📋🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 23 Feb 2023; pub. 07:01📍

🔴 The Wagner PMCs in the #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) direction are engaged in heavy fighting in #Berkhovka and #Yagodnoye northwest of the city, reports of the settlements being taken were premature. In #Berkhovka only half of the settlement had been cleared by nightfall. The enemy was transferring reserves.
➖ Southwest of #Artyomovsk fighting at #Krasnoye (#Ivanovskoye).

▪️ In #Maryinka there are battles in the centre of the settlement. The RF Armed Forces are using tanks and aviation.

▪️ In #Kherson direction, RF Armed Forces shot down a Ukrainian aircraft from Verba man-portable air defence systems on approach to Novaya Kakhovka.

⚠️ There are isolated reports that the RF Armed Forces in #Kupyansk, #Seversk and #Liman directions have launched an offensive. In some areas there is an advance of up to 5km deep into enemy defences. In some parts of the border in #Kharkov region we are engaged in a grey zone.

🔵 The Enemy pushed back our troops near #Ugledar ⚠️ and now fighting is taking place to the south between #Pavlovka and #Nikolskoye.
➖ The RF Armed Forces are conducting a massive artillery barrage, with reports from the field yesterday evening of effective firing by our artillerymen.

▪️ In the #Belgorod region, the AFU shelled #Shebekino and Pervoye Tseplyayevo. Three civilians were wounded, the region's governor said.

▪️ In the DPR, #Gorlovka, #Yakovlevka, #Mineralnoye, #Donetsk, #Makeyevka, #Aleksandrovka and #Debaltsevo came under enemy fire. One civilian was killed and one wounded.

❗️❗️❗️The Russian Ministry of Defence stated that Kiev is preparing an armed provocation against #Transnistria, which will be carried out by the AFU. As a pretext for the invasion of the PMR, Kiev is staging an attack by RF forces from the territory of #Transnistria.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 23 Feb 2023, Main; pub. 00:00⚡️

▪️ Biden does not see Russia's suspension of participation in START as a sign of preparations to use nuclear weapons;

▪️ Ukrainian troops have no success in #Artyomovsk and #Ugledar directions, they are losing many soldiers every day, Pushilin's adviser told RIA Novosti;

▪️ Ukrainians of conscription age wishing to enter #Russia via #Latvia, #Lithuania and #Estonia, as well as from #Poland to #Belarus, are being returned to #Ukraine and mobilized at Kiev's request, a source told RIA Novosti;

▪️ Kiev is preparing an armed provocation against #Transnistria, which may be carried out by members of the Ukrainian National Security Forces 👉 Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD);

▪️ Crimean bridge opened to vehicular traffic in all lanes, Khusnullin said;

▪️ Moldovan authorities are leading the country according to the Ukrainian scenario, although they should counter Kiev's attempts to drag Chisinau into war, former president Dodon said;

▪️ #Finland will transfer three Leopard 2 tanks to #Ukraine and train the Ukrainian military as part of the 13th military aid package, the country's Defence Ministry has said;

▪️ If #China's position on the Ukrainian conflict is not heard, there will be serious consequences, #Lukashenko said, also announcing Xi Jinping's statement on the conflict in the near future;

▪️ #NATO countries have depleted stocks of artillery shells for delivery to #Ukraine, see the challenge in ramping up their production in the "war of attrition" phase, Stoltenberg said;

▪️ Russian military destroyed up to 105 enemy soldiers, nine vehicles and six ammunition depots in #SouthDonetsk direction, MoD said;

▪️ The West should do everything to resolve the Ukrainian conflict instead of sanctions, #China's deputy ambassador to the UN, Dai Bin, said.

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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 How the Russian Armed Forces managed to destroy Odesa's energy sector — Rybar and Military Chronicle’s analysis

In Ukraine, the consequences of previous missile strikes on energy infrastructure facilities have been almost completely eliminated: outdoor lighting always functions, and scheduled power outages are gradually being cancelled.

With this in mind, the Russian Armed Forces' strikes seem pointless, as Ukraine repeatedly claims that it has managed to handle the problem with power supply. In fact, this does not correspond the reality. The #Odesa case shows this in practice. In fact, this is the first Ukrainian region, the power system of which was damaged critically.

🔻 How is Odesa's power supply system arranged?

The 330 kW power distribution is organized through one key node, the #Usatove substation.

#Novovodeska and #Adzhalyk substations were also hit: one of the two 330/110kW autotransformers was hit. A similar situation is developing at the #Artsyz substation.

According to open sources information, the total transformer capacity with its own generation is only a third of what it was before, about 471.7 MW (of 1332 MW). This is critically insufficient for Odesa.

🔻 Do preventive shutdowns help?

It helps minimize damage in the event of an attack, but if there are no strikes, it only makes it worse. Every shutdown causes overvoltage. As a consequence, not only 110 kW and 35 kW equipment and transformers fail, but also medium voltage - 10/0.4 kW and 6/0.4 kW - necessary for normal city life.

The constant switching on/off of equipment causes damage, sometimes comparable to the impact itself, but in this case not point-to-point, but distributed throughout the network. It can take a long time to restore power, and the city is transferred to generators. In a sense, declaring an air alert in this case is more dangerous than the strike itself.

🔻 What are Ukrainian energy companies doing?

DTEK's main efforts are focused on several areas:

➖Maintaining the remaining high-voltage equipment
➖Maintaining the equipment in function
➖Restoring 110, 10 and 6 kW networks

❗️ 330 kW networks are the most difficult to restore. They are repaired on a spot basis to maintain the minimum functionality of the substation. But it is impossible to replace autotransformers now.

Because of the restoration of low-voltage networks, the need to power from a limited number of substations increases.

This leads to mains voltage drops, which are compensated for by a rise in voltage at the power transformers. However, as new substations are switched on, the drop stops, and the high voltage transformers remain unchanged. It turns out that in apartments and houses of residents the level rises to 260-270 W instead of the usual 220 W - and further loads the power grid.

🔻 Prospects

The strikes on Ukraine's power system, despite their non-obviousness, are bearing fruit, which is most seriously felt in the Odesa region. If the strikes continue, the city's energy system will simply fail, and the region will be isolated from the general grid for a long time - from several weeks to several months.

In theory, this will limit the transfer of personnel and equipment from #Romania and #Moldova by rail and reduce the logistics capabilities of the Odesa port. But this is a double-edged sword: the energy crisis may push the AFU to seize the Cuciurgan power station in #Transnistria.

The deterioration of the situation will put even more pressure on the local population: discontent is growing every day. And the forced mobilization of citizens exacerbates the situation in the region.

❗️ Odesa region is the first one where the plot to destroy the energy infrastructure has succeeded, bringing about military and political changes.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 3 Mar 2023, Main; pub. 22:22⚡️

▪️ Kiev's losses in the Krasny #Liman, #Kupyansk, #Donetsk, #SouthDonetsk, #Zaporozhye and #Kherson directions exceeded 600 men in 24 hours, destroying 3 tanks, 6 BMPs, 11 howitzers, 3 Grads as well as 4 SAUs, including a Polish Krab, the Russian Ministry of Defense said;

▪️ Prigozhin reported that fighters of the Wagner group have practically surrounded #Artyomovsk;

▪️ An AFU submarine saboteur base in #Nikolayev, where instructors from Britain arrived, has been destroyed by a Russian strike, underground workers told RIA Novosti. According to them, the British were preparing drones there for attacks
on Russian ships in the event of a Kiev attack on #Transnistria;

▪️ Peskov commented on Kadyrov's idea of introducing martial law in the border region with #Ukraine: this is the president's prerogative, no decisions have been taken now;

▪️ The Investigative Committee has opened criminal cases over the attack in the #Bryansk region under several articles, including an act of terrorism;

▪️ Russian Ambassador Antonov says the US is responsible for the terrorist attack in the #Bryansk region, as the perpetrators were inspired by US support;

▪️ The US is providing Ukraine with a new $400 million military aid package that includes ammunition for MLRS, howitzers and armoured vehicles, as well as bridge-builders, Blinken said;

▪️ Serbia's Ministry of Defence stated that they did not supply ammunition to the end user in #Ukraine.

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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 How the Russian Armed Forces managed to destroy Odessa's energy sector — Rybar and Military Chronicle’s analysis

In Ukraine, the consequences of previous missile strikes on energy infrastructure facilities have been almost completely eliminated: outdoor lighting always functions, and scheduled power outages are gradually being cancelled.

With this in mind, the Russian Armed Forces' strikes seem pointless, as Ukraine repeatedly claims that it has managed to handle the problem with power supply. In fact, this does not correspond the reality. The #Odessa case shows this in practice. In fact, this is the first Ukrainian region, the power system of which was damaged critically.

🔻 How is Odessa's power supply system arranged?

The 330 kW power distribution is organized through one key node, the #Usatove substation.

#Novovodeska and #Adzhalyk substations were also hit: one of the two 330/110kW autotransformers was hit. A similar situation is developing at the #Artsyz substation.

According to open sources information, the total transformer capacity with its own generation is only a third of what it was before, about 471.7 MW (of 1332 MW). This is critically insufficient for Odessa.

🔻 Do preventive shutdowns help?

It helps minimize damage in the event of an attack, but if there are no strikes, it only makes it worse. Every shutdown causes overvoltage. As a consequence, not only 110 kW and 35 kW equipment and transformers fail, but also medium voltage - 10/0.4 kW and 6/0.4 kW - necessary for normal city life.

The constant switching on/off of equipment causes damage, sometimes comparable to the impact itself, but in this case not point-to-point, but distributed throughout the network. It can take a long time to restore power, and the city is transferred to generators. In a sense, declaring an air alert in this case is more dangerous than the strike itself.

🔻 What are Ukrainian energy companies doing?

DTEK's main efforts are focused on several areas:

➖Maintaining the remaining high-voltage equipment
➖Maintaining the equipment in function
➖Restoring 110, 10 and 6 kW networks

❗️ 330 kW networks are the most difficult to restore. They are repaired on a spot basis to maintain the minimum functionality of the substation. But it is impossible to replace autotransformers now.

Because of the restoration of low-voltage networks, the need to power from a limited number of substations increases.

This leads to mains voltage drops, which are compensated for by a rise in voltage at the power transformers. However, as new substations are switched on, the drop stops, and the high voltage transformers remain unchanged. It turns out that in apartments and houses of residents the level rises to 260-270 W instead of the usual 220 W - and further loads the power grid.

🔻 Prospects

The strikes on Ukraine's power system, despite their non-obviousness, are bearing fruit, which is most seriously felt in the Odesa region. If the strikes continue, the city's energy system will simply fail, and the region will be isolated from the general grid for a long time - from several weeks to several months.

In theory, this will limit the transfer of personnel and equipment from #Romania and #Moldova by rail and reduce the logistics capabilities of the Odessa port. But this is a double-edged sword: the energy crisis may push the AFU to seize the Cuciurgan power station in #Transnistria.

The deterioration of the situation will put even more pressure on the local population: discontent is growing every day. And the forced mobilization of citizens exacerbates the situation in the region.

❗️ Odessa region is the first one where the plot to destroy the energy infrastructure has succeeded, bringing about military and political changes.

High-res

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🚫 On the Introduction of Restrictions on Media Work in the South of #Ukraine⚡️

A couple of days ago, the Operational Command "South" of the AFU announced the introduction of restrictions on the activities of media personnel in the command's area of responsibility in #Odessa, #Nikolayev, #Kherson and #Dnepropetrovsk regions.

Under the new requirements, journalists and reporters have been assigned three zones: a "red" zone where media presence is strictly forbidden, a "yellow" zone where media personnel are allowed to work in the presence of a specially authorised officer and a "green" zone with no restrictions.

🔹Why is this done?

The Ukrainian authorities have repeatedly tried to restrict the work of foreign media, especially in the area of hostilities or within the radius of possible missile and drone strikes. Ukrainian propaganda is fundamentally based on falsified data and disinformation.

The presence of staff from Western news agencies - or rather media not under the control of the Ukrainian authorities - is a big problem for Ukrainian infobots. Western journalists could easily publish something that would completely smash propaganda built on lies.

🔹Which areas have been restricted for media work?

🔴 "Red Zone":

Entirely banned from visiting military bases, firing ranges, ports and airfields, as well as other critical infrastructure. Also, journalists are not allowed to work in areas bordering #Transnistria.

In #Nikolayev and #Kherson regions, reporters are not allowed to work in #Pravdino, Posad-Pokrovskoye, #Kiselevka, #Novopetrovka, #Lyubomirovka, #Snigirevka, Davydov Brod, Belaya Krinitsa and #Vysokopolye. In these localities, training activities for the mobilized are taking place, among other things.

Media workers are also prohibited from approaching the banks of the #Dnieper-Bug estuary, the #Ingulets River and the #Kakhovka Reservoir, where SRGs operate on boats, and there is active training of assault groups on forcing water obstacles.

🟡 "Yellow Zone":

Accompanied by authorised representatives of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence, journalists and reporters are able to work in several settlements in the #Nikolayev and #Dnepropetrovsk regions. Some of them are also equipped with training grounds for the mobilized. Filming along the Black Sea coast is possible with restrictions.

📌 Such Restrictions are perfectly logical in wartime conditions, so the measures taken by the Ukrainian authorities are not surprising. However, the creation of "red zones" is a double-edged sword, as it directly points out important positions and facilities to watch out for.

Since members of the media are banned from going there, it means that there is something of interest in the area, something that ordinary citizens should not see, much less be leaked to the media.

The Alibey Nature Reserve south of #Odessa on the Black Sea coast is partially included in the red zone. Near the conservation area there is a testing ground of "Tuzla", where the "Grom-2" missile defence system is tested). At present four missile launchers are deployed near #Tuzla.

In addition, the activities of journalists near the border with #Transnistria are completely banned. This is due to the concentration of several hundred people and dozens of weapons near the PMR, which is constantly denied by Kiev. There are also dozens of foreign mercenaries operating in the border villages.

And the establishment of the "red zone" along the #Kakhovka reservoir, the #Dnieper and the Dnieper-Bug estuary is mostly related to preparations for an AFU counterattack and the probable forcing (https://t.me/rybar/44982) of the water barrier to divert the attention of Russian troops from the main strike.

High Resolution: 🇬🇧 MAP; 🇷🇺 MAP

📜 RYBAR

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⚡️🇲🇩🇷🇴🔎 What is happening in #Moldova - Situation for March 25 - 31 2023; Part 2⚡️

▪️ Parliament has also approved a package of laws to once again extend the powers of the Information and Security Service (ISS), despite opposition protests.

The draft envisages the installation of audio and video surveillance equipment in the homes of citizens without their knowledge. The Venice Commission had earlier criticised the bill.

▪️ The ruling PAS party wants to ban MPs from the Shor faction from making statements in the briefing room following Marina Tauber's statement on Chisinau and Bucharest's preparations for a provocation in #Transnistria.

🔹Protests and Socio-Economic Crisis

▪️ Moldovan Prime Minister Dorin Recean called "criminals" who protest against the country being dragged into war and the economic crisis. The politician said the discontent was caused by a sharp rise in prices, but "the government cannot go along with the criminals".

▪️ The Moldovan police are drawing up protocols against protesters in #Edinet who expressed dissatisfaction with Maia Sandu's policies. The protesters are accused of blocking roads and "beating up motorists".

▪️ Minister of Labour and Social Protection Alexei Buzu said that all pensions will be indexed by 15% from 1 April. Opposition MPs, for their part, called the indexation of pensions "a mockery of the authorities over the people".

The socialists have asked the Constitutional Court to review the lawfulness of the decision to reduce the indexation of pensions to 15% when inflation and price rises exceed 30%, which contradicts the law on the state pension system.

▪️ Commenting on the country's gas supply problems, Energy Minister Viktor Parlikov said that the gas factor did not have as much impact on the economy as it was portrayed in the media.

The statement angered ex-Prime Minister Ion Kiku, who suggested asking citizens whether their family budgets were being affected by the multiplication of the gas tariff.

He pointed out that a huge number of businesses have closed due to high prices and the country is now "paying the price for the government's unprofessionalism".

At the same time it turned out that #Moldova overpays for gas almost three times as much as compared to the European countries. And the head of Moldovagaz company Vadim Cheban refused to answer the question whose gas Moldova bought from Europe this winter. Apparently, it was Russian gas at an inflated price.

▪️ #PMR President Vadim Krasnoselsky has invited the FBI to join the investigation into the terrorist attacks being prepared in Transnistria by the SBU against the OSCE delegation, which included a US citizen and Head of Mission to Moldova Kelly Keiderling.

🔹Gagauz Autonomy

▪️ Member of the People's Assembly of #Gagauzia Sergei Cimpoes has expressed the opinion that the autonomy is concerned about the prospect of a possible unification of #Moldova with #Romania.

He said a referendum should be held in #Gagauzia and he is sure that the Gagauz voters will vote against the merger with a #NATO country.

🔺 Part 1 🔺
🔻 Part 3 🔻

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⚡️🇲🇩🇷🇴🔎 What is happening in #Moldova - Situation for March 25 - 31 2023; Part 3⚡️

🔹#Transnistria and Military Escalation

▪️ Following the #NATO joint naval exercise with the participation of the Moldovan military, the Moldovan Defence Ministry has launched a planned military exercise of Romanian, Moldovan, US and UK special forces "JCET-2023" from 27 March to 7 April.

In addition, another military exercise took place in Balti on 29 March, which included live firing of infantry and artillery weapons.

▪️ #Transnistria noted that the Chisinau authorities do not warn about the exercises: in Tiraspol they learn about them from the media and only when they are already underway, which is of concern to the inhabitants of the region.

▪️ At the same time, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that the Ukrainian authorities support the "bellicose aspirations" of the Moldovan authorities towards #Transnistria. According to him, the Ukrainian side is demonstrating its readiness to intervene in the conflict in every possible way.

▪️ Defence Minister Anatoliy Nosatii, in turn, said that the presence of Russian troops in #Transnistria was a destabilizing factor.

Commenting on the high-profile call-up of citizens for military training, he confirmed that reservists all over the country receive summonses requiring them to attend training exercises.

Military exercises with reservists will be held from April to September this year in #Chisinau, #Causeni, #Straseni and other cities of the country.

▪️ The Moldovan government has confirmed that the elections for the Governor post of #Gagauzia, scheduled for April 30, will take place despite the extension of the state of emergency in the country.

At the same time, the ruling party PAS has said that it will not support any candidate in the elections.

🔺 Part 1 🔺
🔺 Part 2 🔺

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📜 RYBAR

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Kherson Direction until 12:00 on 7 May 2023⚡️

In the #Kherson region, there is an accumulation of personnel along the #Dnieper River. In the vicinity of #Kherson, communication base stations are disconnected and mobile devices are taken away for camouflage purposes.

🔹In the Golaya Pristan sector, SBU officers detained several local residents of #Kizomys village. They were accused of sabotage activities and complicity with #Russia.

🔹To the North, at the Posad-Pokrovskoye - #Zelenovka line, as well as near #Shevchenkovo, two Bayraktar TB2 drones operated. They provided target designation for artillery from the #Kutsurub and #Antonovka areas.

▪️ To the southwest of #Kherson, the presence of Signals Intelligence units was noted on the islands of Belogrudy and Bolshoy Potyomkin, and a manoeuvre electronic reconnaissance group arrived in #Kherson.

▪️ Artillery and mortar crews of the AFU's 406th Separate Artillery Brigade and 126th Territorial Defence Brigade are shelling the left bank of the #Dnieper River. A Grad-P PRPU based on a Mitsubishi L200 is operating in the vicinity of #Ukrainka.

🔹In the #Kherson region, reconnaissance signs indicate that preparations to intensify combat operations are nearing completion. AFU units are concentrating near the right bank. At the same time, assault units are still trying to gain a foothold on the islands near #Kherson.

One of the units of the newly established 82 Airborne Assault Brigade has arrived at the combined arms training area in Shirokiy Lana. The unit will be further manned with the most trained men from the Territorial Defence and sent for combat coordination.

In addition, a railway convoy of the 21st Mechanized Brigade has been formed in #Podolsk, #Odessa region, on the border with #Transnistria. According to preliminary data, the convoy with people and armoured vehicles departed in the direction of #Nikolayev.

It is currently unclear what the destination of the 21st Brigade will be - it could be #Kherson direction or other parts of the front, including the #Zaporozhye region.

🇬🇧 MAP; 🇪🇸 MAP

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