β οΈπΊπΈ#stocks #us #sentiment #warning
historically, such Barron's covers have appeared shortly before the start of corrections in US stocks.
historically, such Barron's covers have appeared shortly before the start of corrections in US stocks.
β οΈπΊπΈ#monetarypolicy #us #warning
BBG: Fed officials to signal interest rate cuts are getting closer
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earlier: historically, U.S. stocks experience significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle.
RIA: The majority of 'bear markets' occur after the Fed's 'policy pivot.
ElliotWave: the transition from 'tightening' to 'easing' has usually coincided with a period of significant market decline.
BofA has echoed the same sentiment
BBG: Fed officials to signal interest rate cuts are getting closer
βββββββββ
earlier: historically, U.S. stocks experience significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle.
RIA: The majority of 'bear markets' occur after the Fed's 'policy pivot.
ElliotWave: the transition from 'tightening' to 'easing' has usually coincided with a period of significant market decline.
BofA has echoed the same sentiment
β οΈπΊπΈ#inflation #monetarypolicy #us
US inflation is not showing signs of decreasing.
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the markets fear a second wave of inflation akin to that of the 1930s or 1970s (chart)
MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)
US inflation is not showing signs of decreasing.
ββββββββββ
the markets fear a second wave of inflation akin to that of the 1930s or 1970s (chart)
MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)
πΊπΈ#stocks #us #bubble #concentration
Goldman: the current dominance of the technology sector in the US stock market is not unprecedented compared to the level of dominance of certain sectors in the past.
Goldman: the current dominance of the technology sector in the US stock market is not unprecedented compared to the level of dominance of certain sectors in the past.
π#bubble #sentiment #stocks
mentions of a "stock bubble" are at a 2-year high, but still relatively low.
billionaire investor Ray Dalio said the stock market doesn't resemble a "full-on" bubble right now.
volatility remains low for now (chart)
mentions of a "stock bubble" are at a 2-year high, but still relatively low.
billionaire investor Ray Dalio said the stock market doesn't resemble a "full-on" bubble right now.
volatility remains low for now (chart)
πΊπΈ#stocks #us #bubble
DataTrek Research: the market isn't in bubble territory based on the 3-year rolling return indicator for the S&P 500. Stock market crashes often occur when 3-year returns reach 100% or more.
β οΈ although according to this indicator, the market is now at a level similar to that before the 2008 crisis.
DataTrek Research: the market isn't in bubble territory based on the 3-year rolling return indicator for the S&P 500. Stock market crashes often occur when 3-year returns reach 100% or more.
β οΈ although according to this indicator, the market is now at a level similar to that before the 2008 crisis.
β οΈπ#inflation #world #commodity
prices of agricultural commodities = 10-year highs.
there is a significant divergence between agricultural commodity prices and other commodities, suggesting the potential for commodities prices to rise.
prices of agricultural commodities = 10-year highs.
there is a significant divergence between agricultural commodity prices and other commodities, suggesting the potential for commodities prices to rise.
β οΈπ―π΅#monetarypolicy #japan #macro
Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, signalling a move away from its "negative interest rate" policy and control of the yield curve.
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BlackRock: Japan equity market the biggest beneficiary from interest-rate hikes.
Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, signalling a move away from its "negative interest rate" policy and control of the yield curve.
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BlackRock: Japan equity market the biggest beneficiary from interest-rate hikes.
Forwarded from Scorpi18 | Investment Adviser
β οΈπΊπΈ#economy #us #savings #macro
in the US, net saving (as a percentage of gross national income) has fallen into negative territory = the last time this happened was during the onset of the pandemic and the 2008 crisis.
* net saving indicates the amount of income remaining for households, corporations, and the government after accounting for current consumption and capital depreciation.
in the US, net saving (as a percentage of gross national income) has fallen into negative territory = the last time this happened was during the onset of the pandemic and the 2008 crisis.
* net saving indicates the amount of income remaining for households, corporations, and the government after accounting for current consumption and capital depreciation.
πΊπΈ#stocks #us #monetarypolicy #retailinvestors
historically, US households start buying stocks as soon as the Fed starts cutting interest rates = another growth driver in US stock market, along with buybacks.
households - the main buyers of U.S. stocks (chart)
Fed signaled the rate could be cut by 0.75% in 2024
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Fundstrat: a record $6T in cash on the sidelines will boost the stock market in 2024. The expectation is that once the Fed starts to lower interest rates, investors will shift money out of cash and into riskier assets. Any downturns in the stock market are expected to be short-lived
historically, US households start buying stocks as soon as the Fed starts cutting interest rates = another growth driver in US stock market, along with buybacks.
households - the main buyers of U.S. stocks (chart)
Fed signaled the rate could be cut by 0.75% in 2024
βββββββββ
Fundstrat: a record $6T in cash on the sidelines will boost the stock market in 2024. The expectation is that once the Fed starts to lower interest rates, investors will shift money out of cash and into riskier assets. Any downturns in the stock market are expected to be short-lived