Forwarded from NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦
Trump’s proposed Ukraine deal would force Kyiv to cede territory, abandon NATO hopes, and accept shaky security guarantees — all while Russia faces no real accountability. Experts warn it could end Zelensky’s presidency and trigger chaos in Ukraine.
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-voloymyr-zelensyy-russia-ukraine-deal-revanchism/
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-voloymyr-zelensyy-russia-ukraine-deal-revanchism/
POLITICO
An ugly Ukraine deal was predictable — but this will merely pause Russia’s revanchism – POLITICO
Without U.S. security guarantees and a firm “porcupine strategy” to make sure Kyiv is heavily armed, this deal will just be a way station in Putin’s bid to subjugate the country.
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Rylsk, Russia. Usual stuff
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Host : So, a 145% tariff on China is, in essence, an embargo...
Trump: That's good. They deserve it.
Host: This will raise prices on everything from electronics to clothing and home construction.
Trump: You don't know that. You don't know if China will swallow it.
Host: But this is mathematics.
Trump: China will swallow these tariffs. They ripped us off like no one has ever ripped us off... A lot of other countries did it too, the EU treated us terribly. But they don't do it anymore.
Also in the interview, Trump said that after his return to the White House and the start of the trade war, "prices for gasoline, groceries, eggs have gone down - a lot of things, almost everything, have gone down," despite the real increase in the cost of some goods in the United States.
Trump: That's good. They deserve it.
Host: This will raise prices on everything from electronics to clothing and home construction.
Trump: You don't know that. You don't know if China will swallow it.
Host: But this is mathematics.
Trump: China will swallow these tariffs. They ripped us off like no one has ever ripped us off... A lot of other countries did it too, the EU treated us terribly. But they don't do it anymore.
Also in the interview, Trump said that after his return to the White House and the start of the trade war, "prices for gasoline, groceries, eggs have gone down - a lot of things, almost everything, have gone down," despite the real increase in the cost of some goods in the United States.
Kabooms in Russia
In Murom, Vladimir Region, there were arrivals at the Murom Instrument-making Gunpowder Plant.
Murom Instrument-Making Plant
"JSC Murom Instrument-Making Plant (JSC MPZ) is a Russian multi-profile enterprise located in Murom (Vladimir Region). It specializes in the production of means of initiating and igniting ammunition for all branches of the armed forces, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the FSB and other security agencies."
The plant produces and works for the following structures.
• Pyrotechnic devices for activating rescue equipment in aviation, marine and land equipment, as well as for space complexes, including manned ones.
• Capsules-igniters for all types of civilian, service and sporting weapons.
• Initiation means for various fire extinguishing systems using dual-use technology
• Water rescue equipment for the Ministry of Emergency Situations, military and civilian fleets.
Location:
📍 55.51792023531611, 41.98576892492608
In Murom, Vladimir Region, there were arrivals at the Murom Instrument-making Gunpowder Plant.
Murom Instrument-Making Plant
"JSC Murom Instrument-Making Plant (JSC MPZ) is a Russian multi-profile enterprise located in Murom (Vladimir Region). It specializes in the production of means of initiating and igniting ammunition for all branches of the armed forces, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the FSB and other security agencies."
The plant produces and works for the following structures.
• Pyrotechnic devices for activating rescue equipment in aviation, marine and land equipment, as well as for space complexes, including manned ones.
• Capsules-igniters for all types of civilian, service and sporting weapons.
• Initiation means for various fire extinguishing systems using dual-use technology
• Water rescue equipment for the Ministry of Emergency Situations, military and civilian fleets.
Location:
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Europe will find it very difficult to collectively muster 25,000 troops to participate in a “deterrence” force in Ukraine because its armies are understaffed, — The Times
The United Kingdom offered to provide up to 10,000 troops and asked partners to create a 64,000-strong contingent, but most states responded by declaring this unrealistic — even 25,000 troops were considered a difficult figure to achieve.
EU countries are wary of the depletion of their own defenses, the risks of escalation, and political complications.
The focus is on training the Ukrainian military, supplying weapons, and providing air and naval support to Ukraine.
Even 25k is a very low number actually 😬
The United Kingdom offered to provide up to 10,000 troops and asked partners to create a 64,000-strong contingent, but most states responded by declaring this unrealistic — even 25,000 troops were considered a difficult figure to achieve.
EU countries are wary of the depletion of their own defenses, the risks of escalation, and political complications.
The focus is on training the Ukrainian military, supplying weapons, and providing air and naval support to Ukraine.
Even 25k is a very low number actually 😬
Forwarded from Ukrainian Witness
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Forwarded from NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦
Forwarded from NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦
The Investment Fund established under the agreement on natural resources will operate as follows:
U.S. Contribution: The United States will contribute to the Fund with both direct financial resources and potentially additional assistance, such as air defense systems for Ukraine.
Ukraine's Contribution: Ukraine will contribute 50% of the revenue generated from new royalties on new licenses for resource extraction. Ukraine may also make additional contributions if deemed necessary, establishing a long-term partnership for the coming decades.
Investment Focus: The Fund will invest in projects related to the extraction of minerals, oil, and gas, as well as infrastructure and processing projects associated with these industries. Ukraine and the U.S. will jointly determine the specific projects to be funded.
Profit Allocation: For the first ten years, any profits or funds generated by the Investment Fund will not be distributed but instead reinvested into Ukraine for new projects or reconstruction. Specific terms for these reinvestments will be negotiated in the future.
U.S. Contribution: The United States will contribute to the Fund with both direct financial resources and potentially additional assistance, such as air defense systems for Ukraine.
Ukraine's Contribution: Ukraine will contribute 50% of the revenue generated from new royalties on new licenses for resource extraction. Ukraine may also make additional contributions if deemed necessary, establishing a long-term partnership for the coming decades.
Investment Focus: The Fund will invest in projects related to the extraction of minerals, oil, and gas, as well as infrastructure and processing projects associated with these industries. Ukraine and the U.S. will jointly determine the specific projects to be funded.
Profit Allocation: For the first ten years, any profits or funds generated by the Investment Fund will not be distributed but instead reinvested into Ukraine for new projects or reconstruction. Specific terms for these reinvestments will be negotiated in the future.
USA/Ukraine mineral deal analysis from Быть или channel:
So, the deal’s provisions — before and after.
This is phenomenal — what Ukraine has managed to achieve.
P.S. The deal points were published by Ukraine’s Minister of Economy, Yuliia Svyrydenko. You can also read them on In Factum.
1.
Before: Ukraine’s mineral resources were to be transferred to U.S. ownership until full compensation of $500 billion was repaid (Feb 17, The Telegraph).
After: Ukraine’s mineral resources remain under Ukraine’s ownership.
2.
Before: Ukraine contributed 67% of the revenues to the investment fund, the U.S. contributed 33%, and kept the rest (Feb 22, Radio NV).
After: Contribution is split 50/50. Fair and equal.
2a.
Before: The U.S. had 3 board members in the investment fund, Ukraine had 2; the U.S. had a majority when making decisions (Mar 27, Yaroslav Zheleznyak).
After: Neither side holds a majority. (Presumably 3:3).
3.
Before: The U.S. hinted at interest in privatizing “Ukrnafta” and “Energoatom.”
After: Ukraine’s national assets are protected — no privatization of “Ukrnafta” or “Energoatom.”
4.
Before: Ukraine was expected to repay the U.S. for aid provided since 2022 (Mar 27, Yaroslav Zheleznyak).
After: No debts. The U.S. can invest and earn profits, but Ukraine has no retroactive obligations
5.
Before: The agreement contradicted Ukraine’s path toward EU accession (Mar 27, Yaroslav Zheleznyak).
After: The agreement complies with Ukraine’s Constitution and does not conflict with EU accession.
(Details of this point are not disclosed — possibly the U.S. no longer has “first rights” over Ukrainian resources, or the issue lies elsewhere.)
6.
Before: Ukraine paid 50% of CURRENT income from its resources (Mar 27, Yaroslav Zheleznyak).
After: Ukraine contributes 50% of income from NEW investments in resources, oil, and gas. All revenue from current resources remains unchanged
7.
Targeted and limited changes are allowed. The agreement must be ratified by the Verkhovna Rada.
8.
The U.S. will help attract additional investments and technology. The fund is managed by the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC).
9.
The agreement provides tax guarantees. Income and contributions to the Fund are exempt from taxation.
There is also a sub-clause allowing Fund contributions not only in cash but also in the equivalent value of new weapons delivered to Ukraine (though this is not guaranteed).
Ukraine is also negotiating a ban on withdrawing funds from the Fund during the first 10 years — meaning the profits would be reinvested in new projects instead of being pocketed.
So, the deal’s provisions — before and after.
This is phenomenal — what Ukraine has managed to achieve.
P.S. The deal points were published by Ukraine’s Minister of Economy, Yuliia Svyrydenko. You can also read them on In Factum.
1.
Before: Ukraine’s mineral resources were to be transferred to U.S. ownership until full compensation of $500 billion was repaid (Feb 17, The Telegraph).
After: Ukraine’s mineral resources remain under Ukraine’s ownership.
2.
Before: Ukraine contributed 67% of the revenues to the investment fund, the U.S. contributed 33%, and kept the rest (Feb 22, Radio NV).
After: Contribution is split 50/50. Fair and equal.
2a.
Before: The U.S. had 3 board members in the investment fund, Ukraine had 2; the U.S. had a majority when making decisions (Mar 27, Yaroslav Zheleznyak).
After: Neither side holds a majority. (Presumably 3:3).
3.
Before: The U.S. hinted at interest in privatizing “Ukrnafta” and “Energoatom.”
After: Ukraine’s national assets are protected — no privatization of “Ukrnafta” or “Energoatom.”
4.
Before: Ukraine was expected to repay the U.S. for aid provided since 2022 (Mar 27, Yaroslav Zheleznyak).
After: No debts. The U.S. can invest and earn profits, but Ukraine has no retroactive obligations
5.
Before: The agreement contradicted Ukraine’s path toward EU accession (Mar 27, Yaroslav Zheleznyak).
After: The agreement complies with Ukraine’s Constitution and does not conflict with EU accession.
(Details of this point are not disclosed — possibly the U.S. no longer has “first rights” over Ukrainian resources, or the issue lies elsewhere.)
6.
Before: Ukraine paid 50% of CURRENT income from its resources (Mar 27, Yaroslav Zheleznyak).
After: Ukraine contributes 50% of income from NEW investments in resources, oil, and gas. All revenue from current resources remains unchanged
7.
Targeted and limited changes are allowed. The agreement must be ratified by the Verkhovna Rada.
8.
The U.S. will help attract additional investments and technology. The fund is managed by the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC).
9.
The agreement provides tax guarantees. Income and contributions to the Fund are exempt from taxation.
There is also a sub-clause allowing Fund contributions not only in cash but also in the equivalent value of new weapons delivered to Ukraine (though this is not guaranteed).
Ukraine is also negotiating a ban on withdrawing funds from the Fund during the first 10 years — meaning the profits would be reinvested in new projects instead of being pocketed.
❗️Massive attack by strike UAVs on Odessa on the night of 30.04 to 01.05.25.
Two people are known to have died. Five people were injured, three of whom are hospitalized.
Hitting residential high-rise buildings, private homes, a supermarket, a school.
Fires have broken out in various areas. Some of the affected houses have no connection with their residents. The elimination of the consequences is ongoing, rescuers and emergency services are working.
Two people are known to have died. Five people were injured, three of whom are hospitalized.
Hitting residential high-rise buildings, private homes, a supermarket, a school.
Fires have broken out in various areas. Some of the affected houses have no connection with their residents. The elimination of the consequences is ongoing, rescuers and emergency services are working.