⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔎 What Results the AFU Achieved in Five Months of Offensive⚡️

⚔️Active combat operations began on 4 June. At the moment, the AFU offensive has not stopped, but it is clear that it is losing momentum and is being maintained more to create visibility than to achieve real goals.

🔹What was the Offensive Plan?

▪️Initially, the AFU command planned to launch two dissecting strikes and reach two major cities, #Melitopol (and further to #Berdyansk) and #Mariupol on the coast of the Azov Sea.

▪️It was assumed that in the course of the offensive the territory with a total area of about 23,000 km2 would be captured, and in a number of directions, including the Crimean and Donetsk ones, the threat of encirclement of Russian troops would be created.

▪️In reality, a competently constructed line of defence and redesigned fire tactics prevented the AFU from succeeding.

▪️At the moment, the total area of territory in which the AFU has managed to advance is about 140 km2 in the #Zaporozhye direction and 116 km2 in the #SouthDonetsk direction, which is almost 90 times less than it was supposed to occupy during the offensive.

🔹What other Problems does the AFU have?

▪️In addition to problems with the failure to fulfil the offensive's main objectives, there are others. On 4 September, former Ukrainian Defence Minister Oleksiy Reznikov said that each day of combat operations costs Ukraine $100 million.

▪️Thus, 153 days (five months) of the offensive cost Kiev $15.3bn, but this money did not bring results. It is noteworthy that almost immediately the previously created myth about the superiority of the AFU, NATO tactics and technical superiority collapsed. Most of the expectations from the nature of the AFU actions simply did not realise.

▪️If the offensive had been successful, a number of #EU countries and the US would most likely have continued or increased the supply of military equipment. Now that almost all available conventional weapons options,- from small drones to man-portable air defence systems, have been tried, many have lost enthusiasm to continue deliveries.

▪️In addition, favourable timing has been lost. In the winter of 2022 and spring of 2023, much expectation was placed on warm season warfare. It was thought that summer and warm weather would favour the AFU offensive, but this did not happen.

🔹What losses did the AFU suffer?

▪️On 30 October, Russian Defence Minister Sergey Shoygu said that the AFU had lost more than 90,000 people killed and wounded during the offensive. These are 36 brigades of 2.5 thousand men each. No other army in the world has suffered such losses since World War II. The fleet of foreign equipment supplied to the AFU has been largely confused. The experience of using American M2 Bradley BMPs, M113/YPR-765 and M1126 Stryker APCs, Leopard 2A4/A5 (Strv 122)/A6 and Challenger 2 tanks, PzH-2000, M109 and AS-90 UASs has shown that Western combat vehicles cannot fundamentally change the situation on the battlefield, while their destruction and damage have an immediate and negative impact on the situation at the front.

🔹What's the Result?

▪️In addition, the failure of the AFU offensive has caused a split in the once united camp of #Ukraine's supporters. In the US, congressmen are asking questions about the prospects for aid to Kiev, while in #Europe some countries have already suspended or stopped military supplies to #Ukraine, among them #Slovakia and the main military donor in #Europe, #Poland.

▪️Also, five months of intense fighting have depleted the stockpiles of arms and ammunition not only in #Ukraine, but also in the #EU, from where they were forcibly transferred in the spring of 2023. The EU will be able to replenish reserves to the level of 2022 not earlier than 2025. In the short term, therefore, one cannot count on increased supplies, and without them, the prospects for any offensive actions in 2024 look very illusory.

📜 Military Chronicles; 4 Nov 2023, 11:09

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 22 Nov 2023, Main; pub. 20:44⚡️

▪️ The first group of the Russian Khmelnitsky Battalion made up of former Ukrainian prisoners of war has left on a combat mission, fighter Viktor Kirichansky with the call sign "Kirik" told RIA Novosti on Wednesday;

▪️ Russian Deputy Defence Minister Goremykin inspected units in the #Zaporozhye direction and awarded fighters who distinguished themselves in the battles near #Rabotino;

▪️ Over the past day, the RF Armed Forces destroyed a warehouse of AFU bombs and missiles, a S-300 SAM system and shot down a Ukrainian MiG-29 near #Vozdvizhenka in the #DPR, the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;

▪️ The RF Armed Forces repelled AFU attacks in the #Kupyansk, #Krasnyliman, #Donetsk, #SouthDonetsk and #Zaporozhye directions. In total, the AFU lost about 420 militants, at least 24 pieces of equipment, not counting aircraft and shells during the fighting in all directions, according to MoD's report;

▪️ The RF Armed Forces on 22 November detected and destroyed 4 Ukrainian Navy sea drones en route to #Crimea. In addition, Russian air defence forces shot down 3 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over #Crimea, MoD said;

▪️ Ex-head coach of #Dagestan's kickboxing team Akhmedov has come under the article on state treason for taking part in fights on the side of the AFU, a source told RIA Novosti. According to the Russian Interior Ministry's database, Akhmedov is wanted;

▪️ The #US is trying to "moderate Zelensky's appetites", get an account for spending the funds allocated by the West for the Ukrainian summer counteroffensive and at the same time shift to #Europe the maintenance of the Kiev authorities, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Zakharova said;

▪️ Kiev on the eve of winter is "begging" for short-range Sentinel radars from the #US to protect weapons factories, Politico wrote, citing a source;

▪️ #Canada has no plans to provide military aid to Ukraine after 2025. The country's draft budget shows that just under $1bn will be allocated to help Kiev over the 3 fiscal years to 2026;

▪️ #Germany has transferred 20 Marder IFVs and more than 2,000 artillery ammunition of 155 millimetres calibre to Ukraine since 13 November, according to the updated list of weapons supplied to Kiev on the website of the German government;

▪️ The #Swiss Federal Council authorised the sale of 25 Leopard 2A4 tanks to Germany. Berlin has assured that these tanks will not go to Kiev but will remain in #Germany, #EU countries or #NATO countries.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 11 Dec 2023, Main; pub. 19:10⚡️

▪️ Ukrainian troops may use chemical and biological weapons and stage provocations after the failure of the counteroffensive, the head of the radiation, chemical and biological defence troops of the RF Armed Forces, Kirillov, said;

▪️ Kiev has already purchased a batch of precursors of mustard gas in #Germany, Kirillov said;

▪️ The AFU plans to contaminate drinking water, food supplies and animal feed with pathogenic biological objects, the head of radiation, chemical and biological defence troops added;

▪️ The #US intelligence community thinks it may soon be necessary to replace Zelensky because of his boorishness, corruption and inability to take into account Washington's interests, SVR Director Naryshkin said;

▪️ Europe is convinced that Zelensky's successor could be Zaluzhny, Budanov, Yermaka, Arestovich or Klitschko; someone among them should create a "sanitary cordon" between #Russia and #Europe for decades, Naryshkin said;

▪️ A ceasefire will come when the AFU of Ukraine loses its offensive potential and "overseas masters" abandon them in the process, the head of the SVR said;

▪️ The FSB reported on Monday that it had prevented 14 acts of sabotage and terrorism in #Crimea over the year, prepared by Ukrainian security services, and defeated a deeply conspiratorial network of agents, with 18 of them detained;

▪️ The Ministry of Defence reported that 27 attacks were repelled in the area of the SMO, the enemy was defeated, Kiev's losses were up to 570 militants, a tank, a IFV and two armoured vehicles, as well as three D-30 howitzers, two weapons depots were hit, and air defence forces shot down 24 Ukrainian drones;

▪️ The British Ministry of Defence said it would hand over two Sandown-class minesweeping ships to #Ukraine "to strengthen the Ukrainian ability to operate at sea".

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 19 Dec 2023, Main; pub. 20:29⚡️

▪️ Putin said at an enlarged meeting of the RF MoD board that the year was tense, but everyone professionally and courageously solved special operation tasks, maintained combat readiness, conducted training, solved mobilisation, technical and personnel issues;

▪️ The Russian army has the initiative on the line of contact, the RF is not going to give up its SMO goals, Putin said;

▪️ All attempts to inflict a strategic military defeat on the RF Armed Forces have crashed against the courage and steadfastness of our soldiers, Putin said;

▪️ Putin said the myth of invulnerability of Western equipment has collapsed, #Ukraine is suffering losses and has largely squandered reserves;

▪️ The West continues to wage hybrid warfare against #Russia and supplies the Kiev regime with intelligence, Putin said;

▪️ Moscow did not and does not intend to go to war with #Europe, even though the US has been scaring them that allegedly "evil Russia is threatening you," Putin assured;

▪️ The SMO has revealed problems: it is necessary to rebuild the communication system, more effectively apply modern technologies of reconnaissance, target designation and counterbattery warfare, build up the capabilities of the satellite constellation, Putin noted;

▪️ The President stressed that issues of defence against drones should not be overlooked: even "some small drones" cause damage;

▪️ The priority task for next year is to continue the SMO until the tasks set by the Supreme Commander-in-Chief are fully fulfilled, Shoygu said;

▪️ MoD has clarified approaches to the use of troops, the tactics of general military combat has changed, assault units, drone units and reserve regiments have appeared, Shoygu said;

▪️ About 490,000 contract servicemen and volunteers, including students, joined the army in 2023, Shoygu said;

▪️ There are seven times more foreign volunteers in the RF Armed Forces, while in the AFU the trend is the opposite, Shoygu said;

▪️ According to him, the Russian army, in which more than 650 servicemen have gained combat experience, is the most trained and combat-ready in the world;

▪️ 320,000 people have received state awards during the SMO, 272 have been honoured with the title of Hero of Russia, Shoygu said;

▪️ Since the beginning of the SMO, Russian defence industry enterprises have quadrupled their capacity. Despite sanctions, #Russia is producing more high-tech weapons than #NATO countries, Shoygu said;

▪️ The development and introduction of new equipment has been accelerated; previously, samples went into production in 5-8 years, within 4-7 months, Shoygu said;

▪️ The West has supplied Kiev with 5,220 tanks, BMPs and APCs, 28 aircraft, 87 helicopters, 23,000 UAVs, over 1.3 thousand artillery systems, the AFU has lost over 383 thousand militants, 14 thousand tanks, IFVs and APCs, 553 aircraft and 259 helicopters, 8.5 thousand field artillery and MLRS since the beginning of the SMO, Shoygu said;

▪️ The Russian military has repelled 18 enemy attacks and defeated Ukrainian troops over the day, with the AFU's losses totalling up to 680 militants;

▪️ 3 Ukrainian drones were shot down in the morning over the #Bryansk region, another over the #Kaluga region, and one flew to the Odintsovo district near #Moscow in the afternoon, MoD said;

▪️ Commander of the AFU ground forces Syrsky said that the situation in the #Kharkov direction is difficult and that Russian troops have an advantage;

▪️ Ukrainian Defence Minister Umerov at a meeting with #US Assistant Secretary of State O'Brien said he was ready to invest in joint defence ventures and directly purchase weapons and equipment from US companies;

▪️ Kivu, a former deputy of the Verkhovna Rada, who was killed in early December, was summoned to court in #Ukraine, and the summons was issued after his death.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔎 Behind the Scenes - #Ukraine Theatre⚡️

🇺🇦 Zaluzhny's resignations are continuing. The previous one was scheduled for yesterday's meeting at the Supreme Commander's HQ. Zaluzhny was indeed present there and even reported to Zelensky about the difficult situation on the fronts. But he remained in office. Bye!

🔹 Meanwhile, Poroshenko took care of the situation at the front and in the rear. He told the foreign press that the government was lying to the population about the real state of affairs at the front. As a result, people do not realise the need to mobilise, see how protesters are being arrested, and flee the country as best they can. At the same time, according to Poroshenko, European countries should continue to regularly supply Kiev with the necessary weapons, without putting forward any conditions.

🔹The €50 billion allocated by the #EU for 4 years is fueling the appetites of Ukrainian officials. Former Ukrainian ambassador to #Germany Melnyk, who was transferred as ambassador to #Brazil after a series of scandals, demands that #Europe allocate 1% of #EU GDP to #Ukraine. According to his calculations, this amount should amount to €160 billion annually. He also expressed dissatisfaction with the fact that the German government had agreed to arm #Ukraine for only €7 billion.

🔹#Ukraine intends to produce one million FPV drones in 2024, as aid supplies from Western countries are decreasing, the Wall Street Journal writes. The drones will be assembled in small workshops in #Ukraine.

❗️On a personal note, I would like to say that a million FPV drones are much more dangerous in their effectiveness than a million projectiles. Zaluzhny said that the AFU will be dependent on drones. They don't just talk and plan, they do it right away. FPV drones are now allowing the AFU to make up for the shortage of shells, artillery, military equipment and aircraft. We must be prepared for the fact that they will have many more drones on the frontline than now, although there are already quite a few of them.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔎 Behind the Scenes - on the Death of the Traitor Maxim Kuzminov⚡️

🇺🇦 Ukrainian intelligence representative Yusov reported that Russian pilot Maxim Kuzminov, who hijacked a combat helicopter to #Ukraine and killed his fellow soldiers, was found killed in #Spain. Perhaps the traitor received well-deserved retribution, and it would be right and fair. But there is a suspicion that the Ukrainian side may also be involved in a possible murder or information noise, which now benefits from whipping up anti-Russian hysteria in #Europe.

👇 The Ukrainian GUR (Main Intelligence Directorate) reports through RBC-Ukraine that Kuzminov died after all. Meanwhile, the Spanish media, which referred to Eureka News, on the contrary, cleaned up their publications, removing Kuzminov’s surname.

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