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Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.
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The India-EU semiconductor alliance is not short on ambition. Where it has scope to improve is in building the institutional machinery to convert that ambition into investment. The Towards 2030 Agenda, similar to its predecessors, has bold objectives but has yet to establish the mechanisms required to implement them.

Read: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/redesigning-the-india-eu-semiconductor-partnership-for-industrial-impact
This brief highlights Chinese strategic debates reflecting uncertainty over whether the US is declining or adapting its dominance amid intensifying rivalry with China. Given this dilemma, India would be well advised to monitor this high-stakes rivalry closely. Want to know more?

Read here: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/decline-or-resurgence-china-debates-the-future-of-us-power
The Strait of Hormuz crisis and divergent Iran policies have intensified the US–Europe tensions. Europe must use its power to present a united front, which is the only option that will ensure its credibility on the world stage. The pause in conflict offers a window to diversify energy supplies, shape peace efforts, and act collectively to strengthen geopolitical credibility and resilience.

Read more: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/iran-ceasefire-offers-europe-a-chance-to-regroup
Renewed criticism of NATO by Donald Trump signals potential erosion of US commitment. The central question is not simply whether the US will remain within the alliance, but what kind of ally it intends to be?

Read the brief to understant the global repercussions from the uncertain NATO: https://www.orfonline.org/research/trump-vs-nato-a-rift-with-global-repercussions
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Isolation from the West has forced Russia to reach out to the Global South, its trade with India on a remarkable rise driven by increased imports primarily of crude oil. This brief examines the current status of and potential for Russian investment in India, identifying areas and mechanisms of economic cooperation alongside existing challenges to promoting bilateral ties.

Read: https://www.orfonline.org/research/mapping-russian-investment-in-india
Following the escalation of Operation Epic Fury and the seismic shifts in Tehran’s leadership, Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Khatibzadeh argues that Iran has been pushed into a corner where diplomatic maneuvering has been replaced by the necessity of survival.

Watch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mgvC6IZyz6w
A breakdown of talks would likely trigger a resumption of hostilities, pushing up prices and amplifying global inflationary pressures. This brief explores whether incremental diplomacy can arrest a cycle of escalation that has proven remarkably resilient thus far.

Read: https://www.orfonline.org/research/the-structural-challenge-to-us-iran-ceasefire
For Nepal, developing a relationship with China has both economic and strategic dimensions. The deepening of economic ties is also seen as feeding into Kathmandu’s strategic positioning—seeking to reduce reliance on New Delhi and, in turn, hedge its bets between its two neighbours.

Read to learn Nepal's balancing game: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/nepal-s-political-reset-and-the-limits-of-change-in-nepal-china-ties
This report highlights the deep complementarities and converging interests between India and Thailand, and identifies 5 top priorities for both sides—semiconductors; artificial intelligence; automotives; Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs); and tourism.

Read: https://www.orfonline.org/research/india-and-thailand-the-compelling-case-for-a-deeper-compact
Can India meditate? As global power shifts beyond the Cold War binary, can India balance ties with Russia and the US to shape a viable triangular framework in a fluid geopolitical order?

Watch Alexander A. Dynkin, Matthew Foldi, Harsh V Pant and Cary Johnston discuss: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-FoMBfbvRZs
For now, the US-Iran Ceasefire is not an endgame - it is merely the next move in a much longer strategic contest.

Read this brief to understand how this conflict serves as a reminder of the limits of coercion in addressing deeply embedded geopolitical rivalries: https://www.orfonline.org/research/the-us-iran-ceasefire-a-calibrated-pause
Strengthening relations with Malaysia, a key ASEAN member, secures India’s interests and can generate positive effects for India’s engagement with other ASEAN nations, further enhancing its position in the Indo-Pacific. Malaysia’s expanded role in India’s Act East policy supports these objectives.

Read more here: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/malaysia-s-growing-significance-in-india-s-act-east-policy
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, accompanied by multiple Iranian attacks on QatarEnergy’s Ras Laffan Industrial City, has posed a significant risk to global helium supply.

Read to know how the Iran war has disrupted global Helium supply chain and how it will impact the memory chip manufacturing: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/has-the-iran-war-triggered-another-semiconductor-crisis