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Professional Basketball Betting Analysis Since 2006
Free picks, betting insights & long-term results.

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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Taurage -6.5 vs Nevezis
10/10

Absolute Pick of the Day. ๐ŸŽฏ
We have two teams from completely different levels here. Taurage are probably the 5thโ€“6th best team in Lithuania, while Nevezis honestly look like a team that should not even be here. Their roster and coaching staff are both very poor, and unless something changes, I expect them to finish at the very bottom of the table with a massive negative record.

Nevezis already lost by 20 points to Jonava, the 2nd-worst team in the LKL, by 17 to Juventus โ€” which I would actually consider a decent result โ€” and by 27 at Neptunas, after being down by around 40 points at one stage.

Taurage, meanwhile, went 5/5 in preseason, including a 77-68 win over Neptunas โ€” the same Neptunas team that absolutely destroyed Nevezis just a couple of days ago.

Iโ€™m expecting around a 20-point difference today.

Full VIP access 200e/month.

Good luck! ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

@RakasB
โค7๐Ÿ”ฅ6๐Ÿ‘4
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Over 167.5
9/10

Streetball mode on. Clear winner, clear level. Our -9.5 handicap will win too easy, but I am adding over here as well.

Good luck!
โค42๐Ÿ‘39๐Ÿ”ฅ38
Live pick coming
๐Ÿ”ฅ3
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Roma - Lietkabelis, away win
8/10

Good luck!
โค9๐Ÿ‘4๐Ÿ”ฅ4
PICK OF THE DAY โ€” TAURAGE -6.5 LOST ๐Ÿ”ด
Final score: Taurage 81-76 Nevezis

Why did we lose this one? Honestly, I have no explanation other than everything that could go against us went against us.
๐Ÿ”น Nevezis hit their last three-pointer to make it 81-76 from 81-73.
๐Ÿ”น Taurage then missed both free throws with just 2 seconds left, with the score at 81-76.
๐Ÿ”น Taurage were leading 49-36 at halftime in a completely one-sided game.
๐Ÿ”น And surely it had to be not about the last minute of the game - Taurage were more than awful in the 2nd half while it looked liked pros vs amateurs in the 1st half.

Somehow, we ended up losing the pick.

Yes, we got the Unicaja handicap, followed by the Over, with the game going exactly as predicted. ๐ŸŸข

We also had ASVEL to win at good odds. ๐ŸŸข

Taking Lietkabelis to win was also a great-value pick. That's one of those rare losing picks where I don't blame myself at all for taking it. The odds were @7, which was more than good enough to take, and Lietkabelis were behind 88-87 with 40 seconds left.

Unfortunately, Roma's quality took over in the final moments, while the home side also had an incredible shooting night. ๐ŸŽฏ

What I really regret is taking King Wilki Over 170, which finished on 169 points.

Al in all, the wins stay in the shadow when pick of the day losses.

โญ๏ธ EUROLEAGUE TODAY

Most likely 2 or 3 picks will be posted ๐Ÿ€

Wishing some good luck to everyone ๐Ÿ€
@RakasB
โค14๐Ÿ‘4๐Ÿ”ฅ3
STRONG WEEKEND AHEAD! ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ’ฐ

I'm totally confident we have some excellent profit opportunities starting this weekend with the info that I've got, and it's time to make the most of the upcoming games! ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ”ฅ

๐Ÿ’Ž โ‚ฌ60 for a trial week until October 16 โ€” and if there's no profit, you get the whole month for FREE!

๐Ÿ‘‰ @RakasB
๐Ÿ‘14โค6๐Ÿ”ฅ4
4 picks in VIP for today so far
Way more to come today and tomorrow.

Want some profit?
Use the offer above ๐Ÿ’ฐ

@RakasB
โค7๐Ÿ‘5๐Ÿ”ฅ5
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Nevezis - Zalgiris, away -6.5 in 3rd Q
9/10

@1.86 in Pinnacle.

This is pretty much what I was expecting. Same was happening last season - same happen this year - Zalgiris is loosing or either not covering the handicap against the teams which are collected from the streets after being able to blow out Europe's grand - Barcelona. Typical situation when one of the main sponsor is a betting company. Glad I did not go with Zalgiris handicap pregame.

However you can't make it more obvious working for a bookmaker and loosing to the 2nd division team in Lithuania, no matter you have the guys working in Nevezis from Zalgiris office.

I am not going with Zalgiris -7.5 FT - knowing them it might be quite tricky. What we used to get in the previous season was Zalgiris coming strong after the HT break - win a quarter by 10-20pts range and then coming back with the same mentality as they've played in the 1st two quarters.

Logically thinking - Zalgiris should demolish this joke team, but knowing their mentality - they might get relaxed once again after they control the game. 3rd Q handicap looks best.

P.S. our under 170.5 FT taken pregame looks good enough knowing Nevezis is hitting their max so far.

Good luck!
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๐Ÿ€ EUROLEAGUE PREVIEW โ€” OCTOBER 13

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Fenerbahรงe vs ลฝalgiris ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น
Jasikeviฤius and Masiulis, two friends, meet again for another clash, with both teams in need of a win.
The line sits at Fenerbahรงe -6 and 162.5 total points, which looks perfectly logical. Both teams play good defense, so this should be a relatively low-scoring game. Playing at home, Fenerbahรงe should have enough quality to beat a ลฝalgiris team that is still far from playing its best basketball.
๐Ÿ‘€ My lean: Fenerbahรงe -6
Skipping pregame.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท ASVEL vs Crvena Zvezda ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ
An interesting matchup from a betting perspective, but I've found better options today, so I'm staying away.
Crvena Zvezda should have enough quality to beat ASVEL, but it's still too early in the season to trust them on the road. The total of 167.5 also looks about right.
๐Ÿ‘€ My lean: Crvena Zvezda -3
Skipping.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Barcelona vs Maccabi Tel Aviv ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
Two offensive powerhouses meet. Maccabi have been one of the poorest traveling teams in the EuroLeague, so Barcelona should have a good chance of securing a comfortable home win.
However, Barcelona's defense has been almost nonexistent, which makes this matchup tricky from a betting perspective. I'm not touching it today.
๐Ÿ‘€ My lean: Over 176.5 or 1st Half Over
The line is simply too high for me to take right now.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Baskonia vs Dubai ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช
๐Ÿ”ฅ One of today's 5 VIP pregame picks.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Milano vs Real Madrid ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐Ÿ”ฅ Another of today's 5 VIP pregame picks.

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Partizan vs Panathinaikos ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท
Without a doubt, the most interesting game to watch today! ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ€
ลฝeljko and the entire Panathinaikos team return to the Partizan arena, and I expect a fantastic atmosphere, with plenty of emotion both during and after the game.
There are many connections between these clubs and a lot of mutual respect. Although I don't consider Partizan a top-level team on paper, they keep proving me wrong. They played some really solid basketball during the final months of last season and have continued that form into the new campaign.
โค๏ธ My lean: Sit back and enjoy the game.
From a betting perspective, I don't see any value worth taking.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Valencia vs Olympiacos ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท
Another game I'm leaving alone pregame.
Valencia seem to be in their best form of the season already, despite it being so early, while Olympiacos still look vulnerable.
The total is astronomical, but considering these are two of the fastest teams in the league, the number makes sense.
๐Ÿ‘€ My lean: Olympiacos -2.5
No pregame bet for me.

๐Ÿ’Ž 5 VIP picks are already lined up for today, including Baskonia vs Dubai and Milano vs Real Madrid.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Plenty of EuroLeague, EuroCup and Champions League action ahead โ€” let's see where the value takes us!
๐Ÿ‘‰ @RakasB
โค16๐Ÿ‘16๐Ÿ”ฅ11
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Valencia - Maccabi over 183
10/10

Good luck!
โค10๐Ÿ‘7๐Ÿ”ฅ6
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Fener -5.5 vs Partizan
10/10

Good luck!
๐Ÿ‘9โค8๐Ÿ”ฅ6
๐Ÿ€ Go with these two picks for tonight's action! ๐Ÿ€
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EUROLEAGUE MATCHUP OVERVIEW โ€” OCTOBER 16

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น ลฝalgiris vs Anadolu Efes ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท
Tough times for Efes? Absolutely. With Mike James out, they need to find a way to play without him. However, I believe they can figure things out today.
ลฝalgiris, meanwhile, look terrible in terms of basketball IQ. They have Tubelis, one of their best players, who rarely gets enough touches or minutes. They also have Brown, arguably the best shooter on the team, but he only gets the ball occasionally.
Valanฤiลซnas brings offensive power, but his lack of mobility can be a problem defensively. Then there's Edwards, who keeps taking half-court shots. It's all fun when he makes 50% of them, but over a full season, I seriously doubt this style of basketball is sustainable. I understand the logic behind it to some extent, but it's not something I'd want to rely on long-term.
Efes are coming off three consecutive losses against Crvena Zvezda, Olympiacos and, surprisingly, Bayern. Still, they have quality guards like Loyd, Strazel, Payne and Dozier, alongside ล ariฤ‡ and Fernando in the frontcourt. Their bench also looks stronger than ลฝalgiris' options, such as Sirvydis, Giedraitis and Ulanovas.
๐Ÿ‘€ I also remember last season's game in Kaunas, when Efes won 87-64, handing ลฝalgiris one of their most painful home defeats of the campaign. Pablo Laso also led his team to a 92-82 win over ลฝalgiris in Turkey.
If we can say Efes are going through a difficult period, pretty much the same applies to ลฝalgiris:
๐Ÿ”น A terrible performance in Paris.
๐Ÿ”น A lucky win in Barcelona.
๐Ÿ”น An abnormal game in Kฤ—dainiai.
๐Ÿ”น And a 20-point defeat in Turkey just three days ago, where they never really had a chance.
๐ŸŽฏ My expectation: a close fight until the final minutes. Taking the plus handicap might be worth a shot here.

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท BeลŸiktaลŸ vs Bayern ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
๐Ÿ”ฅ VIP PICK

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Crvena Zvezda vs Paris ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
๐Ÿ”ฅ VIP PICK

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Panathinaikos vs Hapoel Tel Aviv ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
This is a game I don't particularly want to get involved in.
Hapoel are capable of playing excellent defense and controlling the tempo. But every time I take an Under, they seem to start scoring like crazy! They just finished 100-82 against BeลŸiktaลŸ, a team that isn't nearly as fast-paced as Baskonia, Maccabi or Valencia.
Looking at today's matchup, though, the only option that makes sense to me is Under 170. Panathinaikos are built around a defensive approach and generally don't look to rush the game.
๐Ÿ‘€ My lean: Under 170
โŒ No pregame bet for me.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Barcelona vs Olympiacos ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท
๐Ÿ”ฅ VIP PICK

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Virtus Bologna vs Baskonia ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
Another game I'm staying away from, especially with Baskonia changing their head coach.
Who predicted this? ๐Ÿ‘€ I've been saying he wouldn't last until 2027, and here we are!
The same situation applies to the Rytas coach. I wouldn't be surprised if we see another coaching change before New Year's Eve and some players' changes as well.
Baskonia can be a dangerous team with the right coach. Velimir Perasoviฤ‡ could completely change how we view this team. If he connects well with the players, Baskonia could become a very different proposition.
At the same time, Virtus are coming off five consecutive wins this season, which is impressive.
๐Ÿค” Too many questions, too many unknowns. I'm not getting involved in this one pregame.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Three VIP picks already stand out today, with more EuroLeague action ahead.
Good luck, everyone! ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ‘‰ @RakasB
โค7๐Ÿ‘6๐Ÿ”ฅ3
3 picks today in VIP:

๐Ÿ€ Buducnost -10.5
๐Ÿ€ Manresa over 180
๐Ÿ€ Falco over 88 HT

Good luck to all! ๐Ÿ˜‰ ๐Ÿ’ช ๐Ÿ’ฐ
โค14๐Ÿ”ฅ7๐Ÿ‘4
๐ŸŸข Buducnost -10.5
๐ŸŸข Manresa over 180
๐Ÿ€ Falco over 88 HT

Falco over 88 HT was @2.05, so hopefully you managed taking 86.5 or 87.5.

Big action on schedule in the upcoming days one more time ๐Ÿ’ฐ

I will share one VIP here in the evening โฐ

@RakasB
โค27๐Ÿ‘19๐Ÿ”ฅ17
Forwarded from RakasBets VIP
Taurage - Rytas over 176.5
10/10
Taurage - Rytas over 89.5 HT
10/10

The line seems off. Taurage is in 3rd place in the league according to the tempo of the game (number of possessions). Defensively they are very weak allowing even such slow teams like Lietkabelis scoring 85 against them. Juventus scored 93, Zalgiris scored 96 few days ago while Gargzdai won 102-82 playing in Taurage arena.

Rytas has only 3 LKL games in their pockets yet, but in general not much has changed looking to their style and tempo of basketball - same running team which had some crazy results back in Fiba Intercontinental cup and started their LKL cammpaing with a 102-105 loss at home against Gargzdai.

I predict Taurage to finish in 80-90pts range with Rytas coming over 100pts line.

Good luck!
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๐Ÿ€ EUROLEAGUE PREVIEW โ€” THURSDAY, OCTOBER 22

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Anadolu Efes vs BeลŸiktaลŸ

๐Ÿ”ฅ A derby to kick off Thursday!
The previous meeting ended 95โ€“81 in the BSL almost a month ago, but a lot has changed since then.
๐Ÿ”„ Roster changes:
Efes have Cameron Payne in and Mike James out.
BeลŸiktaลŸ have added Walker.
๐Ÿ“Š Team ratings:
Offensive Rating: BeลŸiktaลŸ 4th | Efes 19th
Defensive Rating: Efes 5th | BeลŸiktaลŸ 15th
These numbers need to be taken with a grain of salt. Efes look like a completely different team now, while Walker's arrival should also change the way BeลŸiktaลŸ play.
The current lines are Efes -5.5 and Over/Under 173.5.
๐Ÿ‘€ My lean: BeลŸiktaลŸ to win + Under 173.5.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Bayern vs Dubai ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช

๐Ÿ’Ž 2 VIP PICKS

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Real Madrid are the favorites, and rightly so. The total is set at 182.5, which also makes sense to me.
Nothing particularly new or unusual here โ€” this should be an entertaining, high-scoring game with plenty of possessions, fast breaks and three-pointers. Real Madrid should have a slight edge, even on a neutral court.
However, neither the handicap nor the total offers enough value for me to get involved.
โŒ No pregame bet.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Panathinaikos vs Baskonia ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

๐Ÿ’Ž 1 VIP PICK

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Milano vs Barcelona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Just like in the Maccabi game, I don't see any particularly attractive betting value here.
Milano desperately need wins and have home-court advantage. Barcelona have a strong squad overall, but their coaching situation is a concern, especially after that heavy defeat against Joventut.
No pregame bet for me.

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Partizan vs Crvena Zvezda

๐Ÿ”ฅ The Belgrade derby!
Last season's derby totals were 155, 196, 171, 155, 194 and 167 points. Partizan also won most of those meetings.
Does that matter today? Only to a very limited extent, in my opinion.
Crvena Zvezda are in excellent form, coming into this game after five consecutive wins, and seem to have finally found their rhythm.
I'd also lean towards the Under here. However, Crvena are one of the fastest teams in the league while simultaneously boasting the 2nd-best defensive rating, behind only Panathinaikos.
๐Ÿค” With so many contrasting factors, I think the smartest move is to stay away from this game.

๐Ÿ”ฅ 3 STRONG PICKS IN VIP TODAY! ๐Ÿ’Ž
Want access to the full analysis and all three picks?
๐Ÿ€ Don't settle for just the FREE previews.

๐Ÿ‘‰ DM @RakasB to join VIP! ๐Ÿ’ฐ
โค22๐Ÿ‘18๐Ÿ”ฅ17
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Bayern - Dubai, away -22.5
10/10

Bayern is down 27 and our -3 handicap looks safe here, but I am adding -22.5 here also.

Predicting them winning 2nd half by 5 looks like mission impossible - they are too late in every aspect and look like amateur team agains well prepared Dubai which is in general in awesome form and has 12 equal players, so playing with bench should mean even more advantage for Dubai

Good luck!
๐Ÿ”ฅ10๐Ÿ‘5โค4
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Cluj vs Derby over 173.5
10/10
Cluj vs Derby over 87.5 HT
10/10

A perfect fit for a high scoring game. Cluj still remain the same style team like previous season, but the opponents so far were not good for a high scoring game, especially when you have such slow team like London Lions (by the way Lions scored 89pts to Cluj defense 2 days ago with 2/20 threes).

Studentski Centar or SC Derby as some call them is one of the fastest teams in Adriatic with even worse defense than Cluj. This Monday we took Dubai -19.5 and Dubai over 91.5 and the game finished 108-90 with Dubai not playing as fast as Cluj (but of course having more quality).

My real expectations here - 190-200 or more.

Good luck!
๐Ÿ‘9โค3๐Ÿ”ฅ2
My pick of the day for today.

AT LEAST 4 more max bets coming this weekend and despite last 3 picks not providing here - you can be sure - we will make some good money this weekend ๐Ÿ’ช

Monthly price - 200e only ๐Ÿ’ฒ

@RakasB
๐Ÿ”ฅ15โค11๐Ÿ‘11