Weekly Update: $SPX M15 intraday timing model tracked within projected structures across 5 sessions this week.
March 16: The intraday timing model tracked precisely within the projected structure throughout the session.
March 17: Continued clean movement within the projected structure with no meaningful deviations.
March 18: First major model flip triggered after Powell’s comments. Rising energy prices acted as an inflation driver, uncertainty increased, and the Fed tone remained cautious with no urgency to cut rates.
March 19: Early upside faded quickly as projected. Price extended lower into midday and early afternoon and created a fresh lower low, followed by a resilient late-session bounce into the close. Structure held despite elevated swings.
March 20: Strongest inversion of the week activated after breaking headlines from WSJ, Axios and CBS about a potential U.S. ground operation in Iran.
https://x.com/i/status/2035385575960699170
#WeeklyUpdate@mktrhythms
March 16: The intraday timing model tracked precisely within the projected structure throughout the session.
March 17: Continued clean movement within the projected structure with no meaningful deviations.
March 18: First major model flip triggered after Powell’s comments. Rising energy prices acted as an inflation driver, uncertainty increased, and the Fed tone remained cautious with no urgency to cut rates.
March 19: Early upside faded quickly as projected. Price extended lower into midday and early afternoon and created a fresh lower low, followed by a resilient late-session bounce into the close. Structure held despite elevated swings.
March 20: Strongest inversion of the week activated after breaking headlines from WSJ, Axios and CBS about a potential U.S. ground operation in Iran.
https://x.com/i/status/2035385575960699170
#WeeklyUpdate@mktrhythms
March 23 | $SPX $SPY M15 intraday forecast. The intraday timing model.
Looks like we could see some strength early, then a pullback around midday before things try to settle later in the session. A move higher into the close still looks possible if flows stay supportive.
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Looks like we could see some strength early, then a pullback around midday before things try to settle later in the session. A move higher into the close still looks possible if flows stay supportive.
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Update: March 23 | $spx $spy M15 intraday forecast.
$SPX moved lower into midday as expected, then structure stabilized and started recovering in the second half of the session. Overall price followed the projected path and stayed stable into the close
#Update@mktrhythms
$SPX moved lower into midday as expected, then structure stabilized and started recovering in the second half of the session. Overall price followed the projected path and stayed stable into the close
#Update@mktrhythms
March 24 | $SPX M15 intraday forecast. The intraday timing model.
Looks like price may keep working higher through most of the session with only shallow pullbacks along the way. Structure still looks supportive into the afternoon. A pullback closer to the close remains possible. Will structure hold into the close?
https://x.com/i/status/2036464612711727551
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Looks like price may keep working higher through most of the session with only shallow pullbacks along the way. Structure still looks supportive into the afternoon. A pullback closer to the close remains possible. Will structure hold into the close?
https://x.com/i/status/2036464612711727551
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Update: March 24th $SPX M15 intraday forecast.
Tracked within the projected structure.
#Update@mktrhythms
Tracked within the projected structure.
#Update@mktrhythms
March 25 | $SPX M15 intraday forecast. The intraday timing model.
Structure suggests early weakness may continue into midday before stabilization develops later in the session. A recovery attempt into the afternoon window becomes possible if selling pressure slows.
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Structure suggests early weakness may continue into midday before stabilization develops later in the session. A recovery attempt into the afternoon window becomes possible if selling pressure slows.
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Update: March 25th $SPX M15 intraday forecast.
Overall structure followed the projected path with some deviation closer to the end of the session.
#Update@mktrhythms
Overall structure followed the projected path with some deviation closer to the end of the session.
#Update@mktrhythms
March 26| $SPX M15 intraday forecast. The intraday timing model.
Looks like we may see some strength first, then a move lower into midday before price starts trying to recover later in the session and settles closer to the close.
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Looks like we may see some strength first, then a move lower into midday before price starts trying to recover later in the session and settles closer to the close.
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Update: March 26th $SPX M15 intraday forecast.
SPX moved lower into midday and stayed under pressure into the close, continuing along the primary downside structure today. Are we starting to see conditions for a decline of more than 10% from the top?
Selling pressure in US stocks and Treasuries is increasing as markets price geopolitical risk around Iran and rising US recession concerns.
#Update@mktrhythms
SPX moved lower into midday and stayed under pressure into the close, continuing along the primary downside structure today. Are we starting to see conditions for a decline of more than 10% from the top?
Selling pressure in US stocks and Treasuries is increasing as markets price geopolitical risk around Iran and rising US recession concerns.
#Update@mktrhythms
March 27 | $SPX M15 intraday forecast. The intraday timing model.
Early dip followed by strength into midday, then a fade developing into the afternoon with pressure returning toward the close. Watch for a lower high structure if sellers step back in late session.
https://x.com/i/status/2037551473668530371
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Early dip followed by strength into midday, then a fade developing into the afternoon with pressure returning toward the close. Watch for a lower high structure if sellers step back in late session.
https://x.com/i/status/2037551473668530371
#Forecast@mktrhythms
Update: March 27th $SPX M15 intraday forecast.
Structure followed the projected path overall, with stronger downside pressure developing into the close
#Update@mktrhythms
Structure followed the projected path overall, with stronger downside pressure developing into the close
#Update@mktrhythms
Weekly Update: $SPX M15 intraday timing model tracked within projected structures 5/5 days.
March 23: Moved lower into midday as projected, then stabilized and recovered in the second half. Structure held well into the close.
March 24: Tracked within the projected structure.
March 25: Projected path followed overall , with some deviation late in the day.
March 26: Downside structure prevailed as price moved lower into midday and remained under pressure into the close, with selling increasing across stocks and Treasuries.
March 27: Structure followed the projected path, but stronger downside pressure developed into the close.
Last week noted that $SPX had already dropped about 7% from the recent high, with the market pricing a move toward the –10% corrective zone. Price is now approaching roughly –9%. The key level right now is 6300 (the 10% correction zone). If the market decisively breaks below this level, the probability increases that we could later see 6000.
#WeeklyUpdate@mktrhythms
March 23: Moved lower into midday as projected, then stabilized and recovered in the second half. Structure held well into the close.
March 24: Tracked within the projected structure.
March 25: Projected path followed overall , with some deviation late in the day.
March 26: Downside structure prevailed as price moved lower into midday and remained under pressure into the close, with selling increasing across stocks and Treasuries.
March 27: Structure followed the projected path, but stronger downside pressure developed into the close.
Last week noted that $SPX had already dropped about 7% from the recent high, with the market pricing a move toward the –10% corrective zone. Price is now approaching roughly –9%. The key level right now is 6300 (the 10% correction zone). If the market decisively breaks below this level, the probability increases that we could later see 6000.
#WeeklyUpdate@mktrhythms