📊 FII Long-Short Ratio – 5th Aug ’25 Update
Understanding Market Sentiment with Smart Data 📈
🔍 1. What is FII Long-Short Ratio (LSR)?
• LSR shows the % of FII positions that are long (bullish)
• LSR > 50% ➜ Bullish sentiment
• LSR < 50% ➜ Bearish or neutral stance
🚀 2. Sustained LSR > 50% = Short-Term Rallies
When LSR stays above 50%, Nifty often moves into a short-term uptrend, signaling institutional confidence
⚠️ 3. LSR < 50% = Caution Zone
A drop below 50% means FIIs are holding more short positions, often leading to consolidation or corrections
💡 Pro Tip: Watch for Divergence 🔄
🟥 If Nifty is rising but LSR is falling ➜ Loss of conviction = possible pullback
📉 Example: 6th to 12th Dec '24
🟩 If Nifty is falling but LSR is rising ➜ Bullish divergence = possible rebound
📈 Example: 20th to 27th Jan '25
🧠 Stay ahead by tracking sentiment – not just price!
Understanding Market Sentiment with Smart Data 📈
🔍 1. What is FII Long-Short Ratio (LSR)?
• LSR shows the % of FII positions that are long (bullish)
• LSR > 50% ➜ Bullish sentiment
• LSR < 50% ➜ Bearish or neutral stance
🚀 2. Sustained LSR > 50% = Short-Term Rallies
When LSR stays above 50%, Nifty often moves into a short-term uptrend, signaling institutional confidence
⚠️ 3. LSR < 50% = Caution Zone
A drop below 50% means FIIs are holding more short positions, often leading to consolidation or corrections
💡 Pro Tip: Watch for Divergence 🔄
🟥 If Nifty is rising but LSR is falling ➜ Loss of conviction = possible pullback
📉 Example: 6th to 12th Dec '24
🟩 If Nifty is falling but LSR is rising ➜ Bullish divergence = possible rebound
📈 Example: 20th to 27th Jan '25
🧠 Stay ahead by tracking sentiment – not just price!
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Index contribution decoding simplified
Nifty – 7th Aug’25
📉 1. Index Weak Despite Only -0.60% Drop
• Declines dominate (44 stocks) contributing -154.13 points vs. just 6 advances adding +3.53 points indicating broad based negative sentiment.
🔻 2. Few Heavyweights Causing the Fall
• RELIANCE (-19.35 pts), ICICIBANK (-14.97 pts), INFY (-10.22 pts), and BHARTIARTL (-8.70 pts) are the top draggers.
• These 4 stocks alone pull down the index by over -53 points, showing how weightage overrides breadth.
📊 3. Graph Pattern Shows Persistent Bearishness
• The red Declines line remains well above the green Advances line all session long.
⚠️ 4. Advances Contribute Too Little
• Advancers like HEROMOTOCO (+1.85 pts) and HDFCLIFE (+0.55 pts) are not index movers.
• Their combined point contribution is negligible compared to the large negative pulls from the declining side.
📉 5. Price Line Tracks the Decline Curve
• The price trend line (gray) closely follows the declines curve, confirming that the fall is driven by high-weighted losers.
🏦 6. Sectoral Weakness: IT, Banking, and Energy
• IT (INFY, TCS), Banking (ICICIBANK, KOTAKBANK), and Energy (RELIANCE) — all high-weight sectors — are dragging the index.
Nifty – 7th Aug’25
📉 1. Index Weak Despite Only -0.60% Drop
• Declines dominate (44 stocks) contributing -154.13 points vs. just 6 advances adding +3.53 points indicating broad based negative sentiment.
🔻 2. Few Heavyweights Causing the Fall
• RELIANCE (-19.35 pts), ICICIBANK (-14.97 pts), INFY (-10.22 pts), and BHARTIARTL (-8.70 pts) are the top draggers.
• These 4 stocks alone pull down the index by over -53 points, showing how weightage overrides breadth.
📊 3. Graph Pattern Shows Persistent Bearishness
• The red Declines line remains well above the green Advances line all session long.
⚠️ 4. Advances Contribute Too Little
• Advancers like HEROMOTOCO (+1.85 pts) and HDFCLIFE (+0.55 pts) are not index movers.
• Their combined point contribution is negligible compared to the large negative pulls from the declining side.
📉 5. Price Line Tracks the Decline Curve
• The price trend line (gray) closely follows the declines curve, confirming that the fall is driven by high-weighted losers.
🏦 6. Sectoral Weakness: IT, Banking, and Energy
• IT (INFY, TCS), Banking (ICICIBANK, KOTAKBANK), and Energy (RELIANCE) — all high-weight sectors — are dragging the index.
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📍 Nifty 50 Market Snapshot
🗓 13 Aug 2025
📊 OI Bars Analysis:
🔸 Strong resistance at 24600 CE - heavy Call OI buildup
🔸 Solid support at 24500 PE - heavy Put OI buildup
→ Nifty likely to stay rangebound between 24500 - 24600 for now.
📉 Index Contribution Breakdown:
✅ While 38 stocks advanced, the gains were widely spread across midweights.
❌ Major drag came from a few heavyweights in the decline list - ICICI Bank, ITC, AxisBank, and IndusIndBank.
→ Net effect: Index stayed flat despite broad market strength.
📈 Price Action Insight:
Nifty price hovered within a tight range, repeatedly getting rejected at 24600
Until OI shifts or a breakout occurs, it's best to trade within the 24500–24600 zone with caution.
🧠 Stay sharp. Let OI lead your decisions.
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🗓 13 Aug 2025
📊 OI Bars Analysis:
🔸 Strong resistance at 24600 CE - heavy Call OI buildup
🔸 Solid support at 24500 PE - heavy Put OI buildup
→ Nifty likely to stay rangebound between 24500 - 24600 for now.
📉 Index Contribution Breakdown:
✅ While 38 stocks advanced, the gains were widely spread across midweights.
❌ Major drag came from a few heavyweights in the decline list - ICICI Bank, ITC, AxisBank, and IndusIndBank.
→ Net effect: Index stayed flat despite broad market strength.
📈 Price Action Insight:
Nifty price hovered within a tight range, repeatedly getting rejected at 24600
Until OI shifts or a breakout occurs, it's best to trade within the 24500–24600 zone with caution.
🧠 Stay sharp. Let OI lead your decisions.
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📍 Sideways Expiry Day - Nifty 50
🗓 14 Aug 2025
📈 Chart View:
Nifty hovered between 24600 – 24650 throughout the session.
🔸 OI Bars confirm this — heavy resistance at 24650 CE and support at 24600 PE.
🔸 Supertrend Indicator was crisscrossing candles all day, showing no momentum or follow-through on either side a textbook sideways market.
📊 Futures OI: Mixed Signals
From Long Build-Up to Short Build-Up, and even Long Unwinding, the OI Interpretation was mixed.
🔀 Trending OI:
🔸 Both Call and Put writers were actively adding OI on both the sides.
🔸 Their battle created a perfect expiry trap no breakout, just balancing the index in a narrow zone.
💡 Takeaway:
Perfect day for sellers and classic expiry trap for option buyers. better stay away as we are getting into the market closing!
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🗓 14 Aug 2025
📈 Chart View:
Nifty hovered between 24600 – 24650 throughout the session.
🔸 OI Bars confirm this — heavy resistance at 24650 CE and support at 24600 PE.
🔸 Supertrend Indicator was crisscrossing candles all day, showing no momentum or follow-through on either side a textbook sideways market.
📊 Futures OI: Mixed Signals
From Long Build-Up to Short Build-Up, and even Long Unwinding, the OI Interpretation was mixed.
🔀 Trending OI:
🔸 Both Call and Put writers were actively adding OI on both the sides.
🔸 Their battle created a perfect expiry trap no breakout, just balancing the index in a narrow zone.
💡 Takeaway:
Perfect day for sellers and classic expiry trap for option buyers. better stay away as we are getting into the market closing!
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📊 Nifty 50 – Daily Chart Update
✅ Strong breakout from the falling channel after multiple attempts.
✅ Price reclaimed 24,900+ zone with momentum.
✅ Previous support around 24,450 – 24,500 has held well.
✅ Next hurdle sits near 25,200 – 25,250 zone.
✅ Sustained move above could open the path toward 25,500+.
✅ Strong breakout from the falling channel after multiple attempts.
✅ Price reclaimed 24,900+ zone with momentum.
✅ Previous support around 24,450 – 24,500 has held well.
✅ Next hurdle sits near 25,200 – 25,250 zone.
✅ Sustained move above could open the path toward 25,500+.
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