is not the case!

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📋🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 9 Mar 2023; pub. 07:00📍

🔴 An Air-Raid Alert has been issued this morning in #Ukraine, with explosions reported in #Volyn, #Chernigov, #Kiev, #Kharkov, #Odessa, #Poltava, #Khmelnitsky, #Ternopol, Ivano-Frankovsk, #Dnepropetrovsk, #Sumy, #Zhytomyr and #Rivne regions. The enemy reports that our missile carriers are also in the air and a second wave of launches is possible.

▪️ On the northern outpost of the #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) front, the Wagner PMCs have approached the village of Dubovo-Vasilyevka.
➖ The eastern half of #Artyomovsk is under the control of our troops.
➖ Separate AFU units are trying to leave the town, but the fighting is fierce.
➖ The enemy is counterattacking to maintain a corridor into the city.

▪️ In the north of the #Avdeyevka sector, the RF Armed Forces are launching an offensive in the area of #Krasnogorovka.
⚠️ #Vesyoloye is reported to have been liberated.
▪️ In the southern outpost of the front line, fighting near #Severnoye.

🔵 The AFU launched an attack on #Energodar, #Zaporozhye region, using a UAV.

▪️ In the #Kherson region near the #Dnieper River, the enemy is surreptitiously moving heavy equipment.
➖ Continuous attempts by the enemy's SRGs to land on islands in the #Dnieper river floodplain are reported.

▪️ The enemy does not stop shelling civilians of the DPR. Under fire; #Gorlovka, #Panteleymonovka, #Donetsk. Seven people were wounded, including two children.

❗️In Georgia, security forces dispersed protesters at night, special means were used. At the only checkpoint across the Russian-Georgian border "Upper Lars", a traffic jam formed from those wishing to leave for Russia.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡Massive Missile Strike by RF Armed Forces on Infrastructure in #Ukraine on 9 Mar 2023 - what is known by 14:00⚡️

💥 Russian forces launched massive missile strikes against critical infrastructure in #Ukraine overnight.

The list of assets used in the attack was significantly expanded. The RF Armed Forces used kamikaze drones, cruise missiles, and even the Kinzhal hypersonic system.

🔹What is known by this Hour?

▪️ #Kiev: The engine room and boiler room of CHPP-5, a major generating station in the capital, have been hit. Combined with other hits, there have been significant power and communication problems in the city.

The facility has previously been targeted by Russian forces more than once, but the plant continued to operate. That said, if the RF Armed Forces manage to take out at least a few turbines and boilers, power generation will be significantly reduced.

▪️ #Kharkov: at least fifteen explosions were heard in the city. According to some reports, the operation of CHPP-3 and CHPP-5 was shut down. Local residents reported power and water supply outages, communication and heating problems.

▪️ #Dnepropetrovsk region: a series of explosions were heard in Pavlograd, Krivoy Rog and Dnipropetrovsk districts. According to preliminary reports, the targets of the attacks in the Krivoy Rog district could be the Krivoy Rog thermal power plant and the Yuzhnaya 330 substation.

▪️ #Zhytomyr region: the Zhytomyr 330 substation was allegedly hit: the regional centre was partially de-energised, about 150,000 subscribers were left without power.

▪️ #Volyn region: citizens heard powerful explosions in #Lutsk and #Kivertsy. The blow was so powerful that some residents of #Kivertsy reported that their houses were shaking.

There is an oil depot, an airfield and the Lutsk-North 330 substation, as well as military facilities in the #Lutsk area.

▪️ #Vinnitsa region: powerful explosions were heard in the region. Facilities at the Ladyzhyn TPP may have been hit again.

▪️ #Kirovograd region: local residents reported sounds of explosions in Kropivnitsky district and emergency power outages. The target of the attack in the region could have been the Ukrainka 330 substation.

▪️ #Odessa region: local authorities said a power facility in the region was hit. Among the possible targets of the strikes are the Adzhalyk 330 substation, Novoodesskaya 330 substation, Usatovo 330 substation and Tsentrolit 220 substation.

▪️ #Sumy region: one of the buildings of the Chemical Products Research Institute in Shostka was probably hit.

▪️ #Zaporozhye region: Local authorities reported that an energy facility in the region was hit.

▪️ Ivano-Frankovsk region: hit an unknown energy infrastructure facility.

▪️ Local residents also reported the sounds of explosions in #Lvov, #Kherson, #Khmelnytsky, #Nikolayev, #Ternopil, #Rivne, #Cherkasy and #Chernigov regions.

▪️ After the strikes, Ukrainian Railways reported train delays of up to an hour due to power supply problems. Several trains are delayed by almost four hours.

📌 Today's Wave of strikes was the most massive this year. Among the known targets are critical to the functioning of power plants are engine rooms.

The precise hits caused significant power supply problems in several regions of the country, which, however, were restored within hours.

The largest disruption in power supply to the contact line network was in central #Ukraine. Large interruptions were recorded near #Podilsk (#Odessa region) and #Odessa, as well as small ones near #Lvov and in the Carpathian passes.

In addition, local authorities have once again preventively switched off power before the raid, but this is also causing significant damage to the power system, undermining its stability.

Despite the lack of immediate results, such attacks are increasingly destabilising Ukraine's energy infrastructure, leaving hopes of its disintegration and disruption of railways and industry.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Frontline #Summary for the Morning of 27 October 2023; pub. 07:06⚡️

🔹In the #Zaporozhye Direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces, with artillery support, attacked at #Nesteryanka, #Rivne, #Novoprokopovka and #Verbovoye. Near the first of the listed settlements, the Russian Armed Forces withdrew from some of their occupied positions. Ukrainian troops are thus trying to expand their flanks for the offensive. But the Ukrainian Armed Forces have a serious problem in minefields. (Fig. 1)

🔹In the #Ugledar Sector, the Russian Armed Forces counterattacked in the direction of #Staromayorsky and from #Novodonetsky and #Nikolsky. Without success (Fig. 2)

🔹On the #Donetsk Front, Russian troops continued assault operations at #Novomikhailovka, in #Maryinka, at #Pervomaisky, #Severny (a settlement west of #Avdeevka), on the southern approaches to Avdeevka and at #Stepnoy (not to be confused with the settlements of the same name in the #Zaporozhye and #Ugledar directions). The Steppe Armed Forces of the Russian Federation expanded the control zone along the railway track. (Fig. 3)

🔹In the #Bakhmut Direction, Russian troops are also trying to seize the initiative. Counterattacks at #Andreevka and #Kleshcheevka. And already offensive actions are taking place at #Khromov and from #Dubovo-Vasilievka. (Fig. 4)

🔹In #Lugansk Direction, the Russian Armed Forces attacked near #Makeevka, #Nadezhda, #Ivanovka (a settlement southeast of #Kupyansk), #Petropavlovka and #Sinkovka. #Ivanovka has progress. (Fig. 5)

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