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It's almost as if an entire financial reset depended on it..although pharmaceutical company capture of the authorities could be enough of an explantion too.
US and Israel: "Seniors and high-risk patients vaccinated in January 2021 appear to have no protection whatsoever.
Important findings from Israel: The latest data from Israel, which has used the Pfizer mRNA vaccine primarily, indicates that vaccine effectiveness against Delta coronavirus infection and symptomatic (“mild”) disease has dropped from about 95% to about 40%, whereas effectiveness against hospitalization and severe disease (i.e., low blood oxygen levels) remains at 80% to 90% (see chart below).
Importantly, in people who got vaccinated already in January 2021 (primarily the elderly), protection against infection and mild disease may already have dropped to near 0% (see chart above). Moreover, since the Delta covid outbreak is still accelerating in Israel, the effectiveness against hospitalization and severe disease may further decrease (due to lags in hospitalizations)."
https://www.americaoutloud.com/swiss-policy-analysis%e2%8f%a4vaccine-failure/
Important findings from Israel: The latest data from Israel, which has used the Pfizer mRNA vaccine primarily, indicates that vaccine effectiveness against Delta coronavirus infection and symptomatic (“mild”) disease has dropped from about 95% to about 40%, whereas effectiveness against hospitalization and severe disease (i.e., low blood oxygen levels) remains at 80% to 90% (see chart below).
Importantly, in people who got vaccinated already in January 2021 (primarily the elderly), protection against infection and mild disease may already have dropped to near 0% (see chart above). Moreover, since the Delta covid outbreak is still accelerating in Israel, the effectiveness against hospitalization and severe disease may further decrease (due to lags in hospitalizations)."
https://www.americaoutloud.com/swiss-policy-analysis%e2%8f%a4vaccine-failure/
"In the UK, which has primarily used the AstraZeneca DNA adenovector vaccine, the latest estimate by researchers at University College London indicates an effectiveness against infection of close to zero percent and an effectiveness against severe disease of about 60%. In very senior citizens, the effectiveness against severe disease may be even lower (due to a weaker immune response).
(A substantially higher estimate by Public Health England, recently published in the New England Journal of Medicine, was based on outdated data from early June. Interestingly, the British government hasn’t updated its data on AstraZeneca vaccine effectiveness since June 13. Update: New data by PHE confirms that vaccine effectiveness against infection dropped below 20%.)"
https://swprs.org/covid-vaccines-the-good-the-bad-the-ugly/
(A substantially higher estimate by Public Health England, recently published in the New England Journal of Medicine, was based on outdated data from early June. Interestingly, the British government hasn’t updated its data on AstraZeneca vaccine effectiveness since June 13. Update: New data by PHE confirms that vaccine effectiveness against infection dropped below 20%.)"
https://swprs.org/covid-vaccines-the-good-the-bad-the-ugly/
Swiss Policy Research
Covid Vaccines: The Good, The Bad, The Ugly
The latest data from Israel and the UK on covid vaccine effectiveness.
UK UCL data: "Current estimates of the vaccination efficacy are:
preventing exposure to infection: 19.2% (CI 15.4 to 22.8)
preventing transmission following infection: 84.7% (CI 83.5 to 85.7)
preventing serious illness when symptomatic (age 15-34): 74.0% (CI 73.3 to 74.8)
preventing serious illness when symptomatic (age 35-70): 49.3% (CI 47.8 to 50.8)
preventing fatality when seriously ill: 92.9% (CI 92.3 to 93.4)
The corresponding cumulative (vaccinated vs. unvaccinated) risks are:
relative risk of infection: 80.8%
relative risk of mild illness: 42.5%
relative risk of severe illness: 15.5%
relative risk of fatality: 1.1%
For example, vaccination reduces the risk of being infected and developing a severe illness to 15.5% of the risk prior to vaccination."
NOTE:
"Btw the way the protection against infection was 1% last week . When I read this last week. So either they changed it because it was wrong or they changed it for another reason"
(OR in comments below)
https://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/spm/covid-19/forecasting/
preventing exposure to infection: 19.2% (CI 15.4 to 22.8)
preventing transmission following infection: 84.7% (CI 83.5 to 85.7)
preventing serious illness when symptomatic (age 15-34): 74.0% (CI 73.3 to 74.8)
preventing serious illness when symptomatic (age 35-70): 49.3% (CI 47.8 to 50.8)
preventing fatality when seriously ill: 92.9% (CI 92.3 to 93.4)
The corresponding cumulative (vaccinated vs. unvaccinated) risks are:
relative risk of infection: 80.8%
relative risk of mild illness: 42.5%
relative risk of severe illness: 15.5%
relative risk of fatality: 1.1%
For example, vaccination reduces the risk of being infected and developing a severe illness to 15.5% of the risk prior to vaccination."
NOTE:
"Btw the way the protection against infection was 1% last week . When I read this last week. So either they changed it because it was wrong or they changed it for another reason"
(OR in comments below)
https://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/spm/covid-19/forecasting/
www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk
Long-term forecasting of the COVID-19 epidemic
Dynamic Causal Modelling, UCL, UK
Compare injections efficacy at reducing severe disease to vitamin D efficacy in sufficiency studies. Subtract eight fold increased chance of death if you are seriously ill and have had the injections compared to seriously ill with no injections (PHE real data contradicts UCL projections entirely) and high vitamin D levels. Do we call vitamin D a vaccine? https://c19vitamind.com/
According to the data, having sufficient or more than sufficient levels of vitamin D is comparable at preventing serious illness to the injections in the UK, numbers around 60%. The big difference is over 1,000 deaths in the UK & over 30,000 deaths with the injections in the UK, EU & US compared to ZERO deaths from vitamin D. Which is safer right now, vitamin D or the injections?
https://johnplatinumgoss.com/covid-19-vaccination-statistics/
https://johnplatinumgoss.com/covid-19-vaccination-statistics/
Why did regulators not demand biodistribution studies? Is this acceptable when we have over 30,000 dead people in the West? We are talking casualties level of a war here. Why is everyone ignoring the people who have died? Why are the injections not stopped until a safer alternative is worked on? What has happened to the regulators?
"No new biodistribution studies for covid-19 vaccines
Officials have consistently emphasised that despite shaving years off traditional timelines for producing vaccines, no compromises in the process were taken.20 However one type of study, tracking the distribution of a vaccine once injected in the body, was not conducted using any of the three vaccines currently authorised in the US.
Such biodistribution studies are a standard element of drug safety testing but “are usually not required for vaccines,” according to European Medicines Agency policy,21 which adds, “However, such studies might be applicable when new delivery systems are employed or when the vaccine contains novel adjuvants or excipients.”
In the case of covid-19 vaccines, regulators accepted biodistribution data from past studies performed with related, mostly unapproved compounds that use the same platform technology. "
https://www.bmj.com/content/373/bmj.n1244
"No new biodistribution studies for covid-19 vaccines
Officials have consistently emphasised that despite shaving years off traditional timelines for producing vaccines, no compromises in the process were taken.20 However one type of study, tracking the distribution of a vaccine once injected in the body, was not conducted using any of the three vaccines currently authorised in the US.
Such biodistribution studies are a standard element of drug safety testing but “are usually not required for vaccines,” according to European Medicines Agency policy,21 which adds, “However, such studies might be applicable when new delivery systems are employed or when the vaccine contains novel adjuvants or excipients.”
In the case of covid-19 vaccines, regulators accepted biodistribution data from past studies performed with related, mostly unapproved compounds that use the same platform technology. "
https://www.bmj.com/content/373/bmj.n1244
The BMJ
Covid-19 vaccines: In the rush for regulatory approval, do we need more data?
After rollout under emergency authorisation, manufacturers of covid-19 vaccines now have their sights on regulatory approval. But what’s the rush, asks Peter Doshi , and is just six months of data from now unblinded trials acceptable?
In April 2021, Pfizer…
In April 2021, Pfizer…
"Highlights
•
Vitamin D serum levels above 35 ng/mL seem to correlate with the mortality rate of COVID-19 patients.
•
The majority of the Western population is deficient in Vitamin D.
•
Vitamin D3 supplementation also requires additional vitamin K2 intake.
•
The immunoregulating function of vitamin D is promising and might decrease the global epidemic mortality."
@goddek
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030624X#bib0200
•
Vitamin D serum levels above 35 ng/mL seem to correlate with the mortality rate of COVID-19 patients.
•
The majority of the Western population is deficient in Vitamin D.
•
Vitamin D3 supplementation also requires additional vitamin K2 intake.
•
The immunoregulating function of vitamin D is promising and might decrease the global epidemic mortality."
@goddek
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030624X#bib0200
CONCLUSION: VITAMIN D VERSUS THE INJECTIONS
Vaccinations are by definition there to prevent infection. If an injection does not prevent infection it is incorrect to call it a vaccine: it is only a medical injection.
If we only talk about a medical injection preventing serious respiratory disease then we might as well stick to supplementation with vitamin D: much safer and works not only for all variants but for all respiratory viruses.
There is no doubt that focusing on a single variant or virus when you can address all respiratory infections with vitamin D is short sighted and frankly a very, very stupid direction which only benefits the big pharmaceutical companies. It's stupid because you can easily die of another respiratory virus when you focus on SARSCoV2 only.
The intelligent solution addresses the possibility of infection from all viruses for all your life and reducing the chances of serious illness from all of them at the same time: it's called vitamin D.
The difference between vitamin D and Covid19 injections is over 30,000 deaths reported as adverse events from the injections.
In conclusion, vitamin D is the safest preventive solution to this and all future respiratory virus pandemics, without any doubt.
Robin.
Vaccinations are by definition there to prevent infection. If an injection does not prevent infection it is incorrect to call it a vaccine: it is only a medical injection.
If we only talk about a medical injection preventing serious respiratory disease then we might as well stick to supplementation with vitamin D: much safer and works not only for all variants but for all respiratory viruses.
There is no doubt that focusing on a single variant or virus when you can address all respiratory infections with vitamin D is short sighted and frankly a very, very stupid direction which only benefits the big pharmaceutical companies. It's stupid because you can easily die of another respiratory virus when you focus on SARSCoV2 only.
The intelligent solution addresses the possibility of infection from all viruses for all your life and reducing the chances of serious illness from all of them at the same time: it's called vitamin D.
The difference between vitamin D and Covid19 injections is over 30,000 deaths reported as adverse events from the injections.
In conclusion, vitamin D is the safest preventive solution to this and all future respiratory virus pandemics, without any doubt.
Robin.
COVID19 INJECTIONS, WHAT THE NEW EFFICACY DATA SAYS:
"In many countries, mass vaccination campaigns have themselves triggered large coronavirus outbreaks (“post first dose spike”), possibly due to a combination of vaccine-induced temporary immune suppression and infections at large indoor vaccination centers visited by thousands of people. The vaccine-induced temporary immune suppression may also explain the frequently observed post-vaccination appearance of shingles (i.e. herpes zoster reactivation).
Concerning children, since covid remains mostly asymptomatic or mild in them anyway, and since vaccination cannot prevent infection and infectiousness, the vaccination of children and even of young low-risk adults becomes increasingly difficult to justify, especially given the very real vaccine-associated cardiovascular risks to them (e.g. teen myocarditis and cerebral blood clots).
[I WOULD EXPLAIN THIS IS BECAUSE OF A COMBINATION OF HERD IMMUNITY FROM NATURAL INFECTION AND HIGHER SUMMER LEVELS OF VITAMIN D AS WELL. ALSO THE REALITY IS THAT MANY VULNERABLE PEOPLE ALREADY DIED FROM COVID19 IN THE UK- RM]:
A look at covid data in places like Israel, the UK and Portugal – which were first in Europe to experience the Delta variant summer wave – confirms that, while infections have skyrocketed, hospitalizations have remained rather low and deaths have remained very low so far (see charts below). In contrast, in countries with a low vaccination rate – such as India, Russia, as well as many Asian and African countries, Delta covid deaths have reached all-time record levels (see below).
In conclusion, and as argued previously, vaccine protection against infection and “mild disease” has pretty much collapsed, whereas protection against severe disease and death remains at a reasonable level, with the partial exception of the most senior citizens and especially nursing home residents, some of whom have never mounted a neutralizing antibody response to the vaccine.
Indeed, data from Israel as well as recent studies all indicate that a previous coronavirus infection continues to offer the best protection against future infections and disease.
In contrast, vaccination cannot achieve “sterile immunity” against infection and infectiousness. Thus, the whole idea of “vaccination certificates” has become obsolete – at least from a medical and epidemiological perspective – and should be rejected: the claim that it’s just “the unvaccinated” that are driving outbreaks – a claim made by many authorities – is simply false.
For instance, just this week a “fully vaccinated” Australian managed to pre-symptomatically [how do we know he/she was not feeling unwell already? Nobody would admit it in the current climate] infect about 60 people at a party in the United States. Many similar stories have already been reported in Europe and Israel: fully vaccinated people can easily transmit the virus even to large groups. Hence, imposing “vaccination certificates” or “green passes” may only serve a political purpose. "
https://swprs.org/covid-vaccines-the-good-the-bad-the-ugly/
"In many countries, mass vaccination campaigns have themselves triggered large coronavirus outbreaks (“post first dose spike”), possibly due to a combination of vaccine-induced temporary immune suppression and infections at large indoor vaccination centers visited by thousands of people. The vaccine-induced temporary immune suppression may also explain the frequently observed post-vaccination appearance of shingles (i.e. herpes zoster reactivation).
Concerning children, since covid remains mostly asymptomatic or mild in them anyway, and since vaccination cannot prevent infection and infectiousness, the vaccination of children and even of young low-risk adults becomes increasingly difficult to justify, especially given the very real vaccine-associated cardiovascular risks to them (e.g. teen myocarditis and cerebral blood clots).
[I WOULD EXPLAIN THIS IS BECAUSE OF A COMBINATION OF HERD IMMUNITY FROM NATURAL INFECTION AND HIGHER SUMMER LEVELS OF VITAMIN D AS WELL. ALSO THE REALITY IS THAT MANY VULNERABLE PEOPLE ALREADY DIED FROM COVID19 IN THE UK- RM]:
A look at covid data in places like Israel, the UK and Portugal – which were first in Europe to experience the Delta variant summer wave – confirms that, while infections have skyrocketed, hospitalizations have remained rather low and deaths have remained very low so far (see charts below). In contrast, in countries with a low vaccination rate – such as India, Russia, as well as many Asian and African countries, Delta covid deaths have reached all-time record levels (see below).
In conclusion, and as argued previously, vaccine protection against infection and “mild disease” has pretty much collapsed, whereas protection against severe disease and death remains at a reasonable level, with the partial exception of the most senior citizens and especially nursing home residents, some of whom have never mounted a neutralizing antibody response to the vaccine.
Indeed, data from Israel as well as recent studies all indicate that a previous coronavirus infection continues to offer the best protection against future infections and disease.
In contrast, vaccination cannot achieve “sterile immunity” against infection and infectiousness. Thus, the whole idea of “vaccination certificates” has become obsolete – at least from a medical and epidemiological perspective – and should be rejected: the claim that it’s just “the unvaccinated” that are driving outbreaks – a claim made by many authorities – is simply false.
For instance, just this week a “fully vaccinated” Australian managed to pre-symptomatically [how do we know he/she was not feeling unwell already? Nobody would admit it in the current climate] infect about 60 people at a party in the United States. Many similar stories have already been reported in Europe and Israel: fully vaccinated people can easily transmit the virus even to large groups. Hence, imposing “vaccination certificates” or “green passes” may only serve a political purpose. "
https://swprs.org/covid-vaccines-the-good-the-bad-the-ugly/
Swiss Policy Research
Covid Vaccines: The Good, The Bad, The Ugly
The latest data from Israel and the UK on covid vaccine effectiveness.
This confirms what Dr Mike Yeadon and I have been saying on this channel for months: most infections leading to severe disease or death are in hospitals where people are being admitted with other illnesses or injuries. Hospitals are lockdown exempt: thousands of people go in and out every day, yet hospitals are where people with severe illness are, and where people with already other diseases or injuries are being infected. These are also the most contagious people. This is the simple explanation of why lockdowns can't possibly reduce mortality: because hospitals are where the serious disease spreads from and to yet they are lockdown exempt. Staff go in and out every day.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/07/26/exclusive-half-covid-hospitalisations-tested-positive-admission/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/07/26/exclusive-half-covid-hospitalisations-tested-positive-admission/
The Telegraph
Exclusive: Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after admission
Leaked data suggest vast numbers classed as being hospitalised by the virus when they were admitted with other ailments
This slots in very nicely with the "vaccine" passports which effectively are the precursors to the digital wallets linked to a real time biosurveillance system in public and private venues. When this is all implemented it will be linked to a credit score and people in the UK will have as much freedom as the Chinese population.
"The Britcoin revolution! Rishi Sunak plans to introduce official digital currency to rival cash in 'biggest upheaval in the monetary system for centuries'"
Why the revolution? A hint here, it's called inflation.
"QE has been used since the 2009 financial crisis to flood the banking system with new money, but the scheme has been criticised for storing up potential inflation while failing to get the cash to trickle down to households and businesses in the rest of the economy."
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9821855/amp/Rishi-Sunak-plans-replace-cash-official-digital-currency.html
"The Britcoin revolution! Rishi Sunak plans to introduce official digital currency to rival cash in 'biggest upheaval in the monetary system for centuries'"
Why the revolution? A hint here, it's called inflation.
"QE has been used since the 2009 financial crisis to flood the banking system with new money, but the scheme has been criticised for storing up potential inflation while failing to get the cash to trickle down to households and businesses in the rest of the economy."
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9821855/amp/Rishi-Sunak-plans-replace-cash-official-digital-currency.html
Mail Online
The Britcoin revolution! Rishi Sunak plans to introduce official digital currency to rival cash in 'biggest upheaval in the monetary…
In what Treasury insiders say would be the biggest upheaval in the monetary system for centuries, the Bank of England would establish a direct digital equivalent to physical money.
‘There is a model for what will be coming our way if we do not resist vaccination passports and electronic ID cards: China’s social credit system, which blacklists people for numerous antisocial offences, from crossing the street on a red light to failing to sort their recycling, and uses the information to deny them the right, for example, to buy rail and airline tickets.’
There is only one way we can avoid vaccination passports and health apps from developing into nightmarish constant surveillance of our lives – and that is to reject them now. Don’t download any app the government is trying to push at you, boycott any venue whose entry is dependent on you supplying personal information on a smartphone. It is absolutely certain that if we do consent to these things, then sooner rather than later, we will end up with a spy in our pockets ready to ‘ping’ us and admonish us should we fancy a doughnut."
https://www.spectator.com.au/2021/07/we-need-to-act-now-to-block-britains-social-credit-system/
There is only one way we can avoid vaccination passports and health apps from developing into nightmarish constant surveillance of our lives – and that is to reject them now. Don’t download any app the government is trying to push at you, boycott any venue whose entry is dependent on you supplying personal information on a smartphone. It is absolutely certain that if we do consent to these things, then sooner rather than later, we will end up with a spy in our pockets ready to ‘ping’ us and admonish us should we fancy a doughnut."
https://www.spectator.com.au/2021/07/we-need-to-act-now-to-block-britains-social-credit-system/
The Spectator Australia
We need to act now to block Britain’s social credit system | The Spectator Australia
I have to admit that I didn’t quite get it right when, 12 days ago, I wrote: ‘There is a model for what will be coming our way if we do not resist vaccination passports and electronic ID cards:…
Forwarded from HATS 🎩
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Tony Blair pushing the Biometric Digital ID agenda.
@HATSTRUTH 🎩
https://my-store-11704844.creator-spring.com/
@HATSTRUTH 🎩
https://my-store-11704844.creator-spring.com/
The good news is that articles like this one are finally addressing what we have been saying for 18 months now. We were ridiculed and attacked for thinking through where all of this was leading to. Once again we on this channel were right and the pundits given much bigger platforms denying everything were clearly wrong.
Please link any more articles like this in mainstream media when you see them.
"There is only one way we can avoid vaccination passports and health apps from developing into nightmarish constant surveillance of our lives – and that is to reject them now. Don’t download any app the government is trying to push at you, boycott any venue whose entry is dependent on you supplying personal information on a smartphone."
https://www.spectator.com.au/2021/07/we-need-to-act-now-to-block-britains-social-credit-system/
Please link any more articles like this in mainstream media when you see them.
"There is only one way we can avoid vaccination passports and health apps from developing into nightmarish constant surveillance of our lives – and that is to reject them now. Don’t download any app the government is trying to push at you, boycott any venue whose entry is dependent on you supplying personal information on a smartphone."
https://www.spectator.com.au/2021/07/we-need-to-act-now-to-block-britains-social-credit-system/
The Spectator Australia
We need to act now to block Britain’s social credit system | The Spectator Australia
I have to admit that I didn’t quite get it right when, 12 days ago, I wrote: ‘There is a model for what will be coming our way if we do not resist vaccination passports and electronic ID cards:…
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The Highwire covers the words of Sir Graham Brady, chairman of the UK Conservative 1922 Committee.
Forwarded from Eshani King
PLEASE SHARE FAR AND WIDE: UKMFA Open Letter to University Vice Chancellors and College leaders re Vaccine Mandates for students. This is written to help students and parents to lobby Universities and MPs.
"UK Medical Freedom Alliance has written an Open Letter to all University Vice Chancellors and Higher Education College Senior Management, appealing to them to refrain from imposing any Covid-19 health-related conditions on students accessing education at their institutions, and urging them specifically to strongly resist imposing any requirements for students to accept a Covid-19 vaccine.
We set out our concerns relating to Covid-19 vaccine safety, and the violation of laws and guidelines around informed consent that would result from imposing this condition on students' access to education."
https://www.ukmedfreedom.org/open-letters/open-letter-to-universities-and-colleges-re-covid-19-vaccine-requirements-for-student
"UK Medical Freedom Alliance has written an Open Letter to all University Vice Chancellors and Higher Education College Senior Management, appealing to them to refrain from imposing any Covid-19 health-related conditions on students accessing education at their institutions, and urging them specifically to strongly resist imposing any requirements for students to accept a Covid-19 vaccine.
We set out our concerns relating to Covid-19 vaccine safety, and the violation of laws and guidelines around informed consent that would result from imposing this condition on students' access to education."
https://www.ukmedfreedom.org/open-letters/open-letter-to-universities-and-colleges-re-covid-19-vaccine-requirements-for-student
www.ukmedfreedom.org
Open Letter to Universities and Colleges re Covid-19 Vaccine Requirements for Student
UKMFA has written an Open Letter to all University Vice Chancellors and Higher Education College Senior Management, appealing to them to refrain from imposing any Covid-19 health-related conditions on students accessing education at their institutions, and…
Forwarded from Eshani King
According to Steve Baker ( on Talk Radio), it really is worth bombarding MPs with polite letters/emails. He said they really do take note. This was in response to the interviewer asking if there was any point as communications would just be ignored. However, the question is whether Boris will just ignore MPs as he has already done. Regardless, I will be writing to my MP but I am also talking to lawyers to see what the options are. If anyone is interested in joining in group action (if it can be funded so that it is affordable for all), please do get in touch here. Or if anyone knows whether anyone else has already started looking at the legal avenue, please let me know. Thank you.
BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL
"Even if one assumes protection against severe covid-19, given its very low incidence in children, an extremely high number would need to be vaccinated in order to prevent one severe case. Meanwhile, a large number of children with very low risk for severe disease would be exposed to vaccine risks, known and unknown.
Thus far, Pfizer’s mRNA vaccine has been judged by Israel’s government as likely linked to symptomatic myocarditis, with an estimated incidence between 1 in 3000 to 1 in 6000 in men ages 16 to 24.
Furthermore, the long term effects of gene-based vaccines, which involve novel vaccine platforms, remain essentially unknown.
In terms of the risk of transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from children to adults, this is also low and decreasing, though not negligible. School teachers are more likely to get SARS-CoV-2 from other adults than they are from their students. The contribution of schools to community transmission has been consistently low across jurisdictions. In addition, considering estimates that 42% of those aged 5 to 17 years in the US are now post-covid, this should only lower the risk of transmission from children. Add to this the fact that most adults in rich western countries have received at least one dose of covid-19 vaccine—around 80% of UK adults now have SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, whether from past infection or from vaccination—and it seems the opportunities for children to be vectors of transmission to adults are dwindling.
Given all these considerations, the assertion that vaccinating children against SARS-CoV-2 will protect adults remains hypothetical.
Even if we were to assume this protection does exist, the number of children that would need to be vaccinated to protect just one adult from a bout of severe covid-19—considering the low transmission rates, the high proportion of children already being post-covid, and most adults being vaccinated or post-covid—would be extraordinarily high. Moreover, this number would likely compare unfavourably to the number of children that would be harmed, including for rare serious events.
A separate, but crucial question is one of ethics. Should society be considering vaccinating children, subjecting them to any risk, not for the purpose of benefiting them but in order to protect adults? We believe the onus is on adults to protect themselves. In multiple jurisdictions around the world, the vast majority of adults, including those that are at high risk, have not been fully vaccinated against covid-19. If the goal is to protect adults, shouldn’t efforts be focused on ensuring adults are fully vaccinated rather than targeting children? Further, it is highly inequitable to be vaccinating very low risk children in wealthy countries while many vulnerable adults in low-income countries have not had any doses.
There is no need to rush to vaccinate children against covid-19—the vast majority stands little to benefit, and it is ethically dubious to pursue a hypothetical protection of adults while exposing children to harms, known and unknown."
Elia Abi-Jaoude, Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto, ON, Canada
Peter Doshi, Department of Pharmaceutical Health Services Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore
Claudina Michal-Teitelbaum, Preventive Medicine, Independent Researcher, Lyon, France
https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/07/13/covid-19-vaccines-for-children-hypothetical-benefits-to-adults-do-not-outweigh-risks-to-children/
"Even if one assumes protection against severe covid-19, given its very low incidence in children, an extremely high number would need to be vaccinated in order to prevent one severe case. Meanwhile, a large number of children with very low risk for severe disease would be exposed to vaccine risks, known and unknown.
Thus far, Pfizer’s mRNA vaccine has been judged by Israel’s government as likely linked to symptomatic myocarditis, with an estimated incidence between 1 in 3000 to 1 in 6000 in men ages 16 to 24.
Furthermore, the long term effects of gene-based vaccines, which involve novel vaccine platforms, remain essentially unknown.
In terms of the risk of transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from children to adults, this is also low and decreasing, though not negligible. School teachers are more likely to get SARS-CoV-2 from other adults than they are from their students. The contribution of schools to community transmission has been consistently low across jurisdictions. In addition, considering estimates that 42% of those aged 5 to 17 years in the US are now post-covid, this should only lower the risk of transmission from children. Add to this the fact that most adults in rich western countries have received at least one dose of covid-19 vaccine—around 80% of UK adults now have SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, whether from past infection or from vaccination—and it seems the opportunities for children to be vectors of transmission to adults are dwindling.
Given all these considerations, the assertion that vaccinating children against SARS-CoV-2 will protect adults remains hypothetical.
Even if we were to assume this protection does exist, the number of children that would need to be vaccinated to protect just one adult from a bout of severe covid-19—considering the low transmission rates, the high proportion of children already being post-covid, and most adults being vaccinated or post-covid—would be extraordinarily high. Moreover, this number would likely compare unfavourably to the number of children that would be harmed, including for rare serious events.
A separate, but crucial question is one of ethics. Should society be considering vaccinating children, subjecting them to any risk, not for the purpose of benefiting them but in order to protect adults? We believe the onus is on adults to protect themselves. In multiple jurisdictions around the world, the vast majority of adults, including those that are at high risk, have not been fully vaccinated against covid-19. If the goal is to protect adults, shouldn’t efforts be focused on ensuring adults are fully vaccinated rather than targeting children? Further, it is highly inequitable to be vaccinating very low risk children in wealthy countries while many vulnerable adults in low-income countries have not had any doses.
There is no need to rush to vaccinate children against covid-19—the vast majority stands little to benefit, and it is ethically dubious to pursue a hypothetical protection of adults while exposing children to harms, known and unknown."
Elia Abi-Jaoude, Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto, ON, Canada
Peter Doshi, Department of Pharmaceutical Health Services Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore
Claudina Michal-Teitelbaum, Preventive Medicine, Independent Researcher, Lyon, France
https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/07/13/covid-19-vaccines-for-children-hypothetical-benefits-to-adults-do-not-outweigh-risks-to-children/
The BMJ
Covid-19 vaccines for children: hypothetical benefits to adults do not outweigh risks to children - The BMJ
As the majority of adults in multiple rich western countries have now received at least one dose of a covid-19 vaccine, the focus is turning to children. While there is [...]More...
Covid19 was around in the UK since at least December 2019. I know because in my family we had it then, I have no doubt that all the symptoms were those of Covid19, including the loss of smell and taste, fever over 40°C and the pneumonia, plus many many more.
The reason we were notified and action was taken in March is very simple: if you implement lockdown in December it will be evident that it does nothing at all to the mortality numbers. If you instead implement it in late March or April you have the natural curve of the seasonality going down and you can claim the lockdown is working.
Everyone at the WHO knows the seasonality of respiratory viruses very well: it's part of their job. Robin.
P.S. To those who say it does not exist: let me tell you that when you feel like someone has been rubbing sandpaper in the inside of your lungs you know it's not the flu.
The reason we were notified and action was taken in March is very simple: if you implement lockdown in December it will be evident that it does nothing at all to the mortality numbers. If you instead implement it in late March or April you have the natural curve of the seasonality going down and you can claim the lockdown is working.
Everyone at the WHO knows the seasonality of respiratory viruses very well: it's part of their job. Robin.
P.S. To those who say it does not exist: let me tell you that when you feel like someone has been rubbing sandpaper in the inside of your lungs you know it's not the flu.