Robin Monotti + Cory Morningstar
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This is an important paper & it’s importance rests on its findings utterly demolishing, once & for all, that “lockdowns” do not save lives, while applying hideous damage to everything we hold dear in life.
It obliterated the case for lockdowns, period.
Best wishes,
Mike

Dr Mike Yeadon

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13571516.2021.1976051
LOCKDOWNS INCREASE TRANSMISSION OF RESPIRATORY VIRUSES, THEY DO NOT DECREASE CASES

"In the framework of this analysis, there is no evidence that more restrictive nonpharmaceutical interventions (‘lockdowns’) contributed substantially to bending the curve of new cases in England, France, Germany, Iran, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain or the United States in early 2020. By comparing the effectiveness of NPIs on case growth rates in countries that implemented more restrictive measures with those that implemented less-restrictive measures, the evidence points away from indicating that mrNPIs provided additional meaningful benefit above and beyond lrNPIs. While modest decreases in daily growth (under 30%) cannot be excluded in a few countries, the possibility of large decreases in daily growth due to mrNPIs is incompatible with the accumulated data.

The direction of the effect size in most scenarios points towards an increase in the case growth rate, though these estimates are only distinguishable from zero in Spain (consistent with nonbeneficial effect of lockdowns). Only in Iran do the estimates consistently point in the direction of additional reduction in the growth rate, yet those effects are statistically indistinguishable from zero.

While it is hard to draw firm conclusions from these estimates, they are consistent with a recent analysis that identified increased population-level transmission and cases in Hunan, China, during the period of stay-at-home orders, attributed to increased intra-household density and transmission.

In other words, it is possible that stay-at-home orders may facilitate transmission if they increase person-to-person contact where transmission is efficient such as closed spaces. "

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/eci.13484
Forwarded from Mike Yeadon
Scathing open letter to Canadian authorities!
Mike