Gm,
If you’re losing, don’t worry — we’re all losing.
Most alts are down 40–60% over the past 90 days.
Aside from two exceptions (Mantra & OKB), everything’s in the red.
And that’s just the top 35. It’s the same — or even worse — across the top 100.
A few weeks ago, I said I was done buying dips, which in hindsight was probably the right call.
Unfortunately, I didn’t sell much of my bags either.
Anyway, just saying this so you know everyone is losing, it's not just you.
There was almost no way to come out ahead if you were holding any asset for the past 3 months.
And it’s not just crypto — that’s the same across most markets.
I also don’t think more than 10% of CT sold back in early January, when we were starting the year full of optimism — Trump election season, bullish catalysts for crypto, most people saying the bull run just started, etc.
But things change fast. You have to be ready to adapt.
This is a tough time, no doubt. But things will get better — they always do in Crypto.
Right now, no one really knows if this is a good time to buy the dip, if we’ll go lower, how long it’ll last, or whether ETH will ever make a full comeback.
We're in a period of total uncertainty. The macro situation is shifting constantly, and everything is super volatile.
Personally, I’m just slowly starting to deploy again — but I’m not rushing in.
What are you doing? Do you have any dry powder left to buy? Are you stuck with your bags? Are you leaving until things get better?
If you’re losing, don’t worry — we’re all losing.
Most alts are down 40–60% over the past 90 days.
Aside from two exceptions (Mantra & OKB), everything’s in the red.
And that’s just the top 35. It’s the same — or even worse — across the top 100.
A few weeks ago, I said I was done buying dips, which in hindsight was probably the right call.
Unfortunately, I didn’t sell much of my bags either.
Anyway, just saying this so you know everyone is losing, it's not just you.
There was almost no way to come out ahead if you were holding any asset for the past 3 months.
And it’s not just crypto — that’s the same across most markets.
I also don’t think more than 10% of CT sold back in early January, when we were starting the year full of optimism — Trump election season, bullish catalysts for crypto, most people saying the bull run just started, etc.
But things change fast. You have to be ready to adapt.
This is a tough time, no doubt. But things will get better — they always do in Crypto.
Right now, no one really knows if this is a good time to buy the dip, if we’ll go lower, how long it’ll last, or whether ETH will ever make a full comeback.
We're in a period of total uncertainty. The macro situation is shifting constantly, and everything is super volatile.
Personally, I’m just slowly starting to deploy again — but I’m not rushing in.
What are you doing? Do you have any dry powder left to buy? Are you stuck with your bags? Are you leaving until things get better?
Gm,
In case you missed some of my Latest Posts:
🔗 Crypto x AI Synergy
🔗 Lens x Avail, Pick&Shovel Play and Data Narrative
Latest Newsletter Editions:
🔗 Deep Dive on Sonic
🔗 Case Study on Stablecoins & Zoom on Resolv and Level
🔗 Deep Dive on RWA-Fi through Maple Finance & Plume
🔗 Deep Dive on Sei
Instagram Post:
🔗 Risky Assets like XMW holding up better than ETH
I'm researching many projects these days, there is a lot of interesting stuff.
Especially on newly released tokens or projects with updates/upgrades that are not priced in yet.
However, it will all make sense when there is less uncertainty and the market recovers.
For now even great updates and strong fundamentals are not tied with good price performance.
🫡
In case you missed some of my Latest Posts:
🔗 Crypto x AI Synergy
🔗 Lens x Avail, Pick&Shovel Play and Data Narrative
Latest Newsletter Editions:
🔗 Deep Dive on Sonic
🔗 Case Study on Stablecoins & Zoom on Resolv and Level
🔗 Deep Dive on RWA-Fi through Maple Finance & Plume
🔗 Deep Dive on Sei
Instagram Post:
🔗 Risky Assets like XMW holding up better than ETH
I'm researching many projects these days, there is a lot of interesting stuff.
Especially on newly released tokens or projects with updates/upgrades that are not priced in yet.
However, it will all make sense when there is less uncertainty and the market recovers.
For now even great updates and strong fundamentals are not tied with good price performance.
🫡
Gm guys,
Market is recovering? What do we think?
There’s been a lot going on lately, and it’s good to see more activity across Crypto.
I’ve been trying to stay on top of everything, and as always, here’s the Alpha I’ve gathered.
It’s a long one this week — feel free to pick your topics or just read the titles to get a sense of what’s been happening in the Crypto space.
But honestly, if you’ve got the time, there’s a lot worth catching up on. 🫡
LATEST ALPHA – April 12th 2025
🎓 Knowledge, Analyses & Thoughts
• AI x Blockchain Research
• Post AI Agent Bubble Thoughts
• Top 10 Must Read AI Content for this weekend
• Demystifying TVL deals
• $BTC three day bull divs
• $BTC & Global M2
• $ETH same price as Jan 2018, with way better fundamentals
• Total Stablecoin supply on ETH today is $123B, $100B more than in Jan 2021
• $ETH Mixed Signals
• RWA Market continues to expand
• End of 2024 to early 2025 has seen the highest growth in the number of BTC whales
• What a weaker dollar really means
• Out of 27 new tokens listed on Binance in 2025, only 3 are in the green
• Crypto Developer Activity is the lowest it’s been since 2018
• Anatomy of a Runner: how someone caught Fartcoin at 80k & rode it to billions
• Next Rally is brewing in Asia
• Can the market exhale and catch its breath for 90 days?
🗞 News, Updates & Catalysts
• Top Fed official says the Federal Reserve is ready to help stabilize the market if needed
• BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says there will be much greater inflation in the US
• Top Events & Market Updates April 11th
• Top Events & Market Updates April 12th
• The Latest Developments in DeFi
• Crypto News & Alpha from this Week
• March PPI inflation FALLS to 2.7%, below expectations of 3.3%
• March CPI inflations falls to 2.4%, below expectations of 2.5%
• CPI explained
• US Dollar down
• The White House says that tariffs on China are now at a total of 145%
• China is raising tariffs on US goods from 84% to 125%
• Trump announced 90-day pause on tariffs for 75+ countries
• The US publishes reciprocal tariff exclusion for computers, smartphones & chip-making equipment
• More Macro News explained
• Trump blocked the IRS rule that would have forced DeFi apps to collect customer data
• Long-term holders are aggressively buying $BTC whilst short-term holders capitulate
• Vitalik Butering released a simplified L1 privacy roadmap
💎 Project Research & Alpha
• $ETH accumulation by Bitfinex whales
• $ETH Good Metrics
• $SOL back above the 4H cloud
• More $SOL TA
• What’s Wayfinder $PROMPT
• Wayfinder disaster TGE (already up a lot since though)
• More thoughts on $PROMPT TGE
• $FLUID top coin accumulated by top smart dex traders
• $FLUID DEX collecting 2.5x more fees than Uni pool on a 24h timeframe
• $PENDLE & $FLUID Strength
• $PENDLE bullish thesis
• Hyperliquid L1 top 2 Revenue in 24h
• MegaETH leads EVM chains in computational throughput
• dTAO Breakdown
• $SEI Ecosystem gaining momentum
• $XMW Research
• VerticalAI $VERTAI growing
• OpenServ $SERV now open to the masses
• Bullish Thesis on WalletConnect $WCT
• $AST Perp DEX Rebrand
• OpenEden Research, leading RWA tokenization platform
• Mantle Banking & MI4
• $POPCAT bullish again? (careful with memecoins as always)
• $POPCAT most bought token by smart money in the last 24h
• $POPCAT first daily close inside the cloud since December
• $FARTCOIN showing strength
• $BONK showing strength too (careful w/ memecoins, but can’t fade a potential revival of the narrative)
• Established winners to buy on a dip
• Top Berachain apps by TVL
• The Most Ambitious Protocols from MVB 9
• HyperEVM Tier List
Market is recovering? What do we think?
There’s been a lot going on lately, and it’s good to see more activity across Crypto.
I’ve been trying to stay on top of everything, and as always, here’s the Alpha I’ve gathered.
It’s a long one this week — feel free to pick your topics or just read the titles to get a sense of what’s been happening in the Crypto space.
But honestly, if you’ve got the time, there’s a lot worth catching up on. 🫡
LATEST ALPHA – April 12th 2025
🎓 Knowledge, Analyses & Thoughts
• AI x Blockchain Research
• Post AI Agent Bubble Thoughts
• Top 10 Must Read AI Content for this weekend
• Demystifying TVL deals
• $BTC three day bull divs
• $BTC & Global M2
• $ETH same price as Jan 2018, with way better fundamentals
• Total Stablecoin supply on ETH today is $123B, $100B more than in Jan 2021
• $ETH Mixed Signals
• RWA Market continues to expand
• End of 2024 to early 2025 has seen the highest growth in the number of BTC whales
• What a weaker dollar really means
• Out of 27 new tokens listed on Binance in 2025, only 3 are in the green
• Crypto Developer Activity is the lowest it’s been since 2018
• Anatomy of a Runner: how someone caught Fartcoin at 80k & rode it to billions
• Next Rally is brewing in Asia
• Can the market exhale and catch its breath for 90 days?
🗞 News, Updates & Catalysts
• Top Fed official says the Federal Reserve is ready to help stabilize the market if needed
• BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says there will be much greater inflation in the US
• Top Events & Market Updates April 11th
• Top Events & Market Updates April 12th
• The Latest Developments in DeFi
• Crypto News & Alpha from this Week
• March PPI inflation FALLS to 2.7%, below expectations of 3.3%
• March CPI inflations falls to 2.4%, below expectations of 2.5%
• CPI explained
• US Dollar down
• The White House says that tariffs on China are now at a total of 145%
• China is raising tariffs on US goods from 84% to 125%
• Trump announced 90-day pause on tariffs for 75+ countries
• The US publishes reciprocal tariff exclusion for computers, smartphones & chip-making equipment
• More Macro News explained
• Trump blocked the IRS rule that would have forced DeFi apps to collect customer data
• Long-term holders are aggressively buying $BTC whilst short-term holders capitulate
• Vitalik Butering released a simplified L1 privacy roadmap
💎 Project Research & Alpha
• $ETH accumulation by Bitfinex whales
• $ETH Good Metrics
• $SOL back above the 4H cloud
• More $SOL TA
• What’s Wayfinder $PROMPT
• Wayfinder disaster TGE (already up a lot since though)
• More thoughts on $PROMPT TGE
• $FLUID top coin accumulated by top smart dex traders
• $FLUID DEX collecting 2.5x more fees than Uni pool on a 24h timeframe
• $PENDLE & $FLUID Strength
• $PENDLE bullish thesis
• Hyperliquid L1 top 2 Revenue in 24h
• MegaETH leads EVM chains in computational throughput
• dTAO Breakdown
• $SEI Ecosystem gaining momentum
• $XMW Research
• VerticalAI $VERTAI growing
• OpenServ $SERV now open to the masses
• Bullish Thesis on WalletConnect $WCT
• $AST Perp DEX Rebrand
• OpenEden Research, leading RWA tokenization platform
• Mantle Banking & MI4
• $POPCAT bullish again? (careful with memecoins as always)
• $POPCAT most bought token by smart money in the last 24h
• $POPCAT first daily close inside the cloud since December
• $FARTCOIN showing strength
• $BONK showing strength too (careful w/ memecoins, but can’t fade a potential revival of the narrative)
• Established winners to buy on a dip
• Top Berachain apps by TVL
• The Most Ambitious Protocols from MVB 9
• HyperEVM Tier List
💡 Farms, Tools & Bonus
• Most profitable LPs on HyperSwap
• The Ultimate Guide to Farm the Hyperliquid Ecosystem
• 24 PT-powered stablecoin strategies with yields up to 42% APY
• Set&Forget 32% APR Stablecoin Strategy on Sonic
• Exotic Yields compilation
• More Yield Farming
• Crypto Tools you must not live without
• AI Workflow for Crypto Research
• Crypto needs more non-USD stablecoins
• 5 Reasons you’re not financially free yet
• Last 18mo of Hayes’ blogs quantified, his predictive capabilities
• DefiSquared and the Evolution of Edge
That's it for Today!
NFA & DYOR
🫡
• Most profitable LPs on HyperSwap
• The Ultimate Guide to Farm the Hyperliquid Ecosystem
• 24 PT-powered stablecoin strategies with yields up to 42% APY
• Set&Forget 32% APR Stablecoin Strategy on Sonic
• Exotic Yields compilation
• More Yield Farming
• Crypto Tools you must not live without
• AI Workflow for Crypto Research
• Crypto needs more non-USD stablecoins
• 5 Reasons you’re not financially free yet
• Last 18mo of Hayes’ blogs quantified, his predictive capabilities
• DefiSquared and the Evolution of Edge
That's it for Today!
NFA & DYOR
🫡
Gm,
In case you missed it, here is a recap of what happened with Mantra $OM today.
Another catastrophic event in crypto.
🔗 What happened & Theories
🔗 Investigation on $OM collapse & Thoughts
🔗 Response of the founder
🔗 MantraDAO Red Flags
🔗 Association with Polkastarter & Polkastarter potential scam
🔗 Good lessons from this situation
As you know I've talked about $OM before, as it was among the leaders in the RWA Narrative, and I held $OM at some point.
Fortunately I sold the whole bag a while ago, made a good profit on $OM. Which shows once again that it's better not to be a bag holder for too long in crypto.
And always take profits!
The RWA Narrative as a whole is still bullish tho.
Stay safe guys 🫡
In case you missed it, here is a recap of what happened with Mantra $OM today.
Another catastrophic event in crypto.
🔗 What happened & Theories
🔗 Investigation on $OM collapse & Thoughts
🔗 Response of the founder
🔗 MantraDAO Red Flags
🔗 Association with Polkastarter & Polkastarter potential scam
🔗 Good lessons from this situation
As you know I've talked about $OM before, as it was among the leaders in the RWA Narrative, and I held $OM at some point.
Fortunately I sold the whole bag a while ago, made a good profit on $OM. Which shows once again that it's better not to be a bag holder for too long in crypto.
And always take profits!
The RWA Narrative as a whole is still bullish tho.
Stay safe guys 🫡
$XMW founder will speak on the main stage at Token2049 Dubai.
Could be something in the short term if he gets to pitch Morphware and discuss with Smart Money.
But definitely bullish long term since it gets more eyes on Morphware and potentially attract more partnerships in the long run.
Many bullish news for Morphware as $XMW keeps accumulating.
Could be something in the short term if he gets to pitch Morphware and discuss with Smart Money.
But definitely bullish long term since it gets more eyes on Morphware and potentially attract more partnerships in the long run.
Many bullish news for Morphware as $XMW keeps accumulating.
Shiro's Alpha Channel
$XMW founder will speak on the main stage at Token2049 Dubai. Could be something in the short term if he gets to pitch Morphware and discuss with Smart Money. But definitely bullish long term since it gets more eyes on Morphware and potentially attract more…
Gm,
$XMW is bouncing hard the past 2 weeks 🫡
$XMW is bouncing hard the past 2 weeks 🫡
Gm,
It was good to wake up to a bullish market today.
And if the market remains bullish we'll see the come back of bullish Airdrops.
Free Airdrop to farm, incentivized Testnet.
And actually a useful protocol for DeFi.
Feel free to use my ref link:
🔗 Soul Testnet
Doesn't hurt to farm a bit and do some quests 🫡
It was good to wake up to a bullish market today.
And if the market remains bullish we'll see the come back of bullish Airdrops.
Free Airdrop to farm, incentivized Testnet.
And actually a useful protocol for DeFi.
Feel free to use my ref link:
🔗 Soul Testnet
Doesn't hurt to farm a bit and do some quests 🫡