💧 OIL FALLS BELOW $75 FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE THE IRAN CONFLICT BEGAN

Brent Crude Oil has continued its sharp decline, breaking below the $75 level and erasing much of the geopolitical premium that supported prices earlier this month.

The market initially rallied as tensions in the Middle East increased, but sentiment has shifted rapidly as fears of major supply disruptions have eased.

↘️ Major Resistance: $80.00 – $82.00
↗️ Key Support: $72.00 – $73.00

The break below the key $76.00 level has accelerated selling pressure, with crude now approaching an important support zone that could determine the next major move.

🔼 Upside Scenario
A recovery back above $76.00 could signal that selling momentum is fading and open the door towards the $78.00 – $80.00 region.

🔽 Downside Risk
A break below $72.00 would expose the next major target around $70.00, extending the current bearish trend.

The decline highlights how quickly market narratives can change. Just days ago, traders were pricing in the risk of supply disruptions. Today, the focus has shifted back towards demand concerns and a reduction in geopolitical risk.

For now, sellers remain firmly in control as Brent Crude trades near its lowest levels since the conflict began.

😎 Full chart breakdown available in the Analysis Channel.

🔽 GOLD LOSES NEARLY $400 IN ONE WEEK

Gold has dropped below the psychologically important $4,000 level, falling nearly 9% from last week's record high of $4,382.

The sell-off comes as concerns over further Federal Reserve rate hikes continue to weigh on sentiment. Higher interest rates typically reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets such as Gold, leading some investors to rotate into interest-bearing alternatives.

After reaching fresh all-time highs earlier this month, traders have also been taking profits, adding further pressure to the precious metal.

Despite the recent decline, Gold remains one of the standout performers of 2026 and continues to attract attention during periods of economic uncertainty and geopolitical tension.

The latest move is a reminder that even the strongest trends experience pullbacks.

From $4,382 to below $4,000 in just one week.

⁉️ MORE GOLD ANALYSIS

🍏 APPLE EXTENDS LOSSES AS INVESTORS REACT TO PRICE HIKES

Apple shares have continued to weaken, extending their decline from the June 9 high of $317.40 to around $276.70 — a drop of more than 12%.

The latest wave of selling comes after Apple announced 15%–25% price increases on selected MacBook and iPad models, citing higher memory costs driven by growing AI infrastructure demand.

While the broader technology sector has remained resilient, investors are concerned that higher device prices could slow consumer upgrades and impact future sales.

👉 Current Price: ~$276.70
👆 Key Support Zone: $270.00 – $272.00

The stock is now approaching a major support area that could prove critical in determining the next move.

🔽 Bullish Scenario
If buyers defend support, Apple could attempt a recovery towards the $290–300 region.

🔼 Bearish Scenario
A decisive break below $270 would signal continued selling pressure and increase the probability of a move towards fresh multi-month lows.

This is a reminder that even the world's largest companies can experience significant volatility when market expectations change. Monitoring key technical levels alongside the underlying news flow remains essential.

🇬🇧 POUND FALLS TO A 3-MONTH LOW

GBP/USD has fallen to its lowest level in almost three months, highlighting renewed pressure on the British Pound against the U.S. Dollar.

After reaching a high of 1.3443 on 17 June, the pair has declined 1.64%, with GBP/USD now trading around 1.3223.
The move comes as the U.S. Dollar strengthens and traders continue to reassess expectations for interest rates, while waiting for fresh economic data and guidance from central banks.

Although Sterling has recovered slightly from this week's lows, the recent decline is a reminder of how quickly sentiment can shift in the currency markets.

👁 3-month low.
🔽 Down 1.64% from last week's high.

⁉️ GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

🦅 FED WATCH | JULY FOMC

Markets are currently assigning a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at the 29 July FOMC meeting, according to the latest CME FedWatch data.

This will be the second FOMC meeting chaired by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, making it another closely watched event for traders across all financial markets.
What does this mean?

The Fed's decision will influence expectations for the remainder of 2026 and could create increased volatility across:

🥇 Gold (XAUUSD) – Higher interest rates generally strengthen the US Dollar and Treasury yields, which can weigh on Gold prices. Conversely, any unexpected dovish comments could provide support for Gold.

💵 US Dollar – Hawkish guidance is typically supportive for the Dollar, while dovish guidance can weaken it.

1️⃣ US Indices & Stocks – Equity markets generally favour lower interest rates. Any indication that rate cuts are delayed could pressure growth stocks and major indices.

💛 Bitcoin & Risk Assets – Risk-sensitive assets often respond positively to expectations of lower rates and greater market liquidity, while higher-for-longer policy can reduce investor appetite for risk.

Although markets currently expect no change in July, the Fed's statement, economic projections and Kevin Warsh's press conference could have a greater impact than the rate decision itself.

Professional traders don't just watch the decision—they monitor what the market is pricing in before the announcement. By the time the Fed releases its decision, much of the expected move is often already reflected in prices.

Source: CME FedWatch Tool

▶️ Weekly Market Outlook | Key Levels to Watch

Traders, this week’s technical outlook highlights major opportunities on:

BTCUSD , DOGUSD , ESP35 , EURUSD , USOIL

We'll break down each pair's Daily Support & Resistance zones, helping you:
✅ Spot potential breakout or reversal areas
✅ Build your trade plan with confidence
✅ Align setups with this week’s price structure

🖤 FULL VIDEO BREAKDOWN

🗓 THIS WEEK'S KEY EVENTS

Another important week for the financial markets, with GDP, inflation and US employment data all scheduled for release.

🇬🇧 UK GDP – A key measure of the UK's economic growth.

🇪🇺 EU CPI – Inflation data that could influence expectations for future ECB policy.

🇺🇸 US Manufacturing PMI – An important indicator of business activity and economic momentum.

🇺🇸 US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – One of the most closely watched economic releases each month, often creating significant market volatility.

🇺🇸 US Unemployment Rate – Released alongside NFP, providing further insight into the strength of the US labour market.

⚠️ These high-impact events can create sharp moves across Forex, Gold, Indices, Stocks and Crypto. Be aware of the release times and manage your risk accordingly.

⁉️ WEEKLY MARKET REPORT | 29 JUNE – 3 JULY

A new trading week begins.

This week's report covers the key events and market themes that could drive volatility across Forex, Gold and Commodities.

Inside this week's report:
✅ Key economic events to watch
✅ Technical breakdowns on Gold, US Oil, GBP/USD, NZD/USD & GBP/NZD
✅ The fundamental themes that could shape the markets in the days ahead

If you're planning to trade this week, this is your roadmap.

📄 DOWNLOAD THE FULL REPORT

💧 BRENT CRUDE OIL FALLS OVER 10% IN 10 DAYS

Brent Crude has dropped from $82.30 to around $73.90, marking a decline of more than 10% in just ten days.
The move comes as concerns over supply disruptions in the Middle East have eased, with markets increasingly pricing in the possibility of a negotiated end to the Iran conflict. As geopolitical risk premiums fade, oil prices have come under renewed selling pressure.

While Brent remains one of the world's most closely watched commodities, the recent decline is a reminder of how quickly sentiment can change when global events begin to stabilise.

👆 From $82.30 to $73.90.
🔽 More than 10% wiped off the price in just 10 days.

Volatility creates opportunity—whether markets are moving higher or lower.

⁉️ USOIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

💰 BITCOIN LOSES OVER $7,000 IN JUST ONE WEEK

After trading above $65,600 last Monday, Bitcoin has fallen to around $58,300, wiping more than 11% off its value in just eight days.

The decline comes as traders continue to take profits following Bitcoin's recent rally, while uncertainty around interest rates and broader market sentiment has weighed on risk assets.

Some analysts are warning that Bitcoin could see further downside if key support levels fail to hold, with growing discussion around a move towards the $40,000 region if selling pressure accelerates.
Despite the recent pullback, Bitcoin remains one of the most volatile assets in global markets—creating opportunities in both rising and falling conditions.

👆 From $65,622 to $58,345.
🔽 More than $7,200 erased in just one week.

🇪🇺 EUR/USD Chart Breakdown (1H)

The euro has staged an impressive recovery over the past week, but the rally is now approaching a key technical area where buyers and sellers are battling for control.

🔼 Bullish Scenario (+1.8%)
A sustained break above resistance could open the door for a move back towards 1.1420–1.1430, extending the current uptrend.

🔽 Bearish Scenario (-1.2%)
Failure to hold above support around 1.1375–1.1380 could trigger a pullback as traders lock in profits.

With the US Dollar remaining sensitive to Federal Reserve expectations and the Euro supported by improving sentiment, this pair is likely to remain one of the most closely watched FX markets over the coming sessions.
As always, watch for a confirmed breakout rather than anticipating the move. Patience often leads to better trade entries.

⁉️ EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

TODAY'S KEY EVENT | 14:00 BST (13:00 GMT)

🇪🇺 ECB Forum on Central Banking – Policy Panel

Today, four of the world's most influential central bankers will take part in a live policy discussion:
🇪🇺 Christine Lagarde (ECB President)
🇺🇸 Kevin Warsh (Federal Reserve Chair)
🇬🇧 Andrew Bailey (Bank of England Governor)
🇨🇦 Tiff Macklem (Bank of Canada Governor)

Why does this matter?
Although this isn't an interest rate decision, markets will be listening closely for any clues about the future direction of monetary policy.

Traders will be looking for comments on:
✅ Inflation trends
✅ Interest rate expectations
✅ Economic growth
✅ Labour markets
✅ Trade tariffs and global risks
✅ The outlook for the second half of 2026

Even subtle changes in tone can move markets as expectations for future central bank policy are repriced.

Markets most likely to be affected:
🥇 Gold (XAU/USD)
🇬🇧 USD, GBP, EUR & CAD currency pairs
🦅 US & European stock indices
💲 Government bond yields

⚠️ Expect increased volatility during the discussion, particularly if any of the central bankers deliver unexpected or more hawkish/dovish comments than markets are anticipating.
Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and avoid chasing the initial move. The biggest opportunities often come after the market has had time to digest the comments.

🇬🇧 GBP/USD CONTINUES TO RESPECT ITS BULLISH TREND

GBP/USD remains in a well-defined ascending channel, continuing to print a series of higher highs and higher lows over the past week.

Despite short-term pullbacks, buyers have consistently stepped in at support, keeping the broader uptrend intact.

↘️ Resistance Zone: 1.3290 – 1.3305
↗️ Support Zone: 1.3210 – 1.3220

The pair is now approaching a key resistance area that has capped recent advances. A decisive break above this zone would strengthen the bullish outlook and suggest further upside.

🔼 Bullish Scenario (+0.9%)
A break above 1.3305 could open the door towards the 1.3340 region, extending the current uptrend.

🔽 Bearish Scenario (-0.8%)
A move below 1.3210 would weaken the current bullish structure and increase the probability of a pullback towards 1.3160.

The British Pound continues to find support from expectations that the Bank of England may keep interest rates elevated for longer, as inflation remains a key concern. At the same time, traders are closely watching upcoming US economic data and Federal Reserve commentary for fresh direction in the US Dollar.
For now, the technical structure remains constructive, with the ascending channel continuing to guide price action.

🌟 US NFP MISSES EXPECTATIONS — GOLD SURGES

The latest US labour market data has been released, delivering a much weaker result than economists expected.

🔽 Non-Farm Employment Change
• Actual: 57K
• Forecast: 114K
• Previous: 129K

🪙 Average Hourly Earnings m/m
• Actual: 0.3%
• Forecast: 0.3%
• Previous: 0.3%

🔽 Unemployment Rate
• Actual: 4.2%
• Forecast: 4.3%
• Previous: 4.3%

Immediate Market Reaction

🥇 Gold (XAUUSD) reacted instantly, surging from approximately 4,064 to 4,140 within minutes of the 12:30 GMT release as traders priced in weaker-than-expected US employment data.

A softer jobs report can increase expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more accommodative stance, which typically weakens the US Dollar and provides support for Gold.

The accompanying 15-minute chart highlights just how quickly institutional order flow entered the market following the announcement.

⚠️ Economic data doesn't just move markets—it creates opportunity. Understanding how these releases influence price action is a key part of trading major assets such as Gold, indices and currencies.

⁉️ INDICATOR BREAKDOWN | Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

Most traders add an EMA to their chart, but very few know how it's actually calculated.
Unlike a Simple Moving Average (SMA), which gives every price equal importance, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) gives more weight to recent price movements. This allows it to react faster when market conditions change.

The formula uses a smoothing multiplier:
K=2n+1K = \frac{2}{n+1}
where n is the number of periods (e.g. 20 for a 20 EMA).

Each new EMA value is then calculated using:
EMAt=(Pricet×K)+(EMAt−1×(1−K))EMA_t = (Price_t \times K) + (EMA_{t-1} \times (1-K))
This means the EMA is constantly updating, using both the latest closing price and the previous EMA value.

💡 Why does this matter?
• Faster reaction to changing market conditions.
• Often used to identify trend direction and dynamic support/resistance.
• Forms the foundation of many popular indicators, including MACD.

Understanding the mathematics behind your indicators helps you understand why they behave the way they do, rather than simply treating them as buy or sell signals.

▶️ Weekly Market Outlook | Key Levels to Watch

Traders, this week’s technical outlook highlights major opportunities on:

BTCUSD , EURUSD , US30 , USDCHF

We'll break down each pair's Daily Support & Resistance zones, helping you:
✅ Spot potential breakout or reversal areas
✅ Build your trade plan with confidence
✅ Align setups with this week’s price structure

📺 FULL VIDEO BREAKDOWN

🗓 THIS WEEK'S KEY EVENTS

Another busy week ahead, with PMI data, central bank decisions and labour market releases all capable of driving volatility across the financial markets.

🇺🇸 US Non-Manufacturing PMI – A key indicator of activity within the US services sector.

🇳🇿 New Zealand Interest Rate Decision – Markets will be watching closely for any changes to monetary policy and future guidance from the RBNZ.

🇳🇿 New Zealand Business PMI – Provides insight into business conditions and economic momentum in New Zealand.

🇺🇸 US Initial Jobless Claims – An important weekly snapshot of the US labour market that can influence USD sentiment.

🇨🇦 Canada Unemployment Rate – A major employment release that often creates increased volatility across CAD pairs.

⚠️ High-impact economic events can lead to sharp price movements across Forex, Gold, Indices and Crypto. Be aware of the release times and manage your risk accordingly.

⁉️ WEEKLY MARKET REPORT | 6TH JULY – 10TH JULY

A new trading week is here.

Before placing your first trade, make sure you know what's moving the markets.

This week's report includes:
✅ The key economic events that could drive volatility
✅ Gold, US Oil, GBP/USD, USD/CAD & GBP/CAD technical outlooks
✅ The fundamental themes shaping the week ahead
✅ Key levels and institutional market analysis

Preparation creates opportunity.

📄 DOWNLOAD THE FULL REPORT

GOLD TESTS A MAJOR SUPPORT LEVEL

Gold has come under renewed selling pressure, extending its decline towards the $4,000 support zone after another rejection from higher prices.

The latest move follows fading safe-haven demand and improving market sentiment, while traders continue to assess the outlook for US interest rates.

📉 Major Resistance: $4,200
📈 Major Support: $4,000

One of the key features on the chart is the current liquidity structure.

⬇️ Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) sits above the recent swing highs around $4,150, where short sellers may have placed stop losses.

⬆️ Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) extends from $4,000 up towards $4,180, making this a significant area to watch as buyers and sellers battle for control.

🔼 Bullish Scenario
If Gold reclaims $4,200, momentum could return quickly, opening the door towards the $4,240+ region.

🔽 Bearish Scenario
A decisive break below $4,000 would confirm the loss of a major psychological level and could accelerate selling towards $3,960.

With Gold now trading at a critical technical area, the reaction around $4,000 is likely to determine whether buyers can defend the longer-term trend or whether sellers remain firmly in control.

🟠 BITCOIN RECLAIMS $62K

Bitcoin has continued to stabilize after reclaiming the $62,000 region, with buyers stepping back into the market following last week's volatility.

The latest recovery supports the view that the broader July rally remains intact, although traders are still watching for signs of whether this is the start of a sustained move higher or simply a relief bounce.

↘️ Major Resistance: $64,750
↗️ Major Support: $61,500

The chart also highlights two important liquidity areas:

⬇️ Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) sits above $63,500, where a concentration of stop orders could fuel a sharp move higher if price breaks through.

⬆️ Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) lies between $61,500 and $63,250, an area where buyers have repeatedly stepped in to defend the trend.

🔼 Bullish Scenario
A decisive break above $63,500 would place the recent highs back into focus, with $64,750 acting as the next major resistance level.

🔽 Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold above $61,500 would weaken the current recovery and could open the door for a move towards the $61,000 region.

While on-chain data continues to suggest the broader bull market structure remains healthy, traders should remember that Bitcoin can move aggressively once key liquidity levels are triggered.