On the latest episode of Restoring Order, I interviewed an Afrikaner activist to find out what, aside from refugee resettlement, the Trump administration can do to help his people.
https://www.patrickcasey.com/p/how-trump-can-help-the-afrikaners
https://www.patrickcasey.com/p/how-trump-can-help-the-afrikaners
Patrickcasey
How Trump Can Help the Afrikaners ft. Conscious Caracal
Restoring Order - EP 328
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In Trump’s first term we struck Iran and took out Soleimani, so I would be surprised if we didn’t drop a few bombs on Iran or lend Israel a B2 before this ends. To be clear, I do not want that level of US involvement. But predictions of a ground invasion a la Iraq are delusional.
So far, Trump has done a good job of limiting US involvement. We’ll see if that changes. But those wary of such involvement are better off making sound arguments against the US bombing Iran than shrieking about boots on the ground.
I am a little concerned about the prospect of regime change. While I’m no fan of the mullahs and think the Iranian people would be better off with a secular right-wing government, regime change is an incredibly complicated and involved undertaking, even if there’s no ground invasion.
Best case scenario: This wraps up soon without direct US involvement. Iran takes a deal w/ no enrichment & its nuclear facilities are greatly damaged. I doubt the mullahs are peaceful in the long run, but there’s always the possibility their regime collapses on its own.
Worst case scenario: US becomes directly involved, terrorist attacks across the West, attacks on US bases abroad, eventually Iranian regime collapses and we’re stuck trying to foster a new regime in the country. I rate this as unlikely but impossible. Still, good to be aware of the risks.
So far, Trump has done a good job of limiting US involvement. We’ll see if that changes. But those wary of such involvement are better off making sound arguments against the US bombing Iran than shrieking about boots on the ground.
I am a little concerned about the prospect of regime change. While I’m no fan of the mullahs and think the Iranian people would be better off with a secular right-wing government, regime change is an incredibly complicated and involved undertaking, even if there’s no ground invasion.
Best case scenario: This wraps up soon without direct US involvement. Iran takes a deal w/ no enrichment & its nuclear facilities are greatly damaged. I doubt the mullahs are peaceful in the long run, but there’s always the possibility their regime collapses on its own.
Worst case scenario: US becomes directly involved, terrorist attacks across the West, attacks on US bases abroad, eventually Iranian regime collapses and we’re stuck trying to foster a new regime in the country. I rate this as unlikely but impossible. Still, good to be aware of the risks.
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Trump is increasing his share of college voters.
In 2016, only 36% college grads went for Trump. Among white college grads, the percent was slightly higher (38%). But in 2020, Trump won 37% of college grads and 42% of college whites. Interestingly, the Dems also increased their share of the college vote (57% in 2016 to 61% in 2020), suggesting diminished third party appeal amid the chaos and polarization of 2020.
In 2024, college grads went 57-41 for Biden – the smallest margin among this demographic for the Dems since the pre-Trump days. Trump also won slightly more (1%) college whites than in 2020.
This is a positive development. While some in MAGA deride a college education – and those who obtain one – it is still a prerequisite many important professions. This doesn't mean that people with college degrees are inherently "better" than those without them, just that MAGA is worse off if it alienates doctors, lawyers, etc.
Fortunately, we don't need to choose. Trump also increased his share of the non-college vote by three points (56% in 2024 vs 53% in 2020). This is also a positive development, and it reveals that Trump can win over different groups with the right message – and that winning over the working class isn't mutually exclusive with winning over educated people.
In 2016, only 36% college grads went for Trump. Among white college grads, the percent was slightly higher (38%). But in 2020, Trump won 37% of college grads and 42% of college whites. Interestingly, the Dems also increased their share of the college vote (57% in 2016 to 61% in 2020), suggesting diminished third party appeal amid the chaos and polarization of 2020.
In 2024, college grads went 57-41 for Biden – the smallest margin among this demographic for the Dems since the pre-Trump days. Trump also won slightly more (1%) college whites than in 2020.
This is a positive development. While some in MAGA deride a college education – and those who obtain one – it is still a prerequisite many important professions. This doesn't mean that people with college degrees are inherently "better" than those without them, just that MAGA is worse off if it alienates doctors, lawyers, etc.
Fortunately, we don't need to choose. Trump also increased his share of the non-college vote by three points (56% in 2024 vs 53% in 2020). This is also a positive development, and it reveals that Trump can win over different groups with the right message – and that winning over the working class isn't mutually exclusive with winning over educated people.
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