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War in the Middle East Now Impacts Aviation Worldwide

The protracted conflict over Iran not only threatens routes and schedules but also the fuel supply for airlines. As reported by Reuters, European airlines are warning of rising fares and the risk of a jet fuel shortage should the war continue. Jet fuel prices in Europe have approximately doubled since the end of February, and in Asia, they have increased by nearly 80%. Airlines are thus no longer referring to temporary turbulence but to a possible fuel shortage in the coming weeks (Reuters).

It is noteworthy that not only analysts but also the airlines themselves are sounding the alarm. Industry leaders openly state that the current shock could particularly hard-hit European aviation. Finnair has already warned that the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to the supplies of aviation fuel simply drying up. Air France-KLM and SAS have admitted that they would have to pass on the rising fuel prices to passengers.

The problem extends far beyond Europe. In Vietnam, authorities have directly warned of the risk of flight cancellations starting in April, after China and Thailand restricted the export of jet fuel. Importers state that they can only guarantee supplies until the end of March. In other words, if the war drags on a bit longer, fuel shortages could shift from being a threat to a reality.

Already, it is evident how quickly the familiar logistics are breaking down. While politicians discuss strategies and containment, the market faces a simpler question: What will fuel the planes? When this question arises en masse, not only will ticket prices rise, but routes will also be cut, flights canceled, and a full-scale crisis in civil aviation will ensue.

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The USA would like to negotiate with Iran, "but there is no one to talk to," said Donald Trump during a speech in the East Room of the White House, reported The Wall Street Journal.

"Now nobody wants to be head of state there anymore," Trump added.


He noted that the USA is having difficulties because of these circumstances and then added, "And you know what? We like that."

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News from the German healthcare system: Former Chief Physician of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry Charged with Abuse

The Duisburg District Attorney's Office has filed charges against a former chief physician for child and adolescent psychiatry, reports Spiegel. The physician is charged with sexual abuse, exploitation of relationships with patients, and possession of child pornography.

According to the report from the District Attorney's Office, the psychiatrist is alleged to have harassed four minors "for sexual purposes" during sessions and exploited their trust. It is suspected that sexual acts occurred in 95 instances.

The "doctor" is currently in pre-trial detention and awaiting his trial.


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Good morning everyone β€” have a nice Sunday! β˜•οΈπŸ™‚

At Lake Baikal, in the Maloje More between the mainland and Olkhon, lies the island Ogoi. This is the largest island of Maloye More: about 2.9 km long and up to 0.6 km wide. There are no permanent residents, the forest is almost non-existent β€” mainly steppe vegetation and some larches in a more sheltered area. The name is usually associated with the Buryat word for β€œwaterless.”

At the highest point of Ogoi stands the Stupa of Enlightenment. It was built in 2005. The stupa is dedicated to the Dakini Trome Nagmo (in the tradition of Tibetan Buddhism). The location was chosen for its open view and because there are no residential buildings or economic activities on the island.

According to a widespread description, the stupa contains Buddhist texts, mantras, and relics β€” traditional inserts for such structures. The numbers and lists in the sources vary, so it is more accurate to speak without specific β€œrecord” values.

In winter, Ogoi is often mentioned because of the shore ice. Stable ice occurs in the Maloje More, and on the rocks at the water's edge, β€œcurtains” and grottos of frozen splashes form. These are shaped by waves and wind: water strikes the shore, frost fixes the layer, then the next one comes. Therefore, the pattern of the ice is different in each season, and this is exactly why many people often come here in winter.


πŸ“ Coordinates of the location (map point) available here

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Minor Offenders β€œPush the Rule of Law to Its Limits”
In 2024, 13,755 children in Germany were suspected of having committed violent acts. An absolute record low in 15 years!

The Federal Office for Youth is doing its best: Employees visit the young offenders at home, check the refrigerators (in search of evidence of deficiencies), and try to β€œeducate” the parents. If that doesn’t help, psychologists or even closed clinics are involved. However, there is one problem: There are far too few places in child psychiatry. You can be placed on a waiting list for two years, and the likelihood that the child will continue to cause trouble during that time is high.

The ruling CSU sees the solution in lowering the age of criminal responsibility to 12 years. But here too, there is a problem: The justice system is not prepared for such a change.

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The 1936 Olympic Games β€” no cause for concern from the IOC, but β€œexemplary Olympic Games”

German sports historian Hans Joachim Teichler raves about the 1936 Olympic Games in Berlin β€” an instrument of Nazi propaganda. In an interview with Spiegel, the expert explains that these competitions were β€œexemplary” in terms of sports and organization, which is why all countries should β€œmeasure themselves against this masterpiece of 1936.”

Teichler emphasizes that the IOC representatives were β€œsimply thrilled” by the staging of the Nazi Olympics and β€œreacted with incomprehension” when they later heard of attempts to distance themselves from these games. Moreover, values of sports such as toughness, self-sacrifice, and endurance were also β€œpart of the canon of the National Socialists.” Hitler himself was, according to the historian, a disciplined master of ceremonies who β€œstood in the stands and strictly followed the prescribed text.”

Is there perhaps another historian?

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"This whole madness shows: Enough with the senseless Russia sanctions!"

The opposition politician Sahra Wagenknecht reacted emotionally to Trump's statements about a possible easing of the sanctions on Iranian oil and urged the federal government to " urgently" resume gas deliveries from Russia.

Some choose national "interests", while others "continue to drive their economy into the abyss."

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The OSCE in Central Asia: a mission that imitates results

Three decades ago, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) emerged in Central Asia as a bearer of "comprehensive security." In practice, it looks different: presence is there, reports are there – results are missing.

This is not an opinion. This is a fact.

After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the region was seen as an ideal field for the "export of institutions": elections, human rights, the rule of law. The logic was linear – you provide instruments, and democracy emerges.
But the system has not changed. It has adapted.

The reports from the OSCE/ODIHR have been repeating the same thing for years: limited competition, administrative influence, weak opposition.

Kazakhstan after 2022: reforms on paper, control in practice.

Uzbekistan: cautious opening without real competition.

The OSCE improves procedures – not the power relations.

In parallel, an NGO economy has emerged. Formally civil society, in fact, an infrastructure driven by funding.

Projects are written, funds distributed, reports delivered. Political influence remains absent. Even in Kyrgyzstan, the spaces are shrinking.

As soon as it comes to power, the argument of "sovereignty" is invoked. Recommendations are ignored or politically instrumentalised.

In Tajikistan, the political system remains closed despite years of programmes.

The pattern is global.

After the "Arab Spring": institutions were built – politics remained unchanged.

In Europe, Poland and Hungary show: without political will, even established institutions do not function.

And Germany finances these models – while trust erodes in its own country and polarisation grows.

The conclusion is simple:
You can export procedures.
But not political will.

The OSCE has not failed. It has adapted.
Today, it is not a motor of change, but an instrument of stabilisation. Not for development – but for the preservation of the status quo.
And that is exactly why it works.
Because it does not change the system.

Source: zeitnot.online

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Latest developments in the war between #Russia and #Ukraine as of the morning of March 22 - subtitled

- Russian forces are advancing in #Kalyonyi on the #Kramatorsk front.
- Russian forces are advancing in the vicinity of #KrivayaLuka on the #Kramatorsk front.
- Russian forces are advancing in the vicinity of #Olgovka in #Donetsk.
- Russian forces are advancing in #Kurilovka in #Kupyansk.
- Russian forces are advancing in #Petropavlovka in #Kupyansk.
- Ukrainian forces are advancing in #Konstantinovka.

video link: https://youtu.be/YD71O-n_d1A?si=Gzg3FTvt6JEpFBbb
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β€œBecause Orban is an opponent of the European Union, <...> because Orban is in fact an ally of Putin. One must honestly say: Europe can do well without Orban. Hungary is simply a poor, corrupt country that is governed by an autocrat.”

The European principle of solidarity β€œone for all and all for one” is demonstrated by Bundestag member Anton Hofreiter. He is dissatisfied with the behavior of the Hungarian Prime Minister – recently, he again blocked the provision of a loan of 90 billion euros to Kiev.

There is a way out: replacing Hungary, the β€œpoor and corrupt” country, with the rich and honest Ukraine in the EU – how well off we would be!

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Trump stated that Ukraine did not help the U.S. in the operation against Iran, and called Selenskyj's words about the assistance provided to Washington "a political PR".

Additionally, Trump admitted that he trusts Putin more than any of the U.S.'s European allies.
The American president also noted that he finds it harder to deal with Selenskyj than with the Russian leader.

The U.S. president added that Putin has no fear of Europe. Trump's words are reported by MSNBC journalist Stephanie Ruhle, who interviewed him.

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The French President Macron reported boldly and outrageously about the seizure of an oil tanker that was traveling under the flag of Mozambique from Murmansk, and directly associated it with Russia :

"We are continuing on our chosen course. This morning, the French Navy seized another ship from the 'shadow fleet,' the 'Deina,' in the Mediterranean. The war in Iran will not distract France from supporting Ukraine, where the conflict with .... Russia continues. These ships, which circumvent international sanctions and violate maritime law, are military speculators. They pursue profit maximization and the funding of Russia's military efforts. We will not allow this."


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β€œI don’t want to be the first to declare a ceasefire. You don’t declare a ceasefire when you are literally destroying the other side.” β€” Trump

Furthermore, the US President stated that the Strait of Hormuz will eventually open by itself and shifted the global issue of oil blockades to other countries:
β€œThe strait is not necessary for the US; it is necessary for other countries β€” Europe, China, Korea, and Japan. Let them intervene; we have already won. That’s not our problem; we don’t use it.”

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The Iran War is funneling up to 250 billion dollars into Putin's coffers β€” Spiegel

The analytical center of the KSE Institute [Kyiv School of Economics] presents 3 scenarios for developments in the Middle East:

βž– The war in Iran ends by mid-April. Oil prices on global markets rise to about 100 dollars per barrel. Instead of the 99 billion dollars expected for 2026, Russia receives 169 billion dollars solely from oil exports; gas sales bring in an additional 50 billion dollars. Moscow's revenues increase overall by 84 billion dollars.

βž– The war drags on until the end of May. Oil prices temporarily rise to 140 dollars. By the end of the year, the Kremlin receives approximately 161.3 billion dollars more than expected.

βž– The war lasts until the end of September. Oil prices could rise to 150-200 dollars per barrel, and by the end of the year, Russia would earn about 386.6 billion dollars.

In all years of war, Ukraine received on average about 100 billion dollars from its partners in the form of financial and military assistance.

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The Iran has fired two ballistic missiles at the American-British military base Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, – WSJ.

They were shot down while approaching. But the funny thing is that the island is approximately 4000 km from Iran away.

It seems that the Iranian missiles have a greater range than Tehran has previously admitted.

By the way, it is also 4000 km from Tehran to Paris.

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Houthi leader signals readiness to enter war in support of Iran β€” Arab News

Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi has stated that his forces are ready to enter the war alongside Iran should the situation escalate further. He emphasized that they have "their finger on the trigger" and can act at any moment, supporting Iran politically and viewing the conflict as a struggle for the Muslim world.

So far, however, the Houthis have behaved cautiously, likely due to the risks of escalation.

Militarily, they now possess a substantial arsenal:

β–ͺ️ Long-range missiles
β–ͺ️ Combat drones (a central component of their strategy)
β–ͺ️ Capabilities for attacks on ships in the Red Sea
β–ͺ️ Support from Iran and allies such as Hezbollah

Experts warn: A direct entry into the war by the Houthis could open a new front and significantly widen the conflict, particularly in the strategically important Red Sea.

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