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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Special Operation, 14 Jan 2023, Main; pub. 22:29⚑️

β–ͺ️ "Stormtroopers" and airborne units developed success in the direction of the town of #Sol in the DPR, the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;

β–ͺ️ MoD reported that Kiev lost over 80 people overnight in the #Kupyansk and Krasny #Liman directions;

β–ͺ️Ukrainian media reported a series of explosions in several regions of the country. Emergency power cuts have been introduced in #Kiev, Kiev region, #Odessa, #Vinnitsa and #Cherkassy regions;

β–ͺ️Ukrainian energy holding DTEK reported damage to two thermal power plants, one of them stopped. Power infrastructure facilities in five regions of #Ukraine and part of #Zaporozhye region are affected;

β–ͺ️In #Zaporozhe, the centre of the city of #Pologi was shelled by the Ukrainian military, killing four civilians and wounding five others, Rogov said;

β–ͺ️The British prime minister told Zelensky Saturday of his decision to hand over Challenger 2 tanks to #Ukraine;

β–ͺ️The Russian embassy in #London has said that the supply of British tanks will not help Ukrainian forces turn the tide; Challenger 2 will be a legitimate target for Russian guns;

β–ͺ️ Moskalkova called on #Ukraine's ombudsman, the UN and the Red Cross to demand that Kiev not torture prisoners. She said that she was preparing an appeal to the head of the Russian Investigative Committee over the use of torture against Russian prisoners of war in Ukraine.

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Special Operation, 29 Jan 2023, Main; pub. 21:10⚑️

β–ͺ️ The Russian Ministry of Defence has reported that in the #Donetsk direction, units of the "Southern" grouping of troops took more favourable lines and positions during the offensive; the enemy suffered losses of up to 90 servicemen

β–ͺ️ In the #Southdonetsk and #Zaporozhe directions, units of the Vostok Group of Forces continued offensives, defeating the enemy in the areas of #Ugledar, #Prechistovka, #Shevchenko and #Dorozhnyanka in the #Zaporozhye region

β–ͺ️ In the Krasny - #Liman direction the enemy suffered up to 110 military losses, two US-made M777 artillery systems and two US-made Paladin self-propelled artillery systems were destroyed

β–ͺ️ The head of the Ukrainian Defence Ministry admitted that the military situation for Kiev in the east is "complicated" and that the tanks promised by the West will not be ready for use until March

β–ͺ️ British military fears Challenger 2 tanks would fall into Russian hands, it would be a "nightmare", Sun wrote

β–ͺ️ Ukrainian crews arrived in Britain to train on Challenger 2 tanks, said the Kingdom's Ministry of Defence

β–ͺ️ Pentagon group wages secret campaign inside the agency to induce the leadership to supply Ukraine with F-16 fighter jets, Politico wrote

β–ͺ️ Eugene Prigozhin said that units of the Wagner group have taken control of the village of #Blagodatnoye in the DPR

β–ͺ️ Russian Foreign Ministry comments on shelling by Ukrainian military of hospitals in #Novoaydar and Novaya Kakhovka: West's lack of response confirms its direct involvement in the conflict

β–ͺ️ Ukrainian troops hit with HIMARS at road bridge over Molochnaya river in #Melitopol district, preliminary reports say 4 people killed, 5 injured, Rogov said

β–ͺ️ Prigozhin reported that bodies were found in #Artyomovsk, presumably of mercenaries with severed hands, abandoned by the Ukrainian military during the retreat

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πŸ“‹πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 29 May 2023; pub. 07:04πŸ“

πŸ”΄
The RF Armed Forces launched massive air strikes with missile weapons and Geranium UAVs against enemy targets in #Kiev, #Lvov, #Zhitomir, #Khmelnytsky, #Odessa, #Nikolayev, #Vinnitsa, #Kirovograd, #Cherkassy and #Poltava regions overnight. By 06:00 a.m. most of the air raids had been cancelled, but rips had begun in #Snigirevka, #Nikolayev region, which is used as a logistics point for AFU transfer to the #Kherson direction.

β–ͺ️ In the #Avdeyevka sector, the RF Armed Forces stormed #Pervomayskoye, taking positions in the south of the settlement.
βž– In #Maryinka, fighting continues on the western outskirts.

πŸ”΅ The AFU used HIMARS MLRS in the east of the #Zaporozhye front on our near rear. At night one of the strikes hit civilians in frontline villages, there are fatalities. Bringing the barrel artillery to the line of contact. In order to disrupt the RF Armed Forces' logistics, they strike #Mariupol with Storm Shadow missiles, but our air defence prevents the enemy from hitting its targets.

β–ͺ️ In the #Kherson direction, enemy drones and SRGs are active. South of Davydov Brod, the enemy concentrates forces in settlements and small villages, forms a rear bridgehead for the strategic reserve from the units of the 10th Army Corps, the main part of which is led to the line of contact on the #Zaporozhe front.

β–ͺ️ The #Belgorod region continues to be bombarded indiscriminately by the enemy. #Bezlyudovka, Novaya Tavolzhanka, #Belyanka, #Murom and #Shebekino came under fire.
πŸ’₯ In the neighbouring #Kharkov region, a covert build-up of enemy troops is under fire.

β–ͺ️ In the LPR, HIMARS (3 M31 and M30A1 GMLRS type rockets) were fired at #Almaznaya settlement. Three civilians were killed, including a man born in 1953 and a woman born in 1955. 7 civilians, including a ten-year-old child, were wounded with varying degrees of severity. One residential building was destroyed and 7 single-storey residential buildings were damaged.

β–ͺ️ On the DPR the enemy fired 250 rounds of ammunition. #Gorlovka, Shirokaya Balka, #Yasinovataya, #Donetsk, #Makeyevka, #Vladimirovka, #Staromlinovka, Krasnaya Polyana and #Yuryevka came under fire. Five civilians were wounded.

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ #Zaporozhe Direction at #Rabotino Settlement⚑️

πŸ—“ Today and yesterday
, the rain was heavy, there were no special offensive actions.

πŸ”₯ Today the AFU is waiting, regrouping. GRAD MLRS and Solntsepek TOS worked on the strongholds and enemy positions, we are smoking them out!

πŸ“œ ARCHANGEL OF SPECIAL FORCES Z πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί; 15 Jul 2023, 23:05 πŸ‘Ό

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Situation in the #Zaporozhye Direction for the Evening of 16 July 2023⚑️

πŸ”Ή1. The enemy is preparing
for a new offensive on #Pyatikhatki by assault groups of the 118th Mechanized Brigade and 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade. Earlier, the AFU was forced to abandon part of their positions near #Pyatikhatki due to heavy artillery fire from the RF Armed Forces and the suffered losses. The enemy is preparing personnel for a new assault, replenishing the shattered units.

πŸ”Ή2. The 71st Mechanized Brigade is training personnel to operate in conditions of radioactive contamination of the terrain. Despite various official statements, the preparation of the provocation with the explosion of the #Zaporozhye nuclear power plant does not stop. The training of the enemy troops is aimed precisely at increasing their readiness for operational and tactical actions in conditions of already accomplished radiation contamination of quite large territories.

πŸ”Ή3. An inspection in the 117th Mechanized Brigade revealed that of the 11 British 155mm AS-90 SAU's on hand, 8 had various malfunctions. It has been noted earlier that British howitzers proved to be poorly suited to the Ukrainian theatre, various design flaws were revealed in the course of combat operations. In terms of reliability, they are noticeably inferior to the American M109 155mm howitzers.

πŸ”Ή4. The enemy also expects to engage the 78th Assault Regiment of the 1st Air Assault Forces and units of the 108th Volkssturm Brigade in the #Orekhov offensive.
β–ͺ️ The enemy still sets the task of taking the heights in the area of #​​Pyatikhatki in order to be able to fully gain a foothold in the village.

πŸ”Ή5. In the area of #Staromayorskoye (#Vremyevka ledge) the enemy has taken up defences around the outskirts of the village and expects to resume attacks at night and in the morning tomorrow. The attacks will be led by units of the 35th AFU Marine Brigade and the 31st Mechanized Brigade, supported by the 1st Separate Tank Brigade, the 68th and 72nd Mechanized Brigades.
πŸ“Œ If the enemy succeeds in gaining a foothold in the village, the enemy command plans to throw tank companies of the 1st Separate Tank Brigade into the battle.
β–ͺ️ Rain in the #Vremyevka ledge makes it difficult for the enemy to move equipment off asphalt roads.

πŸ“œ Boris Rozhin; 16 Jul, 20:23

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ”Ž Boris Rozhin - Ukrainian Offensive could become one of Kiev's biggest Defeats⚑️

πŸ’¬ The military exper
t on the tactics of the AFU, losses of the Ukrainian army and possible directions of new strikes:

πŸ”Ή Is Kiev changing its offensive tactics amid the stalling of the original plan?

β–ͺ️ The nature of the AFU offensive has changed after the failure of the June offensive. The enemy is using equipment more sparingly and has abandoned attempts to break through defences by throwing large masses of armoured vehicles across minefields, switching to the tactic of intensive attacks by small assault groups.

This reduces armour losses, but maximises personnel losses, and also eliminates the possibility of deep breakthroughs, which leads to a slow push into the Russian defences in the outfield, which is fundamentally at odds with the plans for the summer campaign. The transition to such tactics is in itself a verdict on the ambitious plans of the AFU to break through the front.

πŸ”Ή How serious are the Ukrainian command's resources in its attempts to break through the front in the #Zaporozhye direction?

β–ͺ️ The enemy is not playing "all-in" yet and continues to gradually spend reserves, seeking to maintain the pressure by quickly restoring the combat effectiveness of units and formations. By the middle of July the enemy has spent up to 60% of his operational and strategic reserves. At the current rate of expenditure, he will be able to operate in the current mode for another 3-5 weeks.

πŸ”Ή What are the losses the AFU suffered in modern equipment and personnel during June and the first half of July 2023?

β–ͺ️ According to Western estimates, since the beginning of the offensive, the enemy has lost at least 30% of all armoured vehicles available to the advancing group. The irrecoverable losses of the AFU in personnel reach 26-28 thousand people. These are huge losses, which exceed, for example, all the losses of the PMC "Wagner" for 7 months of storming #Artyomovsk or all the losses of the Mariupol grouping of the AFU in the battle for #Mariupol. At the same time, the main tasks of the summer offensive have not been fulfilled in 1.5 months. If the enemy cannot reverse the current trend, the #Zaporozhye defensive operation will become one of the largest defeats of the AFU since 2014.

πŸ”Ή What other directions are the most threatening in terms of the possibility of new strikes by the AFU?

πŸ“Œ The enemy will most likely
continue to try to push our front in the area of #Artyomovsk (primarily to the south of the city) in order to achieve operational and tactical results here. Attempts to push through our front in the #Vremyevka and #Ugledar sections are also possible.

πŸ“œ Boris Rozhin specially for Voenkor Kotenok Z Channel; 17 Jul 2023. 21:02

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Special Operation, 1 Aug 2023, Main; pub. 21:44⚑️

β–ͺ️ Kiev has lost more than 220 military personnel in the #SouthDonetsk and #Zaporozhe directions, more than 345 in the #Donetsk direction, up to 120 in the #Kupyansk direction, more than 75 in the Krasny #Liman direction, and up to 40 in the #Kherson direction over the day, the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;

β–ͺ️ According to MoD, Russian patrol ships have destroyed 3 Ukrainian uncrewed boats attempting to attack in the Black Sea;

β–ͺ️ Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces Gerasimov checked a forward command post of the group of troops in the #Zaporozhye direction, drew the attention of the command to delivering preventive strikes, MoD; said;

β–ͺ️ Russian military prevented eight Kiev attack attempts in the #Svatovo and Krasny #Liman directions, more than 100 militants were killed, said Savchuk, head of the press centre of the RF Armed Forces grouping "Centre";

β–ͺ️ DPR deputy head Pushilin said that the village of #Kleshcheyevka in the suburbs of #Artyomovsk is under Russian control;

β–ͺ️ Moscow Mayor Sobyanin said that Ukrainian UAVs again tried to attack the capital; the air defence system shot down two UAVs in the #Moscow suburbs, another damaged the glazing of the Moscow City tower, no casualties, he added;

β–ͺ️ By carrying out terrorist attacks on civilian infrastructure, Zelensky is compromising the #US and trying to blackmail his partners for more "help," Russian MFA spokeswoman Zakharova said;

β–ͺ️ The #UN is against strikes on civilian infrastructure and wants them to stop, the deputy spokesman for the organisation's secretary-general Farhan Haq said, commenting on the Ukrainian UAV attack on #Moscow.

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Why #Bakhmut is so Important for the AFU⚑️

πŸ”ΉThe importance
of the #Bakhmut junction for the enemy is evident from the very dynamics of its offensive actions. We have already considered this issue, but from the point of view of our potential plans. Let's try to consider the #Bakhmut (#Artyomovsk) direction from the enemy's point of view.

🀚 The fact of the #Bakhmut capture by the forces of the Wagner PMC and the subsequent transfer of the liberated area to MoD units determined the activity of the AFU in this area for a long time. If we consider the configuration of our positions in the area of #Bakhmut, it is objectively unfavourable for the AFU to attack on the northern flank. The attempt to gain a foothold in the area of the #Berkhovskoye reservoir and to create pressure near Dubovo-Vasilyevka was not successful, as we still occupy the dominant heights, keeping under fire control the direction to Orekhovo-Vasilyevka. While three months ago units of the 56th Separate Mechanised Brigade occupied positions along the border of #Berkhovka, at the moment we have pushed them beyond the reservoir. Having pulled back, the enemy is trying to hold a bridgehead here with the forces of the 57th Mechanized Brigade.

β–ͺ️ The concentration of the AFU in the #Zheleznodorozhnoye section is also not high. Here are the 225th Battalion of the 127th Territorial Defence Brigade, 30th Mechanized Brigade, 27th Artillery Brigade, and the 8th Special Forces Regiment. This is explained by the fact that the enemy does not expect a counterattack from our side in this area, as well as the location 15 km northeast of the reserve grouping in #Seversk.

β–ͺ️ The southern flank, the strip #Kleshcheyevka - #Andreyevka - #Kurdyumovka was chosen as the direction of the main strike due to its favourable configuration, as well as the proximity of the Chasov Yar fortification, logistically tied to #Konstantinovka. It is the fact of uninterrupted logistics that allows the AFU to provide rotation of troops in this area in the shortest possible time, transferring fresh reserves. The situation on the southern flank of #Bakhmut has much in common with the situation in the #Zaporozhe (near #Rabotino) and Veliko-Novoselovskoye sections. Therefore, when we talk about the dynamics of the situation, which implies a constant transition of control over the positions from the enemy to us and vice versa, we should take into account that the defence forces are not only smaller in number, but are here virtually without rotation.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ As for the enemy's objectives, it is obvious that they are divided into three components:

βœ… Tactical - to create an exhausting effect by forcing us to hold a large in number grouping in #Bakhmut, while the southern section of the front is in dire need of reserves.

βœ… Informational and propagandistic - to take revenge for the biggest defeat of this year. After all, if we set aside the emotions that accompany reports about the situation in #Rabotino and on the #Vremyevka ledge, the enemy, having been advancing for more than three months, cannot boast of territorial gains comparable to the loss of #Bakhmut.

βœ… Operative - in case of failure of the southern flank of #Bakhmut, the AFU do not exclude the possibility of going on the offensive simultaneously in the #Soledar area, as well as from the direction of #Seversk in the direction of #Rubezhnoye, creating a threat of a flank strike to our units conducting offensive operations in the direction of #Yampol - #Torskoye.

πŸ“œ MultiXAM; 14 Sep 2023, 18:40

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦βš”οΈ Special Operation, 14 Oct 2023, Main; pub. 20:45⚑️

β–ͺ️ The RF Armed Forces have repelled 5 Ukrainian attacks in the #Zaporozhye direction, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;

β–ͺ️ According to MoD, the RF Armed Forces foiled the activity of Ukrainian SRGs on the #Alyoshkinsky island (Kherson region);

β–ͺ️ The AFU lost more than 670 militants, 52 armoured vehicles, 11 artillery pieces, 87 military vehicles and 31 drones over the day on all sections of the front, MoD said;

β–ͺ️ Deputy Prime Minister Khusnulin said the Crimean bridge has been fully restored after a July attack by AFU marine drones, with car traffic on all four lanes resumed 18 days ahead of schedule;

β–ͺ️ Two Ukrainian drones were shot down off the coast of the #Krasnodar region, MoD said, because of the attack flights at #Sochi airport were temporarily restricted, but since 07:25 the airport has been operating normally, there is no damage;

β–ͺ️ Another Ukrainian drone was shot down over the #Belgorod region. According to the region's governor Gladkov, a private house in the village of Novaya Derevnya was damaged by UAV debris, there were no casualties;

β–ͺ️ Rogov, head of the #Zaporozhe public movement "We are together with Russia," said that an "atmosphere of terror" reigns in the Kiev-controlled city of #Zaporozhe, and local residents are "waiting for the Russian Army to arrive."

β–ͺ️Zelensky demanded at a meeting with the Ukrainian media "off the record" not to write about corruption while the fighting continues, said the editor-in-chief of the publication ZN.UA.

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βš‘οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ”Ž The AFU faced the "Bakhmut Problem" near #Rabotino Village - Military Chronicle's Analysis⚑️

πŸ—“ In the last four weeks
, the infantry of the 116th, 117th and 118th Mechanized Brigades, used in "Meat Assaults" to save the 47th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade "Magura" and the 82nd Separate Air Assault Brigade, began to die en masse while attempting to bypass the main minefields prepared before the active phase of the Ukrainian offensive began.

πŸ”ΉAccording to Military Chronicles, the scale of the blasts was initially large but not critical, but the situation is rapidly deteriorating.

πŸ”ΉThe problem began to manifest itself in full force after the start of repeated mining of territories, which the Military Chronicles talked about earlier. The attempt to "find" a safe passage without the involvement of sappers, who are often unavailable at the positions, leads to the fact that anti-tank ditches are increasingly being chosen as shelters.

πŸ”ΉIn some cases, these structures are left deliberately, since the flexible defence tactics of the RF Armed Forces in this area allow them to choose which areas within the killing zones to launch AFU infantry into, which can then be destroyed by artillery.

πŸ”ΉIn the last three weeks, 152-mm howitzers have been used less and less frequently for such tasks: due to the widespread use of remote mine-clearing systems, as well as the regular work of sappers and Russian Special Forces, the anti-tank ditches are dotted with many anti-personnel mines.

πŸ”ΉAFU platoons caught in such positions are almost guaranteed to die without being able to get out or receive the minimum necessary medical assistance.

πŸ”ΉEven in the case of indirect contact with a mine, a moderate injury quickly turns into a serious injury due to the lack of equipment for evacuation and the terrain controlled by drones and Russian artillery.

πŸ”ΉAgainst the background of the relatively dry weather in #Zaporozhye over the past three weeks and the overall losses of the AFU in the area, such difficulties may seem insignificant, but things may soon change.

πŸ”ΉStarting on 16 October, precipitation is expected in #Zaporozhe, and all dug but uncovered trenches and abandoned anti-tank ditches will gradually fill with water. In such conditions, any wound for Ukrainian infantry is fraught with rapid death due to germs in the blood.

πŸ”ΉThe AFU has already experienced similar difficulties in #Bakhmut- then the filling of trenches with water and impenetrable mud led to the fact that local morgues and hospitals were filled to capacity and the wounded had to be transferred to neighbouring #Kramatorsk, #Slavyansk, #Konstantinovka and #Druzhkovka.

πŸ“Œ In #Zaporozhye, the AFU has no opportunity to redirect the flow of the wounded, as well as to get them out of the trenches in a timely and safe manner after being wounded.

πŸ“œ Military Chronicles; 15 Sep 2023, 19:31

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