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OSINT / Mapping / Weapon ID / Analysis.
Gaza-Iran-Israel.
Co-Owner of t.me/GeoPWatch
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There is so much happening at the same time, all the time, that it is practically impossible to keep up with. That is paired with the intense fog of war which makes matters times more difficult.
๐Ÿซก2
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Intense footage of a low-altitude flying USAF "MQ-9" UAV engaging and destroying a TEL using a "AGM-114" shortly after a BM launch in Iran's Shiraz.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - In my assessmentโ€ฆ
If Hezbollah does not conduct effective missile/rocket attacks on Israel, which is entirely dependant on its ability of overcoming IAF suppression + Lebanese state domination:

Then itโ€™s entry to this war might have been their worst strategic mistake. And that is because, it ensures the IDF the start of a war to the very end of Hezbollah, as it is doing with Iran.

Though of course, there is very little chance it was uncoordinated and un-calculated. If it had successfully rebuilt itโ€™s missile & artillery force and was able to overcome the dozen other restraints, then it will be capable of actively dispersing the IAF slightly relieving Iranโ€™s airspace.

Plus, it signals that Hezbollah indeed sees an existential threat on Iran amidst Operation โ€œRoar of the Lionโ€ & โ€œEpic Furyโ€, thus itโ€™s participation is absolutely necessary for its survival
.

Will this escalate to another ground invasion of Lebanon?
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โค6
Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)
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#NEW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The CENTCOM has confirmed the use of "B-1B Lancer" Strategic Bombers, striking ballistic missile targets "deep inside Iran", publishing footage of its take-off.

๐Ÿ“ The CENTCOM has quoted Donald Trump, stating:
we're going to destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground.

The USAF's 3 "B-1B Lancer" bombers took off from CONUS's "Ellsworth" Airbase yesterday night.
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๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚2๐Ÿคฌ2๐Ÿ’”1
Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)
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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The IDF has published cockpit POV footage of an IAF "F-16D/I Viper" Fighter Jet performing evading maneuvers from multiple SAM launches by Iranian air defenses.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - 2 RJAF "F-16AM Viper" Fighter Jets performing CAP flights across Jordan's Amman, armed with "AIM-9L/M" AAM, "AIM-120C" AMRAAMs & "AN/AAQ-33 Sniper" ATP.
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๐Ÿคฌ3
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Despite Operations "Epic Fury" & Operation "Roar of the Lion" commencing, USAF deployment have not ceased for a day.

6 "KC-135R" Tanker Aircrafts dragging 12 "F-35A" Stealth Fighter Jets to the CENTCOM from the United Kingdom's "RAF Mildenhall" Airbase
.
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Percy's Archive
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Despite Operations "Epic Fury" & Operation "Roar of the Lion" commencing, USAF deployment have not ceased for a day. 6 "KC-135R" Tanker Aircrafts dragging 12 "F-35A" Stealth Fighter Jets to the CENTCOM from the United Kingdom's "RAF Mildenhall"โ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Yesterday, 10 "KC-135" Tanker Aircrafts were deployed to Saudi Arabia's "Prince Sultan" Airbase.

16 more landed in the United States 'Maine' "Bangor" Air National Guard Base, pre-positioned for further CORONET deployments.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Interestingly, a "E-11A" BACN is currently airborne and loitering eastern Saudi Arabia after taking off from the "Prince Sultan" Airbase.

Several AWACS and ISR flights, including the "E-3B Sentry" AWACS from Tรผrkiye, during the operation were also visible on ADB-S in the past days.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The shooting down of an IAF "HERMES-900" UAV by Iranian "358" SAM today.

Dozens of IAF UAV's have been shot down in Iran's airspace.
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โค4
Percy's Archive
Will this escalate to another ground invasion of Lebanon?
It didn't take so long for the decision to be made, expect IDF ground movements in Lebanon very soon.
Percy's Archive
It didn't take so long for the decision to be made, expect IDF ground movements in Lebanon very soon.
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Pre-emptive ground action by Hezbollah.

The targeting of 4 tanks since the afternoon across sectors of southern Lebanon with the border with Israel.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The CENTCOM has published more footage of the USAF targeting proclaimed TELs in Iran during Operation "Epic Fury".

However, the first truck does not resemble a TEL, though it is possibly a "SHAHED-136" UAV truck launcher. The second is an already destroyed and launched "Zolghavar" MRBM Dual-launcher, and so is the third.

Strange munition expenditure choices.
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๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚3
Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)
#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - The IRGC has attacked the US Consulate in the UAE's city of Dubai.

๐Ÿ“ Coordinates:
25ยฐ15'49.58"N 55ยฐ18'43.89"E
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๐Ÿ˜5
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - A USAF "MH-60R" of the "Helicopter Maritime Strike Squadron 71 (Raptors)" armed with 8 "AGM-114" missiles, taking off the "USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72)" Carrier to participate in Operation "Epic Fury".
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The CENTCOM has published footage of the USAF targeting and destroying "SHAHED-136" UAVs in sites and others ready to launch using supposed "GBU-38" JDAMs in western Iran.
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