π CPI Day Is Here! Whatβs Your Market Prediction?
Anonymous Poll
0%
Cooler CPI: Gold up, dollar down
0%
Hotter CPI: Dollar up, gold down
100%
Mixed CPI: Wild swings in both markets
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For now, institutions remain bullish on Bitcoin in the short term, but they donβt expect the rally to continue without a pullback. As Bitcoin approaches $95K, profit-taking and selling pressure could pick up, potentially setting the stage for a correction in the following months.
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π Asia-Pacific Market Overview
β Gold Gains Support from a Weaker Dollar: During the Asian session, stronger demand for U.S. Treasuries pushed 10-year yields lower, weakening the dollar and lifting gold prices.
β Australian Dollar Comes Under Pressure: Fresh data showed a drop in job openings in Australia, while the unemployment rate climbed to 4.7%, adding more selling pressure on the Australian dollar.
β Asian Tech Stocks Take Another Hit: Tech shares in Japan and South Korea saw sharp declines. Concerns over potential U.S. interest rate hikes and the high cost of financing AI projects were among the main drivers of the sell-off.
β The Fed Is Still in No Rush to Raise Rates: Some Fed officials, including Mary Daly, have raised the possibility of another rate hike. However, there are currently no signs of an immediate move at the October meeting.
β Latest Updates from Big Tech: Reports suggest a possible merger between Tesla and SpaceX. Meanwhile, AI company Anthropic has reported significant revenue growth in the third quarter.
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β Gold Gains Support from a Weaker Dollar: During the Asian session, stronger demand for U.S. Treasuries pushed 10-year yields lower, weakening the dollar and lifting gold prices.
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Our overall bias on EUR/USD is currently bullish. We're waiting for price to pull back into the buy zones, or break above resistance and retest it, giving us a good opportunity to enter a buy trade.
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A rate hike isn't guaranteed yet, but this shift in market expectations alone could increase selling pressure and make it harder for the crypto market to stage a strong rally.
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Analysis: With inflation pressures still running high and the labor market holding up, the Fed has more room to keep monetary policy tight. For now, this could support the U.S. dollar while adding more selling pressure on gold and riskier assets.
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Alright, guys! Letβs take a look at the gold chart! π
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π Asia Market Overview | Key Headlines
β The Fed Remains Uncertain About Interest Rates: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has avoided giving clear guidance on the rate path for the rest of the year, saying the October and December meetings will be key for upcoming policy decisions.
β Trumpβs Latest Comments on Iran: Trump said he has no plans to use nuclear weapons or send ground troops into Iran. However, he also raised the possibility of an attack on Pickaxe Mountain.
β Central Banks Remain Concerned About Inflation: Officials including the Fedβs Beth Hammack and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stressed the need to closely monitor inflation and avoid rushing into further policy decisions.
β Gold Moves Higher, While Oil Remains Under Pressure from Tensions: Gold prices have risen, while the oil market continues to be affected by ongoing conflicts and geopolitical risks.
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β The Fed Remains Uncertain About Interest Rates: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has avoided giving clear guidance on the rate path for the rest of the year, saying the October and December meetings will be key for upcoming policy decisions.
β Trumpβs Latest Comments on Iran: Trump said he has no plans to use nuclear weapons or send ground troops into Iran. However, he also raised the possibility of an attack on Pickaxe Mountain.
β Central Banks Remain Concerned About Inflation: Officials including the Fedβs Beth Hammack and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stressed the need to closely monitor inflation and avoid rushing into further policy decisions.
β Gold Moves Higher, While Oil Remains Under Pressure from Tensions: Gold prices have risen, while the oil market continues to be affected by ongoing conflicts and geopolitical risks.
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We expect price to first pull back toward 1.12400. If buyers step back in around this level, EUR/USD could continue its bullish move toward the 1.12750 supply zone.
Short-Term Bias: Bullish
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Elon Musk says production is planned for 2028.
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We expect price to pull back toward the $4,155 demand zone. If this area holds, the next bullish move could target $4,200 and then $4,215.
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We expect price to first pull back toward the $81,500 demand zone. After a liquidity sweep, Bitcoin could resume its bullish move toward $82,900, followed by the $83,700 supply zone.
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π± Bitcoin Under the Spotlight | Asia Buying, Europe Selling
π¬ Europe: Selling pressure from European investors has picked up this week, increasing the supply of Bitcoin in the market.
π¬ Asia: Unlike Europe, Asian investors have been leaning more toward buying, providing some support for Bitcoinβs price.
π¬ U.S.: According to regional market data, American investors havenβt shown much activity and havenβt played a major role in determining the marketβs direction so far.
π Analysis:
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The key question is whether Asian buyers can absorb the selling pressure coming from Europe. If buying demand isnβt strong enough and key support levels break, a rise in liquidations could put even more downward pressure on Bitcoin.
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We expect gold to complete a short-term correction and attract buyers around the $4,040 demand zone, before starting a new bullish move toward the $4,600 supply zone.
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π Asia-Pacific Market Recap
πΈ Chinaβs Economy Beats Expectations: Chinaβs economy grew by 4.5% in Q3, coming in stronger than expected. However, the property sector and investment activity are still facing challenges.
πΈ Euro Recovers Some Losses: The euro came under pressure at the start of trading amid unrest in France and political tensions, but later managed to recover part of its losses.
πΈ Oil Prices Slip as Russian Energy Sanctions Ease: Oil prices fell after the U.S. eased sanctions on certain Russian energy sectors. However, ongoing tensions in the Middle East are still helping limit further losses.
πΈ Central Banks Stay Focused on Inflation: Officials from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Japan stressed the importance of appropriate monetary policy and keeping inflation under control. Their comments could influence the future direction of the Australian dollar and Japanese yen.
πΈ Putin Proposes a Three-Way Summit: Vladimir Putin has proposed a meeting with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping to discuss the war in Ukraine. However, U.S. officials say no agreement has been reached to hold the meeting yet.
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β After reacting to the 1.12300 supply zone, EUR/USD came under selling pressure and is still trading below the descending trendline. The recent rebound hasnβt been strong enough to shift the short-term bearish structure.
We expect selling pressure to continue, pushing price toward the 1.11880 support level. This is a key zone where buyers could step in, and it remains the main downside target for the current move.
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The Dollar Index has entered a corrective phase after a downtrend and is now approaching the key 101.700 demand zone. This area aligns with the 0.618β0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, making it an important zone for a potential bullish reaction.
We expect the Dollar Index to complete its pullback into the 101.700 zone and sweep liquidity before rising demand triggers a fresh bullish move. The initial target is 102.080, followed by the 102.169 supply zone.
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π Asia Market Overview
β China kept its 1-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.0% and its 5-year LPR at 3.5% unchanged for the 17th consecutive month.
β The Peopleβs Bank of China announced that it will launch daily overnight reverse repo operations starting October 21. This move could be linked to potential changes in the countryβs monetary policy.
β Chinaβs daily yuan fixing strengthened to its highest level since February 2023, potentially signaling that policymakers are supporting the value of the national currency.
β Asian stock markets, including the Hang Seng and Nikkei, declined. Investors are still assessing Chinaβs monetary policy and movements in global bond yields.
β Meanwhile, analysis from major banks suggests that rising bond yields remain a key challenge for financial markets, while continued central bank gold purchases remain a supportive factor for gold in the long term.
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