MarketRhythm | Timing & Structure
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Weekly Update: Intraday timing models for $SPX M15 tracked within projected structures across 5 sessions this week.

March 9: Sharp upside in the final hour after Trump comments eased US–Iran tensions; structure held as geopolitical risk premium faded.

March 10: Steady tracking with projected impulses and ranges; volatility remained contained.

March 11: Followed the inverted model path; rebound into consolidation and pullback aligned precisely.

March 12: Inverted structure dominated; sharp downside on renewed Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz risks, with oil pushing toward $100/bbl. The S&P fell 1.5% intraday.

March 13: Price tracked within projected ranges; the market remained resilient despite lingering energy and inflation concerns.

Models captured key moves, structural inversions, and macro drivers including geopolitics, energy shocks, and sentiment shifts. The week ended with downside risk still present if tensions escalate — monitoring energy markets and stocks

#WeeklyUpdate@mktrhythms
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March 16 | $SPX M15 intraday forecast. The intraday timing model.

#Forecast@mktrhythms
Update: March 17 | $SPX M15 intraday forecast.

Price continues to track within
the projected structure.


#Update@mktrhythms
March 18 | $SPX M15 intraday forecast. The intraday timing model.

Market likely starts quiet with no clear direction, holding in a range, conditions remain stable into midday without strong follow-through, a structural shift is expected around 12:30–13:30, after 14:00 the move should develop with stronger direction into 15:30, and into the close volatility picks up as the session completes its move.

#Forecast@mktrhythms
​​Update: March 18 | $SPX M15 intraday forecast.

Looks like the model flipped after 14:00 as Powell highlighted heightened uncertainty and pointed to rising energy prices as a driver of inflation. He also reinforced a cautious Fed stance with no urgency to adjust rates, pushing rate cut expectations further out. If this dynamic holds, downside may continue. Are we heading for a third consecutive weekly decline?

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March 19 | $SPX M15 Intraday Outlook
Tracking the timing model.

Looks like early upside fades quickly, with price trending lower into midday and extending weakness through the early afternoon. If this structure holds, any late-session bounce is likely to remain corrective.

https://x.com/i/status/2034643843564335380

#Forecast@mktrhythms
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March 19 | $SPX M15 Update
Tracking the timing model.

Early upside faded as projected, with price trending lower into midday and extending weakness through the early afternoon. The late-session move pushed higher into the close.

#Update@mktrhythms
Update: March 20 | $SPX $SPY M15 intraday forecast.

Market feels heavy as the intraday structure followed the inverted model after WSJ, Axios and CBS headlines about a potential U.S. ground operation in Iran, with $SPX already down around 7%, the largest decline since the tariff rollout, keeping the door open for a deeper move toward 10% downside. Feels like the market is starting to price a bigger move lower here.

https://x.com/i/status/2035102705006322096

#Update@mktrhythms
Weekly Update: $SPX M15 intraday timing model tracked within projected structures across 5 sessions this week.

March 16: The intraday timing model tracked precisely within the projected structure throughout the session.

March 17: Continued clean movement within the projected structure with no meaningful deviations.

March 18: First major model flip triggered after Powell’s comments. Rising energy prices acted as an inflation driver, uncertainty increased, and the Fed tone remained cautious with no urgency to cut rates.

March 19: Early upside faded quickly as projected. Price extended lower into midday and early afternoon and created a fresh lower low, followed by a resilient late-session bounce into the close. Structure held despite elevated swings.

March 20: Strongest inversion of the week activated after breaking headlines from WSJ, Axios and CBS about a potential U.S. ground operation in Iran.

https://x.com/i/status/2035385575960699170

#WeeklyUpdate@mktrhythms