Probable — prediction markets, in numbers.
A group of channels about what the markets say: new markets, big moves, resolutions, and the news behind them. Every post carries the market, its number and a link. No opinions, no signals, no hype.
Channels
• @alerts_app — Probable · Alerts · Markets. The flagship: politics, economy, tech and world news, as it happens.
• @odds_app — Probable · Sports. Title races and season markets: new markets, big moves, results.
More channels (crypto, moves, weekly stats) open as the network grows. This post is kept up to date.
A group of channels about what the markets say: new markets, big moves, resolutions, and the news behind them. Every post carries the market, its number and a link. No opinions, no signals, no hype.
Channels
• @alerts_app — Probable · Alerts · Markets. The flagship: politics, economy, tech and world news, as it happens.
• @odds_app — Probable · Sports. Title races and season markets: new markets, big moves, results.
More channels (crypto, moves, weekly stats) open as the network grows. This post is kept up to date.
Probable HQ pinned «Probable — prediction markets, in numbers. A group of channels about what the markets say: new markets, big moves, resolutions, and the news behind them. Every post carries the market, its number and a link. No opinions, no signals, no hype. Channels • @alerts_app…»
📬 WEEK IN MARKETS · Oct 4–Oct 11
61 new markets · 25 moves ≥ 10 pts · 0 resolved
Biggest moves
• Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31? — 54% → 92%
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? — 65% → 42%
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 9? — 30% → 8%
• Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Alexander Lukashenko in Turkmenistan? — 24% → 2%
• Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan? — 22% → 1%
Most traded new markets
• Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — $1292.7M Vol.
• Presidential Election Winner 2028 — $715.4M Vol.
• Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — $711.0M Vol.
• F1 Drivers' Champion — $204.2M Vol.
• Brazil Presidential Election — $180.1M Vol.
61 new markets · 25 moves ≥ 10 pts · 0 resolved
Biggest moves
• Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31? — 54% → 92%
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? — 65% → 42%
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 9? — 30% → 8%
• Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Alexander Lukashenko in Turkmenistan? — 24% → 2%
• Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan? — 22% → 1%
Most traded new markets
• Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — $1292.7M Vol.
• Presidential Election Winner 2028 — $715.4M Vol.
• Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — $711.0M Vol.
• F1 Drivers' Champion — $204.2M Vol.
• Brazil Presidential Election — $180.1M Vol.