What were the odds?

> 🇺🇸 MC-130 can't make it back
> Air-strike ordered to destroy it & any important tech.
> Its most interesting component, the LAIRCM, is not destroyed and falls into Iranian hands...

That unidentified one-way-attack drone re-appeared in a fishing net

➡️ It is suspected to be a simplified variant of the 🇮🇱 Orbiter
A stealthy blended/flying wing design which probably works together with Hermes-900 which acts as the SATCOM relay & stand-off surveillance element

⏱️ At this point the U.S. is under economic siege
➡️ A time-critical one (Hormuz)

For all these years it was Iran who was under economic siege

Trump started a war he can't win militarily, with full responsibility towards world economy, to which its own economy is interwoven...

🇺🇸 Trump's blockade & its dynamics:

- He got out of his "Powerplant & Bridge Day" ultimatum

- China-linked ships do most of the current traffic at the Strait of Hormuz

- China can rein-in Iran to some extend by limiting provision of satellite-intel targeting data

- But China can also provide targeting data on USN vessles, if China-linked tankers are attacked by 🇺🇸

- Dramatic impact on Global energy prices will show themselves almost immediately before any blockade effects are felt in Iran ⏱️

- Iran's supplies & self-suffciency allow it to sit this out much less affected than the Persian Gulf Arab countries and the World ⏱️

➡️ This is another non-starter

We probably will never know how many U.S. helicopters & drones were destroyed on the ground by Iran in OTP-4

Especially non-flyable aircraft inside maintenance hangars

We have some hints, like the 🇮🇹 MQ-9 hit inside its hangar

➡️ But such losses won't be admitted anytime soon