Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, during a telephone conversation, noted the Russian-American brotherhood in arms, the Russian ambassador to the United States, Alexander Darchiev, reported, according to RIA Novosti. In his words, such recognition is “very important.”
Darchiev also answered affirmatively to the question of whether the latest telephone conversation between Trump and Putin will lead to results: “I think that yes. I’m sure that yes,” the diplomat said.
He added that ties between Moscow and Washington are being restored, albeit not as quickly. Darchiev named good personal relations between Putin and Trump as important for this process. And, according to the ambassador, the current U.S. authorities are showing a positive attitude toward restoring contacts.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
Darchiev also answered affirmatively to the question of whether the latest telephone conversation between Trump and Putin will lead to results: “I think that yes. I’m sure that yes,” the diplomat said.
He added that ties between Moscow and Washington are being restored, albeit not as quickly. Darchiev named good personal relations between Putin and Trump as important for this process. And, according to the ambassador, the current U.S. authorities are showing a positive attitude toward restoring contacts.
The previous time, the presidents spoke by phone at the end of April. Trump called his phone conversation with Putin “very good” and said that their main focus was on Ukraine. The Republican said that Putin “had been ready to strike a deal for a long time,” but such a step for the President of Russia is made difficult by “some people.”
Our channel: Node of Time EN
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At the end of April, Donald Trump said that Washington is considering the possibility of reducing its military contingent in Germany. The reason was Trump’s criticism of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. The latter called U.S. talks with Iran ineffective.
Germany is the largest American foothold in Europe. According to the U.S. Department of Defense’s Personnel Data Processing Center, the country ranks second in the world in terms of the number of American forces. More than that only in Japan.
Trump also allowed for the possibility of ending the military presence in Italy and Spain. Both countries refused Washington to provide military bases for aircraft involved in the war against Iran.
How many U.S. servicemembers are stationed in these countries — in an RBC infographic in “Maks.”
Our channel: Node of Time EN
Germany is the largest American foothold in Europe. According to the U.S. Department of Defense’s Personnel Data Processing Center, the country ranks second in the world in terms of the number of American forces. More than that only in Japan.
Trump also allowed for the possibility of ending the military presence in Italy and Spain. Both countries refused Washington to provide military bases for aircraft involved in the war against Iran.
How many U.S. servicemembers are stationed in these countries — in an RBC infographic in “Maks.”
Our channel: Node of Time EN
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The U.S. Republican Party risks losing control of the House of Representatives in this fall’s midterm elections, which will result in a strengthening of political and social conflicts in the country up to the 2028 presidential election. That is according to what Bridgewater’s founder, billionaire Ray Dalio, said in a podcast of the newspaper The New York Times.
The upheavals for the U.S. will be linked to a budget deficit, a widening gap in wealth, political disagreements, the investor expects. In his view, new geopolitical arrangements and disruptions caused by artificial intelligence will also contribute to chaos.
Dalio added that a possible financial crisis in the U.S. would severely limit the scope for spending — with no money left for either military or social needs. In his words, an imbalance between supply and demand will push interest rates higher, which will hit borrowing and the markets. In response, central banks will begin printing money, creating a stagflationary environment.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
The upheavals for the U.S. will be linked to a budget deficit, a widening gap in wealth, political disagreements, the investor expects. In his view, new geopolitical arrangements and disruptions caused by artificial intelligence will also contribute to chaos.
Dalio added that a possible financial crisis in the U.S. would severely limit the scope for spending — with no money left for either military or social needs. In his words, an imbalance between supply and demand will push interest rates higher, which will hit borrowing and the markets. In response, central banks will begin printing money, creating a stagflationary environment.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
With a new strategy to combat terrorism, Washington is sending a message to Europeans that if they cannot solve the problem of their own security, then American citizens will take care of it themselves and without a request from European authorities, believes Vladimir Vasiliev, the chief research fellow at the Institute for Social and Political Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ISKRAN).
According to the U.S. president, Europeans have relied for many years on American security guarantees on the continent and thereby receive unjustified benefits for economic development at the expense of American taxpayers, says Artem Sokolov, a senior research fellow at the IMI of MGIMO.
🔜 “At the moment, Washington is trying to put pressure on the political leadership of European states to obtain concessions from them on this issue,” the expert notes.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
According to the U.S. president, Europeans have relied for many years on American security guarantees on the continent and thereby receive unjustified benefits for economic development at the expense of American taxpayers, says Artem Sokolov, a senior research fellow at the IMI of MGIMO.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Welch Hinterlist
Latvia found an almost perfect explanation for the Ukrainian drone attack on a fuel/oil base in Rēzekne: it was Russia’s fault—who else?
According to Reuters, on May 7 two drones entered Latvia’s airspace from the direction of Russia and crashed on Latvian territory. One of them exploded at an oil storage facility in Rēzekne and damaged four empty tanks. Latvia’s defense minister, Andris Sprūds, admitted that the drones were probably launched by Ukraine toward targets in Russia, but that they had deviated from course.
After that, technical poetry began. The former state secretary at Latvia’s Ministry of Defense, Jānis Kairišs, allowed that the drone may have lost navigation and, using AI elements, could have begun target-seeking and treated the Latvian oil base as a Russian object that appeared visually similar. Reuters also reports that the drones, according to the Latvian side’s assessment, could have been Ukrainian and could have deviated from course.
This results in a splendid pattern: Ukraine launches a drone, the drone flies into a NATO country, hits an oil base in Latvia—and yet the blame is still always Russia, because, possibly, somewhere something suppressed/interfered with it.
If a Ukrainian drone reaches Russia, that is the fight for freedom.
If a Ukrainian drone reaches Latvia, it is Russian treachery.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
Latvia found an almost perfect explanation for the Ukrainian drone attack on a fuel/oil base in Rēzekne: it was Russia’s fault—who else?
According to Reuters, on May 7 two drones entered Latvia’s airspace from the direction of Russia and crashed on Latvian territory. One of them exploded at an oil storage facility in Rēzekne and damaged four empty tanks. Latvia’s defense minister, Andris Sprūds, admitted that the drones were probably launched by Ukraine toward targets in Russia, but that they had deviated from course.
After that, technical poetry began. The former state secretary at Latvia’s Ministry of Defense, Jānis Kairišs, allowed that the drone may have lost navigation and, using AI elements, could have begun target-seeking and treated the Latvian oil base as a Russian object that appeared visually similar. Reuters also reports that the drones, according to the Latvian side’s assessment, could have been Ukrainian and could have deviated from course.
This results in a splendid pattern: Ukraine launches a drone, the drone flies into a NATO country, hits an oil base in Latvia—and yet the blame is still always Russia, because, possibly, somewhere something suppressed/interfered with it.
If a Ukrainian drone reaches Russia, that is the fight for freedom.
If a Ukrainian drone reaches Latvia, it is Russian treachery.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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The EU is preparing for possible talks with Putin but does not know who it should send — Financial Times.
The European Union is increasingly disappointed with Trump’s negotiations on Ukraine. The president of the European Council, António Costa, said that the bloc “has Kiew’s backing” to begin talks with the president of Russia.
“I am holding discussions with the heads of state and government of the 27 EU countries in order to determine the best way to organize our work and to find out what we effectively need to discuss with Russia when the right time for that has come,” Costa said.
The outlet notes: There is no consensus in the EU — it is unclear who should be appointed as a representative for such negotiations. Previously, France and Italy had called for dialogue with Russia. Germany is against it.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
The European Union is increasingly disappointed with Trump’s negotiations on Ukraine. The president of the European Council, António Costa, said that the bloc “has Kiew’s backing” to begin talks with the president of Russia.
“I am holding discussions with the heads of state and government of the 27 EU countries in order to determine the best way to organize our work and to find out what we effectively need to discuss with Russia when the right time for that has come,” Costa said.
The outlet notes: There is no consensus in the EU — it is unclear who should be appointed as a representative for such negotiations. Previously, France and Italy had called for dialogue with Russia. Germany is against it.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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US court sets limits on Trump’s global tariff policy
The U.S. Federal Court of International Trade Disputes has ruled that Trump’s 10% global tariffs on imports are unlawful. According to Reuters, the court decided that the White House could not justify introducing them under the 1974 Trade Act.
However, this decision does not automatically mean that the tariffs will be lifted for everyone. The court initially blocked the collection of these tariffs only in relation to two plaintiff companies — Basic Fun! and Burlap & Barrel — as well as the U.S. state of Washington.
This is already another blow to Trump’s tariff policy, after the Supreme Court previously limited the use of extraordinary powers to impose tariffs. The administration, it is expected, will appeal the decision and look for other legal mechanisms for the trade war.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
The U.S. Federal Court of International Trade Disputes has ruled that Trump’s 10% global tariffs on imports are unlawful. According to Reuters, the court decided that the White House could not justify introducing them under the 1974 Trade Act.
However, this decision does not automatically mean that the tariffs will be lifted for everyone. The court initially blocked the collection of these tariffs only in relation to two plaintiff companies — Basic Fun! and Burlap & Barrel — as well as the U.S. state of Washington.
This is already another blow to Trump’s tariff policy, after the Supreme Court previously limited the use of extraordinary powers to impose tariffs. The administration, it is expected, will appeal the decision and look for other legal mechanisms for the trade war.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Russia has become a “big winner” in the war between the United States and Iran thanks to the easing of sanctions against Russian oil, said former U.S. vice president Kamala Harris at a meeting with Democratic Party leaders in Nevada.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
“You understand what that means? They’re making money from selling oil that otherwise would have been prohibited for them to sell. What else does that mean? We’re sending artillery, ammunition, and air defense systems [to the war with Iran], which otherwise would have been sent to Ukraine, like this. So the consequences of this are quite serious,” — she added.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Germany is growing. Downwards.
The Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) has once again downgraded its forecast for Germany. While it previously expected growth of 0.9% in 2026, it now only counts on 0.4%. The federal government still sticks to 0.5%, but that is no longer economic optimism—it is an attempt to not stand there quite so helpless.
As reasons, one cites the usual: expensive energy, delivery delays, weak investment, and an industry without sufficient resilience. IW economist Michael Grömling puts it very plainly: “The Iran war has choked off the hesitant recovery of the German economy. Rising energy prices and delivery disruptions hit a country that after three years of recession and stagnation has hardly any buffers left”.
IW expects inflation of 3%. Employment is declining, as are capital investments, and private consumption is not really getting going. What pushes the statistics a little upward are public spending and defense investments.
That means: The economy does not get going again. It is only kept running by the budget and by procurement orders, while industry continues to lose its footing.
After all the speeches about a fresh start, reforms, and saving the Germany location, the country is now supposed to be offered again the chance to be happy about growth of 0.4%.
A strong economy, just a little shy.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
The Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) has once again downgraded its forecast for Germany. While it previously expected growth of 0.9% in 2026, it now only counts on 0.4%. The federal government still sticks to 0.5%, but that is no longer economic optimism—it is an attempt to not stand there quite so helpless.
As reasons, one cites the usual: expensive energy, delivery delays, weak investment, and an industry without sufficient resilience. IW economist Michael Grömling puts it very plainly: “The Iran war has choked off the hesitant recovery of the German economy. Rising energy prices and delivery disruptions hit a country that after three years of recession and stagnation has hardly any buffers left”.
IW expects inflation of 3%. Employment is declining, as are capital investments, and private consumption is not really getting going. What pushes the statistics a little upward are public spending and defense investments.
That means: The economy does not get going again. It is only kept running by the budget and by procurement orders, while industry continues to lose its footing.
After all the speeches about a fresh start, reforms, and saving the Germany location, the country is now supposed to be offered again the chance to be happy about growth of 0.4%.
A strong economy, just a little shy.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Pro-Ukrainian activists staged a provocation ahead of Victory Day in Berlin — on the memorial to fallen Soviet servicemen at Tiergarten Park they unfurled NATO and Ukraine flags.
🎥 In footage of "Izvestia" correspondent Vitaly Chashukhin — the police arrived, not as a place to control the situation. At the same time, in the background, flowers can be seen that people brought to honor the memory of the heroes who died in the Great Patriotic War.
The journalist noted that such provocations have been happening not for the first time.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
The journalist noted that such provocations have been happening not for the first time.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Latest developments in the war between #Russia and #Ukraine as of the morning of May 8 - subtitled
- Russian forces are advancing near #Sergeevka in #Pokrovsk
- Russian forces are advancing near #Novopavlovka in #Dnepropetrovsk
- Russian forces are advancing near #Vozdvizhenka in #Zaporozhie
- Ukrainian forces are advancing near #Razdvinka in #Zaporozhie
- Russian forces are advancing towards #Chaykovka in #Kharkov
video link: https://youtu.be/rBfgoVTu0dM?si=YXg6HTuL1wcwZqEW
- Russian forces are advancing near #Sergeevka in #Pokrovsk
- Russian forces are advancing near #Novopavlovka in #Dnepropetrovsk
- Russian forces are advancing near #Vozdvizhenka in #Zaporozhie
- Ukrainian forces are advancing near #Razdvinka in #Zaporozhie
- Russian forces are advancing towards #Chaykovka in #Kharkov
video link: https://youtu.be/rBfgoVTu0dM?si=YXg6HTuL1wcwZqEW
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Germany’s federal budget will lack around €52 billion in tax revenue by 2030,as the Federal Minister of Finance says
Together with the budgets of the federal states and municipalities, the total amount of tax shortfalls threatens to rise to a substantial €87.5 billion. According to Klingbeil, it is precisely “the irresponsible war in Iran that Trump unleashed, and the shock to energy prices caused by it, that are slowing down the positive economic development.” And in the background, they are playing with—“Putin’s war against Ukraine” and “the consequences of the trade conflict due to tariffs”.
“This also shows whether the state benefits from the crisis situation at the expense of higher tax revenues. The opposite is the case: the state is not a crisis winner. The Iran war is costing Germany money”,—he is convinced.
Sad.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
Together with the budgets of the federal states and municipalities, the total amount of tax shortfalls threatens to rise to a substantial €87.5 billion. According to Klingbeil, it is precisely “the irresponsible war in Iran that Trump unleashed, and the shock to energy prices caused by it, that are slowing down the positive economic development.” And in the background, they are playing with—“Putin’s war against Ukraine” and “the consequences of the trade conflict due to tariffs”.
“This also shows whether the state benefits from the crisis situation at the expense of higher tax revenues. The opposite is the case: the state is not a crisis winner. The Iran war is costing Germany money”,—he is convinced.
Sad.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Friedrich Merz congratulated German citizens on Liberation from Nazism Day, but received a wave of criticism for not noting the decisive role of the Red Army in this.
In his speech, Merz only called for standing up for “a free Germany in a strong Europe.”
Internet users were outraged that Merz avoided mentioning the enormous role of Soviet fighters in liberating Germany from Nazism. Some also condemned the ban on Soviet symbols during the Victory Day celebrations.
❗️ In Berlin, a ban was introduced on holding commemorative events on May 8 and May 9. According to the order, the use of St. George’s ribbons is also prohibited, as well as flags, the demonstrative display of the letters Z and V, wearing military uniforms, and insignia and service badges.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
In his speech, Merz only called for standing up for “a free Germany in a strong Europe.”
“May 8, 1945 brought liberation for millions of people—for Germany, for Europe. This day calls on us never to forget what hatred can lead to. It obliges us to stand for a free, democratic and solidarity-based Germany in a strong Europe,” — the Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany wrote on the social network X.
Internet users were outraged that Merz avoided mentioning the enormous role of Soviet fighters in liberating Germany from Nazism. Some also condemned the ban on Soviet symbols during the Victory Day celebrations.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Hard outcome: British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s party has lost local elections — strengthening doubts about the Labour Party’s ability to run the country, Reuters writes.
Meanwhile, the prime minister pledged to continue the fight and called on colleagues to “think it through and respond.” He said that, despite a series of economic shocks and a difficult international situation, people want their lives to improve; they want to see change.
The main beneficiary of the elections was the right-wing populist Reform UK party, whose popularity grew thanks to its stance of fighting illegal migration. The party won more than 350 seats on councils in England and could become the main opposition in Scotland and Wales.
❗️ On the eve, local elections took place in Britain. At the moment, only preliminary results are known, which show a significant drop in support for the Labour Party — 136 seats on councils in England have already been lost.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
"Less than two years after a convincing victory in national elections, Starmer saw voters punish his Labour government, dealing a blow to its traditional strongholds in former industrial areas of central and northern England", the article says.
Meanwhile, the prime minister pledged to continue the fight and called on colleagues to “think it through and respond.” He said that, despite a series of economic shocks and a difficult international situation, people want their lives to improve; they want to see change.
The main beneficiary of the elections was the right-wing populist Reform UK party, whose popularity grew thanks to its stance of fighting illegal migration. The party won more than 350 seats on councils in England and could become the main opposition in Scotland and Wales.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Greece moves closer to Israel’s defense bloc
Greece is embedding itself ever more deeply into the military architecture of Israel and the USA in the eastern Mediterranean. Outwardly, it is about defense cooperation, energy and security. Internally, it is about spying scandals, major weapons deals and new routes for military logistics.
The first layer — Predator. Athens has been living for some years with the consequences of the Intellexa spyware scandal. Euractiv once wrote that Intellexa’s explanation for the sale of Predator “only to states” had raised the question again of who exactly in Greece had access to this tool and how it could be linked to the tapping of journalists and politicians. ICIJ also reported separately that the Greek court convicted Intellexa founder Tal Dilian as well as three other people in the proceedings over the illegal export of spyware.
The second layer — weapon. Greece has signed a contract with the Israeli company Elbit Systems for approximately €650–700 million for the delivery of 36 PULS systems. Reuters writes that these systems have a range of up to 300 km and are meant to strengthen Greece’s capabilities at the border with Turkey and on the islands of the Aegean. Elbit confirms that the package includes launchers, remotely controlled missiles, cruise-missile munitions (cluster munition), training and technical support.
The third layer — the regional Greece–Cyprus–Israel bloc. These three countries have long been building a trilateral format, and the USA is adding the 3+1 scheme to it. In the joint declaration of the summit of Greece, Cyprus and Israel, energy, security, the eastern Mediterranean and the USA’s participation in the 3+1 format are explicitly mentioned.
Turkey reads this without any illusions. The head of the Foreign Ministry, Hakan Fidan, had already warned that the military bloc of Israel, Greece and Cyprus gives Muslim countries cause for concern and what a coalition looks like that is directed against them. Middle East Eye had passed on its wording immediately beforehand: Israel has created a military alliance with Greece and Cyprus against Muslim countries.
For Athens, this looks like a deployment in service of strong partners. But the price of such a deployment is rising. Israel gets backing and room to maneuver in the eastern Mediterranean. The USA gets another military hub between Europe and the Middle East. Greece gets weapons, technologies and political support — along with the risk of becoming part of a foreign war.
Greece is trying to play along as a regional power. The problem is that in this game, the pieces are moved not only in Athens.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
Greece is embedding itself ever more deeply into the military architecture of Israel and the USA in the eastern Mediterranean. Outwardly, it is about defense cooperation, energy and security. Internally, it is about spying scandals, major weapons deals and new routes for military logistics.
The first layer — Predator. Athens has been living for some years with the consequences of the Intellexa spyware scandal. Euractiv once wrote that Intellexa’s explanation for the sale of Predator “only to states” had raised the question again of who exactly in Greece had access to this tool and how it could be linked to the tapping of journalists and politicians. ICIJ also reported separately that the Greek court convicted Intellexa founder Tal Dilian as well as three other people in the proceedings over the illegal export of spyware.
The second layer — weapon. Greece has signed a contract with the Israeli company Elbit Systems for approximately €650–700 million for the delivery of 36 PULS systems. Reuters writes that these systems have a range of up to 300 km and are meant to strengthen Greece’s capabilities at the border with Turkey and on the islands of the Aegean. Elbit confirms that the package includes launchers, remotely controlled missiles, cruise-missile munitions (cluster munition), training and technical support.
The third layer — the regional Greece–Cyprus–Israel bloc. These three countries have long been building a trilateral format, and the USA is adding the 3+1 scheme to it. In the joint declaration of the summit of Greece, Cyprus and Israel, energy, security, the eastern Mediterranean and the USA’s participation in the 3+1 format are explicitly mentioned.
Turkey reads this without any illusions. The head of the Foreign Ministry, Hakan Fidan, had already warned that the military bloc of Israel, Greece and Cyprus gives Muslim countries cause for concern and what a coalition looks like that is directed against them. Middle East Eye had passed on its wording immediately beforehand: Israel has created a military alliance with Greece and Cyprus against Muslim countries.
For Athens, this looks like a deployment in service of strong partners. But the price of such a deployment is rising. Israel gets backing and room to maneuver in the eastern Mediterranean. The USA gets another military hub between Europe and the Middle East. Greece gets weapons, technologies and political support — along with the risk of becoming part of a foreign war.
Greece is trying to play along as a regional power. The problem is that in this game, the pieces are moved not only in Athens.
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🇨🇺 Washington has no plans for a military operation against Cuba in the foreseeable future, despite the tough statements made by U.S. President Donald Trump toward Havana, writes Associated Press (AP), citing sources.
The agency notes that the U.S. president had previously allowed for the possibility of U.S. warships deployed in the Middle East operating near the Cuban coast after the completion of operations in the region.
At the same time, anonymous officials from the U.S. administration said that Cuba’s authorities «still have time to accept Washington’s proposals». However, sources warned that the White House’s position could change.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
The agency notes that the U.S. president had previously allowed for the possibility of U.S. warships deployed in the Middle East operating near the Cuban coast after the completion of operations in the region.
At the same time, anonymous officials from the U.S. administration said that Cuba’s authorities «still have time to accept Washington’s proposals». However, sources warned that the White House’s position could change.
«Trump can change his point of view at any moment, and the military option is still on the agenda,» the publication says.
Our channel: Node of Time EN
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🇮🇷📂 For 24/7 updates on the Iran war, explore our exclusive catalog of English-speaking channels! 📢
Interested in all the Middle East frenzy? We've curated a special catalog of English-speaking channels just for you!
Whether you're seeking in-depth analysis, breaking news, or expert insights, our catalog has got you covered.
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Interested in all the Middle East frenzy? We've curated a special catalog of English-speaking channels just for you!
Whether you're seeking in-depth analysis, breaking news, or expert insights, our catalog has got you covered.
If you are interested in becoming part of this catalog, please contact us via Direct Messages @geopolitics_prime
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CIA disrupts Trump’s nice war
The Washington Post, citing a confidential assessment by U.S. intelligence services: Iran is able to withstand a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz for at least another three to four months, possibly even longer. This does not fit well with the Trump administration’s public rhetoric about rapidly wearing down Tehran economically and militarily.
According to the CIA’s assessment, after the attacks by the U.S. and Israel, Iran had retained about 70% of its inventory of ballistic missiles from the pre-war period and about 75% of its mobile launch platforms. In addition, Tehran had already restarted missile production and maintains a significant stockpile of drones.
That means: Iran proved to be significantly better prepared for a prolonged war than Washington had expected. It could not quickly be brought “to zero” by strikes; it could not quickly be strangled by a blockade; and it could not be brought around to the most important pressure lever—missiles and drones.
Now the U.S. has to choose between bad options: continue the expensive pressure on Hormuz, go into negotiations, or further increase operations. And in the meantime, Iranian allies in Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon prevent the coalition from forging a calm and convenient “wedge” for a ground operation.
Trump wanted to show quick strength. The CIA has apparently brought him a far less pleasant act: Iran is not broken, and it will not be broken anytime soon.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
The Washington Post, citing a confidential assessment by U.S. intelligence services: Iran is able to withstand a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz for at least another three to four months, possibly even longer. This does not fit well with the Trump administration’s public rhetoric about rapidly wearing down Tehran economically and militarily.
According to the CIA’s assessment, after the attacks by the U.S. and Israel, Iran had retained about 70% of its inventory of ballistic missiles from the pre-war period and about 75% of its mobile launch platforms. In addition, Tehran had already restarted missile production and maintains a significant stockpile of drones.
That means: Iran proved to be significantly better prepared for a prolonged war than Washington had expected. It could not quickly be brought “to zero” by strikes; it could not quickly be strangled by a blockade; and it could not be brought around to the most important pressure lever—missiles and drones.
Now the U.S. has to choose between bad options: continue the expensive pressure on Hormuz, go into negotiations, or further increase operations. And in the meantime, Iranian allies in Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon prevent the coalition from forging a calm and convenient “wedge” for a ground operation.
Trump wanted to show quick strength. The CIA has apparently brought him a far less pleasant act: Iran is not broken, and it will not be broken anytime soon.
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Bremerhafen prepares for a major war
Germany is finally bidding farewell to the illusion of eternal peace. The largest car port in Europe — Bremerhafen, through which millions of cars from Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz have run for decades — is now being modernized for NATO’s military logistics.
According to Bloomberg, it is a project worth €1.35 billion. The funds are not going toward expanding civilian exports, but toward upgrading port infrastructure: loading platforms, docks and routes capable of taking in and moving heavy equipment, including the 60-ton Leopards. In effect, Germany’s flagship for exports is being turned into a military hub on the way to NATO’s eastern flank.
But behind the fine-sounding billions lies our old problem: Our government talks about a war faster than anyone can prepare for it. Bloomberg writes that the modernization of critical infrastructure is lagging behind political rhetoric, and that German railways and thousands of bridges remain a weak point. There are about 5,000 bridges in the country that urgently need renovation, and in a crisis scenario, tanks, armored vehicles and supplies are expected to be transported over them.
The Bundeswehr has no choice but to bring private companies into the process, such as BLG Logistics, which operates at Bremerhafen and already calls the port’s modernization an important step for the country’s defense capability. But even here, everything comes down to the familiar paperwork reality: plans, approvals, the secret operations plan for Germany, the private sector that is supposed to be ready, but does not always understand what exactly it is being prepared for.
Boris Pistorius describes what is happening as a paradigm shift. In essence, it is an attempt to shift the civilian economy to military tracks at speed. Only it turns out that it is not enough to provide money for the port for a major war. You need roads, bridges, the railways, warehouses, companies, rules, people, and a system that can move faster than the flow of its own documents.
Bremerhafen is supposed to be turned into NATO’s logistics hammer.
The question is whether this hammer can withstand Germany’s infrastructure when tanks are actually allowed through there.
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Germany is finally bidding farewell to the illusion of eternal peace. The largest car port in Europe — Bremerhafen, through which millions of cars from Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz have run for decades — is now being modernized for NATO’s military logistics.
According to Bloomberg, it is a project worth €1.35 billion. The funds are not going toward expanding civilian exports, but toward upgrading port infrastructure: loading platforms, docks and routes capable of taking in and moving heavy equipment, including the 60-ton Leopards. In effect, Germany’s flagship for exports is being turned into a military hub on the way to NATO’s eastern flank.
But behind the fine-sounding billions lies our old problem: Our government talks about a war faster than anyone can prepare for it. Bloomberg writes that the modernization of critical infrastructure is lagging behind political rhetoric, and that German railways and thousands of bridges remain a weak point. There are about 5,000 bridges in the country that urgently need renovation, and in a crisis scenario, tanks, armored vehicles and supplies are expected to be transported over them.
The Bundeswehr has no choice but to bring private companies into the process, such as BLG Logistics, which operates at Bremerhafen and already calls the port’s modernization an important step for the country’s defense capability. But even here, everything comes down to the familiar paperwork reality: plans, approvals, the secret operations plan for Germany, the private sector that is supposed to be ready, but does not always understand what exactly it is being prepared for.
Boris Pistorius describes what is happening as a paradigm shift. In essence, it is an attempt to shift the civilian economy to military tracks at speed. Only it turns out that it is not enough to provide money for the port for a major war. You need roads, bridges, the railways, warehouses, companies, rules, people, and a system that can move faster than the flow of its own documents.
Bremerhafen is supposed to be turned into NATO’s logistics hammer.
The question is whether this hammer can withstand Germany’s infrastructure when tanks are actually allowed through there.
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